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万联晨会-20250820
Wanlian Securities· 2025-08-20 00:44
Core Insights - The A-share market experienced a narrow fluctuation with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.02% to 3727.29 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.12% and 0.17% respectively, with a total trading volume of 2.64 trillion RMB [1][6] - The personal pension system has introduced three new conditions for withdrawal starting September 1, allowing withdrawals in cases of serious illness, unemployment insurance, and minimum living security [7] - In July, the national general public budget revenue increased by 2.6% year-on-year, reaching 202.73 billion RMB, marking the highest growth rate of the year, with tax revenue growing by 5% [2][7] Market Performance - The A-share market saw nearly 3000 stocks rise, with the comprehensive, communication, and food and beverage sectors leading the gains, while non-bank financials and defense industries lagged [1][6] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index fell by 0.21% to 25122.9 points, and the Hang Seng Technology Index dropped by 0.67% [1][6] Economic Data - In July, the industrial added value growth rate fell by 1.1 percentage points to 5.7%, while fixed asset investment growth slowed to 1.6% from 2.8% [8] - Retail sales in July increased by 3.7% year-on-year, with a notable decline in growth rate compared to the previous month [11][17] Industry Analysis - The electric power equipment sector's overweight ratio continues to decline, with a notable increase in attention towards the wind power equipment sector [12][15] - The real estate investment growth rate is at a low, with sales slowing down, and new construction remains weak [9][11] Company Insights - Kweichow Moutai reported a revenue of 91.094 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 9.16%, while the net profit reached 45.403 billion RMB, up by 8.89% [28][30] - The company has increased its direct sales channel revenue by 18.62%, indicating a shift in strategy to enhance direct consumer engagement [31][32] Consumer Trends - The consumer goods retail sector showed mixed results, with home appliances and furniture categories experiencing significant growth, while automotive sales faced a decline [18][19] - The online retail sector saw a cumulative growth of 9.2% in the first seven months of 2025, indicating a shift towards e-commerce [18][19]
润本股份(603193):2025年半年报点评:线下渠道稳步推进,关注青少年及婴童护理业务
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-19 23:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [4][5]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 895 million yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.31%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 188 million yuan, up 4.16% year-on-year [1]. - The baby and child care segment continues to show strong growth, with revenue reaching 405 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.73%. The product matrix has been enhanced with over 40 new or upgraded products launched in H1 2025 [2]. - The company is expanding its target audience from infants to teenagers, introducing products such as acne treatment and skincare for adolescents, which reflects its strategy to meet unmet consumer needs [2]. Financial Performance - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 58.01%, a slight decrease of 0.63 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin for the same period was 20.95%, down 3.25 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company’s sales, management, and R&D expense ratios for H1 2025 were 30.25%, 1.81%, and 1.83%, respectively, indicating a slight increase in sales expenses compared to the previous year [3]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is projected to be 335 million, 434 million, and 552 million yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 11.6%, 29.7%, and 27.0% [4][5]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is solidifying its online market position while actively expanding its offline channels, with significant contributions from new partnerships, such as with Sam's Club [4]. - The report highlights the company's leadership in the baby mosquito repellent market and its proactive approach in the baby care sector, which is expected to unlock further growth potential [4].
润本股份2025年中报简析:营收净利润同比双双增长
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-19 22:32
Financial Performance - Company reported a total revenue of 895 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.31% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 188 million yuan, up 4.16% year-on-year [1] - Gross margin was 58.01%, a decrease of 1.07% compared to the previous year, while net margin fell to 20.95%, down 13.42% year-on-year [1] Quarterly Analysis - In Q2 2025, total revenue was 655 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.46% [1] - Q2 net profit attributable to shareholders was 143 million yuan, showing a slight decline of 0.85% year-on-year [1] Cost and Expenses - Total selling, administrative, and financial expenses amounted to 283 million yuan, accounting for 31.64% of revenue, an increase of 14% year-on-year [1] - Operating cash flow per share decreased by 5.3% to 0.33 yuan [1] Asset and Liability Changes - Cash and cash equivalents decreased by 65.91% due to increased cash received from investment recoveries [3] - Accounts receivable increased by 477.87% as receivables from non-platform distributors rose [4] - Contract liabilities decreased by 67.7% due to lower prepayments from non-platform distributors [5] Investment and R&D - The company increased its investment in construction projects by 109.79%, focusing on R&D and industrialization projects [4] - R&D expenses rose by 11.08% due to increases in direct labor, materials, and testing costs [6] Market Position and Future Outlook - Analysts expect the company's performance in 2025 to reach 338 million yuan, with an average earnings per share of 0.84 yuan [7] - The company has a strong return on invested capital (ROIC) of 13.44% for the previous year, indicating robust capital returns [7] Fund Holdings - The largest fund holding in the company is the Guotai Consumer Preferred Stock Fund, which has increased its position [8] - The fund's recent performance shows a 38.98% increase over the past year [9]
万联证券给予润本股份买入评级:新品推出+新增山姆渠道,上半年收入快速增长
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-19 10:56
万联证券8月19日发布研报称,给予润本股份(603193.SH,最新价:30.79元)买入评级。评级理由主 要包括:1)收入延续快速增长;2)盈利能力同比下滑,销售费用率有所增加;3)产品不断推陈出 新,线下新增山姆渠道。分产品。风险提示:宏观经济和消费恢复不及预期风险、行业竞争加剧风险、 新品拓展不及预期风险、渠道拓展不达预期风险。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) ...
