Summary of Conference Call on Chinese Power Solution Providers Industry Overview - The focus is on the **AI Data Center (AIDC)** power supply sector, particularly the **Chinese power solution providers** that are positioned to address the critical bottleneck of **time-to-power** in the AI buildout [3][4][13]. Key Insights - **Export-Driven Opportunities**: Chinese firms with expertise in **High-Voltage Direct Current (HVDC)** systems and established OEM/ODM relationships are expected to benefit from the increasing demand for robust AIDC power infrastructure, particularly in the US market [3][4][17]. - **Market Dynamics**: The US is experiencing a severe power bottleneck, with local power equipment capacity covering only **40%** of demand. This creates an opportunity for non-traditional suppliers, including qualified Chinese companies, to fill the gap [13][24]. - **Growth Projections**: The average sales CAGR for AIDC power products is projected to reach **39%** through **2030E**, driven by capacity buildout and technology-driven ASP inflation [15][58]. Preferred Companies - **Yingliu**: A leading manufacturer of gas turbine blades, expected to benefit from supply shortages, with a projected revenue and EPS CAGR of **25%** and **40%** respectively from **2025-30E** [21][81]. - **Sieyuan**: Positioned as a top supplier for power transformers, with a projected revenue CAGR of **23%** and net profit CAGR of **28%** from **2025-30E** [21][82]. - **Kstar**: Anticipated to see a **27%** total sales CAGR, driven by overseas high-power electricals and a strong focus on 800V DC products [21][81]. - **Envicool**: A liquid cooling specialist with a projected **98%** CAGR in server cooling sales from **2025-30E** [21][81]. - **Hongfa**: Expected to benefit from rising demand for HVDC relays, with a revenue target of **Rmb2,160 million** by **2030E** [21][81]. - **Jianghai**: Anticipated to see earlier-than-expected demand for aluminum electrolytic capacitors, with a focus on supercapacitors as a medium-term growth driver [21][22]. Competitive Landscape - **Supply Constraints**: The supply of gas turbines and transformers is expected to remain tight until **2028E-2030E**, with significant backlogs reported by major manufacturers [14][40]. - **Pricing Power**: Chinese suppliers can command price premiums of **10% to 80%** in overseas markets compared to domestic sales, driven by shortages and the ability to deliver faster [17][77]. Structural Trends - **Power Demand Growth**: The US is projected to see a **175%** increase in data center electricity use by **2030**, contributing to a **2.6%** CAGR in power demand [23][24]. - **Technological Shift**: The transition to **800V DC architecture** is becoming standard for new AI data center projects, which is expected to enhance energy efficiency and reduce operational costs [57][70]. Conclusion - The Chinese power solution providers are well-positioned to capture significant market share in the AIDC sector, driven by their ability to meet stringent technical requirements and deliver products with shorter lead times. The combination of strong demand, supply constraints, and technological advancements presents a compelling investment opportunity in this sector [3][4][17][72].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating a positive outlook for the IDC/Intelligent Computing Center sector [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights a consensus among AI industry leaders that domestic technology companies are transitioning from followers to leaders in global AI technology [2]. - Significant breakthroughs are expected in 2026 across multiple dimensions, including computing power, models, and applications, with a notable improvement in the usability of domestic computing power [2]. - The IDC sector is anticipated to undergo major changes in 2026, driven by the demand from cloud vendors and the need for efficient computing resources [2]. - The report emphasizes the scarcity of effective supply in the market, with government policies shifting focus from broad construction to orderly guidance and efficient resource allocation [2]. - Key companies identified for investment include leading IDC firms and those in the supply chain for power distribution and temperature control [2]. Summary by Sections Demand Side - High demand from cloud vendors is expected, with a significant number of IDC orders anticipated to be deployed by mid-2026 [2]. - The necessity for cloud vendors to secure quality assets for sustainable computing power supply is highlighted [2]. Supply Side - The report notes a strong scarcity of "effective supply," with government initiatives aimed at optimizing the layout of intelligent computing resources [2]. - The need for supporting equipment such as UPS/HVDC and liquid cooling systems is emphasized due to the redundancy requirements in power supply [2]. Key Companies - Core players in the IDC sector include Runze Technology, Dongyangguang, and Baoxin Software, among others [3]. - Companies with flexible demand and strong client ties, such as Dawi Technology and Aofei Data, are also highlighted as potential investment opportunities [2].

