Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the technology sector, particularly focusing on AI computing infrastructure and end-side AI innovations [1][24]. Core Insights - The global technology industry is expected to experience a dual trend of differentiated terminal demand and accelerated AI innovation by 2026, driven by rapid iterations of AI large models [1][24]. - The report highlights two main investment themes: 1) AI computing infrastructure, where VR/ASIC architecture upgrades will drive growth in ODM and component suppliers; 2) End-side AI innovations, particularly in AI smartphones, PCs, and glasses, with companies like Luxshare Precision, Hontai Precision, BYD Electronics, Sunny Optical, AAC Technologies, and Xiaomi Group being key players [1][24]. Summary by Sections Server Market - The global server market is projected to be dominated by AI infrastructure investments, with AI server shipments expected to grow by 50% year-on-year to 2.32 million units in 2026 [2][25]. - The market will see a "GPU/ASIC dual-drive" pattern, with VR/ASIC architecture reshaping value and driving demand for connectors, cables, and power supply components [2][25]. Smartphone Market - Global smartphone shipments are anticipated to decline by 5% year-on-year to 1.18 billion units in 2026, primarily affecting low-end models due to macro uncertainties and rising storage costs [2][25]. - However, the high-end market remains resilient, with Apple expected to launch innovative products, including the first foldable iPhone and AI-driven devices [2][25]. AR/VR Market - The report forecasts that global AI glasses shipments will exceed 10 million units by 2026, marking a significant growth in the wearable technology sector [2][25]. - Major tech companies are accelerating their investments in AR/VR, with advancements in optical technologies expected to unlock further potential in the coming years [2][25]. PC and Automotive Electronics - The global PC market is expected to face challenges, with a projected 2% decline in shipments to 275 million units in 2026, influenced by the end of the Windows 11 upgrade cycle and rising storage costs [2][25]. - AI PCs are expected to penetrate the market significantly, with projections indicating that they will account for over 50% of shipments by 2026 [2][25]. Memory Price Impact - The report discusses the impact of rising memory prices on the technology supply chain, predicting that short-term pressures will affect mid-to-low-end consumer markets while high-end products may buffer the cost increases [27][30].

Group 1 - As of December 10, 2023, 22 A-share listed companies have announced their performance forecasts for 2025, with 13 companies expecting positive results, accounting for 59.09% [1] - The semiconductor, consumer electronics, pharmaceutical and biotechnology, and machinery equipment sectors are showing strong performance among the listed companies [1] - Companies with a net profit increase of over 10% are 9, while 5 companies expect an increase of over 20%, with the top three being Bai'ao Saitou, Hongyuan Co., and Luxshare Precision, expecting increases of 303.57%, 30.30%, and 28.59% respectively [1][2] Group 2 - 12 companies are forecasting annual net profits exceeding 100 million yuan, with 5 companies exceeding 500 million yuan, and 3 companies exceeding 1.5 billion yuan, led by Luxshare Precision with a projected net profit of 17.186 billion yuan [2] - Bai'ao Saitou anticipates a net profit of approximately 135.37 million yuan for 2025, representing a 303.57% increase from the previous year, driven by overseas market expansion and strong R&D capabilities [2] Group 3 - As the year-end approaches, the market is expected to focus on annual report performance, with recommendations to pay attention to high-performing leading companies [3] - Investors are advised to explore sectors such as banking, non-bank finance, state-owned enterprise reform, and consumption while avoiding companies with poor or no performance [3] - High-growth companies in the annual report season are likely to attract market interest, particularly in sectors like artificial intelligence, semiconductor chips, robotics, innovative pharmaceuticals, and new energy [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing interest of institutions in the TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) industry chain, particularly in the context of the accelerating application of artificial intelligence (AI) and the evolving competitive landscape in AI technology [1][4]. Group 1: Institutional Research Focus - As the fourth quarter begins, there is a noticeable increase in institutional research activity, particularly in the electronic, semiconductor, and smart terminal sectors [1]. - Companies such as Luxshare Precision, GigaDevice, Huaqin Technology, and Lens Technology have held meetings that attracted significant participation from public funds, insurance asset management, and foreign institutions [2][3]. - Luxshare Precision's meeting on November 20 attracted 396 institutions, making it one of the most attended electronic companies in the fourth quarter [2]. - GigaDevice's online meeting on October 28 drew 276 institutions, indicating strong interest from major public funds [2]. Group 2: Global Technology Evolution - The rapid evolution of AI technology and competition in overseas markets is providing new dimensions for market sentiment in the fourth quarter [4]. - Google's recent launch of the AI model Gemini 3 reflects its commitment to accelerating AI technology commercialization [4][5]. - The competitive landscape is becoming more complex for companies like NVIDIA, which may lead to lower computing costs and accelerated technological innovation across the AI industry [5]. Group 3: Market Outlook and Opportunities - The diversified competitive landscape in the AI computing market is expected to drive demand growth and technological upgrades across the entire industry chain, including specialized chip design and advanced packaging [5]. - Despite recent volatility in the computing sector, there is optimism regarding the sustained demand driven by AI applications, suggesting that current adjustments may present investment opportunities [5].

