Core Insights - The 2025 Beijing International Wind Energy Conference has set ambitious targets for China's wind power capacity, aiming for an annual increase of no less than 120 million kilowatts during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with cumulative installed capacity reaching 1.3 billion kilowatts by 2030 and 5 billion kilowatts by 2060 [1] Group 1: Offshore Wind Power Development - Offshore wind power is recognized as a crucial component in global energy transition, with China's offshore wind energy resources capable of exceeding 2.7 billion kilowatts within 300 kilometers offshore [1] - Challenges in offshore wind development include conflicts over sea usage, the need for improved resource utilization efficiency, high development and operational costs, and the exploration of new wind utilization models [1] - The development of deep-sea wind power faces significant challenges, particularly when water depth exceeds 50 meters and distance from shore exceeds 70 kilometers [1] Group 2: Technological Innovations - Goldwind Technology and Three Gorges Group have successfully installed a floating wind turbine in Beihai, Guangxi, which allows for the development of deep-sea wind resources, reducing project development area and costs [2] - China CRRC showcased a 20-megawatt floating offshore wind turbine, which can generate approximately 3,500 hours of full-load operation annually, saving about 25,000 tons of coal per year [2] - The introduction of a 26-megawatt fixed offshore wind turbine by China CRRC is noted as one of the largest in the world, capable of generating up to 100 million kilowatt-hours of clean energy annually, meeting the annual electricity needs of 55,000 households [2] Group 3: AI and Smart Technologies - Goldwind's new wind turbine products utilize intelligent control modes to optimize electricity generation based on price fluctuations, potentially extending the turbine's lifespan by five years [3] - China CRRC is leveraging artificial intelligence to enhance the efficiency and reliability of its wind turbine products, including cost reduction and lifecycle management through predictive maintenance [3] - The wind power industry is urged to adopt digital and intelligent technologies to drive continuous innovation in renewable energy technology [2][3]

Core Insights - The wind power industry is transitioning from policy-driven growth to market-driven dynamics, marking a critical turning point in its development [1] - The average bidding price for wind turbine manufacturers has been gradually increasing since August 2024, expected to stabilize at 1616 RMB/kW by June 2025 [1] - Goldwind Technology launched its new Ultra series wind power products at the 2025 Beijing International Wind Energy Conference, focusing on optimizing the full lifecycle value of its products [1] Industry Developments - The new Ultra series includes upgraded GWH204-Ultra models and introduces a 10.5MW-11.1MW capacity model, as well as a GWH266-14MW model designed for offshore low wind speed markets [1][2] - The design lifespan of onshore models has been extended to 25 years, while offshore models have been extended to 30 years, leading to increased project returns due to prolonged product lifecycles [2] - The lifespan upgrade is estimated to reduce investment costs by 279-361 RMB per kW, equating to an increase in annual operating hours by 129-206 hours [2] Strategic Collaborations - Goldwind Technology, in collaboration with Jianheng Certification Center, released a white paper on comprehensive solutions for wind power trading scenarios, providing guidance for optimizing project value in a market-oriented electricity trading environment [2] - The company has signed agreements with Datang Ningxia Company and State Power Investment Research Institute to jointly promote innovative demonstration projects, exploring long-lifecycle technology applications and lean operational models [2] Competitive Landscape - The focus of competition in the wind power sector has shifted from equipment pricing to optimizing full lifecycle value, with value competition replacing price competition as the main theme of industry development [2] - The trend of larger wind turbines is slowing, bidding prices are stabilizing, and policy reforms are deepening, indicating a transition from "price competition" to a new phase of "value competition" in the wind power industry [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the launch of the new Ultra series wind power products by Goldwind Technology, focusing on optimizing value throughout the entire lifecycle and transitioning from "power generation" to "value creation" solutions [1][4]. Group 1: Product Innovation - Goldwind Technology introduced the Ultra series, which