Summary of Shenzhen Envicool Technology (002837.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shenzhen Envicool Technology (002837.SZ) - **Industry**: Precision cooling technology for data centers and servers Key Points and Arguments 1. **Target Price Increase**: The target price for Envicool has been raised to Rmb121.1, reflecting a 49.5% increase from the previous target of Rmb81.0, with an expected upside of 18.5% from the current price of Rmb102.19 [1][18] 2. **Market Share Projections**: Envicool is expected to capture a 7% share of the global server liquid cooling market by 2028E, increasing to 10% by 2030E, up from 1% in 2025E [2][35] 3. **Sales and Earnings Growth**: The company anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 44% in total sales and 58% in earnings from 2025E to 2030E, driven by the server cooling segment [2][19] 4. **Global Server Cooling Market**: The total addressable market (TAM) for global server cooling has been revised upwards by 9% to US$7.9 billion in 2025E and US$14.0 billion in 2026E, with a projected growth of 111% year-over-year in 2025 [3][33] 5. **Financial Forecasts**: Revised revenue forecasts for 2025E-2030E show an increase of 1% to 16%, with expected revenues of Rmb6.46 billion in 2025E and Rmb17.23 billion in 2027E [19][35] 6. **Profitability Improvement**: Gross profit margins (GPM) are expected to improve to an average of 30% from 2025E to 2030E, up from a previous estimate of 29% [2][35] 7. **Capex Increase**: Capital expenditure assumptions have been raised by 9% to an average of Rmb1.3 billion to support global production capacity expansion [2][35] 8. **Strong Growth Outlook**: The company is projected to achieve 79% revenue growth and 127% EPS growth in 2026E, with shares currently trading at a forward P/E of 73x [18][35] Additional Important Insights 1. **Liquid Cooling Adoption**: The adoption of liquid cooling technology is expected to accelerate due to increasing demand from AI training servers, with projections indicating that 80% of AI training servers will utilize liquid cooling by 2027E [30][35] 2. **Market Sensitivity Analysis**: A sensitivity analysis indicates that capturing a 15% market share could imply an 80% upside in valuation, while failure to expand overseas could result in a 30% downside risk [20][22] 3. **Valuation Context**: The current stock valuation is considered undemanding compared to sector averages, with a strong growth trajectory and improving margins [35] 4. **Strategic Partnerships**: Envicool has been recognized as a partner in NVIDIA's MGX ecosystem, indicating strong industry relationships that may enhance future sales [28][35] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and projections regarding Shenzhen Envicool Technology's market position, financial outlook, and strategic initiatives within the precision cooling technology sector.

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Yingweike has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.01% and a year-to-date drop of 4.20%, despite a significant increase of 30.21% over the past 20 days [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of January 8, Yingweike's stock price was 102.40 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 19.29 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 2.19%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 999.99 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has seen a decline of 9.54% over the last five trading days, while it has increased by 32.52% over the last 60 days [2]. Group 2: Company Overview - Yingweike, established on August 15, 2005, and listed on December 29, 2016, is located in Longhua District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of precision temperature control energy-saving equipment, as well as air conditioning services for rail transit trains and traditional buses [2]. - The revenue composition of Yingweike includes: 52.50% from room temperature control energy-saving products, 36.00% from cabinet temperature control energy-saving products, 9.82% from other sources, 0.93% from rail transit train air conditioning and services, and 0.75% from bus air conditioning [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Yingweike achieved a revenue of 40.26 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.19%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.99 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 13.13% [2]. - Since its A-share listing, Yingweike has distributed a total of 5.81 billion yuan in dividends, with 3.45 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Yingweike had 148,700 shareholders, an increase of 10.48% from the previous period, with an average of 5,717 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 9.48% [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the second-largest shareholder with 37.06 million shares, having decreased its holdings by 45.20 million shares compared to the previous period [3].

