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连年巨亏 光伏业如何逃出“血海”
经济观察报· 2026-01-25 10:54
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a brutal survival elimination race and a deep restructuring of the industrial pattern, with the next phase expected to be redefined after this intense reshuffle [2][4]. Group 1: Industry Performance and Losses - In 2025, major companies in the photovoltaic sector are expected to report significant losses, with JinkoSolar forecasting a net loss of 5.9 billion to 6.9 billion yuan, Trina Solar predicting a loss of 6.5 billion to 7.5 billion yuan, and Tongwei expecting a loss of 9 billion to 10 billion yuan [2][6]. - The total expected losses from leading companies amount to hundreds of billions, indicating that the photovoltaic industry is still mired in a loss-making situation [2][5]. - The industry has shifted from a phase of rapid expansion to a deep adjustment period, with companies generally operating at a loss to maintain operations, severely squeezing overall profitability [7][12]. Group 2: Causes of the Crisis - The root cause of the current industry crisis is attributed to aggressive expansion in the past, leading to severe structural oversupply and intense price competition [3][6]. - The prices of key materials such as silicon have plummeted from 300,000 yuan per ton in 2022 to around 55,000 yuan per ton, while silver prices have nearly doubled in recent months, further exacerbating the challenges faced by companies [4][10]. Group 3: Strategic Responses and Industry Restructuring - In response to the crisis, leading companies are turning to mergers and acquisitions to strengthen competitiveness or are extending into related fields such as energy storage and hydrogen energy to seek strategic breakthroughs [4][12]. - TCL Zhonghuan announced plans to invest in a new energy technology company to enhance its integrated strategy and expand battery and module production capacity [12]. - The industry is experiencing a "淘汰赛" (elimination race), with smaller companies likely to exit the market or seek mergers as the competitive landscape narrows [13][14]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Recovery Potential - Companies like Tongwei have seen some operational profitability in the latter half of 2025, but overall losses are expected to continue due to declining sales prices and rising raw material costs [9][10]. - The recovery of profitability is contingent on the overall price recovery across the supply chain and the expansion of photovoltaic application scenarios, which could provide significant growth opportunities [9][10]. - The photovoltaic industry is witnessing a recent increase in component prices, with some manufacturers raising prices by 0.04 to 0.15 yuan per watt, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [18][19].
“太空光伏”引爆涨停潮,概念炒作难掩行业供需双弱
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-25 09:44
Core Viewpoint - The A-share photovoltaic sector has experienced a significant surge, with multiple stocks hitting a 20% limit-up, driven by Elon Musk's endorsement of space photovoltaics at the Davos Forum. However, the industry faces a harsh reality of prolonged losses, overcapacity, and persistent price pressure, with major companies expected to report substantial losses in 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - The photovoltaic industry has seen widespread losses, with 23 out of 32 listed companies expected to report losses in 2025, accounting for over 70% of the sample [2]. - Major players like Tongwei Co. anticipate a net loss of 90 to 100 billion yuan in 2025, up from a loss of 70.39 billion yuan the previous year, marking it as the only company with a projected loss exceeding 100 billion yuan [2]. - Trina Solar and JinkoSolar are also expected to report significant losses, with Trina Solar projecting a loss of 65 to 75 billion yuan, and JinkoSolar estimating a loss of 59 to 69 billion yuan [2][3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The photovoltaic supply chain is experiencing intensified losses due to weak terminal demand, overcapacity, and stagnant product prices, which are the main contributors to the industry's financial struggles [2][3]. - Despite some companies like Daqo Energy and Longi Green Energy reducing their losses, the overall trend remains negative, with Daqo Energy expecting a loss of 14.18 to 17.18 billion yuan, a reduction of 52.17% to 63.21% year-on-year [3]. - The industry is facing a dual challenge of weak supply and demand, with overcapacity leading to low prices, which is the primary cause of losses [4][5]. Group 3: Cost Pressures - The rapid increase in raw material prices, particularly silver, has significantly impacted production costs, with silver prices rising over 118% since October of the previous year [6][7]. - The cost of silver paste, a critical material in photovoltaic technology, has surged, further straining the profitability of companies in the sector [6][7]. - Companies are exploring cost-reduction strategies, including substituting silver with copper and aluminum, but the impact of these innovations on profitability remains limited [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The industry is expected to undergo structural reforms characterized by capacity utilization improvements, elimination of outdated capacity, and potential mergers and acquisitions, which are essential for recovery [7]. - A return to a healthy supply-demand balance and a restoration of product prices to reasonable levels are crucial for the fundamental improvement of companies' profitability [7].
