Summary of Shenzhen Envicool Technology Co Ltd Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shenzhen Envicool Technology Co Ltd - **Ticker**: 002837.SZ - **Industry**: China Industrials - **Market Cap**: Rmb76,058.5 million - **Stock Rating**: Overweight - **Price Target**: Rmb74.00 - **Current Price**: Rmb78.60 Key Financial Results (3Q25) - **Revenue**: Rmb1,453 million, a 25% increase year-over-year (YoY) and a 11% decrease quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) [3][8] - **Gross Profit**: Rmb427 million, a 22% increase YoY, with a gross margin of 29.4% [3][8] - **Net Profit**: Rmb183 million, an 8% increase YoY, slightly below market expectations [3][8] - **Operating Profit**: Rmb197 million, a 17% increase YoY [3][8] - **Operating Cash Flow**: -Rmb85 million, compared to +Rmb202 million in 3Q24 [8] Expense Analysis - **Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)**: Increased by 44% YoY to Rmb2,926 million [3] - **Selling Expenses**: Increased by 42% YoY to Rmb59 million [3] - **R&D Expenses**: Increased by 22% YoY to Rmb102 million [3] - **Administrative Expenses**: Increased by 21% YoY to Rmb58 million [3] Operational Metrics - **Contract Liabilities**: Increased by 42% compared to the end of 2024 [8] - **Inventory**: Increased by 39% compared to the end of 2024 [8] - **Operating Expense Ratio**: Stable at 15.0% YoY [8] Market Outlook - **Growth Drivers**: Anticipated growth from data center cooling business and potential breakthroughs with overseas clients [8] - **Future Expectations**: Investors are expected to look beyond 2H25 results, with revenue growth anticipated from 2026 [8] Valuation and Risks - **Valuation Methodology**: 83x P/E applied to 2026 EPS estimate, forecasting 39% YoY EPS growth in 2026 [9] - **Risks to Upside**: Faster-than-expected AI investment, falling raw material prices, margin improvement [11] - **Risks to Downside**: Global economic slowdown, rising raw material prices, margin contraction [11] Additional Insights - **Gross Margin**: Decreased by 0.8 percentage points YoY but increased by 3.4 percentage points QoQ [8] - **EPS Forecast**: Expected to grow from Rmb0.61 in FY24 to Rmb1.19 in FY27 [6] - **P/E Ratio**: Projected to decrease from 107.9 in FY25 to 66.2 in FY27 [6] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the financial performance, operational metrics, market outlook, and valuation considerations for Shenzhen Envicool Technology Co Ltd.

Core Viewpoint - The company Invec reported a significant increase in stock price, but its profit growth has not kept pace, leading to a high dynamic PE ratio of 173.6 times, raising concerns about future valuation sustainability [2][7]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Invec achieved revenue of 4.026 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.19%, primarily driven by increased sales of temperature control energy-saving products [3][4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 399 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 13.13%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring gains was 384 million yuan, up 14.76% [3][4]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.453 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.34%, with a net profit of 183 million yuan, up 8.35% [3][4]. Stock Performance - Invec's stock price surged approximately 169.20% in Q3 2025, with the highest increase exceeding 200% during the quarter [5][6]. - Despite the stock price increase, the company's profit growth has lagged behind revenue growth, raising concerns about sustainability [6]. Shareholder Activity - Significant reductions in holdings were observed from major shareholders, including a reduction of over 8.5 million shares by the social security fund and a more than 50% reduction in holdings by the Stock Connect [11][12]. - New shareholders entered the top ten list, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [13]. Valuation Metrics - The current dynamic PE ratio stands at 173.6 times, with a rolling PE (ttm) of 151 times, indicating a high valuation relative to earnings [2][7].

