Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is undergoing a structural change in its cost dynamics, with silver paste replacing silicon material as the primary cost variable from 2024 to 2026, significantly impacting the competitive landscape and survival of companies in the sector [1][2]. Cost Structure Changes - In January 2024, silicon material's cost share decreased to approximately 10%-12%, while silver paste's share rose to 10.5%, marking a shift in cost dominance [2]. - By January 2025, silver paste's cost share surged to 14.2%, surpassing silicon material at 11.3%, indicating a reversal in cost structure [3]. - In January 2026, silver paste's share increased to 16%-17%, while silicon material's share fell to 9.9%, solidifying silver paste's dominance in cost structure [4][7]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The global supply of silicon material is projected to exceed demand significantly in 2026, leading to a price drop to around 46,000-53,000 yuan per ton, which is below the cost line for many second and third-tier companies [8]. - The technological maturity in silicon material and wafer production has reached a plateau, limiting further cost reductions [9][10]. Silver's Unique Position - Silver's cost dynamics are driven by industrial demand rather than its traditional roles, with the industrial sector accounting for nearly 60% of silver demand in 2024 [15]. - The photovoltaic sector represents only 25%-30% of global industrial silver demand, indicating that it cannot dictate silver prices [18]. - The supply of silver is largely dependent on the production of other metals, making it less responsive to price changes [19]. Technological Innovations - The industry is witnessing a shift towards silver reduction technologies, with three main approaches emerging: gradual silver reduction, silver-coated copper paste, and copper plating [25][31][36]. - Silver-coated copper paste is expected to become the mainstream solution by 2026, offering significant cost advantages [31]. - Copper plating technology is anticipated to lead the industry by 2027, providing a complete alternative to silver and significantly reducing costs [36][47]. Future Outlook - The silver price is expected to remain high and volatile through 2026-2027, driven by supply-demand imbalances and industrial demand growth [50]. - Companies that can effectively implement silver reduction technologies will gain a competitive edge, as the ability to manage silver costs becomes a critical survival factor [52][53].

| 证券代码：002459 | 证券简称：晶澳科技 | 公告编号：2026-002 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：127089 | 债券简称：晶澳转债 | | 晶澳太阳能科技股份有限公司 关于 2025 年第四季度可转债转股结果暨股份变动公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要内容提示： 本季度转股情况：2025 年第四季度，共计有人民币 63,300 元"晶澳转债" 转换为公司股票，共计转股数量为 5,411 股。 累计转股情况：截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日，累计已有人民币 1,158,300 元 "晶澳转债"转换为公司股票，累计转股数 35,222 股，占"晶澳转债"转股前 公司已发行普通股股份总额的 0.0011%。 未转股可转债情况：截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日，尚未转股的"晶澳转债" 金额为人民币 8,959,149,400 元，占"晶澳转债"发行总量的 99.9871%。 根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管 指引第 15 号——可转换公司债券》的有关规 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The report highlights a structural growth in the global photovoltaic (PV) market, with domestic installations expected to reach 270-300 GW in 2025, driven by a policy-induced rush in installations [1][2] - Emerging markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America are identified as key growth drivers, contributing significantly to global PV growth, with expectations of 570-630 GW of new installations worldwide [1][26] - The report anticipates a shift in the industry focus from scale expansion to efficiency and value creation, influenced by new policies and market dynamics [2][34] Group 2: Demand Analysis - Domestic demand for PV installations in China showed a 39% year-on-year increase, with a total of 252.87 GW installed from January to October 2025 [11][24] - The report notes a significant surge in installations during May 2025, with a record monthly addition of 92.92 GW, driven by new policy announcements [11][24] - Emerging markets are projected to contribute over 223 GW of new installations in 2025, with notable growth in the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Latin America [26][51] Group 3: Supply Dynamics - The report discusses a supply-side cleanup in the PV industry, with policies aimed at curbing low-price competition and tightening energy consumption standards [2][34] - The price of polysilicon has rebounded by nearly 50% since July 2025, indicating a recovery in the supply chain and improved profitability for leading companies [2][34] - Technological advancements, such as bifacial cell technology and perovskite solar cells, are expected to enhance efficiency and drive down costs, benefiting upstream material and equipment manufacturers [2][6] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The report identifies three key investment opportunities within the PV industry: price elasticity recovery, new technology adoption, and the commercialization of perovskite solar cells [6][7] - Companies with cost advantages in various segments of the supply chain are recommended for investment, including GCL-Poly Energy, Tongwei Co., and LONGi Green Energy [6][7] - The commercialization of perovskite technology is highlighted as a significant opportunity, with companies like JinkoSolar and LONGi benefiting from this trend [6][7]