太空光伏为产业链带来新机遇,宁德时代推出天行II方案
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-25 08:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the power equipment sector [6] Core Insights - The report highlights new opportunities in the photovoltaic industry driven by space solar power initiatives and rising prices of battery components [1][17] - It emphasizes the importance of supply-side reforms and technological advancements in creating long-term growth opportunities within the industry [1][19] - The report identifies key companies to watch in various segments, including supply chain price increases, new technology growth, and perovskite solar cell developments [1][19][21] Summary by Sections Photovoltaics - The price of multi-crystalline silicon n-type raw materials remains stable, with an average transaction price of 59,200 RMB per ton [17] - N-type battery cell prices have increased to 0.42 RMB per watt, with a price range of 0.40-0.43 RMB per watt [17] - The report notes that rising silver prices have led to increased component costs, with distributed component prices now ranging from 0.70 to 0.80 RMB per watt [17] - SpaceX and Tesla plan to achieve a combined solar manufacturing capacity of 200GW annually in the U.S. within three years, with 40GW dedicated to space solar power [1][18] - Key companies to focus on include Tongwei Co., GCL-Poly, LONGi Green Energy, JA Solar, and Trina Solar for supply-side reform opportunities [1][19] Wind Power & Grid - The Netherlands will launch a 1GW offshore wind project tender in September 2026, with a subsidy budget of approximately 32.45 billion RMB [19][20] - Turkey plans to initiate its first offshore wind tender by the end of 2026, aiming for 5GW of installed capacity by 2035 [19][20] - Southern Power Grid has set a fixed asset investment of 180 billion RMB for 2026, focusing on new power system construction and strategic emerging industries [20] - Companies to watch include Goldwind, Yunda, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Sany Heavy Energy in the wind turbine sector [20] Hydrogen Energy - A ceremony for the operation of 300 hydrogen fuel heavy trucks was recently held, showcasing advancements in hydrogen energy technology [3][21] - The trucks are equipped with a 130kW fuel cell system and can achieve a range of over 600 kilometers [3][21] - Key companies in this sector include Shuangliang Energy, Huadian Heavy Industry, and Shenghui Technology [3][21] Energy Storage - The report forecasts that new energy storage installations in China will reach 58.6GW/175.3GWh in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 38%/60% [4][22] - The average bid price for 2-hour energy storage systems is projected to be 0.55 RMB/Wh in 2025, down 16.9% from 2024 [4][22] - Companies to focus on include Sungrow Power, Canadian Solar, and Kehua Data for large-scale energy storage opportunities [4][22] New Energy Vehicles - CATL launched the "Tianxing II" series solutions for light commercial vehicles, including the industry's first intelligent battery management application [5][27] - The solutions cater to various scenarios, including high-frequency urban distribution and extreme temperature conditions [5][27] - Key companies in the battery sector include CATL, Penghui Energy, and Guoxuan High-Tech [5][29]
白银涨破100美元关口!光伏企业如何“渡劫”?