Core Viewpoint - In the third quarter of 2025, Invec (002837.SZ) reported strong revenue growth driven by increased demand for liquid cooling solutions, particularly in the context of AI infrastructure investments, despite a sequential decline in quarterly performance [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the third quarter, Invec achieved revenue of 14.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.34%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 11.44% [2] - The net profit for the same period was 1.83 billion yuan, with growth rates below 10% for both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter comparisons [2] - The company’s gross margin improved by 3.4 percentage points to 29.4%, attributed to changes in product and regional mix [2] Market Dynamics - The liquid cooling server index has risen over 47% this year, reaching historical highs, with Invec's stock price surging 169% in the third quarter, peaking at 89.99 yuan [1] - Despite the stock price increase, the net sell-off by the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect in the third quarter amounted to 45.2 million shares, reducing the holding ratio from 8.49% to 3.79% [1] Future Outlook - Analysts expect Invec's full-year revenue to exceed 60 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 30%, with net profit projections ranging from 6 billion to 9 billion yuan [3] - The company is positioned to benefit from the rapid expansion of the liquid cooling market driven by high demand in data centers and computing power investments [3][4] Industry Trends - The complexity and importance of liquid cooling technology are expected to increase, evolving from a simple alternative to air cooling into a comprehensive solution involving multiple stakeholders [4] - The growth in contract liabilities and inventory indicates future revenue potential, although inventory levels did not increase as anticipated, suggesting a delay in order conversion [3] Adjustments in Forecasts - Open Source Securities has revised its profit forecast for Invec, lowering the expected net profit for 2025 from 6.51 billion yuan to 6.03 billion yuan, while increasing the 2026 forecast to 11.1 billion yuan [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Views - The company has achieved significant revenue growth, with a 40.2% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 4.03 billion yuan, and a net profit of 400 million yuan, up 13% year-on-year [1] - The growth in Q3 was driven by increased revenue from energy-saving products for server rooms and cabinets, despite a slight quarter-on-quarter decline of 11% due to revenue recognition timing [2] - The company is positioned strongly in the liquid cooling market, with comprehensive product offerings and recognition from major players like Intel and Google, indicating a robust competitive advantage [3][11] Financial Performance - For 2025, the company expects revenues of 6.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 35.1%, and net profits of 603 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 33.2% [12] - The overall gross margin for the company is reported at 29.4%, with a net profit margin of 12.9%, both showing quarter-on-quarter improvements [2] - The company’s inventory has increased to 1.23 billion yuan, up 39% year-on-year, indicating a strong order backlog and project reserves [2] Market Position and Future Outlook - The liquid cooling industry is expected to become increasingly complex, with a shift towards integrated solutions that require collaboration among various stakeholders [4] - Companies with comprehensive solution capabilities will have a competitive edge, as clients increasingly rely on pre-sales design and post-sales operations [5] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for liquid cooling solutions, particularly in the context of rising energy consumption in AI clusters [11]

Performance Summary - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 14.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.83 billion yuan, up 8.35% year-on-year [1] - For the first nine months of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 40.28 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.19%, and a net profit of 3.99 billion yuan, an increase of 13.13% year-on-year [1] Operational Analysis - Revenue growth was slightly below market expectations, attributed to the delivery and acceptance rhythm of project-based orders; Q3 revenue was 40.3 billion yuan, up 25% year-on-year but down 11% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The inventory at the end of Q3 reached 12.32 billion yuan, a 39.32% increase from the beginning of the year, but a slight decrease of 0.56% from Q2 [2] - The company’s gross margin in Q3 was 29.4%, recovering by 3.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, although it decreased by 3.4 percentage points year-on-year; the improvement was due to the recovery of gross margin alongside the growth of liquid cooling products in AI data centers [2] Strategic Partnerships - The company is closely collaborating with major CSPs and will showcase its jointly developed Dechutes 5CDU with Google at the OCP conference, with expectations of new large client acquisitions [3] - The company is also exhibiting quick connectors designed for NVIDIA's MGX, indicating significant potential in the liquid cooling market driven by the AI wave [3] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 63.34 billion yuan, 88.87 billion yuan, and 117.48 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 9.14 billion yuan, 13.52 billion yuan, and 19.60 billion yuan [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE valuation of 83.35, 56.34, and 38.87 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]