万联证券:给予润本股份买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-19 10:22
润本股份 万联证券股份有限公司李滢近期对润本股份(603193)进行研究并发布了研究报告《点评报告:新品推出+新 增山姆渠道,上半年收入快速增长》,给予润本股份买入评级。 报告关键要素: 盈利预测与投资建议:公司是国内知名婴童护理及驱蚊日化企业,随着未来研发赋能产品,新品不断推出上 新,线下积极拓展KA和特通渠道。考虑到行业竞争与营销费用投放,我们调整此前的盈利预测,预计公司 2025-2027年EPS分别为0.84/1.00/1.19元/股(调整前2025-2027年EPS分别为0.93/1.17/1.45元/股),对应2025年8月 18日收盘价的PE分别为38/31/27倍,维持"买入"评级。 风险因素:宏观经济和消费恢复不及预期风险、行业竞争加剧风险、新品拓展不及预期风险、渠道拓展不达 预期风险。 证券之星数据中心根据近三年发布的研报数据计算,东北证券李森蔓研究员团队对该股研究较为深入,近三 年预测准确度均值高达96.97%,其预测2025年度归属净利润为盈利3.92亿,根据现价换算的预测PE为31.74。 最新盈利预测明细如下: 2025年上半年,公司实现营收8.95亿元(同比+20.31%),归母 ...
润本股份(603193):新品推出+新增山姆渠道,上半年收入快速增长
Wanlian Securities· 2025-08-19 09:53
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with expectations of a relative increase of over 15% compared to the market in the next six months [4][15]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 895 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.31%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 188 million yuan, up 4.16% year-on-year [1][2]. - The revenue growth is attributed to an expanded product matrix, new collaborations with Sam's Club, and strong performance on e-commerce platforms like Tmall, JD.com, Douyin, and Pinduoduo [2][3]. - The company launched over 40 new products in the first half of 2025, including children's sunscreen and acne treatment products, enhancing its product offerings [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a net profit of 188 million yuan, with a non-recurring net profit of 177 million yuan, indicating a slower growth rate due to declining gross margins and increased sales expenses [2][3]. - The operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 was 133 million yuan, down 5.30% year-on-year, primarily due to increased accounts receivable from Sam's Club [2]. Profitability - The gross margin decreased by 0.63 percentage points to 58.01%, while the net margin fell by 3.25 percentage points to 20.95%, indicating a decline in profitability [3]. - The sales expense ratio increased by 1.52 percentage points to 30.25%, driven by higher promotional and employee compensation costs [3]. Product and Channel Development - The company’s revenue from mosquito repellent, baby care, and essential oil products was 375 million yuan, 405 million yuan, and 92 million yuan respectively, with significant growth in baby care products [3]. - The company is actively expanding its offline channels, having established a new partnership with Sam's Club, which has contributed to rapid growth in non-platform distribution channels [3]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are set at 1.614 billion yuan, 1.942 billion yuan, and 2.343 billion yuan respectively, with expected growth rates of 22.47%, 20.29%, and 20.65% [4][9]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.84 yuan, 1.00 yuan, and 1.19 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 38, 31, and 27 [4][9].