includes upgraded models such as the GWH204-Ultra with capacities of 10.5MW to 11.1MW and the GWH266-14MW designed for offshore low wind speed markets [4]. - The GWH204-Ultra series improves power generation performance by 2% compared to traditional models, with a 3% increase in generation during high-value trading periods and over 5% improvement in power curve accuracy [4]. - The new models reduce blade manufacturing time by 10%, increase transportation pass rates by 50%, and lower tower weight and lifting costs by 10% and 20%, respectively, leading to a 7% reduction in long-term capital expenditure (CapEx) for customers [4]. Group 2: Market Adaptation - The Ultra series products are equipped with intelligent control systems that enhance project profitability by 2% to 2.5% through optimized generation during high and low electricity price periods [6]. - The integration of wind-solar-storage solutions supports the construction of new power systems, aligning with market-driven changes in the renewable energy sector [6]. Group 3: Longevity and Reliability - The design lifespan of the onshore models has been extended to 25 years, while offshore models now have a lifespan of 30 years, resulting in increased project revenue due to longer product life cycles [9]. - This lifespan extension equates to an increase in annual generation hours by 129 to 206 hours and a reduction in investment costs per kilowatt by 279 to 361 yuan [9]. Group 4: Industry Collaboration - Goldwind Technology, in collaboration with various industry partners, aims to promote innovative demonstration projects and explore the application of long-life technologies and lean operational models [14]. - The company emphasizes the need for the industry to form a new consensus and build alliances to transition from "equipment suppliers" to "asset operators" [14]. Group 5: Value-Based Competition - The introduction of LCOV (Levelized Cost of Value) as a new metric signifies a shift from traditional cost competition to value competition in the wind power sector [3][16]. - Goldwind Technology is committed to driving technological innovation and enhancing service dimensions to create high-value wind power products, moving away from price competition and parameter contests [16].

Core Viewpoint - Goldwind Technology (金风科技) has launched its new Ultra series wind power products, which are expected to enhance its market position and profitability in the coming years [1] Product Launch - Goldwind Technology officially introduced the new Ultra series wind power product matrix on October 21, which covers both onshore and offshore scenarios [1] - The GWH204-Ultra model shows a 2% improvement in power generation performance compared to the same power 242-meter rotor unit, while its power generation is on par with the same power 300-meter rotor unit [1] - The design lifespan of the onshore model has been extended to 25 years, and the offshore model to 30 years [1] Market Outlook - Nomura's report indicates that as a leading global wind turbine manufacturer, Goldwind Technology is expected to benefit from strong order reserves delivery in 2025-2026 [1] - The report highlights a gradual recovery in wind turbine prices and profit margins due to easing market competition and increased contributions from offshore wind and export sales [1] - The company is anticipated to see new growth drivers, including green methanol, contributing positively in the long term [1] - The expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the company's earnings from 2024 to 2027 is projected to be 41% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldwind Technology (02208) has launched a new generation of Ultra series wind power products, which are expected to enhance its market position despite potential short-term stock price declines predicted by Morgan Stanley [1] Group 1: Product Launch - Goldwind Technology has officially introduced the new Ultra series wind power product matrix, which covers both onshore and offshore scenarios [1] - The GWH204-Ultra series model shows a 2% improvement in power generation performance compared to the same power 242-meter rotor unit, with power generation equal to that of the same power 300-meter rotor unit [1] - The design lifespan of the onshore model has been extended to 25 years, while the offshore model's lifespan has been extended to 30 years [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - Morgan Stanley has issued a research strategy indicating a 70% to 80% probability that Goldwind Technology's stock price will decline in the next 15 days [1] - The cancellation of the value-added tax refund could reduce the internal rate of return for wind power operators by 0.5% to 0.6%, as wind turbine prices are expected to face upward pressure [1] - Morgan Stanley noted that Goldwind Technology has accounted for a value-added tax refund of 386 million yuan in 2024 and 112 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [1] - The firm maintains a "market perform" rating on Goldwind Technology, considering the company's increasing exposure to overseas markets and a moderate recovery in gross margins [1]

