Workflow
Jovo Energy(605090)
icon
Search documents
气温转凉美国气价回落,欧洲储库推进气价提升,九丰能源一体化持续推进
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-25 04:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a cooling trend in temperatures leading to a decrease in US gas prices, while European storage efforts are pushing prices up. Domestic gas prices are also experiencing a decline due to slow demand recovery [5][10] - The supply-demand analysis indicates a slight increase in total gas supply in the US, while demand has decreased slightly. European gas prices have risen due to storage efforts, and domestic gas prices have also fallen [15][16] - The report emphasizes the ongoing progress in price adjustments across various cities, which is expected to enhance profitability for city gas companies and support valuation recovery [35] Summary by Sections Price Tracking - As of August 22, 2025, US HH gas prices decreased by 3.1%, while European TTF prices increased by 7.6%. Domestic LNG prices fell by 1.7% [10][12] Supply and Demand Analysis - US total gas supply increased by 0.4% week-on-week to 1,126 billion cubic feet per day, while total demand decreased by 1.2% to 1,061 billion cubic feet per day. European gas consumption for the first five months of 2025 was 2,180 billion cubic meters, up 6.6% year-on-year [15][16] Price Adjustment Progress - Nationwide, 64% of cities have implemented residential price adjustments, with an average increase of 0.21 yuan per cubic meter. The report suggests that there is still a 10% room for price gap recovery [35] Important Announcements - The report notes significant mid-year performance announcements from various gas companies, indicating mixed results in revenue and profit growth [41] Important Events - The report mentions a reduction in the US LNG import tariff from 140% to 25%, enhancing the economic viability of US gas imports [42][44] - It also discusses the EU's agreement to provide greater flexibility in natural gas storage targets, allowing for a 10% deviation from the 90% storage goal [49] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing price mechanism adjustments, particularly those with strong long-term contracts and flexible operations [5][35]
九丰能源(605090):Q2扣非业绩同比+5.1% 三维产业布局均有催化
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 06:31
产业布局落地,LNG、LPG、航天特气三维催化均有进展:(1)LNG低价气源扩张:海气新长约推进 中,同时加快自产气建设及获取,落地权益气等新气源,LNG 资源池降本增量,看好下游燃气电厂和 交通燃料市场需求提升;(2)LPG 码头收购落地:5 月完成广州华凯LPG 码头收购,广州东莞双码头 下LPG 份额提升,助力气量与毛差双增;(3)特气及火箭发射提速:四川泸州100 万方/年精氦项目完 工,海南文昌商业火箭基地今年下半年发射提速,航天特气打造估值弹性。 盈利预测与投资建议。预计2025-2027 年净利润分别为15.8、18.1、21.6 亿元,对应PE 估值12.2、10.7 和8.9 倍。成长兼具分红,给予2025 年15 倍PE,对应合理价值35.67 元/股,维持"买入"评级。 核心观点: Q2 扣非归母净利润同比增长5.1%,中期分红2.66 亿元。2025 年上半年实现营业收入104.28 亿元(同 比-7.4%),归母净利润8.61 亿元(同比-22.2%),主要系去年Q2 高位出售LNG 船收益3.36 亿元, 25H1 扣非归母净利润8.11 亿元(同比+2.9%),Q1、Q2 分别同 ...
光大证券晨会速递-20250822
EBSCN· 2025-08-22 01:12
Group 1: Company Research - ZhongAn Online continues to lead the domestic internet property insurance sector, with expected profit growth driven by R&D investments, raising net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 0.82/0.85/0.97 billion RMB [2] - Jiufeng Energy's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly lowered to 1.732/1.978/2.245 billion RMB due to a decline in the natural gas industry's outlook, maintaining a "buy" rating [3] - Tongfei Co. anticipates a new growth phase driven by increased demand for liquid cooling in data centers, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 set at 0.33/0.45/0.60 billion RMB [4] - Fuyao Glass reported better-than-expected performance in 1H25, with net profit forecasts raised to approximately 10.14/11.97/13.94 billion RMB for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [5] - Invt's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are set at 0.319/0.386/0.445 billion RMB, benefiting from the AIDC industry's growth, maintaining a "hold" rating [6] - Xinlitai's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are maintained at 0.708/0.822/0.979 billion RMB, focusing on cardiovascular drugs and innovation [9] - Thinker Education's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been reduced to 0.159/0.209/0.271 billion RMB due to new campus investments impacting short-term profits, maintaining a "hold" rating [10] - China Resources Beer achieved revenue of 23.942 billion RMB in 1H25, with net profit rising by 23% to 5.789 billion RMB, raising profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 5.887/5.968/6.334 billion RMB [11] - Xilinmen's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are raised to 0.46/0.51/0.57 billion RMB, driven by retail transformation and product innovation [12] Group 2: Industry Insights - The natural gas industry is experiencing a downturn, impacting Jiufeng Energy's sales growth expectations [3] - The demand for liquid cooling technology in data centers is increasing, indicating a shift towards greener solutions in high-performance computing [4] - The automotive glass and aluminum trim sectors are benefiting from industry-wide smart technology advancements, enhancing Fuyao Glass's profitability [5] - The beer market is seeing a rise in both volume and price, with high-end products performing particularly well amid adjustments in the liquor sector [11]