个护用品板块8月19日涨1.01%,可靠股份领涨,主力资金净流出1669.07万元
| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603193 | 润本股份 | 30.79 | -3.45% | 9.95万 | 3.08亿 | | 603059 | 倍加洁 | 31.56 | -0.57% | 3.03万 | 9565.37万 | | 300888 | 稳健医疗 | 41.28 | -0.34% | 6.24万 | 2.58亿 | | 003006 | 自亚股份 | 30.20 | -0.10% | 7.17万 | 2.14亿 | | 600249 | 两面针 | 5.84 | 0.69% | 12.82万 | 7484.16万 | | 001206 | 依依股份 | 25.86 | 0.70% | 5.33万 | 1.38亿 | | 605009 | 豪悦护理 | 42.10 | 0.74% | 5.44万 | 2.28亿 | | 001328 | 登康口腔 | 45.12 | 1.62% | 2.58万 | 1.15亿 | | 301108 | 洁雅股份 | 27.24 ...
润本股份(603193):期待青少年及婴童系列带动H2增长提速
HTSC· 2025-08-19 07:54
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 895 million RMB for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.3%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 188 million RMB, up 4.2% year-on-year. The revenue growth for Q1 and Q2 of 2025 was 44.0% and 13.5% respectively, while the net profit showed a year-on-year increase of 24.6% in Q1 but a slight decline of 0.8% in Q2. The slower growth in Q2 is attributed to last year's high base during the mosquito repellent season and new product launches. However, with the introduction of new products targeting teenagers, the company is expected to accelerate growth in H2 2025 [1][5][7] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In H1 2025, the mosquito repellent product line generated 375 million RMB in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 13.4%, with a gross margin of 53.7%. The baby care product line achieved 405 million RMB in revenue, up 38.7% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 61.1%. The growth in the baby care segment is primarily due to the expansion of the target audience to include teenagers and the launch of oil-control and acne treatment products. The essential oil product line saw a revenue decline of 14.6% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 61.8% [2] Cost Structure - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 58.0%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, likely due to increased discounting during the 618 shopping festival. The sales expense ratio increased to 30.25%, up 1.5 percentage points year-on-year. The financial expense ratio saw significant changes due to a decrease in interest income [3] Product and Channel Development - The company actively expanded its offline channels in H1 2025, including a new partnership with Sam's Club. The company launched or upgraded over 40 products, including children's sunscreen gel and a new series targeting teenagers. The introduction of these new products is expected to drive performance growth in H2 2025 [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The revenue estimates for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downwards to 1.614 billion RMB, 2.054 billion RMB, and 2.577 billion RMB respectively, reflecting a decrease of 7.7%, 9.0%, and 10.3% from previous estimates. The net profit estimates for the same period have also been revised down to 327 million RMB, 411 million RMB, and 510 million RMB, representing decreases of 19.5%, 18.6%, and 18.3% respectively. The target price is set at 37.74 RMB, corresponding to a 37 times PE for 2026 [5]
润本股份(603193):利润端略低于预期,预计25H2婴童品类发力
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 was slightly below market expectations, with a revenue of 895 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 188 million yuan, which is a 4.2% increase year-on-year [5][6] - The company is expected to see growth in the baby and child product category in the second half of 2025 [5] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2024, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 1,318 million yuan, 1,616 million yuan, 1,956 million yuan, and 2,352 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 27.6%, 22.6%, 21.0%, and 20.2% [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 300 million yuan, 338 million yuan, 407 million yuan, and 489 million yuan for the years 2024, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 32.8%, 12.6%, 20.5%, and 20.1% [4] - The company's gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 58.0%, slightly down from the previous year, while the net profit margin was 20.9%, reflecting a decrease of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [5][11]
润本股份(603193):线下渠道拓展积极,产品持续推陈出新
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6][14]. Core Views - The company is actively expanding its offline channels and continuously innovating its product offerings, with a focus on consumer needs [12][13]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.617 billion, 1.964 billion, and 2.313 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 22.7%, 21.5%, and 17.8% [14]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 339 million, 400 million, and 481 million yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 13.1%, 17.9%, and 20.3% [14]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, Runben Co., Ltd. (603193), operates in the personal care and beauty industry, focusing on innovative products and expanding market reach [6]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 895 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.3%, and a net profit of 188 million yuan, up 4.2% year-on-year [12]. - The company has launched over 40 new or upgraded products in the first half of 2025, targeting various consumer segments from infants to teenagers [12]. Market Strategy - The company is enhancing its online sales while actively developing quality offline channels, achieving synergy across all sales channels [13]. - Collaborations with major retail chains such as Sam's Club, Walmart, and others have been established to increase offline market penetration [13]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued growth in revenue and profit, driven by product innovation and market expansion strategies [14]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.84, 0.99, and 1.19 yuan for 2025-2027 [14].