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2026年度计算机行业投资策略:产业硬约束兑现,政策新蓝图展开
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-14 14:23
Group 1: Industry Changes - The computer industry in 2026 will witness a convergence of "industrial cycles" and "policy cycles," marking a decisive year for both existing tasks and new growth opportunities [2][3] - AI applications are expected to reach a critical point of explosion, transitioning from a phase of high expenditure to profitability, with significant scale deployment in vertical scenarios [11] - Domestic computing power has evolved from being a backup to becoming fully usable in training and inference for domestic large models, with 2026 anticipated to be a year of comprehensive replacement [12] - The completion of the "信创" (Xinchuang) initiative is set for 2027, making 2026 a peak year for bidding and delivery, with strong performance certainty for related companies [13] Group 2: Policy Changes - The "十四五" (14th Five-Year Plan) elevates commercial aerospace to a national strategic level, with 2026 expected to be a year of industry explosion driven by satellite networking and reusable rockets [6] - The low-altitude economy is transitioning from policy enthusiasm to industrial heat, with substantial construction expected in 2026 due to infrastructure standards and special bonds [6] - The integration of AI with various industries is emphasized in the "十四五" plan, aiming for deep integration in manufacturing, healthcare, transportation, and finance, which will enhance productivity and create greater economic value [20][36] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Companies in the AI application sector should be selected based on their alignment with national policies and the "AI+" initiative, focusing on sectors like agriculture, industrial software, and healthcare [36] - Companies with strong foundational platforms and aggregation entry points for large models are recommended for long-term investment, such as Alibaba and iFlytek [37] - Data barrier companies that possess proprietary data to train models are crucial, with a focus on firms like 海天瑞声 (Haitian Ruisheng) and 同花顺 (Tonghuashun) [38] - Companies that dominate high-frequency usage scenarios, such as 金山办公 (Kingsoft Office) and 东方财富 (Eastmoney), are positioned to benefit significantly from AI integration [40]
计算机行业2026年投资策略:模型迭代驱动、应用突破与算力国产引领行业发展
GF SECURITIES· 2025-12-12 14:48
Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the computer industry is driven by model iteration, application breakthroughs, and domestic computing power leadership, with a buy rating for the sector [2][4][17]. Industry Overview - The AI infrastructure sector is transitioning from "testing and trial" to "large-scale rollout in 2026" for domestic AI chip replacements, with a narrowing gap between domestic and international leading models [8][17][26]. - The AI application sector is categorized into three types of companies: those with recognized benchmark clients but in early stages, those with long-term trends but uncertain timelines, and those leveraging AI with reachable inflection points [8][17][19]. - The EDA and R&D software sector is seeing rapid improvement in domestic product capabilities, with mergers and acquisitions expected to accelerate due to policy support [8][17][21]. - In the intelligent driving and robotics sector, the report suggests focusing on competitive chip tracks, overseas expansion, and new autonomous driving opportunities, recommending global AMR leader Geek+ [8][18][21]. - The report notes that traditional trust and innovation directions are facing funding delays, while the release of HarmonyOS PC in 2025 is seen as a catalyst for business growth and technological upgrades [8][18][21]. - The energy information sector is expected to benefit from stable capital expenditures and market reforms, although policy implementation timelines need to be monitored [8][18][21]. Key Companies - In the AI infrastructure sector, recommended companies include Cambricon, Inspur, and Unisoc, with attention to Sugon [8][19]. - For AI applications, notable companies are Jingtaikong, Rainbowsoft, and Kingdee International, with additional focus on Hancloud and Guangyun Technology [8][19][21]. - In the intelligent driving and robotics sector, key players include Geek+, Black Sesame Intelligence, and Rui Ming Technology, with recommendations to monitor Desay SV and SOTER [8][19][21]. - In the EDA and R&D software sector, companies like GigaDevice, Gexin Electronics, and BGI are highlighted, with attention to Zhongkong Technology and Haocen Software [8][19][21]. - For trust and innovation, recommended companies include Kingsoft and Softcom, with additional focus on Taiji Co. and China Software International [8][19][21]. - In the energy information sector, notable companies are Guoneng Rixin and Longxin Group, with attention to State Grid Information and South Grid Digital [8][19][22].