Group 1 - The 3C supply chain is benefiting from the cyclical recovery of its industry and the accelerated penetration of AI at the edge, presenting growth opportunities [1] - The 3C supply chain's specialized manufacturing model of "components-modules-finished products" is well-suited for the mass production phase of humanoid robots [1] - Companies like Luxshare Precision and Lens Technology are leveraging their experience in the 3C sector to expand into humanoid robotics, focusing on module and finished product manufacturing [1] Group 2 - The 3C terminal market, represented by smartphones, is entering a recovery cycle, providing a foundation for industry growth [2] - Major tech companies are accelerating the deployment of AI at the edge, which is expected to drive a new replacement cycle for terminal products [2] - Companies like Apple, Google, and ByteDance are competing to enhance their mobile devices with AI capabilities, which could lead to significant growth in the 3C industry [2]

西部证券指出，新人群、新场景、新渠道正成为内需的长期结构性推手，其中"Z世代"与"新中产"对智 能科技消费等情绪价值类高复购产品具有较强带动作用。同时，出海已成为2-3年的时代景气主题，优 质中国消费品牌在海外市场的供给替代趋势不可逆转，在估值具备安全边际时值得配置。 消息面上，市场调查机构CounterPoint Research发布报告称，受智能手机季节性需求强劲、显示器市场 爆发推动，2025年第三季度全球OLED面板出货量环比增长14%，同比增长5%。 消费电子ETF(561600)，场外联接(平安中证消费电子主题ETF发起式联接A：015894；平安中证消费电 子主题ETF发起式联接C：015895；平安中证消费电子主题ETF发起式联接E：024557)。 数据来源：wind 风险提示：基金有风险，投资需谨慎。基金管理人承诺以诚实信用、勤勉尽责的原则管理和运用基金资 产，但不保证本基金一定盈利，也不保证最低收益。基金管理人提醒投资人基金投资的"买者自负"原 则，在做出投资决策后，基金运营状况与基金净值变化引致的投资风险，由投资人自行负担。基金的过 往业绩及其净值高低并不预示其未来业绩表现，基金管理人 ...