国投证券-九丰能源-605090-业绩稳健增长,商业航天成果初显
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 04:08
三大业务协同推进, 特种气体 实现突破 LNG方面:上半年已有长约履行情况良好,新长约推进工作有序进行;现货采购受到国际气价倒挂影 响有所降低。国内陆气超计划完成,上半年LNG产量超33万吨,完成计划量的106%;销售端持续加大 交通燃料市场和气电市场布局,随着资源池构建持续完善,气价趋稳,增量空间值得期待。 事件: LPG方面:公司通过收购方式获得位于广州市南沙区的华凯石油燃气100%股权,并于5月完成资产交 割,公司将逐步建立东莞九丰库与广州华凯库的双库动态运营体系,有望进一步提升对华南市场的领导 力。新增市场方面,公司正式进军化工原料气市场,上半年原料气市场实现销量超34万吨,同比增长达 106%。 公司发布2025年半年度业绩公告。2025年上半年,公司实现营业收入104.28亿元,同比下降7.45%,主 要系公司 清洁能源 业务产品现货销售量较上年同期减少所致;实现归母净利润8.61亿元,同比下降 22.17%,主要系去年同期公司优化船舶资产产生收益,扣非后归母净利润为8.11亿元,同比增长 2.92%。公司经营活动产生的现金流量净额同比下降40.48%,主要系公司上年同期存在销售结算跨期及 本报告 ...
九丰能源(605090):扣非业绩稳健,氦气产能增至150万方/年
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-20 03:16
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3][25] Core Views - The company has shown stable performance in its core business despite a year-on-year decline in overall revenue due to a decrease in LNG spot sales. The non-recurring asset disposal gains from the previous year are absent in the current period, leading to a decline in net profit [6][12] - The company has increased its helium production capacity to 1.5 million cubic meters per year, with ongoing projects in the aerospace sector [24][25] - The company has a robust cash dividend plan, with a mid-term dividend of 0.4079 CNY per share, contributing to a projected dividend yield of 4.4% for 2025 [25][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 10.428 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 7.45%, primarily due to reduced LNG spot sales. However, the second quarter saw a revenue of 4.944 billion CNY, a slight increase of 0.2% year-on-year [6][12] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first half of 2025 was 861 million CNY, down 22.17% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit increased by 2.92% to 811 million CNY [6][12] - The company’s gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 10.77%, an increase of 1.15 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin decreased to 8.28%, down 1.61 percentage points due to the absence of previous asset disposal gains [12][21] Production Capacity and Projects - The company has completed the construction of a 1 million cubic meters per year helium project in Sichuan, raising its total helium production capacity to 1.5 million cubic meters per year [24][25] - The company is developing a dual-resource pool of "marine gas + land gas" to stabilize the profitability of its clean energy business, with a focus on LNG and LPG [21][24] Dividend Policy - The company has set a cash dividend plan for 2024-2026, with fixed dividends of 750 million CNY, 850 million CNY, and 1 billion CNY respectively, along with special dividends based on conditions [25][3] Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for the company has been adjusted downwards, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at 1.73 billion CNY, 2.01 billion CNY, and 2.24 billion CNY respectively, reflecting a growth rate of 2.6%, 16.2%, and 11.3% [3][25]
九丰能源(605090):业绩稳健增长,商业航天成果初显
Guotou Securities· 2025-08-20 02:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy-A" with a target price of 32.04 CNY for the next six months [6][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 10.428 billion CNY for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.45%, primarily due to a reduction in the sales volume of clean energy products [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 861 million CNY, down 22.17% year-on-year, but the non-recurring net profit increased by 2.92% to 811 million CNY [1]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 22.865 billion CNY, 25.18 billion CNY, and 27.138 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 3.7%, 10.1%, and 7.8% [9]. Summary by Sections Business Performance - LNG production exceeded 330,000 tons in the first half of 2025, achieving 106% of the planned target, with ongoing efforts to expand into the transportation fuel and gas-to-power markets [2]. - The company acquired 100% of Huakai Petroleum Gas in Guangzhou, enhancing its leadership in the South China market [2]. - In the specialty gas sector, the company supported three rocket launches for Hainan Commercial Launch, validating product quality and expanding its business scope [3]. Dividend Policy - The company announced a cash dividend plan for the next three years, with a total cash dividend of 780 million CNY for 2024 and a proposed fixed dividend of 850 million CNY for 2025, of which 266 million CNY will be distributed in the first half of 2025 [4]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.763 billion CNY, 1.966 billion CNY, and 2.104 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 4.7%, 11.5%, and 7.1% [9].