Core Viewpoint - The liquid cooling market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by the expansion of downstream industries such as computing power, renewable energy storage, and electric vehicles, indicating a significant future development potential [1] Market Growth Potential - According to Guohai Securities, the liquid cooling market for Nvidia GPUs is expected to reach $11.9 billion by 2026, while the ASIC liquid cooling market is projected to reach $4.6 billion, leading to an overall data center liquid cooling market size of approximately $16.5 billion (around 116.2 billion RMB) [1] - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the liquid cooling market is estimated to be around 59% from 2025 to 2026 [1] Stock Market Performance - In the A-share market, several listed companies have entered the liquid cooling supply chain, becoming crucial support for global AI computing power cooling [1] - As of January 7, liquid cooling concept stocks have averaged a rise of 79.73% since 2025, significantly outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index during the same period [1] - A total of 26 concept stocks have doubled in value, with companies such as Chunzong Technology, Siquan New Materials, Yidong Electronics, Hongsheng Co., and Yingweike seeing increases of over 200% [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: The report covers the **China Industrials** sector, specifically focusing on **Automation & Robotics**, **Construction Machinery**, **Heavy-duty Trucks**, and **New Energy** stocks that may influence share prices in the near future [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Automation Sector**: - Monthly new order intake growth and industrial robot production are expected to be reported at the beginning and mid-month respectively [5][6]. - Shenzhen Inovance Technology anticipates approximately **20% year-on-year growth** in new orders for January-February 2026, driven by a modest capital expenditure recovery and market share gains [8][9]. - **Heavy-duty Trucks (HDT)**: - Monthly sales volume data will be released at the beginning of each month [5]. - Negative growth is expected in the domestic HDT market for 1Q26 due to front-loading in 2025 and a **5% increase in NEV purchase tax** in 2026, although export growth is projected to remain resilient [9][11]. - **Construction Machinery**: - Monthly excavator sales volume will be reported at the beginning of each month, with expectations that export growth will offset high base pressure from domestic sales in January-February [8][9]. Company-Specific Catalysts - **Beijing Geekplus Technology Co., Ltd. (2590.HK)**: - Inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect program is expected in **February 2026**, following its addition to the Hang Seng Composite Index [7]. - Launch of a wheel-based humanoid robot is anticipated, which could enhance its position as an unmanned warehouse solution provider [7]. - **Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co., Ltd. (601100.SS)**: - Anticipated updates on Tesla's Optimus Gen 3 in 1Q26, which may lead to a revision of sales outlook for 2026 [7][8]. - **Wuxi Lead Intelligent (300450.SZ)**: - Expected improvement in liquid LiB equipment orders in 1Q26, driven by strong demand for energy storage systems [7]. - **Sany Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. (600031.SS)**: - Expected growth in excavator sales, with export growth anticipated to mitigate domestic sales pressures [8]. - **Zoomlion Heavy Industry (000157.SZ)**: - Anticipated cyclical recovery in non-excavator machinery sales, supported by solid export growth [8]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Conditions**: - Concerns remain regarding growth momentum amid an anti-involution and deflationary environment, alongside margin pressures from the NEV powertrain business [9]. - **Chinese Hyperscalers**: - Potential acceleration in AI capital expenditure for Chinese hyperscalers is expected, which should support demand for cooling solutions [11]. - **Profit Alerts**: - Estun Automation is expected to issue a profit alert in January, indicating a return to profitability after a net loss in 2024 [9]. Conclusion The conference call highlights significant catalysts and trends within the China Industrials sector, with a focus on automation, heavy-duty trucks, and construction machinery. Key companies are positioned to leverage upcoming developments, although challenges such as market conditions and regulatory changes remain pertinent.

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Yingweike's stock performance has shown a decline, with a drop of 3.30% on January 6, and significant changes in financing and margin trading activities [1] - As of January 6, Yingweike's financing balance is 4.15% of its market capitalization, indicating a high level of financing activity compared to the past year [1] - The company has a total financing and margin trading balance of 4.172 billion yuan, with a net financing outflow of 366 million yuan on the same day [1] Group 2 - As of December 31, Yingweike had 148,700 shareholders, an increase of 10.48% from the previous period, while the average number of circulating shares per person decreased by 9.48% [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, Yingweike reported a revenue of 4.026 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.19%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 399 million yuan, up 13.13% [2] Group 3 - Yingweike has distributed a total of 581 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 345 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 37.06 million shares, a decrease of 45.20 million shares from the previous period [3] - The Southern CSI 500 ETF is the seventh-largest circulating shareholder, holding 8.4644 million shares, which is a decrease of 149,600 shares from the previous period [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights a significant outflow of main capital from various stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, indicating potential concerns among investors regarding these companies' performance and future prospects [1]. Group 1: Main Capital Outflow - A total of 480 stocks experienced a net outflow of main capital for five consecutive days or more as of January 6 [1]. - The stock with the longest continuous outflow is Daheng Technology, with 24 days of net outflow [1]. - The stock with the highest total net outflow amount is Yingweike, which saw a cumulative outflow of 4.314 billion yuan over eight days [1]. Group 2: Notable Stocks with Outflows - Pingtan Development had a net outflow of 2.270 billion yuan over five days, ranking second in total outflow [1]. - Other notable stocks include Daqin Railway with 1.810 billion yuan over 17 days, and Hengtong Optic-Electric with 1.693 billion yuan over nine days [1]. - ST Qibu had the highest outflow ratio, with 6.30% over the last five days [1]. Group 3: Performance Metrics - Yingweike's stock price decreased by 1.29% during the outflow period [1]. - Pingtan Development's stock price fell by 2.36% over the same timeframe [1]. - Daqin Railway's stock price declined by 4.75%, while Hengtong Optic-Electric saw a drop of 5.93% [1].