根据公告，截至2025年12月31日，晶澳科技股份回购的具体实施情况如下： 15,404,377股 0.47% 14.236元/股 13.33元/股 217,199,530.71元 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 2026年1月5日，晶澳太阳能科技股份有限公司（以下简称"晶澳科技"或"公司"）发布《关于回购公司股 份进展的公告》，披露截至2025年12月31日，公司股份回购计划已实施部分进展。公告显示，公司通过 深圳证券交易所交易系统以集中竞价交易方式累计回购股份1540.44万股，占当前总股本的0.47%，成交 总金额约2.17亿元，回购价格区间为13.33元/股至14.236元/股。 回购进展：累计购股1540万股，总金额超2.17亿元 上述数据显示，公司此次回购的股份数量为1540.44万股，占总股本比例0.47%；交易价格区间覆盖 13.33元/股至14.236元/股，整体交易均价约为14.09元/股（按总金额除以总股数计算）；累计成交金额 为217,199,530.71元（不含印花税、交易佣金等费用），折合人民币约2.17亿元。 回购方案背景：拟斥资2-4亿元，用于员工激励 回溯公 ...

| 证券代码：002459 | 证券简称：晶澳科技 | 公告编号：2026-001 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：127089 | 债券简称：晶澳转债 | | 晶澳太阳能科技股份有限公司 关于回购公司股份进展的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要内容提示： 截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日，晶澳太阳能科技股份有限公司通过深圳证券交易 所交易系统以集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份 15,404,377 股，占目前公司总股本 的比例为 0.47%，最高成交价为 14.236 元/股，最低成交价为 13.33 元/股，成交 总金额为 217,199,530.71 元（不含印花税、交易佣金等交易费用）。 一、回购股份基本情况 晶澳太阳能科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已于 2025 年 8 月 22 日 召开第六届董事会第四十三次会议，审议通过了《关于回购公司股份方案的议案》， 公司拟使用不低于人民币 2 亿元（含）且不超过人民币 4 亿元（含）的自有资金 及回购专项贷款以集中竞价交易方式回购部分公司发行的人民币 ...

