Core Viewpoint - The silver price has surged significantly, with a nearly 35% increase in one month and close to a doubling over six months, driven by speculative funds and structural supply tightness, impacting both mining companies and manufacturing sectors reliant on silver as a raw material [1][2][12]. Group 1: Silver Price Dynamics - As of December 31, the main silver contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange closed at 17,074 yuan per kilogram, down 4.27% for the day, but the overall upward trend remains intact [1]. - The price of silver has increased by 127% compared to the end of 2024 [1]. - The industrial demand for silver, particularly in the photovoltaic (PV) sector, is a significant driver, with silver usage in PV applications reaching 6,147 tons in 2024, accounting for 29% of industrial silver demand [2][12]. Group 2: Impact on the Photovoltaic Industry - The share of silver in the cost of photovoltaic components has risen sharply from less than 5% before 2024 to around 20% currently due to soaring silver prices [1][11]. - The production of photovoltaic cells and modules has seen growth, with cell production reaching approximately 560 GW and module production at about 514 GW in the first ten months of 2025, reflecting year-on-year increases of 9.8% and 13.5%, respectively [2][12]. Group 3: Cost Transmission Strategies - Many midstream companies are attempting to pass on the increased silver costs to downstream customers through price hikes, with some companies already implementing slight increases in component prices [5][16]. - For example, LONGi Green Energy has raised its component prices by 0.03 to 0.06 yuan per watt [16]. - However, the ability to pass on costs is challenged by a supply-demand imbalance in the downstream market, limiting the extent of price increases [17]. Group 4: Long-term Solutions and Technological Innovations - The industry consensus is shifting towards reducing silver usage through technological innovations, with "silver reduction" and "silver-free" technologies becoming key strategies for overcoming cost pressures [11][18]. - Companies like Dike Co. are developing low-silver and silver-coated copper pastes, which are expected to reduce costs while maintaining performance [18][19]. - The transition to alternative materials, such as copper, faces challenges due to copper's inferior conductivity and susceptibility to oxidation compared to silver [20].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the growth potential in the energy storage sector, driven by the implementation of capacity pricing mechanisms in China and increasing demand for energy storage solutions globally, particularly in the context of AI advancements [7][14][27] - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is expected to see a reversal in profitability due to ongoing technological innovations and regulatory measures aimed at curbing excessive competition [7][14][27] Energy Storage - Large-scale energy storage in China is transitioning towards market-driven models, with the introduction of capacity pricing mechanisms expected to enhance the economic viability of storage projects. The expected installed capacity for energy storage in China is projected to reach 154 GWh in 2025, 254 GWh in 2026, and 337 GWh in 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 40.2%, 65.2%, and 32.5% respectively [7][14][27] - The report highlights that the U.S. is experiencing rapid growth in energy storage demand, particularly driven by data center construction, with an anticipated addition of 13 GW of data centers leading to a storage demand of 10.7 to 25 GWh [7][14][27] - In Europe, the demand for flexible resources is increasing, and the development of large-scale storage is accelerating due to improved business models and subsidies. The report forecasts that global energy storage installations will reach approximately 279 GWh in 2025, 423 GWh in 2026, and 563 GWh in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 44%, 52%, and 33% respectively [7][14][27] Photovoltaic Industry - The report notes that the PV industry is undergoing a "de-involution" process, with regulatory bodies emphasizing the need to address price violations and excessive competition within the sector. This is expected to lead to improved profitability in the downstream component segment of the PV industry by 2026 [7][14][27] - Global PV installations are projected to reach nearly 580 GW in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6%, driven by reasonable capacity limits in various regions [7][14][27] - Technological innovations aimed at reducing costs and increasing efficiency are expected to facilitate a reversal in profitability for the PV sector, with advancements in battery technology playing a crucial role [7][14][27] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in leading companies in the PV sector that are driving N-type technology innovations, such as JinkoSolar, Tongwei Co., Longi Green Energy, and JA Solar. It also suggests focusing on companies benefiting from new technological iterations in auxiliary materials [7][14][27] - In the energy storage sector, it highlights companies with technological leadership and competitive advantages, such as Sungrow Power Supply, Hubei Huadian, Canadian Solar, and Shenghong Technology, while also suggesting attention to firms like Shuneng Electric and Kehua Data [7][14][27]