Group 1 - The stock of Goldwind Technology (02208.HK) rose over 4% in the Hong Kong market, specifically by 4.38%, reaching a price of 13.59 HKD [1] - The trading volume for Goldwind Technology was 136 million HKD at the time of reporting [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldwind Technology (02208) has launched a new generation of Ultra series wind power products, enhancing its market position and expected profitability due to strong order reserves and improved market conditions [1] Group 1: Product Launch - Goldwind Technology has officially introduced the new Ultra series wind power product matrix, which covers both onshore and offshore scenarios [1] - The GWH204-Ultra model shows a 2% improvement in power generation performance compared to the same power 242-meter rotor unit, with power generation equal to that of the 300-meter rotor unit [1] - The design lifespan of the onshore model has been extended to 25 years, while the offshore model's lifespan is now 30 years [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - Nomura's report indicates that Goldwind Technology, as a leading global wind turbine manufacturer, is expected to benefit from strong order reserves delivery in 2025-2026 [1] - The report highlights a gradual recovery in wind turbine prices and profit margins due to easing market competition and increased contributions from offshore wind and export sales [1] - The company is projected to achieve an average annual compound growth rate of 41% in earnings from 2024 to 2027 [1]

Summary of Earnings Preview for China Utilities Sector Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Utilities** sector, specifically highlighting the **Power, Renewables, and Power Grid** industries in the Asia Pacific region - The overall industry view is considered **Attractive** [4][6] Key Insights - **3Q25 Earnings Expectations**: - Continued margin recovery is anticipated for wind component and submarine cable players - Polysilicon earnings may see upside risks - Solar module producers are expected to maintain flat or show mild decline in losses quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) [1][6] - **Coal Prices and Power Tariffs**: - A slight weakening in unit profit is expected due to a small rise in coal prices and a persistently soft power tariff [6][8] - **Sector Performance**: - Wind sector is expected to see a sector-wide gross profit (GP) margin recovery, primarily driven by submarine cables with a favorable product mix in 3Q25 - Wind Turbine Generator (WTG) Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) may experience a more muted recovery [6][8] Company-Specific Highlights - **CGN Power Co., Ltd (1816.HK)**: - On-grid power generation decreased by 3% year-over-year (YoY) in 3Q25 due to longer outage times - Estimated net profit of approximately **Rmb2.6 billion**, down 6% YoY [8][10] - **China Longyuan Power Group (0916.HK)**: - Forecasted net profit of **Rmb937 million** in 3Q25, down from **Rmb1,542 million** in 2Q25 - Net profit for 9M25 expected to be **Rmb4.5 billion**, down 22% YoY [8][10] - **Huaneng Power International Inc. (0902.HK)**: - Estimated net profit of **Rmb4.1 billion**, up approximately 38% YoY but down 5% QoQ - Unit fuel cost expected to decline by **Rmb0.036/kWh** (12% YoY) [8][10] - **Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Co. Ltd. (600522.SS)**: - Forecasted net profit of **Rmb1.03 billion** for 3Q25, up 21.1% YoY and 9.6% QoQ [8][10] - **Goldwind (2208.HK)**: - Expected net profit of **Rmb953 million**, representing a 135.1% YoY increase [10][10] - **Tongwei Co. Ltd. (600438.SS)**: - Forecasted net loss of **Rmb2.2-2.4 billion** in 3Q25, with improvements in polysilicon business due to price rebounds [10][10] - **LONGi Green Energy Technology Co. Ltd. (601012.SS)**: - Expected loss of **Rmb1.0-1.3 billion** in 3Q25, with slight declines in wafer and module shipments [10][10] Additional Observations - **Polysilicon Players**: Potential earnings surprises are anticipated due to increases in shipments and average selling prices (ASP) in 3Q25 [6][8] - **Demand Outlook**: Weaker demand is expected in 4Q25 compared to 3Q25, particularly for solar products [6][8] This summary encapsulates the key points from the earnings preview for the China Utilities sector, highlighting both the overall industry outlook and specific company forecasts.