凤凰网财经· 2026-01-24 09:07
Core Viewpoint - Major photovoltaic companies such as JinkoSolar, Tongwei Co., and LONGi Green Energy have recently announced significant projected losses for 2025, primarily due to rising silver prices impacting their performance [3][4]. Group 1: Financial Projections - JinkoSolar expects a net loss of 5.9 billion to 6.9 billion yuan for 2025, while Tongwei Co. anticipates losses between 9 billion to 10 billion yuan, and LONGi Green Energy projects a net loss of 6 billion to 6.5 billion yuan [3]. - The rising costs of silver paste, a key material in photovoltaic cell production, have been cited as a major factor contributing to these losses [4]. Group 2: Cost Structure and Material Impact - Silver paste, which is crucial for manufacturing photovoltaic cells, accounts for approximately 62% of the non-silicon costs in TOPCon solar cells, with a projected cost of 0.138 yuan/W by the end of 2025 [4]. - The current spot price of silver has surged to over $100 per ounce, having more than tripled in the past year, adding to the cost pressures faced by these companies [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Pricing Strategies - Companies are attempting to pass on costs by slightly increasing the prices of photovoltaic modules; however, this is constrained by a supply-demand imbalance in the industry [5]. - The domestic market demand is weakening, and overseas procurement is also declining, which may further limit the ability of companies to raise prices [5]. Group 4: Technological Developments - Companies are exploring alternatives to reduce silver usage, such as the development of "silver-free" technologies and the use of copper plating [5][6]. - While significant R&D efforts are underway, the maturity and effectiveness of these technologies remain uncertain, and their economic viability is under scrutiny [6]. Group 5: Future Outlook on Silver Prices - In the short term, the impact of alternative technologies on silver prices is expected to be limited due to their nascent stage of development [7]. - Long-term trends may see downward pressure on silver prices as these technologies mature and photovoltaic installation volumes potentially decline [7]. - The strategic resource status of silver, influenced by policy changes, may continue to support its price [8].
白银涨破100美元关口!光伏企业如何“渡劫”?
Huan Qiu Wang· 2026-01-24 05:53
Core Viewpoint - Major photovoltaic companies such as JinkoSolar, Tongwei Co., and LONGi Green Energy have issued profit warnings for 2025, citing significant losses primarily due to rising silver prices impacting their production costs [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Forecasts - JinkoSolar expects a net loss of 5.9 billion to 6.9 billion yuan for 2025 [1] - Tongwei Co. anticipates losses between 9 billion to 10 billion yuan [1] - LONGi Green Energy projects a net loss of 6 billion to 6.5 billion yuan attributable to increased costs of silver paste and silicon materials [1] Group 2: Cost Drivers - The surge in silver prices has been a critical factor, with current spot silver prices exceeding $100 per ounce, having more than tripled over the past year [2] - The cost of silver paste, a key material in photovoltaic cell production, is projected to reach 0.138 yuan/W by the end of 2025, accounting for approximately 62% of the non-silicon costs in TOPCon solar cells [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a "strong supply, weak demand" scenario, limiting the ability of companies to pass on increased costs to consumers [3] - Domestic market demand is declining, and overseas procurement is also slowing down, which may further weaken future demand [3] Group 4: Technological Developments - Companies are exploring alternatives to reduce silver usage, such as the development of "silver-free" technologies and the use of copper plating [3][4] - LONGi Green Energy has achieved mass production of its high-efficiency BC second-generation products, which utilize less silver [4] Group 5: Future Outlook - The maturity of alternative technologies and potential declines in photovoltaic installation volumes may exert downward pressure on silver prices in the long term [4] - Silver's strategic resource status is expected to strengthen, potentially driving prices higher due to policy influences [4]
晶科储能落地邯郸10MWh储能项目
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2026-01-24 04:41