Core Insights - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.026 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.19%, primarily driven by increased sales of energy-saving products for data centers and cabinets [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 399 million yuan, up 13.13% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 384 million yuan, reflecting a 14.76% increase [1] - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.453 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 25.34%, with a net profit of 183 million yuan, marking an 8.35% increase compared to the previous year [1] Financial Performance - The company's revenue growth is attributed to the increasing demand for high-power computing chips and ultra-node high-power cabinets, benefiting from the ongoing development of AIGC both domestically and internationally [1] - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to 603 million yuan, 1.11 billion yuan, and 1.639 billion yuan respectively, compared to previous estimates of 651 million yuan, 1.097 billion yuan, and 1.519 billion yuan [1] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 126.3, 68.6, and 46.5 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Kaiyuan Securities indicates that Invec achieved significant revenue growth in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by increased sales of energy-saving temperature control products for data centers and cabinets [1] Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.026 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.19% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 399 million yuan, up 13.13% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 384 million yuan, reflecting a 14.76% increase [1] - For Q3 2025, revenue was 1.453 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.34%, with a net profit of 183 million yuan, an increase of 8.35% year-on-year [1] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing development of AIGC and the increasing demand for high-power computing chips and ultra-node high-power cabinets, which will support data center construction [1] - Due to project settlement progress and anticipated demand for liquid cooling post-2025, the profit forecasts for 2025 have been lowered, while those for 2026 and 2027 have been raised [1] - The revised net profit estimates for 2025-2027 are 603 million yuan, 1.11 billion yuan, and 1.639 billion yuan, respectively, compared to previous estimates of 651 million yuan, 1.097 billion yuan, and 1.519 billion yuan [1] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 126.3, 68.6, and 46.5 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a maintained "buy" rating [1]

Core Insights - Three companies reported their Q3 2025 results on October 14, with all showing year-on-year growth in both net profit and operating revenue [1] Company Performance Summary - **雅葆轩 (Yabo Xuan)** - Earnings per share: 0.6100 CNY - Net profit: 48,718,800 CNY - Net profit growth: 36.59% - Operating revenue: 418,910,500 CNY - Operating revenue growth: 55.90% [1] - **中宠股份 (Zhongchong Co., Ltd.)** - Earnings per share: 1.1135 CNY - Net profit: 333,308,100 CNY - Net profit growth: 18.21% - Operating revenue: 3,859,906,200 CNY - Operating revenue growth: 21.05% [1] - **英维克 (Inveke)** - Earnings per share: 0.4100 CNY - Net profit: 39,906,970 CNY - Net profit growth: 13.13% - Operating revenue: 402,603,080 CNY - Operating revenue growth: 40.19% [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported Q3 2025 results that met expectations, with a revenue of 4.026 billion yuan for the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year increase of 40.19%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 399 million yuan, up 13.13% year-on-year [5] - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing development of AIGC and the increasing demand for high-power computing chips and supernode cabinets, leading to a significant contribution from liquid cooling demand post-2025 [5] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025 downwards and for 2026 and 2027 upwards, projecting net profits of 603 million yuan, 1.11 billion yuan, and 1.639 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] Financial Summary - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.453 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.34%, and a net profit of 183 million yuan, up 8.35% year-on-year [5] - The company’s revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are 6.274 billion yuan, 9.601 billion yuan, and 13.157 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 36.7%, 53.0%, and 37.0% respectively [8] - The projected net profit for the same period is expected to grow at rates of 33.2%, 84.0%, and 47.7% respectively [8] Product Development and Market Position - The company has launched a 2MW CDU based on Google Deschutes 5 specifications, enhancing its supply chain capabilities and aiming to penetrate international markets [6] - The company has a long-standing partnership with Intel, with multiple liquid cooling products certified and recognized by major computing chip manufacturers [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company Invec reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, driven primarily by the growth in revenue from temperature control energy-saving products for data centers and cabinets [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 4.026 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 40.19% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 399 million yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 13.13% [1] - The increase in revenue was mainly due to higher sales of temperature control energy-saving products [1] Expense Analysis - The growth in net profit was lower than revenue growth, primarily due to a significant rise in sales expenses, R&D expenses, and credit impairment losses [1] - Sales expenses amounted to 159 million yuan, an increase of 38.66% year-on-year [1] - R&D expenses reached 297 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 31.36% [1] - Financial expenses surged by 675.79% year-on-year, mainly due to a decrease in exchange gains [1] Cash Flow - The net cash flow from operating activities for the first three quarters was -319 million yuan, attributed to increased purchases of goods, service acceptance, and employee compensation expenses [1]