机械 分析师：刘智 登记编码：S0730520110001 liuzhi@ccnew.com 021-50586775 顺周期机械复苏持续，AI、人形机器人产业 蓬勃发展 ——机械行业月报 证券研究报告-行业月报 强于大市(维持) 机械相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：中原证券 -18% -10% -1% 7% 15% 23% 32% 40% 2025.02 2025.06 2025.10 2026.02 机械 沪深300 相关报告 《机械行业月报：持续推荐人形机器人、AIDC 配套设备，关注低位滞涨板块的轮动机遇》 2026-01-27 《机械行业月报：人形机器人有望成为美国科 技战略主线，建议持续关注人形机器人、AIDC 配套设备》 2025-12-29 《机械行业月报：十五五规划强调科技自立， 未来产业引领，重点关注周期复苏和未来产业 投资机遇》 2025-11-26 联系人：李智 22楼 投资要点： ⚫ 2 月中信机械板块上涨 6.01%，跑赢沪深 300 指数（+0.63%）5.38 个百分点，在 30 个中信一级行业中排名第 2 名：截至 2026 年 2 月 25 日收盘，2 月中信机械板块 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [12] Core Insights - The communication sector saw a 2.35% increase in the 6th-7th week of 2026, ranking 6th among primary industries in the Yangtze River region; since the beginning of 2026, it has risen by 0.44%, ranking 27th [2][6] - Tower's silicon photonics revenue doubled, with a high demand for 1.6T, and capacity expansion plans have been adjusted with prepayments secured; silicon photonics modules continue to penetrate the market [2][10] - Vertiv's orders and backlog reached new highs, with a shipment-to-order ratio rising to 2.9 times [2][10] - ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 has industry-leading generation availability, while Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro tops the charts, and Anthropic's annual revenue is growing rapidly at $14 billion [2][10] - OpenAI's cumulative computing expenditure is expected to exceed $600 billion by 2030, with an upward revision of revenue forecasts [2][10] Summary by Sections Market Performance - In the 6th-7th week of 2026, the communication sector increased by 2.35%, ranking 6th among primary industries; since the start of 2026, it has risen by 0.44%, ranking 27th [2][6] - Among companies with a market capitalization above 8 billion, the top three gainers this week were Dawei Technology (+39.4%), Shengke Communication (+31.7%), and Shenling Environment (+29.6%); the top three decliners were Tongyu Communication (-11.7%), Dingtong Technology (-9.7%), and Xinke Mobile (-9.3%) [6] Company Highlights - **Tower**: In Q4 2025, revenue reached $440 million, a year-on-year increase of 13.7%, with GAAP net profit of $80 million, up 45.3%. The company expects silicon photonics revenue to reach $228 million in 2025, doubling from 2024, and has raised its capacity target from 3 times to over 5 times the Q4 2025 shipment [7] - **Vertiv**: In Q4 2025, revenue was $2.88 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.7%, with GAAP net profit of $450 million, up 203.1%. The company reported a significant increase in organic orders, with a year-on-year growth of 252% [7] AI Model Developments - On February 12, ByteDance launched Seedance 2.0, achieving industry-leading performance in complex scenarios with a high generation availability rate [8] - Anthropic completed a $30 billion Series G financing round with a post-money valuation of $380 billion, reporting an annual revenue of approximately $14 billion [8] - On February 19, Google released Gemini 3.1 Pro, which ranked first in AI analysis, showing significant improvements in reasoning capabilities [8] Future Projections - OpenAI updated its financial outlook, projecting cumulative computing-related expenditures to exceed $600 billion by 2030, with training costs expected to rise significantly in 2025 and 2026 [9]

内容概况：当前，中国电池液冷板行业正伴随新能源汽车产业的爆发，同步进入一个高增长、高竞争、 技术密集驱动的"快车道"。2024年，中国电池液冷板行业市场规模为124.33亿元，同比增长8.73%。增 长的核心驱动力直接来源于下游应用，尤其是新能源汽车。2025年中国新能源汽车产销同比增速近 30%，且市场正从高端车型向全系普及液冷技术。同时，储能系统是另一个重要的增量市场，随着风 电、光伏装机量提升，其对规模化、标准化的冷却板需求正快速释放。此外，工程机械等其他领域的电 动化转型也在为行业提供新的增长曲线。 相关上市企业：三花智控（002050）、银轮股份（002126）、纳百川（301667）、科创新源 （300731）、精研科技（300709）、飞荣达（300602）、英维克（002837） 相关企业：中国铝业集团有限公司、江西铜业集团有限公司、山东南山铝业股份有限公司、明泰铝业股 份有限公司、云南铜业股份有限公司、铜陵有色金属集团股份有限公司、比亚迪股份有限公司、宁德时 代新能源科技股份有限公司、阳光电源股份有限公司、浪潮电子信息产业股份有限公司、中科曙光信息 产业股份有限公司 关键词：电池液冷板、电池 ...