九丰能源2025年中报简析:净利润同比下降22.17%
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-19 22:59
据证券之星公开数据整理,近期九丰能源(605090)发布2025年中报。根据财报显示,九丰能源净利润同 比下降22.17%。截至本报告期末,公司营业总收入104.28亿元,同比下降7.45%,归母净利润8.61亿 元,同比下降22.17%。按单季度数据看,第二季度营业总收入49.44亿元,同比上升0.2%,第二季度归 母净利润3.55亿元,同比下降43.32%。 本次财报公布的各项数据指标表现一般。其中,毛利率10.77%,同比增12.01%,净利率8.28%,同比减 16.31%,销售费用、管理费用、财务费用总计2.64亿元,三费占营收比2.53%,同比增17.72%,每股净 资产14.89元,同比增10.55%,每股经营性现金流1.1元,同比减42.91%,每股收益1.35元,同比减 24.16% | 项目 | 2024年中报 | 2025年中报 | 同比增幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(元) | 112.67 Z | 104.28 Z | -7.45% | | 归母净利润(元) | 11.06亿 | 8.61 Z | -22.17% | | 扣非净利润(元) ...
九丰能源(605090):收购华凯石油燃气,将逐步建立双库动态运营体系
Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating to "Accumulate" [5][13] Core Views - The acquisition of Huakai Oil and Gas will gradually establish a dual-storage dynamic operation system, which is expected to drive future performance growth [2][13] - The company anticipates a recovery in performance due to the continuous decline in natural gas prices [13] - The target price is adjusted to 36.82 CNY, based on a 14x PE for 2025, reflecting the company's leading position and strong pricing power in the industry [13] Financial Summary - For H1 2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of 10.428 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 7.45% [13] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 861 million CNY, down 22.17% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit increased by 2.92% to 811 million CNY [13] - LNG business performed well with a production of over 330,000 tons, exceeding the planned target by 6% [13] - The LPG business saw a significant increase in raw gas sales, achieving over 340,000 tons, a year-on-year growth of 106% [13] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 25.970 billion CNY, 29.450 billion CNY, and 33.300 billion CNY respectively, with expected growth rates of 17.8%, 13.4%, and 13.1% [12][13] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 1.751 billion CNY, 2.008 billion CNY, and 2.137 billion CNY, reflecting growth rates of 4.0%, 14.7%, and 6.4% [12][13] - The EPS estimates for 2025-2027 are revised to 2.63 CNY, 3.02 CNY, and 3.21 CNY respectively [13]
九丰能源(605090):扣非净利润持续增长 各业务稳步扩张
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 10:34
现营业收入104.28 亿元,同比下滑7.45%;实现归母净利润8.61 亿元,同比下滑22.17%;实现扣非归母 净利润8.11 亿元,同比增长2.92%。 25Q2 扣非归母净利润稳步增长。25Q2,公司实现营业收入49.44 亿元,同比增长0.20%;实现归母净利 润3.55 亿元,同比下滑43.32%,下滑幅度较大主要是上年同期公司对部分船舶资产进行了针对性优 化,从而产生非流动性资产处置收益3.36 亿元;实现扣非归母净利润3.43 亿元,同比增长5.11%。 风险提示:LNG 需求不及预期,项目投产进度不及预期 LNG 盈利能力增强,能源服务利润快速增长。25H1,公司LNG 及作业、LPG、能源物流及技术服务、 特种气体业务分别实现营业收入50.15、42.81、3.03、0.48 亿元,占总营业收入的比重为48.09%、 41.05%、2.90%、0.46%,LNG 和LPG 依然是公司主要的收入来源;各业务实现毛利分别为6.80、 2.93、1.12、0.18 亿元,占总毛利的比重为60.54%、26.12%、9.97%、1.57%,其中,能源物流及技术服 务毛利润同比高增39.16%;各业 ...
研报掘金丨国盛证券:维持九丰能源“买入”评级 高分红及回购彰显长期价值
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-19 09:23
国盛证券研报指出,九丰能源上半年实现归母净利润8.61亿元,同比下降22.17%;2025年Q2实现归母 净利润3.55亿元,同比下降43.1%,环比下降29.9%。特种气体业务实现突破,关注清洁能源业务成长 性。公司LNG业务资源端构建"海气+陆气"双资源池,资源保障能力强,综合成本竞争力佳。陆气资源 主要包括自产LNG和外购气。自产LNG方面,公司自主控制的LNG产能规模达70万吨;海气资源主要 包括长约采购和现货采购,长约公司与马石油已签订LNG长期采购合同。航空航天特气方面,海南商 业航天发射场特燃特气配套项目(一期)已顺利投产,上半年成功为三次火箭发射提供了独家液氢等特 燃特气供应,产品品质通过了实战验证。同时,公司已与上海航天设备制造总厂、中国长征火箭有限公 司等行业龙头签订供货协议,深度绑定了中国航天产业链。另外,高分红及回购彰显长期价值,维 持"买入"评级。 ...