Industry Overview - As of now, the newly installed wind power capacity in China exceeds 57.84 million kilowatts, with a cumulative installed capacity of 580 million kilowatts, accounting for 15.7% of the national power generation capacity [1] - The wind power installed capacity in China has ranked first in the world for 15 consecutive years and is entering a new era of annual new installations exceeding 10 million kilowatts [1] - In the first eight months of 2025, the national wind power installed capacity reached 58 GW, a year-on-year increase of 72%, with Q3 showing continued growth in both onshore and offshore wind deliveries [1] - From January to September 2025, onshore wind turbine bidding reached 79 GW, a year-on-year increase of 7%, while offshore wind bidding reached 8.3 GW, a year-on-year increase of 9% [1] - The 2025 Beijing International Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition, known as a "barometer" for China's wind power industry, opened on October 20, where the "Beijing Wind Energy Declaration 2.0" was released, aiming for an annual new installed capacity of no less than 12 million kilowatts during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] Company Insights - Longyuan Power (001289) is a listed company under the State Energy Group, rapidly developing its offshore wind power business with multiple large offshore wind farms in Jiangsu and Fujian [2] - Longyuan Power is expected to benefit from VAT tax refund policies, enhancing cash flow and overall performance, having won a bid for a 1 million kilowatt offshore wind power project in Jiangsu, a key project for 2025 [2] - Goldwind Technology (002202) is a leading player in the domestic wind power industry, heavily investing in offshore wind power technology research and product manufacturing [2] - The new policies are anticipated to further promote the offshore wind power market, providing a favorable market environment for Goldwind's offshore wind equipment sales, with projected revenue from self-owned wind farms reaching 10.8 billion RMB in 2024 [2] - In the first half of 2025, Goldwind's new signed orders in the offshore wind market reached 6 GW, and the company secured over 43% of the bidding volume in the 675 MW wind power project by Huadian in October 2025, showcasing its strong competitive edge [2] - Goldwind plans to invest 6 billion RMB in building a zero-carbon wind power industrial base in the Beibu Gulf, further enhancing its competitiveness in the offshore wind market [2] - Goldwind's cumulative delivery of wind power mixed towers has surpassed 3,000 units, serving over 240 wind power projects across 21 provinces, with a cumulative delivery capacity exceeding 15 GW [2]

Core Insights - The 2025 Beijing International Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition highlighted the need for integrated innovation in the wind power sector, emphasizing the transformation of industry advantages into value advantages [2][3] - The "Wind Energy Beijing Declaration 2.0" set ambitious targets for China's wind power capacity, aiming for 1.2 million kilowatts of new installations annually during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a cumulative capacity of 5 billion kilowatts by 2060 [3][6] Industry Trends - The wind power industry is experiencing a rebound in turbine bidding prices, but investment returns are becoming more volatile due to the broader entry of renewable energy into the market [2] - The introduction of AI models in wind turbines is enhancing operational efficiency and revenue generation through predictive analytics and intelligent diagnostics [4][8] Technological Innovations - Companies are focusing on developing "suitable network-type" technologies and smart grids to address the challenges posed by high proportions of renewable energy in the power system [5] - The integration of energy storage solutions with wind power is becoming a key strategy for companies, with products designed to enhance project profitability and operational resilience [7][8] Policy and Market Dynamics - The government is encouraged to improve policies supporting green hydrogen, direct green electricity connections, and zero-carbon parks to foster integrated development in the wind energy sector [6] - The shift towards a power market with increased participation from renewable sources is leading to greater price volatility, necessitating cost control measures for investment firms [3][4]