"A级认证的核心价值在于为市场提供了可靠的筛选机制。"伍德麦肯兹全球光伏供应链负责人Yana Hryshko指出，"在行业整合期，投资者和开发商更需要识别那些具备长期可持续性的合作伙伴。这一评 级体系将帮助市场焦点从价格竞争转向质量与可靠性竞争。" 值得注意的是，所有非中国籍的十大制造商在上半年均保持了盈利，这主要得益于其对高端市场和受保 护区域市场的专注。这一现象表明，在全球化贸易政策收紧的背景下，市场多元化战略正成为企业抵御 风险的关键。 展望2026~2027年，光伏组件行业将进入深度转型阶段，技术升级将成为淘汰落后产能的核心驱动力。 随着TOPCon 3.0和背接触等先进技术的规模化应用，主流组件效率将突破25%门槛，这将加速低效产能 的退出，推动行业向高技术附加值方向演进。 近日，伍德麦肯兹发布2025年上半年全球光伏组件制造商排名，晶澳太阳能与天合光能以91.7和91.6的 综合评分首次并列榜首。这一排名凸显了在行业产能过剩与价格持续下行的背景下，领先企业正通过技 术升级、产能优化与市场多元化构建竞争优势。值得关注的是，尽管前十名制造商占据了全球62%出货 量，但上半年合计净亏损高达22亿美元，反 ...

内容概要：TOPCon是一种基于选择性载流子原理的隧穿氧化层钝化接触的太阳能电池技术，实现更为 良好的钝化效果。相比P型电池，N型电池片凭借更高的转换效率和无光衰、弱光效应好等多重优势， 推动光伏电池从P型电池向N型电池片（包括TOPCon、xBC和HJT电池片）的技术转型，而N型新型电 池技术又以TOPCon和HJT为主要路线。2025年全球TOPCon电池片出货量565.2GW，Xbc电池片出货量 31.6GW，HJT电池片出货量37.2GW；预计2026年全球TOPCon电池片出货量652.7GW，Xbc电池片出货 量42.6GW，HJT电池片出货量50.3GW。随着中国光伏企业不断在N型电池片领域不断加大科技投入， 国内N型TOPCon电池片在中国实现快速增长。2025年中国TOPCon电池片出货量534.6GW，Xbc电池片 出货量28.8GW，HJT电池片出货量35.1GW；预计2026年中国TOPCon电池片出货量609.1GW，Xbc电池 片出货量38.7GW，HJT电池片出货量46.8GW。 上市企业：钧达股份[002865]、捷泰科技[835436]、通威股份[600438]、爱旭股份[6 ...

| 债券代码：127089 | 债券简称：晶澳转债 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码：002459 | 证券简称：晶澳科技 | 公告编号：2025-121 | 晶澳太阳能科技股份有限公司 关于签订募集资金监管协议之补充协议的公告 甲方二：义乌晶澳太阳能科技有限公司、曲靖晶澳太阳能科技有限公司（简 称"甲方二"，与"甲方一"合称"甲方"） 乙方：存放募集资金的商业银行（简称"乙方"） 丙方：中信证券股份有限公司（简称"丙方"） 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 晶澳太阳能科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于2025年7月22日召开 第六届董事会第四十二次会议、第六届监事会第二十三次会议，审议通过了《关 于使用部分闲置募集资金暂时补充流动资金的议案》，为提高公司募集资金使用 效率，进一步降低财务成本，同意公司在确保募集资金投资项目正常实施的前提 下，使用不超过9.30亿元的闲置募集资金暂时补充流动资金，该资金仅限于与主 营业务相关的生产经营使用，使用期限自董事会审议通过之日起不超过12个月， 到期后将及时归还到公司募集资 ...