趋势研判!2025年中国光热发电行业政策、产业链、发展现状、竞争格局及未来展望:行业发展迅猛,技术装备国产化率超过95% [图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-12-12 01:28
上市企业:西子洁能[002534.SZ]、中国电建[601669]、上海电气[601727]、川润股份[002272]、振江股 份[603507]、首航高科(002665)、江苏国信(002608)、东华科技[002140]、冰轮环境[000811]、科远智慧 [002380]、中国能建[601868]、中控技术[688777.SH) 相关企业:浙江可胜技术股份有限公司、中国华能集团有限公司、河南安彩高科股份有限公司、上海电 气亮源光热工程有限公司 关键词:光热发电行业政策、光热发电行业产业链、光热发电行业在建情况、光热发电行业已建情况、 光热发电市场规模、光热发电市场竞争格局、光热发电行业未来展望 内容概要:光热发电作为安全、清洁且兼具调峰电源和储能的双重功能,具有调峰和基础性电源的潜 力,可实现新能源调节、支撑新能源,为电力系统提供更好的长周期调峰能力和转动惯量,是新能源安 全可靠替代传统能源的有效手段。目前,我国已成功掌握塔式、槽式、菲涅尔式等主流光热发电技术, 并建成了全球领先的光热发电全产业链,技术装备国产化率超过95%,关键材料设备实现自主可控。我 国光热发电产业正以超越全球平均水平两倍的速度迅猛 ...
沪指弱势三连阴,机器人板块三连阳后首度回调,机器人ETF基金(159213)收跌1.79%,资金逆势涌入!人形机器人明年迎“量产大考”,怎么看?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 09:28
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a pullback on December 11, with the Shanghai Composite Index showing weakness for three consecutive days. Despite this, the Robot ETF Fund (159213) saw a net subscription of 3 million shares, indicating a capital inflow of over 3.4 million yuan [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Robot ETF Fund (159213) closed down by 1.79%, ending its three-day upward trend. The majority of its constituent stocks also experienced declines, with notable drops including Yuntian Lifei down over 3%, and Stone Technology and Zhongkong Technology down over 2% [1][3]. - The top ten constituent stocks of the Robot ETF Fund showed negative performance, with declines ranging from -0.59% to -3.62% across various sectors, including machinery and computer technology [4]. Group 2: Industry Developments - On December 11, the Beijing Humanoid Robot Innovation Center announced the launch of the first fully autonomous humanoid robot tour guide solution in China, which integrates various advanced capabilities for diverse applications [5]. - TrendForce's report indicated that 2026 will be a pivotal year for the commercialization of humanoid robots, with expected shipments exceeding 50,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of over 700% [5]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Huolong Securities suggested that the humanoid robot sector is entering a critical phase of mass production, recommending active investment in this area. The report highlighted the strengthening logic of the robotics industry, with significant developments from both international and domestic players [6]. - Open Source Securities projected that 2026 will see a surge in the humanoid robot market, driven by major companies entering the field and supportive policies, indicating a favorable investment window [7]. Group 4: Supply Chain and Policy Insights - Tesla's supply chain is becoming clearer, with plans for standardization and mass production of its robots by 2026. This includes a timeline for production milestones and supplier confirmations [8]. - Domestic policies are also fostering rapid advancements in the humanoid robot sector, with significant investments from companies like Xiaomi and Yushun, as well as the establishment of new companies focused on humanoid robot technology [9].