声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 来源：新浪基金∞工作室 2月25日，截止午间收盘，储能电池ETF广发（159305）涨1.25%，报1.950元，成交额2792.66万元。储 能电池ETF广发（159305）重仓股方面，宁德时代截止午盘涨0.99%，阳光电源涨2.57%，亿纬锂能涨 2.98%，英维克涨0.65%，国轩高科涨2.02%，麦格米特跌1.19%，欣旺达涨2.94%，德业股份涨4.29%， 科达利涨0.42%，金盘科技涨0.43%。 储能电池ETF广发（159305）业绩比较基准为同期国证新能源电池指数收益率，管理人为广发基金管理 有限公司，基金经理为夏浩洋，成立（2024-09-18）以来回报为92.27%，近一个月回报为-1.65%。 ...

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 2月25日，截止午间收盘，中证500ETF泰康（515530）涨1.54%，报4.630元，成交额349.93万元。中证 500ETF泰康（515530）重仓股方面，英维克截止午盘涨0.65%，信维通信跌0.12%，巨人网络跌 2.47%，中矿资源涨7.67%，航天电子涨1.58%，中国卫星涨1.02%，先导智能涨2.67%，卧龙电驱跌 0.80%，赤峰黄金涨0.48%，兴业银锡涨4.38%。 中证500ETF泰康（515530）业绩比较基准为中证500指数收益率，管理人为泰康基金管理有限公司，基 金经理为魏军，成立（2020-09-18）以来回报为42.61%，近一个月回报为-2.33%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 ...

行业研究丨深度报告丨通信设备Ⅲ [Table_Title] "液冷加速度"系列报告三： 液冷 0→1 后，从头部厂商表现再看行业变化 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年，是海外液冷 0→1 时刻，头部散热厂已实现液冷产品规模出货，拉动营收及盈利表现 亮眼。近期，多家散热大厂更新对外交流，我们整理了各家表述，以对液冷首年出货后，当前 的行业趋势和节奏判断做出参考。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490517110002 SAC：S0490524100002 SFC：BUX641 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 20 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 近期，各散热大厂均有相关更新对外交流，我们整理了各家表述，以对行业趋势和节奏判断做 出参考，可总结出几个主要关注点：1）2026 散热依然大有可为，头部散热大厂全面扩产，头 部厂商 AVC 指出订单能见度周期已开始拉长至 2028。2）2026 液冷放量主要动能仍来自于 NV 产品的全液冷需求。3）多家 ...

