Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2][3] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the construction PMI has improved, indicating a potential recovery in the industry, driven by government policies aimed at enhancing product quality and regulating competition [3][11] - The report suggests that while the overall industry remains weak, regional investments may gain traction as national strategic layouts deepen, presenting opportunities for growth [3][11] Industry Performance - The construction sector saw a weekly increase of +0.63%, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index (+1.40%) and the Shenzhen Component Index (+1.25%) [4][5] - The best-performing sub-industries for the week were infrastructure private enterprises (+3.19%), steel structures (+2.85%), and ecological landscaping (+2.46%) [5][9] - Year-to-date, the top three performing sub-industries are ecological landscaping (+21.25%), infrastructure private enterprises (+16.54%), and decorative curtain walls (+13.15%) [5][9] Key Company Developments - China Railway won a contract for the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway project, with a total contract value of approximately RMB 5.343 billion, accounting for 0.462% of its 2024 revenue [13][14] - China Railway Construction also secured a contract for the same railway project, valued at approximately RMB 3.781 billion, representing 0.354% of its 2024 revenue [13][14] - Other notable companies include Sichuan Road and Bridge, which signed a contract worth approximately RMB 11.596 billion, accounting for 16.25% of its 2024 revenue [14][15] Stock Performance - The top five stocks by weekly increase were Chengbang Co. (+42.23%), Hangzhou Landscaping (+31.16%), Hopson Development (+21.35%), Hui Green Ecology (+15.65%), and New City (+10.98%) [9][10] - Conversely, the five stocks with the largest declines were Zhengping Co. (-18.28%), ST Yuancheng (-9.82%), ST Nongshang (-6.22%), Northern International (-5.71%), and Hanjia Design (-5.46%) [9][10] Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI for June was reported at 49.7%, a 0.2 percentage point increase from the previous month, indicating continued improvement in manufacturing sentiment [11][12] - The non-manufacturing PMI was at 50.5%, also up by 0.2 percentage points, while the construction business activity index rose to 52.8%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points [11][12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (Maintain)" [5] Core Views - The report suggests that under the "anti-involution" policy, steel prices are expected to stabilize and recover, which will benefit Honglu Steel Structure as a leading player in steel structure processing. The government has emphasized the need for supply-side structural reforms, and recent policies aim to eliminate low-price competition and promote product quality [1][14]. - Historical data indicates a strong positive correlation between steel prices and the profitability and stock price of Honglu Steel Structure. The company's gross margin tends to decline faster than procurement costs during periods of falling steel prices, while it improves more rapidly during price increases [2][19]. - The report estimates that for every 1% fluctuation in annual steel prices, the net profit per ton for Honglu Steel Structure changes by approximately 5 yuan. A 10% increase in steel prices could lead to a 46% growth in the company's net profit for 2024 [3][24]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Honglu Steel Structure is positioned to benefit from the anticipated stabilization and recovery of steel prices due to supply-side reforms and the "anti-involution" policy [1][14]. Financial Performance - The company’s inventory of steel materials is valued at 4.7 billion yuan as of the end of 2024, which could be revalued positively if steel prices rise [1][19]. - The report forecasts the company's net profit for 2025-2027 to be 8.7 billion, 10.4 billion, and 12.5 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 13%, 20%, and 20% [9][28]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the steel industry has been facing supply-demand imbalances, with crude steel production remaining around 1 billion tons since 2021, while apparent consumption has been declining [1][14]. - The government has prioritized the reduction of crude steel production and the restructuring of the steel industry as part of traditional industry upgrades [1][14]. Operational Efficiency - The company has invested in nearly 2,000 welding robots by the end of 2024, with plans to expand this to 6,000 robots, potentially saving 400 million yuan annually [4][27]. - The deployment of welding robots is expected to enhance production efficiency and reduce costs significantly, contributing to the company's profitability [4][27]. Valuation - The current market valuation corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 5.1 times based on projected net profit of 2.4 billion yuan for 2024, indicating that the stock is undervalued [9][28].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [11]. Core Viewpoints - The recent expectations of anti-involution in the steel industry have increased, leading to a rebound in steel prices. The government is focusing on promoting a unified national market and addressing low-price competition, which is expected to alleviate downward pressure on steel prices and help industry profits return to reasonable levels [12][13]. - The company's profitability is closely tied to steel prices, with a pricing model based on steel prices plus processing fees. If steel prices stabilize and recover, the company's profitability per ton is expected to gradually improve [12][13]. - The company has made positive changes in sales and automation this year, achieving a year-on-year increase in orders through strategic adjustments and increased investment in intelligent manufacturing equipment [12][13]. - The company currently has a safety margin, and under conservative assumptions, its market value may represent a safe bottom. With the potential for mid-term improvements from automation and a recovery in steel prices, the company is seen as a high-performance and high-odds investment opportunity [12][13]. Summary by Sections Company Basic Data - Current stock price is 17.65 CNY, with a total share capital of 69,001 million shares and a net asset per share of 13.71 CNY. The highest and lowest prices in the last 12 months were 21.50 CNY and 10.68 CNY respectively [11]. Financial Projections - Projected total revenue for 2025 is 25,247 million CNY, with a gross profit of 2,688 million CNY, maintaining a gross margin of approximately 11% [17]. - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 930 million CNY, with earnings per share (EPS) projected to be 1.35 CNY [17]. - The company is expected to see a significant increase in cash flow from operating activities, projected at 1,064 million CNY for 2025 [17].