2020-2025年1-10月中国太阳能电池(光伏电池)产量统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 上市企业：隆基绿能（601012）,通威股份（600438）,阳光电源（300274）,晶澳科技（002459）,天合光 能（688599）,特变电工（600089）,正泰电器（601877）,TCL中环（002129） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国太阳能电池行业竞争现状及投资决策建议报告》 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年10月中国太阳能电池(光伏电池)产量为6794万千瓦，同比下降8.7%； 2025年1-10月中国太阳能电池(光伏电池)累计产量为68840.3万千瓦，累计增长11.6%。 ...

Overview - The report maintains a "stronger than market" rating for the renewable energy sector, highlighting that the demand for offshore wind power in China and Europe is increasing, leading to a rise in foundation demand and profit recovery for wind turbines. The "anti-involution" policy is expected to continue driving the photovoltaic sector, particularly with the expansion of perovskite technology. Overall, while short-term installation demand for renewable energy globally may be weak, there are structural opportunities in the market [1]. Key Points Supporting the Rating - The "anti-involution" trend is stabilizing wind turbine prices, enhancing profitability for manufacturers. China's offshore wind projects are becoming economically viable, contributing significantly to installed capacity. The demand for offshore wind in Europe and emerging markets is also on the rise [3]. - In the photovoltaic sector, the "anti-involution" policy remains the main theme, with a focus on the potential for capacity exits in battery and module production, as well as the industrialization potential of perovskite technology. Investment should prioritize growth-oriented new technology directions and the main industry chain benefiting from the "anti-involution" trend [3]. Investment Recommendations - For wind power, the report suggests prioritizing investments in the turbine segment, which is expected to recover profitability, and in the foundation segment that is progressing quickly in Europe. The offshore wind market is projected to grow significantly, with a focus on deep-sea projects [3]. - In the photovoltaic sector, the report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the "anti-involution" policy's impact on the industry, particularly regarding the exit of inefficient capacity and the enhancement of efficiency in battery and module production [3]. Long-term Outlook for Renewable Energy Demand - The report indicates that China's renewable energy demand is expected to remain robust in the long term, with an average annual installation capacity of over 400GW projected from 2025 to 2035. This is driven by the country's energy security needs and the ongoing transition to a low-carbon economy [13][16]. - The "136 Document" is noted for guiding the development of renewable energy projects towards market-oriented pricing, which is expected to stabilize project returns and promote high-quality development in the sector [31]. Photovoltaic Sector Insights - The report anticipates a moderate decline in photovoltaic installations in 2026 due to a phase of pre-installation in 2025, with projected installations of 290GW in 2025 and 180GW in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 38% [33]. - The report highlights that the European photovoltaic market is facing growth challenges, with a forecasted installation of 64.2GW in 2025, indicating a slight decline. The U.S. market is also expected to experience pressure on growth due to policy adjustments [34][37]. Perovskite Technology Potential - Perovskite technology is identified as a key area for enhancing competitiveness in the photovoltaic manufacturing sector, with expectations for significant breakthroughs in industrialization by leading manufacturers in 2026 [33][44].

