Financial Performance - The company expects a net loss of 450 million yuan for the fiscal year 2025, compared to a net loss of 465.59 million yuan in the same period last year[2]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be a loss of 480 million yuan, down from a loss of 426.88 million yuan year-over-year[2]. - Basic earnings per share are estimated to be a loss of 1.37 to 1.46 yuan, compared to a loss of 1.42 yuan per share in the previous year[2]. - The financial data in the earnings forecast has not been audited by the accounting firm, but there are no significant discrepancies reported[3]. - The company emphasizes that the earnings forecast is based on preliminary estimates and actual financial data will be disclosed in the 2025 annual report[7]. - The company has not identified any major uncertainties that could affect the accuracy of the earnings forecast[6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has maintained its leading position in battery module shipments despite intensified competition and price pressures in the photovoltaic industry[4]. - International trade protection policies have contributed to a decline in the average sales price and profitability of the company's components[5]. - The company is actively expanding its international market presence and leveraging its global marketing service network and brand advantages[4]. Investment Advisory - Investors are advised to make cautious decisions and be aware of investment risks related to the company's performance[7].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the photovoltaic sector [2][7]. Core Insights - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products, effective from April 1, 2026, marks the end of over a decade of direct fiscal support for photovoltaic exports, potentially leading the industry towards high-quality development [1][2]. - A "window period" is expected to create a surge in export orders and production increases in Q1 2026, improving the performance of companies heavily reliant on exports [2]. - Following the end of the export rebate, overseas pricing for photovoltaic components is anticipated to rise, benefiting leading companies with strong brand and channel advantages [2]. - The cancellation of the rebate is seen as a response to the industry's call to reduce low-price competition, which may accelerate the exit of inefficient production capacities and allow leading firms to gain market share [2]. - Companies with overseas production capabilities and local market presence are expected to benefit from the reduced cost disadvantage of local manufacturing [2]. Summary by Sections Policy Impact - The export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products will be eliminated, transitioning the industry towards a more sustainable growth model [1][2]. Market Dynamics - A surge in orders and production is expected in Q1 2026 due to the impending policy change, similar to previous "rush to install" phenomena [2]. - The end of the rebate is likely to lead to a reevaluation of overseas component prices, with stronger pricing power for top-tier companies [2]. Competitive Landscape - The cancellation of the rebate is anticipated to facilitate the exit of low-efficiency production capacities, allowing leading companies to enhance their market share through technological and brand advantages [2]. - Companies with advanced technologies and cost advantages, such as those focusing on TOPCon/BC technologies and silicon material upgrades, are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [2]. Valuation of Key Companies - A table of key companies with their respective valuations and projected earnings for 2025-2027 is provided, indicating varying levels of profitability and market performance [3].

Investment Rating - The report rates the photovoltaic industry as "Overweight," indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [2]. Core Insights - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products, effective April 1, 2026, marks the end of over a decade of direct fiscal support for photovoltaic exports, potentially leading the industry into a phase of high-quality development [1]. - A "window period" is anticipated, leading to increased overseas orders and production ramp-up in Q1 2026, similar to previous phases of accelerated installations, which is expected to improve the performance of export-oriented photovoltaic companies [2]. - After the policy window closes, overseas component prices are likely to be renegotiated, as China, being the largest exporter of photovoltaic components, will have stronger pricing power due to the cancellation of the rebate, which is expected to lead to price increases [2]. - The cancellation of the export rebate is seen as a response to the call for reducing low-price competition in the photovoltaic industry, which will accelerate the exit of inefficient production capacities and reshape the market landscape [2]. - Companies with overseas production capacity and strong brand/channel advantages are expected to benefit from the narrowing cost disadvantage of local manufacturing, particularly in regions like the Middle East and North Africa [2]. Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Outlook - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate is expected to enhance the industry's quality of development and reduce fiscal funds being transferred to overseas terminals [2]. - The report suggests that leading companies with technological advantages (TOPCon/BC), strong brands, and distribution channels will continue to gain market share [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies with overseas production capabilities, such as Longi Green Energy, JinkoSolar, Trina Solar, and others, which are expected to benefit from the "price adjustment and capacity exit" [2]. - Companies that are advancing new technologies and material upgrades, such as Aiko Solar and Dongfang Risheng, are also highlighted for their potential to enhance product efficiency and pricing power [2]. - Cost-advantaged silicon material companies like Tongwei Co. and Daqo New Energy are recommended for investment consideration [2]. Valuation Table - A valuation table is provided, detailing the estimated net profits and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies in the industry, indicating varying performance expectations for 2025 to 2027 [3].