Core Viewpoint - The silver price has surged significantly, with a nearly 35% increase in one month and close to a doubling over six months, driven by speculative funds and structural supply tightness, impacting both mining companies and manufacturing sectors reliant on silver as a raw material [1][2][12]. Group 1: Silver Price Dynamics - As of December 31, the main silver contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange closed at 17,074 yuan per kilogram, down 4.27% for the day, but the overall upward trend remains intact [1]. - The price of silver has increased by 127% compared to the end of 2024 [1]. - The industrial demand for silver, particularly in the photovoltaic (PV) sector, is a significant driver, with silver usage in PV applications reaching 6,147 tons in 2024, accounting for 29% of industrial silver demand [2][12]. Group 2: Impact on the Photovoltaic Industry - The share of silver in the cost of photovoltaic components has risen sharply from less than 5% before 2024 to around 20% currently due to soaring silver prices [1][11]. - The production of photovoltaic cells and modules has seen growth, with cell production reaching approximately 560 GW and module production at about 514 GW in the first ten months of 2025, reflecting year-on-year increases of 9.8% and 13.5%, respectively [2][12]. Group 3: Cost Transmission Strategies - Many midstream companies are attempting to pass on the increased silver costs to downstream customers through price hikes, with some companies already implementing slight increases in component prices [5][16]. - For example, LONGi Green Energy has raised its component prices by 0.03 to 0.06 yuan per watt [16]. - However, the ability to pass on costs is challenged by a supply-demand imbalance in the downstream market, limiting the extent of price increases [17]. Group 4: Long-term Solutions and Technological Innovations - The industry consensus is shifting towards reducing silver usage through technological innovations, with "silver reduction" and "silver-free" technologies becoming key strategies for overcoming cost pressures [11][18]. - Companies like Dike Co. are developing low-silver and silver-coated copper pastes, which are expected to reduce costs while maintaining performance [18][19]. - The transition to alternative materials, such as copper, faces challenges due to copper's inferior conductivity and susceptibility to oxidation compared to silver [20].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the growth potential in the energy storage sector, driven by the implementation of capacity pricing mechanisms in China and increasing demand for energy storage solutions globally, particularly in the context of AI advancements [7][14][27] - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is expected to see a reversal in profitability due to ongoing technological innovations and regulatory measures aimed at curbing excessive competition [7][14][27] Energy Storage - Large-scale energy storage in China is transitioning towards market-driven models, with the introduction of capacity pricing mechanisms expected to enhance the economic viability of storage projects. The expected installed capacity for energy storage in China is projected to reach 154 GWh in 2025, 254 GWh in 2026, and 337 GWh in 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 40.2%, 65.2%, and 32.5% respectively [7][14][27] - The report highlights that the U.S. is experiencing rapid growth in energy storage demand, particularly driven by data center construction, with an anticipated addition of 13 GW of data centers leading to a storage demand of 10.7 to 25 GWh [7][14][27] - In Europe, the demand for flexible resources is increasing, and the development of large-scale storage is accelerating due to improved business models and subsidies. The report forecasts that global energy storage installations will reach approximately 279 GWh in 2025, 423 GWh in 2026, and 563 GWh in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 44%, 52%, and 33% respectively [7][14][27] Photovoltaic Industry - The report notes that the PV industry is undergoing a "de-involution" process, with regulatory bodies emphasizing the need to address price violations and excessive competition within the sector. This is expected to lead to improved profitability in the downstream component segment of the PV industry by 2026 [7][14][27] - Global PV installations are projected to reach nearly 580 GW in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6%, driven by reasonable capacity limits in various regions [7][14][27] - Technological innovations aimed at reducing costs and increasing efficiency are expected to facilitate a reversal in profitability for the PV sector, with advancements in battery technology playing a crucial role [7][14][27] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in leading companies in the PV sector that are driving N-type technology innovations, such as JinkoSolar, Tongwei Co., Longi Green Energy, and JA Solar. It also suggests focusing on companies benefiting from new technological iterations in auxiliary materials [7][14][27] - In the energy storage sector, it highlights companies with technological leadership and competitive advantages, such as Sungrow Power Supply, Hubei Huadian, Canadian Solar, and Shenghong Technology, while also suggesting attention to firms like Shuneng Electric and Kehua Data [7][14][27]