| 证券代码：002541 | 证券简称：鸿路钢构 公告编号：2025-041 | | --- | --- | | 债券代码：128134 | 债券简称：鸿路转债 | 安徽鸿路钢结构（集团）股份有限公司 2025 年第二季度可转换公司债券转股情况的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： | 证券代码：002541 | | | 证券简称：鸿路钢构 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：128134 | | | 债券简称：鸿路转债 | | | | | | | | | 转股价格：人民币 | | 32.08 | 元/股 | | | | | | | | | 转股期限：2021 | 年 | 4 月 | 15 | 日至 | 2026 | 年 | 10 | 月 | 8 | 日 | 根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》《深圳证券交易所可转换公司债券业 务实施细则》《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 15 号— ...

Metal Sector - China Hongqiao's net profit forecast for 2024 is CNY 223.72 billion, with a PE ratio of 6.78[12] - Luoyang Molybdenum's net profit forecast for 2025 is CNY 167.43 billion, with a PE ratio of 10.42[12] Building Materials Sector - China National Materials' net profit forecast for 2025 is CNY 18.54 billion, with a PE ratio of 16.65[12] - Keda Manufacturing's net profit forecast for 2025 is CNY 17.24 billion, with a PE ratio of 10.82[12] - Three Trees' revenue compound growth rate from 2015 to 2018 was approximately 33%[40] Transportation Sector - SF Holding's net profit forecast for 2025 is CNY 117.44 billion, with a PE ratio of 20.58[12] - The company has seen a significant increase in daily package handling, reaching an average of 166 packages per courier in 2024[56] Chemical Sector - Yara International's net profit forecast for 2025 is CNY 22.52 billion, with a PE ratio of 12.30[12] - Ba Tian's net profit forecast for 2025 is CNY 12.84 billion, with a PE ratio of 7.59[12] Financial Performance - The overall net profit for Keda Manufacturing is projected to reach CNY 19.0 billion by 2026, with a significant increase in overseas revenue contributing to growth[31]