Core Viewpoint - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products marks the end of the "rebate subsidy era," significantly impacting component manufacturers and potentially leading to a surge in exports before the policy takes effect [1][3][5]. Policy Changes - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced the cancellation of the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products effective April 1, 2026, with a reduction in the rebate rate for battery products from 9% to 6% until the end of 2026 [3][4]. - The announcement includes a list of 249 products related to photovoltaic and 22 battery products affected by the policy change [4]. Industry Impact - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate is expected to have a significant impact on component manufacturers, with predictions of a "rush to export" before the policy takes effect [5][6]. - Major manufacturers such as JinkoSolar, Trina Solar, JA Solar, and LONGi Green Energy reported substantial losses in the first three quarters of 2025, with JinkoSolar's overseas revenue exceeding 60% of its total revenue [5][6]. Market Dynamics - The Chinese Photovoltaic Industry Association indicated that the adjustment of export VAT rebates could help stabilize overseas market prices, which have been declining due to fierce competition [4][10]. - The industry is experiencing a shift from "price competition" to "value competition," as companies will need to focus on technological upgrades and high-value segments to maintain competitiveness [10][11]. Regulatory Environment - Recent meetings involving the China Photovoltaic Industry Association and leading polysilicon companies addressed concerns about monopolistic practices and market regulation, indicating a tightening regulatory environment [8][9]. - The cancellation of export rebates and potential changes in the polysilicon storage plan are seen as part of a broader effort to combat "internal competition" within the industry [10].

可以看出，若不能提高光伏产品价格以弥补出口退税政策调整的影响，光伏厂商业绩或将受到冲击。 据了解，2025年上半年，晶科能源海外业务占比超六成。其表示，公司凭借前瞻性的全球布局战略，不 仅深耕海外传统光伏市场，更敏锐捕捉海外高增长市场，实现2025年上半年逾六成的海外出货。公司在 日本光伏组件市场多年保持出货冠军，在沙特地区的市场份额大幅高于同业，在中东、东南亚、拉美区 域的多个光伏新兴市场实现市占率领跑。2025年上半年，公司在巴基斯坦的组件出货量便已达到2024年 全年的出货水平。 2025年上半年，晶科能源应收出口退税款期末账面价值为9.13亿元。 同期，天合光能境外业务收入为147.67亿元，占营收比例约为48%。2025年上半年，天合光能应收增值 税出口退税期初账面价值为0.21亿元。关于期末账面价值，天合光能并未列明。 晶澳科技境外业务占比同样接近五成。据2025年半年报，其境外业务收入118.42亿元，占比约为 49.54%。2025年上半年，晶澳科技应收出口退税款期初账面价值为0.18亿元，期末账面价值为0.25亿 元。 同期，隆基绿能光伏产品分部中，境外业务收入为123.68亿元，占光伏产品 ...

Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar Technology Co., Ltd. has experienced a decline in stock price and significant financial losses in recent periods, indicating potential challenges in the solar energy sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, JinkoSolar reported a revenue of 36.809 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 32.27% [2]. - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -3.553 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 633.54% [2]. Stock Market Activity - On January 9, JinkoSolar's stock price fell by 2.07%, trading at 11.85 yuan per share with a total market capitalization of 39.22 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has seen a year-to-date increase of 3.49%, with a 4.87% rise over the past 20 days, but a significant decline of 17.13% over the last 60 days [1]. Shareholder Information - The number of shareholders decreased by 17.24% to 147,800, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 20.84% to 22,370 shares [2]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 214 million shares, and other institutional investors with varying changes in their holdings [3]. Dividend History - JinkoSolar has distributed a total of 3.055 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.415 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Business Overview - JinkoSolar, established on October 20, 2000, specializes in the research, production, and sales of silicon wafers, solar cells, and solar modules, as well as the development and operation of solar power plants [1]. - The company's main revenue sources are solar modules (91.10%), other businesses (5.85%), and solar power plant operations (3.05%) [1]. Industry Classification - JinkoSolar is classified under the power equipment sector, specifically in photovoltaic equipment and solar cell modules [1]. - The company is associated with concepts such as monocrystalline silicon, BIPV, TOPCon cells, Xiong'an New Area, and HJT cells [1].

