E (7) 2025 年 11 月 05 日 长六/分堂 相关研究 证券分析师 韩强 A0230518060003 hangiang@swsresearch.com 武雨桐 A0230520090001 wuyt@swsresearch.com 穆少阳 A0230524070009 musy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 法邵炜 A0230124030001 dasw@swsresearch.com 联系人 (8621)23297818× dasw@swsresearch.com 0 我们从业绩表现、盈利能力、营运指标等方面对军工行业 2025 年三季报进行了分析总 结,考虑了如中航成飞等个股报表回溯调整的影响,并通过横向、纵向、静态和动态等 申万宏源研究微信服务号 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 基本面長力释放,确收和利润 将握速 - 国防军工行业 2025 三季报总结 视角阐明了军工行业在边际上仍在发生重要的变化。 从收入利润表现来看：行业整体营收及业绩有待恢复。各板块业绩略有分化，各产业链 ○ 业绩有序传导。2025Q1-Q3,1)军工行业营收及归母净利润同比增速为-1.68%/ ...

截至10月31日，成飞集成股东户数12.11万，较上期减少0.00%；人均流通股2961股，较上期增加 0.00%。2025年1月-9月，成飞集成实现营业收入14.92亿元，同比减少4.67%；归母净利润-3451.47万 元，同比减少34.16%。 分红方面，成飞集成A股上市后累计派现3.39亿元。近三年，累计派现2224.12万元。 今年以来成飞集成已经17次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为9月26日，当日龙虎榜净买入2.67亿 元；买入总计4.10亿元 ，占总成交额比20.46%；卖出总计1.43亿元 ，占总成交额比7.13%。 资料显示，四川成飞集成科技股份有限公司位于四川省成都市青羊区日月大道二段666号附1号，成立日 期2000年12月6日，上市日期2007年12月3日，公司主营业务涉及工模具设计、研制和制造、汽车零部件 生产、航空零部件生产。主营业务收入构成为：工装模具及汽车零部件收入96.63%，航空零部件收入 2.61%，其他零星收入0.76%。 成飞集成所属申万行业为：汽车-汽车零部件-其他汽车零部件。所属概念板块包括：大飞机、央企改 革、锂电池、储能、QFII持股等。 11月5日，成飞集 ...

证券日报网讯成飞集成11月4日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至10月31日，公司股东人数为 121146户。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

Core Insights - Chengfei Integration, established in December 2000 and listed in December 2007, is a significant manufacturer of automotive and aerospace components in China, with strong capabilities in mold design and manufacturing [1] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Chengfei Integration reported revenue of 1.492 billion yuan, ranking 24th among 55 companies in the industry. The top company, Zhongding Holdings, had revenue of 14.555 billion yuan, while the industry average was 2.15 billion yuan [2] - The main business revenue breakdown shows that tooling and automotive parts generated 959 million yuan, accounting for 96.63% of total revenue, while aerospace parts contributed 25.88 million yuan (2.61%) and other income was 7.52 million yuan (0.76%) [2] - The net profit for the same period was -131.068 million yuan, placing the company 48th in the industry. The leading company, Zhongding Holdings, reported a net profit of 1.305 billion yuan, with the industry average at 129 million yuan [2] Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, Chengfei Integration's debt-to-asset ratio was 31.62%, lower than the industry average of 40.56%, and decreased from 37.88% in the previous year [3] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 6.75%, below the industry average of 21.56%, and down from 10.20% in the same period last year [3] Management Compensation - The chairman, Shi Xiaoqing, received a salary of 668,000 yuan in 2024, an increase of 193,400 yuan from 2023 [4] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders increased by 3.07% to 125,100, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per shareholder decreased by 2.98% to 2,866.83 [5] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the second-largest, holding 4.0075 million shares, an increase of 1.3825 million shares from the previous period [5]

Core Insights - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3996.94 points, above the five-day moving average, with a gain of 1.18% [1] - The total trading volume of A-shares reached 23,565.89 billion yuan, indicating active market participation [1] - A total of 605 A-shares have surpassed the five-day moving average, with notable stocks showing significant deviation rates [1] Stock Performance Summary - The top three stocks with the highest deviation rates from the five-day moving average are: - Xianfeng New Material (300163) with a deviation rate of 11.17% and a daily increase of 15.24% [1] - Huazhi Wine (300755) with a deviation rate of 11.00% and a daily increase of 14.23% [1] - Longzhu Technology (920445) with a deviation rate of 10.03% and a daily increase of 13.05% [1] - Other notable stocks include: - Xiangrikui (300111) with a daily increase of 19.97% and a deviation rate of 9.88% [1] - Changshan Pharmaceutical (300255) with a daily increase of 13.61% and a deviation rate of 9.86% [1] - Suzhou Tianmai (301626) with a daily increase of 14.17% and a deviation rate of 9.79% [1] Additional Stock Insights - Stocks with smaller deviation rates that have just crossed the five-day moving average include: - Oppein Home (000739) and Wanma Technology (300124) with minor deviations [1] - The trading activity reflects a diverse range of sectors, indicating potential investment opportunities across various industries [1]