Core Viewpoint - Jinko Energy has successfully deployed a 10MWh energy storage project in Handan City, Hebei Province, aimed at reducing operational electricity costs for local markets and enhancing the reliability of power supply [1] Group 1: Project Details - The energy storage project is located at the largest agricultural market in the area, Chaomeng Agricultural Market [1] - The project utilizes two Blue Whale SunTera G2 liquid-cooled energy storage systems [1] Group 2: Objectives and Benefits - The project aims to leverage peak and valley electricity price arbitrage and synergistic consumption of solar energy and storage [1] - It is expected to significantly lower operational electricity costs for the market and its charging stations [1] - The initiative will effectively increase the local consumption rate of renewable energy and improve the reliability of power supply for merchants and facilities within the market [1]
晶科能源取得太阳能电池片及其形成方法专利
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-24 03:52
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that Zhejiang Jinko Energy Co., Ltd. and Jinko Solar Co., Ltd. have obtained a patent for "solar cell wafers and their manufacturing methods," with the patent announcement number CN115548159B and an application date of June 2021 [1] Group 2 - Zhejiang Jinko Energy Co., Ltd. was established in 2006 and is located in Jiaxing City, primarily engaged in the manufacturing of electrical machinery and equipment, with a registered capital of 2,714.34 million RMB [1] - The company has made investments in 9 enterprises, participated in 97 bidding projects, and holds 2,673 patent records along with 35 administrative licenses [1] Group 3 - Jinko Solar Co., Ltd. was also established in 2006 and is located in Shangrao City, focusing on the same industry of electrical machinery and equipment, with a registered capital of 10,005.22 million RMB [1] - This company has invested in 54 enterprises, participated in 1,651 bidding projects, and possesses 744 trademark records and 2,914 patent records, in addition to holding 70 administrative licenses [1]
光伏的春天又来了
猛兽派选股· 2026-01-24 03:51
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is experiencing significant momentum, particularly in the equipment sector, with clear RSR signals indicating strong market activity [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - Jiejia Weichuang is highlighted as a key player in the industry [3]. - Maiwei Co., Ltd. is noted for leading the market with unusual trading volumes and signals of acceleration into the second phase of growth [4]. - Aotwei and Jingcheng Machinery are also mentioned as companies that have entered the second phase of acceleration [5][7]. - High Measurement Co. and Dier Laser are part of the group showing strong performance, with most companies just entering the second phase [8][10]. - The characteristics of these stocks include significant price increases of over 50% and a strong breakout above previous highs, indicating a bullish trend [12]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The photovoltaic industry is classified as a typical cyclical industry, with performance fluctuations similar to non-ferrous metals and chemicals, driven by expectations of industry recovery and supply-side reforms [16]. - Equipment manufacturers often outperform the core industry stocks, as seen in the non-ferrous sector where mining equipment stocks have shown greater gains [16]. - Component stocks are lagging behind equipment stocks, with JinkoSolar showing potential due to its advanced technology and market position, surpassing previous leaders [18]. Group 3: Historical Context - Historical bull stocks serve as a guide for current market behavior, with current bull stocks following similar patterns of clear upward trends and compact adjustment structures [19].
晶科能源取得电池片制备方法专利
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-24 02:34
声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成,仅供参考,不构成个人投资建议。 本文源自:市场资讯 国家知识产权局信息显示,晶科能源(海宁)有限公司取得一项名为"一种电池片的制备方法、电池片 和光伏组件"的专利,授权公告号CN120897561B,申请日期为2025年9月。 天眼查资料显示,晶科能源(海宁)有限公司,成立于2017年,位于嘉兴市,是一家以从事电力、热力 生产和供应业为主的企业。企业注册资本357000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析,晶科能源(海宁) 有限公司参与招投标项目56次,专利信息927条,此外企业还拥有行政许可72个。 作者:情报员 ...
晶科能源取得光伏组件层压工装及方法专利
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-24 02:29
声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成,仅供参考,不构成个人投资建议。 来源:市场资讯 国家知识产权局信息显示,晶科能源股份有限公司取得一项名为"光伏组件、制备光伏组件的层压工装 及层压方法"的专利,授权公告号CN119008740B,申请日期为2024年8月。 天眼查资料显示,晶科能源股份有限公司,成立于2006年,位于上饶市,是一家以从事电气机械和器材 制造业为主的企业。企业注册资本1000520.2678万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析,晶科能源股份有限 公司共对外投资了54家企业,参与招投标项目1651次,财产线索方面有商标信息744条,专利信息2914 条,此外企业还拥有行政许可70个。 晶科能源(海宁)有限公司,成立于2017年,位于嘉兴市,是一家以从事电力、热力生产和供应业为主 的企业。企业注册资本357000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析,晶科能源(海宁)有限公司参与招投 标项目56次,专利信息927条,此外企业还拥有行政许可72个。 ...