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic testing equipment industry is experiencing rapid growth driven by the expansion of photovoltaic cell and module production capacity, leading to increased demand for testing equipment and higher quality standards in production processes [1][3][6]. Industry Overview - Photovoltaic testing equipment is essential for assessing the performance, quality, safety, and reliability of photovoltaic components and systems, playing a crucial role in the development of the photovoltaic industry [3][4]. - The market size of China's photovoltaic testing equipment industry is projected to reach 2.101 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.9% [1][7]. Industry Policies - Recent government policies have been implemented to promote the development of the photovoltaic industry, including guidelines for updating and replacing equipment to improve efficiency standards [4][6]. - The 2024-2025 energy conservation and carbon reduction action plan emphasizes the construction of large-scale photovoltaic bases in desert areas, which will further drive the demand for testing equipment [4][6]. Market Dynamics - The cumulative installed capacity of photovoltaic systems in China increased from 204.2 GW in 2019 to 886.66 GW in 2024, with new installations rising from 30.1 GW to 277.17 GW during the same period [6]. - The rapid growth in installed capacity is expected to lead to increased demand for testing equipment to ensure quality control and operational efficiency [6][10]. Competitive Landscape - The photovoltaic testing equipment market is dominated by a few large manufacturers from Europe, the United States, and Japan, while domestic companies in China are rapidly improving their technology and quality [8][9]. - Key players in the Chinese market include Shanghai Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd., Shenzhen Huashengchang Technology Co., Ltd., and others, with varying performance and revenue trends [8][9]. Development Trends - The industry is moving towards greater automation and intelligence in testing processes, integrating visual defect detection systems to enhance production efficiency and reduce labor costs [10][11]. - As the focus shifts from quantity to quality, there is an increasing demand for high-performance testing equipment, prompting continuous technological innovation within the industry [11]. - Global expansion is accelerating, with Chinese companies establishing production bases in Southeast Asia and the Middle East to meet international market demands and comply with global testing standards [12].

（来源：光伏见闻） 上周，光伏政策的一篇关于组件涨价的文章受到了广泛关注和讨论，大家对于组件这一轮涨势有乐观， 也有质疑。 然而，组件价格的这一轮涨势的确还在蔓延。 上周我们提到，隆基、晶澳作为这轮涨价的第一梯队，首先宣布提价2-4分；这周，又有消息称，天合 涨价5-6分，通威涨价3-4分，正泰涨价5-6分，晶科涨价2分起，TCL中环正在讨论中。 自136号文实施以来，光伏机制电价的下降已经对电站的收益率产生了一定的影响，"本来就算不过 账"让他们对组件涨价的抵触情绪更加浓厚。 都说供需决定价格，但最关键的是白银、铜、铝这些贵金属价格上涨根本不看光伏的需求，即使光伏需 求再弱，它们该涨还是得涨。 7家龙头集体宣布涨价，最措手不及的还是下游电站，他们对这轮涨价的接受度有限。 在这种情况下，除龙头之外的大多数组件厂商都不敢报价，只怕价格一涨，随之而来的就是毁约风险。 刚谈好的合同，第二天打算付款价格就涨了，合同就此作废。 更有电池片供应商称，一周废掉了3个合同，已经涨到停工了。 对于这一轮涨价，各组件厂商给出的理由基本一致：光伏银浆价格飙升，向产业链传导。 12月25日，白银期货已上涨到16.50 元/克，现货上 ...

光伏，苦"内卷"久矣！ 过去四年（2021-2024年），在碳中和东风下，从硅料到组件的光伏主产业链各环节，都陷入了一场扩产竞赛。 只可惜，需求没能跟上扩产的步伐，最终致使产品价格大幅下滑。 据中国光伏行业协会最新统计数据，2025年1月至10月，多晶硅产量约111.3万吨（同比下降29.6%）、硅片产量约567GW（同比下降6.7%），均迎来多年来 首次同比下滑。 硅料价格也从2022年高峰时期的超30万元/吨，一路下跌至2025年中期的每吨3.47万元，跌幅接近90%；硅片、电池片、组件等其它环节价格也纷纷跟跌。 12月22日，白银现货价格持续大幅上涨，再创历史新高。同花顺iFind数据显示，伦敦银现价盘中最高触及69.450美元/盎司，年内涨幅超130%；COMEX白 银同步刷新历史新高，年内涨幅突破120%。 在这样的背景下，行业产能供给矛盾依旧严峻，光伏组件终端需求转弱，开工率继续下降。事实上，大多数光伏企业在2024年就由盈转亏，2025年依旧身陷 亏损。另一方面，当下银价飙升又给光伏行业带来了尤为显著的成本压力。 仅前三季度，通威股份、隆基绿能等如下图八家巨头就共亏损了260.68亿元。 那么， ...