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent adjustments in QFII (Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor) holdings in A-shares as companies disclose their Q3 reports, highlighting a clear trend in foreign investment strategies [1][2]. Group 1: Sovereign Wealth Fund Adjustments - Sovereign wealth funds like the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA) and the Monetary Authority of Macao have shown distinct trading behaviors, with ADIA significantly increasing its holdings in cyclical resource stocks, particularly Baofeng Energy, which now has a market value exceeding 790 million yuan [3][4]. - In contrast, the Monetary Authority of Macao has adopted a more defensive and stable investment strategy, focusing on resource, environmental, and manufacturing sectors, with a total market value of 1.14 billion yuan across six stocks [3][4]. - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority has reduced its holdings in Chengde Lolo, now holding 9.3 million shares, indicating a cautious approach compared to ADIA's aggressive positioning [4]. Group 2: Traditional Foreign Banks' Strategies - Major foreign banks like Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Goldman Sachs have shown a trend towards concentrated investments in high-certainty sectors, with Morgan Stanley holding 42 A-shares valued at 2.874 billion yuan, focusing on electric power equipment and digital infrastructure [5][6]. - Morgan Chase has the largest coverage with 71 A-shares, significantly increasing its stake in China West Electric from 56.82 million shares to 130 million shares, reflecting a strategic shift towards high-potential stocks [5]. - UBS has diversified its holdings across 55 A-shares, emphasizing mid-to-small-cap growth stocks, while Goldman Sachs has concentrated on resource and chemical stocks, indicating varied investment philosophies among these institutions [5][6]. Group 3: Common Holdings Among Foreign Institutions - Several stocks have emerged as "foreign consensus stocks," held by three or more foreign institutions, indicating strong compatibility in valuation, fundamentals, and policy direction [7][8]. - Notable examples include Chengfei Integration, which is held by multiple institutions with a total market value exceeding 132 million yuan, and Innovation Medical, favored by four foreign entities [7][8]. - Other stocks like Lianhuan Pharmaceutical and Xingwang Yuda have also gained traction among foreign investors, showcasing a trend towards core assets in advanced manufacturing, healthcare, TMT, and military materials sectors [8].

Core Insights - Chengfei Integration reported a significant decline in both revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, with revenue decreasing by 12.09% year-on-year and net profit dropping by 2,349.73% [2][3] - The company's cumulative revenue for the first nine months of 2025 also fell by 4.67%, with a net profit decline of 34.16% compared to the same period last year [3][4] Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue was 500,313,672.86 CNY, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -19,593,879.71 CNY [2][4] - For the first nine months of 2025, total revenue reached 1,492,384,376.50 CNY, with a net profit of -34,514,657.10 CNY [3][4] - Basic and diluted earnings per share for Q3 2025 were both -0.0546 CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2,375% [2][4] Balance Sheet Highlights - As of September 30, 2025, total assets amounted to 8,112,859,916.93 CNY, representing a substantial increase of 65.3% from the previous year [4] - Shareholders' equity reached 5,241,337,340.81 CNY, marking a significant rise of 98.01% compared to the end of the previous year [4] Cash Flow Analysis - The net cash flow from operating activities for the first nine months of 2025 was 95,996,469.34 CNY, showing a year-on-year growth of 8.99% [3][4] - Cash payments for the acquisition of fixed assets, intangible assets, and other long-term assets increased by 124.87% year-on-year due to new construction and equipment investments [5][7] Key Changes in Financial Metrics - Accounts receivable increased by 293.81% due to an increase in outstanding bills held by the parent company [7] - Financial expenses decreased by 47.5% due to foreign exchange gains [7] - Investment income rose by 110.57% as a result of profits from the associated company Zhejiang Jiwen [7]

Core Points - Chengfei Integration (002190.SZ) reported a decline in revenue for the first three quarters, totaling 1.492 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.67% [1] - The company experienced a net loss of 34.51 million yuan, with a non-recurring net loss of 34.226 million yuan, resulting in a basic earnings per share of -0.0962 yuan [1]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.492 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 4.67% [1] - The net loss attributable to shareholders of the listed company was 34.5147 million yuan [1] - The net loss attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 34.2261 million yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent release of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and discussions surrounding it have positively impacted the A-share market, particularly in the aerospace and defense sectors, indicating a significant investment opportunity in these industries [1][8]. Market Performance - The A-share market saw all three major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.71% to 3950 points, marking a 10-year high. The Shenzhen Component rose 2.02%, the ChiNext Index increased by 3.57%, and the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index surged by 4.35% [2]. - The aerospace and defense sectors, alongside semiconductor and AI industries, experienced substantial gains, with the aerospace ETF (159227) rising by 2.59% and seeing a trading volume increase of 200% compared to the previous day [2][4]. Investment Trends - The defense and aerospace sectors attracted over 4 billion yuan in net inflows, with the aerospace ETF (159227) seeing a significant increase in its share volume, up by 183.45% year-to-date [8][9]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the goal of becoming a "strong aerospace nation," which is expected to drive substantial growth in the aerospace industry, with an anticipated annual growth rate exceeding 20% during this period [12][9]. Industry Developments - The successful launch of the Long March 5 rocket and the emphasis on technological self-reliance in the recent policy announcements have bolstered market confidence in the aerospace sector [9][12]. - The Chinese military trade is projected to reach 45 billion USD by 2025, with a 30% year-on-year growth, indicating a robust demand for military products and services [14]. Future Outlook - The commercial aerospace market in China is expected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting a market size of 2.3 trillion yuan in 2024 and potentially exceeding 2.5-2.8 trillion yuan in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of over 20% [18][19]. - The upcoming years are anticipated to witness a surge in satellite launches and related services, driven by large-scale satellite constellation projects, which will create a sustained demand for rocket launches and commercial aerospace services [17][19]. Investment Strategy - The aerospace ETF (159227) is highlighted as a viable investment vehicle, providing exposure to both military and commercial aerospace sectors, with a high concentration of key industry players [21][23]. - Historical trends indicate that the aerospace and defense sectors are closely tied to national five-year plans, suggesting that strategic investments in these areas could yield significant returns as policies are implemented and orders are released [20].