Group 1: Company Management and Operations - The company has developed a replicable information management system to ensure product quality and timely project execution, essential for multi-base production [2] - The information system is centered around a "project management platform" that integrates with OA, HR, and NC systems, enhancing work efficiency and reducing costs [2] - The company has established unified management systems for evaluation, logs, production scheduling, and material allocation [2] Group 2: Product Development and Sales - The self-developed welding industrial robots are primarily used internally, with limited external sales; future sales will depend on business development and application [3] - The company's products are widely used in various sectors, including industrial plants, large venues, airports, train stations, and bridges, with recent orders mainly in the industrial plant category [4] Group 3: Smart Manufacturing and Future Prospects - The company is continuously enhancing its smart manufacturing capabilities, which may not show immediate benefits but are expected to significantly improve product quality and reduce production costs in the long term [5] - The company has seen gradual growth in indirect export business and is considering expanding overseas based on market conditions [6] Group 4: Order Status and Financial Instruments - The company is currently operating normally with a saturated order book, and stakeholders are encouraged to monitor company announcements for updates [7] - The company is focused on improving performance regarding the issuance of CNY 1.88 billion convertible bonds and will provide updates through official announcements [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company announced the resumption of the conversion of its convertible bonds, "Honglu Convertible Bonds," after a temporary suspension due to the implementation of the 2024 annual equity distribution plan [1][2]. Group 1: Bond Details - Bond code: 128134 - Bond name: Honglu Convertible Bonds - Conversion period: April 15, 2021, to October 8, 2026 - Temporary suspension of conversion: June 13, 2025, to June 19, 2025 - Resumption of conversion: Starting June 20, 2025 [1][2]. Group 2: Company Actions - The company implemented a temporary suspension of bond conversion in accordance with the relevant provisions in the prospectus regarding the adjustment of conversion prices due to the equity distribution [1]. - The company has ensured that the information disclosed is true, accurate, and complete, with no false records or misleading statements [1].

特别提示： 债券代码：128134 债券简称：鸿路转债 转股起止时间：2021 年 4 月 15 日至 2026 年 10 月 8 日 暂停转股时间：2025 年 6 月 13 日至 2025 年 6 月 19 日 恢复转股时间：自 2025 年 6 月 20 日起恢复转股 | 证券代码：002541 | 证券简称：鸿路钢构 | 公告编号:2025-040 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码:128134 | 债券简称:鸿路转债 | | 安徽鸿路钢结构（集团）股份有限公司 关于"鸿路转债"恢复转股的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 安徽鸿路钢结构（集团）股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）因实施 2024 年度权益分派方案，根据《安徽鸿路钢结构（集团）股份有限公司公开发行可转 换公司债券募集说明书》中"转股价格的调整方法及计算公式"相关条款的规定， 公司可转换公司债券（债券简称：鸿路转债；债券代码：128134）于 2025 年 6 月 13 日起暂停转股。具体内容详见公司于 2024 年 6 月 11 日刊登在《证券时报 ...

Core Viewpoint - Anhui Honglu Steel Structure (Group) Co., Ltd. announced its 2024 annual profit distribution plan, which includes a cash dividend of 3.60 RMB per 10 shares, totaling approximately 247.45 million RMB, with adjustments made for shares held in the company's repurchase account [2][3][19]. Summary by Sections Profit Distribution Plan - The company will distribute a cash dividend of 3.60 RMB per 10 shares to all shareholders, based on a total share capital of 690,013,309 shares, excluding 2,650,000 shares held in the repurchase account, resulting in a participating share capital of 687,363,309 shares [2][3][19]. - The total cash dividend amount is 247,450,791.24 RMB, and no stock dividends or capital reserve transfers will occur this year [3][6][19]. Ex-Dividend Price Adjustment - The ex-dividend price will be calculated as the closing price on the record date minus 0.3586174 RMB per share, reflecting the cash dividend distribution [3][11][19]. - The record date for the dividend distribution is set for June 19, 2025, and the ex-dividend date is June 20, 2025 [7][8]. Convertible Bond Adjustment - Following the profit distribution, the conversion price for the company's convertible bonds (Honglu Convertible Bonds) will be adjusted from 32.44 RMB to 32.08 RMB per share, effective from June 20, 2025 [12][20]. - This adjustment is in accordance with the company's regulations regarding changes in share capital due to profit distributions [14][20].

Group 1 - The company announced an adjustment to the conversion price of its convertible bonds, "Honglu Convertible Bonds," due to a cash dividend distribution [1][2] - The company issued 18.80 billion yuan worth of convertible bonds in October 2020, with a face value of 100 yuan per bond [1] - The adjusted conversion price is set at 32.08 yuan per share, effective from June 20, 2025, after a cash dividend of 3.60 yuan per 10 shares [4][3] Group 2 - The company will distribute a total cash dividend of approximately 247.45 million yuan based on the adjusted total share capital of 687,363,309 shares [4][2] - The adjustment formula for the conversion price is based on the company's profit distribution plan and follows specific regulatory guidelines [2][1] - The conversion period for the "Honglu Convertible Bonds" is from April 15, 2021, to October 8, 2026 [4][3]