Core Insights - The recent ranking by Wood Mackenzie for the first half of 2025 highlights that JA Solar and Trina Solar are tied for the top position with scores of 91.7 and 91.6 respectively, indicating a competitive advantage through technological upgrades, capacity optimization, and market diversification amidst industry challenges [1][2] - Despite the top ten manufacturers accounting for 62% of global shipments, they collectively faced a net loss of $2.2 billion, showcasing a significant profitability challenge in the context of overcapacity and declining prices [1][2] Industry Performance - The global photovoltaic (PV) module industry is experiencing a stark contrast, with the top ten manufacturers achieving a total shipment of 224 GW, yet suffering a combined net loss of $2.2 billion, indicating that scale alone does not guarantee profitability [1][2] - The average capacity utilization rate for the top ten manufacturers stands at 70%, significantly higher than the 43% average for other manufacturers, with companies like Adani Solar and LONGi Green Energy achieving 100% utilization, reflecting superior operational management [2] New Classification System - Wood Mackenzie has introduced an "A-rated manufacturer" classification to establish new benchmarks for operational excellence and financing capability, shifting the focus from mere shipment volume to adherence to strict global procurement standards [2] - A total of 29 manufacturers from nine countries have been included in the A-rated list for the first half of 2025, providing downstream developers and asset owners with a clear risk mitigation tool [2] Market Trends - Non-Chinese manufacturers in the top ten maintained profitability in the first half of the year, primarily due to their focus on high-end and protected market segments, indicating that market diversification strategies are crucial for risk management in tightening global trade policies [2] - Looking ahead to 2026-2027, the PV module industry is expected to undergo a deep transformation, with technological upgrades driving the exit of inefficient capacities, as advanced technologies like TOPCon 3.0 and back-contact cells are expected to push mainstream module efficiency beyond the 25% threshold [3]

Core Viewpoint - The N-type TOPCon solar cell technology is rapidly evolving, with significant growth in production and market share expected in the coming years, driven by its advantages over P-type cells and increasing investments from Chinese photovoltaic companies [1][4]. Group 1: Industry Overview - TOPCon cells utilize a tunneling oxide passivated contact structure, enhancing charge transport and energy conversion efficiency compared to traditional P-type cells [2][4]. - The global shipment volume for TOPCon cells is projected to reach 565.2 GW in 2025 and 652.7 GW in 2026, with significant growth also expected for Xbc and HJT cells [1][4][6]. - In China, TOPCon cell shipments are anticipated to grow from 534.6 GW in 2025 to 609.1 GW in 2026, reflecting a strong domestic market for N-type technology [1][6]. Group 2: Technological Advantages - TOPCon cells offer higher conversion efficiency, better performance in low-light conditions, and reduced degradation compared to P-type cells [3][4]. - The production process for TOPCon cells involves additional steps compared to PERC, but it results in lower costs and higher potential for premium pricing [3][4]. Group 3: Industry Development History - The development of TOPCon technology can be categorized into four phases: initial technology formation (2015-2017), product layout (2018-2020), commercial promotion (2021-2022), and explosive growth (2023-present) [8]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Major companies in the N-type TOPCon sector include JinkoSolar, Tongwei, JA Solar, Trina Solar, and others, all of which have begun large-scale production of N-type TOPCon cells [10][11]. - Yingfa Energy is recognized as a leading manufacturer with a significant market share, achieving a production capacity of 32.7 GW and a revenue of 35.4 billion yuan from N-type TOPCon cells in 2024 [10][11]. Group 5: Future Trends - The N-type technology is expected to dominate the market, with increasing penetration rates and a shift towards cost reduction and diverse application scenarios [14]. - The industry is likely to see accelerated technological breakthroughs and a concentration of production capacity as it moves towards a clearing phase [14].

| 债券代码：127089 | 债券简称：晶澳转债 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码：002459 | 证券简称：晶澳科技 | 公告编号：2025-121 | 晶澳太阳能科技股份有限公司 关于签订募集资金监管协议之补充协议的公告 甲方二：义乌晶澳太阳能科技有限公司、曲靖晶澳太阳能科技有限公司（简 称"甲方二"，与"甲方一"合称"甲方"） 乙方：存放募集资金的商业银行（简称"乙方"） 丙方：中信证券股份有限公司（简称"丙方"） 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 晶澳太阳能科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于2025年7月22日召开 第六届董事会第四十二次会议、第六届监事会第二十三次会议，审议通过了《关 于使用部分闲置募集资金暂时补充流动资金的议案》，为提高公司募集资金使用 效率，进一步降低财务成本，同意公司在确保募集资金投资项目正常实施的前提 下，使用不超过9.30亿元的闲置募集资金暂时补充流动资金，该资金仅限于与主 营业务相关的生产经营使用，使用期限自董事会审议通过之日起不超过12个月， 到期后将及时归还到公司募集资 ...