每经AI快讯，12月10日，苹果概念股走低，工业富联跌超5%，鹏鼎控股、立讯精密、环旭电子等跟 跌。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Core Viewpoint - A total of 16 companies have announced their performance forecasts for the year 2025, with 12 companies expecting profit increases and 2 companies anticipating profit declines [1] Performance Forecast Summary - **Profit Increase Companies**: - N Baiao (688796): Expected profit increase of 303.57% [1] - C Moore (688795): Expected loss reduction of 41.36% [1] - Luxshare Precision (002475): Expected profit increase of 26.09% [1] - Hongyuan (920018): Expected profit increase of 21.42% [1] - Aomei (920080): Expected profit increase of 16.44% [1] - Nant (920124): Expected profit increase of 13.02% [1] - China Uranium Industry (001280): Expected profit increase of 11.42% [1] - Taikai Ying (920020): Expected profit increase of 10.44% [1] - Danna Biotech (920009): Expected profit increase of 8.92% [1] - Xintong Electronics (001388): Expected profit increase of 5.40% [1] - Jingchuang Electric (920035): Expected profit increase of 5.00% [1] - New Henghui (301678): Expected profit increase of 4.66% [1] - Nansoft Digital (301638): Expected profit increase of 2.76% [1] - **Profit Steady and Decline Companies**: - Hai'an Group (001233): Expected steady profit with a change of 0.14% [1] - Zhongcheng Consulting (920003): Expected profit decline of -4.14% [1] - Jinhua New Materials (920015): Expected profit decline of -5.47% [1]

每经AI快讯，12月10日，消费电子代工指数盘中震荡下挫，工业富联跌超5%，立讯精密、歌尔股份、 领益智造、环旭电子跌幅分别为2.95%、2.79%、2.35%、2.28%。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

科技竞赛打开估值上限——多行业联合人工智能 12 月报 20251209 摘要 2026 年端侧增长预计稳健，主要由苹果链和机器人链构成，苹果链受 益于折叠屏和新品，增长强劲，估值偏低，更具优势。关注立讯精密、 水晶光电等消费电子制造公司。 科创短期关注 2026 年业绩能否支撑现有估值，中长期结合康波周期和 中美科技竞赛判断。国内科创板块整体估值仍有上行空间，重点关注集 成电路、工业母机等领域。 Meta 的 AI 眼镜预计 2026 年出货量达 2000 万台以上，推荐关注歌尔 股份和水晶光电。OpenAI 收购 iO 公司后计划推出硬件产品，供应链值 得关注，包括立讯精密、信维通信等环节。 AI 竞争进入强推理和原生多模态阶段，kimi K2 thinking 模型在推理速 度和工具使用能力上大幅提升，训练成本远低于 OpenAI，定价策略也 更具优势。 Gemini 3 在数学、Agent 等领域为全球开源社区提供了全新标杆，实 现了学习构建和规划的突破，并在 LiveCode Bench Pro 测试中表现优 异。 Q&A 当前中美科技竞赛对 AI 板块估值有何影响？未来 AI 产业链的增长趋势如何 ...

Key Points - The article discusses various significant events and developments in the tech and automotive industries, including corporate restructuring, product launches, and regulatory actions. Group 1: Corporate Developments - Blue Zhanfei responded to allegations of staging his kidnapping in South Africa, detailing the traumatic experience he faced during the incident [4][5]. - The U.S. government approved the sale of NVIDIA's H200 AI chips to China, imposing a 25% fee on each chip sold, which is seen as a compromise to allow sales of less advanced technology [6][7]. - Alibaba established a new consumer-facing business unit, Qianwen, aiming to create a super app that integrates various services and AI capabilities [8]. - Xiaomi underwent significant personnel changes in its Chinese operations, with leadership adjustments aimed at improving performance amid declining sales in key product categories [9][10]. Group 2: Product Launches and Innovations - Xiaomi plans to launch three new vehicle models by 2026, targeting different consumer needs, including a large SUV and a luxury sedan [14][15]. - Tencent's OVBU unit has established a new technology department to enhance its video content production capabilities, focusing on AI integration [16]. - Galaxy General Robotics, a leading company in the embodiment intelligence sector, denied rumors of an upcoming IPO while announcing a valuation of 17 billion yuan [17]. - Cloud Deep Technology completed over 500 million yuan in Series C financing, with plans for an IPO on the horizon [18]. Group 3: Regulatory and Market Actions - The EU imposed a €120 million fine on X (formerly Twitter) for violating transparency obligations under the Digital Services Act [34][35]. - The EU has initiated an antitrust investigation into Google regarding its use of online content for AI training without proper authorization [42][43]. - SoftBank and NVIDIA are in talks for a significant investment in Skild AI, which could elevate its valuation to $14 billion [44][45].