Core Insights - The conference "Smart Leadership, Digital Future | 2025 AI Intelligent Future CIO Summit" was recently held in Beijing, featuring a presentation by Zhang Yizhu, Digital Director of JA Solar Technology Co., Ltd., on "Marketing Digital Transformation Guided by Business Change" [1][13] Industry Context - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing significant changes, facing challenges such as price declines and intensified market competition, leading to a consensus on the need for "transformation" and "change" [4][16] - The market has shifted from a seller's market, characterized by "producing as much as possible," to a buyer's market, necessitating a change in marketing strategies to focus on demand-driven production [4][16] Marketing Digital Transformation Strategy - JA Solar emphasizes a step-by-step approach to marketing digital transformation, advocating for quick wins through opportunity management, production-sales collaboration, customer management, and risk warning systems [3][15] - The company recognizes the urgency of marketing transformation, driven by the need for market insight, precise customer management, and improved collaboration efficiency [5][17] Implementation Framework - The core logic of JA Solar's digital transformation is that "digitalization serves business needs, not the other way around," focusing first on identifying business pain points and setting clear transformation goals [6][18] - The transformation is structured around a dual support system of "architecture + culture," ensuring that digital functions align with specific business scenarios and fostering a culture of proactive participation among employees [6][18] Phased Approach to Transformation - The transformation is divided into five phases, each focusing on a core objective to ensure visible results and build confidence [19][20] - Phase 1: Online opportunity management, improving monitoring efficiency by over 60% [20] - Phase 2: Digital production-sales collaboration, enhancing supply chain response speed by 40% [20] - Phase 3: Precise customer management through a customer classification model [20] - Phase 4: Intelligent risk warning systems, improving contract risk identification accuracy by 80% [20] - Phase 5: Long-term customer management plans to foster win-win partnerships [21] Key Takeaways for Transformation - Successful transformation requires leadership commitment, with the chairman leading the initiative and establishing a cross-departmental change management committee [10][22] - Process optimization must precede digitalization, ensuring that workflows are efficient before being digitized [10][22] - Employees must perceive tangible benefits from the transformation to reduce resistance and foster motivation [10][22] Future Directions - JA Solar aims to enhance "full-link intelligent collaboration" in marketing, leveraging AI to analyze customer interactions and synchronize global market data for informed decision-making [11][23] - The company views marketing digital transformation as an ongoing process rather than a one-time project, striving to maintain a competitive edge in the evolving photovoltaic industry [11][23] Conclusion - JA Solar's marketing digital transformation serves as a valuable example for the industry, emphasizing the importance of aligning business needs with digital tools and fostering a supportive culture to navigate changes effectively [12][24]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is expected to accelerate supply-demand restructuring driven by the "anti-involution" trend, leading to gradual profit recovery by 2026 [1] Group 1: Supply-Demand Restructuring - The "anti-involution" spirit is deeply penetrating the photovoltaic industry, with main chain prices recovering from the top down, and auxiliary material leading companies showing significant profit recovery by Q3 2025 [1] - The rapid development of energy storage, alongside the implementation of grid parity for solar storage in key markets like China, the US, and Europe, is expected to alleviate the impact of increased photovoltaic installations on the grid [1] - The long-term demand outlook is optimistic due to rising computing power needs and breakthroughs in core photovoltaic technologies for space stations, which will open new application scenarios [1] Group 2: Technology Iteration and Profit Recovery - The penetration rate of low-silver and silver-free technologies is expected to rise quickly, with leading companies likely to recover profits faster than the industry average due to rapid cost reduction in component production [2] - The introduction of low-silver solutions by JinkoSolar and silver-free technologies by LONGi Green Energy is highlighted as key developments in this technology iteration [2] Group 3: Auxiliary Material Companies - Auxiliary material companies are expected to accelerate profit recovery through diversified business layouts, as the pressure on the photovoltaic main chain has been ongoing for over three years [3] - Leading companies in auxiliary materials are preparing for a second growth phase, with non-photovoltaic business proportions expected to increase, contributing to revenue and profit reversals [3] Group 4: Beneficiary Analysis - Companies leading in low-silver and silver-free technology iterations, such as LONGi Green Energy, JinkoSolar, Aiko Solar, and Tongwei Co., are expected to benefit from cost advantages [4] - Companies actively integrating energy storage with photovoltaic operations, like Trina Solar, JinkoSolar, LONGi Green Energy, and JA Solar, are likely to see profit recovery [4] - Leading companies in supporting facilities, such as DKE Holdings, Juhua Materials, and Foster, are expected to continue profit recovery through new technology breakthroughs and business expansions [4]

Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar Technology Co., Ltd. has experienced fluctuations in stock performance and significant changes in financial metrics, indicating potential investment opportunities and challenges in the solar energy sector. Group 1: Stock Performance - On January 8, JinkoSolar's stock rose by 2.02%, reaching 12.11 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 204 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.52%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 40.08 billion CNY [1] - Year-to-date, the stock price has increased by 5.76%, with a 4.04% rise over the last five trading days, a 5.67% increase over the last 20 days, but a decline of 12.63% over the last 60 days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, JinkoSolar reported a revenue of 36.809 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 32.27%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -3.553 billion CNY, reflecting a significant year-on-year decline of 633.54% [2] - Cumulatively, JinkoSolar has distributed 3.055 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.415 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [3] Group 3: Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for JinkoSolar was 147,800, a decrease of 17.24% from the previous period, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 20.84% to 22,370 shares [2] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 214 million shares, a decrease of 7.3649 million shares from the previous period, while other notable shareholders have seen varying changes in their holdings [3]

Core Viewpoint - Jingao Technology (002459) announced a guarantee balance of RMB 60.04 billion as of December 31, 2025, which represents 215.22% of the audited net assets attributable to shareholders for the fiscal year 2024 [1] Group 1 - The guarantee amount provided for subsidiaries within the consolidated financial statements is RMB 56.91 billion [1] - The guarantee amount provided for companies outside the consolidated financial statements is RMB 3.13 billion [1] - The company has no overdue guarantees, no guarantees involved in litigation, and no losses due to guarantees resulting in adverse judgments [1]