前沿技术成果加速“变现”
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-12-08 03:01
11月25日在天津举办的2025中国石油和化工民营经济高质量发展大会分论坛——石化行业国家级创新平 台科技创新成果交流论坛上,来自多个全国重点实验室的专家学者介绍了微化工、工业人工智能(AI)、 绿色分离技术、高性能新材料制备等创新成果。《中国化工报》记者了解到,面对行业发展的多重压 力,覆盖原料利用、反应工艺、系统集成的全链条技术创新成果正在为行业注入全新动能。 技术协同多点突破:工艺更绿色、更安全 记者从会上了解到,本质安全与绿色低碳依然是创新方向。 清华大学化学工程系党委书记吕阳成介绍了微化工技术——以微结构元件为核心,在微米或亚毫米受限 空间内进行化工过程,减小装置体积以提高安全性和可控性,将实验室成果快速转化为工业生产。 "微化工的核心不是通道大小,而是在微纳尺度上精准控制反应过程,通过强化混合传递,规避相似放 大带来的风险。"吕阳成表示,该团队开发的首套600吨/年重氮盐绝热微反应合成工艺、首套1000吨/年 氯苯绝热硝化微反应工艺,实现了效率提升与能耗降低的双重突破,被应急管理部和中国化学品安全协 会视为危险化工工艺创新的典范。 与吕阳成同属化学工程与低碳技术全国重点实验室的天津大学王志教授介绍 ...
2025企业家博鳌论坛|“十五五”怎么干?企业家这样说!
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-05 14:14
来源:新华网 08:20 问题二:所在的行业有哪些发展新趋势?在培育新质生产力方面,企业有什么布局和举措? 中国盐业集团有限公司党委书记、董事长李耀强提到,行业新趋势及企业布局主要有四方面:一是盐行业历经盐业体制改革后,产业集中度将不断提高,同 时低钠盐成为主流,产品与产业结构的调整将不断深化,中盐将发挥央企排头兵作用,加快兼并重组,引领行业高质量发展;二是盐化工领域,呈现基础产 品国际化、高端产品差异化、产品循环低碳化发展方向,中盐也会加快推进产业优化提升;三是农肥板块迎来重大机遇,粮食安全是国家基本战略,中盐将 在粮食主产区建设高效农肥生产基地,服务国家粮食安全;四是盐穴资源综合利用作为战略新兴产业,经过近年来的培育,"十五五" 期间将迎来黄金发展 时期。 北京石头世纪科技股份有限公司副总裁刘件认为,智能家居行业竞争越来越激烈,主要有三大趋势:一是科技技术应用越来越贴近老百姓需求;二是从室内 智能清洁逐步向室内室外兼顾拓展;三是从家庭To C场景向商用场景同步谋划。石头科技会进一步做强做精智能扫地机、洗地机、洗烘一体机,同时多元拓 展产品,更好服务各类家庭。 中控技术高级副总裁兼COO俞海斌提到,前 30 ...
机器人板块探底回升!大族激光涨超4%,机器人ETF基金(159213)微涨,昨日小幅吸金!美国目光移向机器人板块,有何影响?基金经理火线解读
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 04:22
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows a mixed trend with the aviation sector performing well while the robotics sector experiences fluctuations, influenced by recent developments in humanoid robotics and U.S. policy shifts towards robotics technology [1][5][7]. Robotics Sector Performance - As of 11:30, the Robotics ETF (159213) saw a slight increase of 0.52%, with over 1.7 million yuan flowing into the fund yesterday [1]. - The top components of the Robotics ETF include significant gains from companies like Dazhong Laser, which rose over 4%, while others like Huichuan Technology and iFlytek experienced minor declines [3][4]. U.S. Robotics Policy Developments - The U.S. is shifting focus towards robotics, planning to release an executive order on robotics technology next year, following a five-month acceleration of AI development plans [5][7]. - The U.S. Department of Commerce is actively meeting with robotics CEOs, and a national robotics committee is being proposed, indicating a strong governmental push towards the robotics sector [7]. Impact on Robotics Industry - The entire robotics supply chain is expected to benefit from increased competition and policy support, enhancing the industry's maturity and technological capabilities [8][9]. - Key areas poised for growth include core components, complete machine manufacturers, and application scenarios, with a focus on cost reduction and market expansion [9][10]. Broader Industry Opportunities - The high-end manufacturing sector is anticipated to improve due to advancements in robotics, potentially increasing competitiveness against foreign high-end manufacturing [10]. - The AI and technology supply chains, including algorithms, chips, and sensors, are also expected to see benefits from the growth of the robotics industry [11]. - Long-term, robotics is projected to enhance productivity across various sectors, including daily use, defense, and elder care, indicating a broad demand for robotic solutions [12].