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs has updated its global server market forecast, expecting total revenue to reach $433.1 billion, $606.1 billion, and $763.9 billion in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 71%, 40%, and 26% [2] - AI training servers are identified as the core growth engine, with projected revenues of $234.8 billion, $369.8 billion, and $506.2 billion for the same years, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 97%, 57%, and 37% [2] - The report highlights a structural transformation in the global server market, driven by accelerated ASIC server penetration and significant capital expenditure growth from global cloud service providers, maintaining a high prosperity period from 2025 to 2027 [1][2] Group 2 - ASIC chip penetration in AI servers is expected to increase, with forecasts of 38%, 40%, and 50% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, up from a previous estimate of 45% for 2027 [3] - The demand for AI chips corresponding to AI servers is projected to reach 11 million, 16 million, and 21 million units in 2025, 2026, and 2027, representing increases of 7%, 17%, and 26% from previous forecasts [3] - The AI rack server market is shifting from reliance on Nvidia to a more diversified competition, with non-Nvidia solutions like AMD's Helios expected to gain market share [4] Group 3 - High-power AI training servers are projected to see significant growth, with shipment forecasts of 692,000, 952,000, and 1,227,000 units for 2025, 2026, and 2027, and corresponding market sizes of $180.2 billion, $205.2 billion, and $251.1 billion [5] - AI inference servers are expected to grow steadily, with shipment forecasts of 470,000, 539,000, and 656,000 units, and market size increasing from $29.8 billion to $48.4 billion from 2025 to 2027 [6] - The general server market is returning to normal growth, with shipment growth rates of 11%, 8%, and 2% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, and revenue growth rates of 51%, 19%, and 5% [7] Group 4 - Key companies in the server supply chain include ODM manufacturers like Wistron, Quanta, and Hon Hai, with Hon Hai being a leader in AI server market share [8] - Liquid cooling manufacturers such as AVC and Auras are highlighted for their roles in the cooling solutions for AI servers, with AVC providing custom cooling solutions for Nvidia's platforms [10][11] - TSMC is recognized as a foundational player in the AI chip and ASIC manufacturing sector, while companies like Chenbro and GCE are noted for their roles in critical components for server manufacturing [12]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that AI computing power remains a key investment theme in 2026, driven by strong growth in infrastructure and technology advancements, particularly in GPU, liquid cooling, optical modules, and PCB sectors [2][5][44]. AI Computing Power - The AI computing power index has seen a significant increase of 46.67% since 2025, outperforming other AI-related indices [3]. - The article identifies that the excess returns in AI computing power stem from its certainty and continuous outperformance, supported by capital investments from major tech companies and policy-driven domestic GPU replacements [4][5]. Market Growth Projections - The article outlines the market size and compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for various AI computing segments from 2024 to 2029, highlighting that the Chinese intelligent computing GPU market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 56.47% [6][7]. - Liquid cooling technology is projected to see a penetration rate increase from 14% in 2024 to 31% in 2026, indicating a strong growth trajectory [19]. Investment Opportunities - The article suggests that liquid cooling is one of the highest growth segments in AI computing, transitioning from an optional to a necessary technology due to the limitations of traditional air cooling [18]. - Companies involved in liquid cooling that secure contracts with major clients like Google and NVIDIA are expected to see valuation increases [20][24]. GPU Market Dynamics - NVIDIA continues to dominate the GPU market, but domestic manufacturers are rising due to policies favoring local replacements [8][10]. - The profitability of domestic GPU companies like Cambricon is anticipated to improve significantly, with projected net profits of 48.72 billion and 79.91 billion yuan for 2026 and 2027, respectively [12]. Optical Modules and PCB - The optical module sector has experienced substantial growth, with companies like NewEase and Zhongji Xuchuang seeing stock price increases of 450% and 422% since 2025 [27]. - The article notes that the PCB market is also expected to grow significantly, with AI-related PCBs projected to have a CAGR of 20.6% from 2024 to 2029 [34]. Investment Ranking - The article ranks various AI segments based on investment certainty: liquid cooling is rated highest, followed by optical chips, GPUs, PCBs, and optical modules, while AI applications and end products are considered less certain [42][43]. Macro Environment - The anticipated loosening of macroeconomic conditions, including potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, is expected to enhance liquidity in the market, benefiting high-growth sectors like AI computing power [44].