四季度以来私募调研聚焦电子元件等领域
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-04 16:15
Group 1 - The fourth quarter is a critical period for private equity funds to realize performance and capture investment opportunities for the coming year, with research becoming a primary method for exploring new opportunities [1] - As of December 4, a total of 2,280 private equity institutions conducted 13,000 research sessions in the fourth quarter, with sectors like electronic components, medical devices, and integrated circuits being the most popular [1] - Private equity firms are optimistic about the A-share market in 2026 and are actively adjusting their portfolios through research to ensure more rational asset allocation and maximize product returns [2][3] Group 2 - Leading private equity firms are actively conducting research, with several top firms ranking high in the number of sessions, including Guangdong Zhengyuan, Hongyun, and Shanghai Gao Yi, among others [2] - The active research by private equity firms signals a positive outlook on the A-share market and a focus on understanding industry developments and verifying company operations to achieve higher returns [2] - The demand for deep research and precise stock selection is increasing as the market shifts towards performance realization, particularly in the technology sector [3] Group 3 - Technology stocks, particularly in sectors like electronic components, medical devices, and integrated circuits, are favored by private equity firms, with companies like Luxshare Precision and Aibo Medical being researched over 100 times [3][4] - The electronic components sector has seen strong upward momentum this year, benefiting from multiple favorable factors such as AI hardware, semiconductor domestic substitution, and automotive electronics [4] - The focus on sectors with growth potential and profit certainty is expected to help private equity funds achieve excess returns, aligning with their criteria for asset selection [4]
中控技术(688777):从工业 AI 视角再论中控技术的成长性
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-04 11:08
[Table_scodeMsg1] 联合研究丨公司深度丨中控技术(688777.SH) [Table_Title] 从工业 AI 视角再论中控技术的成长性 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 一年前我们发布《中控技术深度:不畏浮云,鼎故革新》,对中控技术的成长之路进行系统性复 盘。一年之后再看中控,环境与公司内部均发生变化:于外部环境,不变的是周期压力延续传 导,但 AI+工业融合愈发深入带来更大的成长空间。于公司自身,变化的是转型带来的业务结 构调整,但"技术为底、战略为翼"的驱动内核始终不变。当前公司正站在新阶段起点、向工 业 AI 的新世界迈进。预计公司 2025-2027 年实现归母净利润 9.1 亿元、11.6 亿元、14.6 亿元, 同比-18.4%、+27.0%、+26.2%,建议重点关注。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 宗建树 赵智勇 曹小敏 SAC:S0490520030004 SAC:S0490517110001 SAC ...
年末回购热度不减 产业龙头公司高频出手
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-03 18:42
Core Viewpoint - The recent trend of share buybacks among leading companies, such as Industrial Fulian, Sanhua Intelligent Control, and Xiaomi Group, reflects a strong commitment to boosting market confidence and indicates management's recognition of the company's intrinsic value [1][2][3] Group 1: Leading Companies' Buyback Activities - Leading companies are actively engaging in share buybacks, characterized by rapid, frequent, and generous actions, serving as a market confidence indicator [1][2] - Industrial Fulian has repurchased 9.32 million shares for approximately 247 million yuan, with a maximum buyback price raised from 19.36 yuan to 75 yuan per share, a 287% increase [2][3] - Sanhua Intelligent Control has repurchased 3.06 million shares for about 106 million yuan, increasing its buyback price cap from 35.75 yuan to 60 yuan per share [3] Group 2: Broader Market Buyback Trends - Other companies are also increasing their buyback efforts, with Midea Group's buyback amount rising from 8.065 billion yuan to 9.465 billion yuan, and BOE Technology's from 704 million yuan to 975 million yuan [5] - China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation completed its buyback of 89.35 million shares for about 500 million yuan, all intended for cancellation to reduce registered capital [5][6] - Companies like DeMaiShi and Baiwei Storage have also raised their buyback price limits significantly, indicating a broader trend of increasing buyback commitments across the market [6]