徐强 国泰海通分析师: 好的，各位投资者大家下午好，欢迎参加我们国泰海通电新团队春节不打烊的系列电话会 议。我是国泰海通的环保电新首席徐翔，今天我和我们孙潇浩孙老师一起给各位领导做去 做一些 AIDC 方面的汇报。明天就是这个第一个交易日了，那在此，我们国泰海通电新团 队祝大家开市大吉，业绩长虹。这个假期期间，我们围绕了 AIDC、太空算力、太阳翼、 锂电供应链，然后开展了一系列的这个电话会议和专家的这个交流。那这今天下午的电话 会议主要是汇报 A I D C 硬件端的这些投资机会。 然后同时，今天晚上我们还安排了这个卫星载荷的专家，然后来交流一下太空算力以及太 阳翼的这一方面的一个，这个投资内容。今晚 8 点，也欢迎大家这个就是按时接入。首先 我们一直从这个去年开始吧，去去年，24 年底，前年开始，就一直在推荐 AIGC 的这些投 资机会。市场，其实对于 IPC 的这些投资的持续性，持，一直是存，一直在质疑当中，这 个不断的这个提升预期的。那包括像现在。大家对于这个北美地区，像 Oracle 他们的一 个投资的持续性，以及北美这些算力是否存在泡沫，一直有比较大的一个争议。 但是，近期我们在在使用，包括像 O ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry, indicating an expected relative performance exceeding 15% compared to the benchmark index over the next 12 months [8]. Core Insights - The launch of Seedance 2.0 by ByteDance marks a significant advancement in AI video generation, enabling users to create videos with simple text prompts, which is expected to enhance user engagement and frequency of use over the long term [3][5]. - The model's capabilities include multi-modal input acceptance, narrative coherence, and audio-visual synchronization, addressing key industry challenges such as character consistency and audio-visual mismatch [4][5]. - The demand for computational power is projected to increase exponentially due to the anticipated high concurrency from both consumer (C-end) content creation and business (B-end) API calls [6]. Summary by Sections Seedance 2.0 Launch and Features - Seedance 2.0 is integrated into various platforms, allowing users to generate short videos easily, which is expected to drive higher usage rates [3]. - The model supports multiple input types and can generate videos with synchronized audio, enhancing the creative process for users [4]. Computational Demand Projections - The report estimates that by October 2025, the monthly usage of AI-generated content on the platform will reach 63,900 times, with a total usage time of 1,668.2 hours [6]. - The complexity of video generation is significantly higher than that of text and images, leading to a substantial increase in computational requirements [6]. - Projections indicate that the number of required H100 GPUs for video generation could range from 2.4 million to 4.284 million under different scenarios, with a market space for H100 GPUs estimated between $4.8 billion and $8.568 billion [14][12]. Long-term Market Opportunities - The report highlights the potential for domestic computational power providers to benefit from the growth of AI video generation, with specific companies recommended for investment, including chip designers and AI server manufacturers [13]. - The user base for short videos in China is expected to exceed 1 billion by the end of 2024, with increasing daily usage times projected [7][11].

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The focus is on the liquid cooling market, which is expected to be a key growth area by 2026, with significant market expansion anticipated [1] - The liquid cooling market is projected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 51%, as per recent updates from UBS [1] Company Highlights - **Weidi (维谛)**: - Reported better-than-expected performance, leading to a historic high in stock price - As a core overseas liquid cooling integrator, Weidi's performance reflects the rapid growth in the overseas liquid cooling market - Expected revenue for 2026 is projected to be between $2.8 billion and $3 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 45-50% - Direct chip cooling is anticipated to account for 60% of the revenue [1] Key Recommendations OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer) - **Xingrui Technology (兴瑞科技)**: - Identified as a major supplier for Danfoss, with strong ties to NV [1] - **Kexin New Source (科创新源)**: - Noted as an OEM for AVC and Coolermaster cooling plates [1] Direct Supply - Recent audits by Amazon and Google have focused on domestic suppliers such as **Invec (英维克)** and **Shenling Environment (申菱环境)** for external cabinet equipment - Domestic suppliers are expected to gain more overseas orders, particularly in the primary side of liquid cooling infrastructure, including CDU (Cooling Distribution Unit) [1] - **Invec**: Recognized as a leader in liquid cooling with rapidly growing CDU orders [1] - **Shenling Environment**: Recently secured CDU orders from Google and Amazon [1] Additional Insights - NV (NVIDIA) has indicated a tightening of supplier certification, which may lead to increased outsourcing demand for liquid cooling equipment, especially within servers [1] - Established suppliers are believed to have a competitive advantage over new entrants in maintaining market share [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS has significantly raised its profit forecast for Invec (002837) and increased the target price from 100 yuan to 160 yuan, maintaining a "Buy" rating, highlighting that the market undervalues Invec's capabilities in the liquid cooling sector amid the explosive growth of AI computing power [1] Group 1: Global Liquid Cooling Market - The global liquid cooling market is expected to reach $9 billion in 2026, $15 billion in 2027, and $17 billion in 2028, with long-term CAGR from 2025 to 2030 projected at 51%, potentially exceeding $31 billion by 2030 [1] - The demand for liquid cooling is driven by the increasing power density of AI racks and regulatory requirements for data center efficiency, making liquid cooling a necessity [2] Group 2: Industry Procurement Model Changes - The procurement model in the global liquid cooling industry is shifting, with major cloud providers like Google moving towards direct procurement of complete liquid cooling solutions, creating new market opportunities for companies like Invec [3] - Invec has validated its full range of liquid cooling products with leading tech companies, positioning itself to capture significant market share as demand grows [3] Group 3: Core Advantages - Invec's full value chain integration in liquid cooling systems allows for performance optimization across components, distinguishing it from competitors focused on single components [4] - The company's international business has a gross margin approximately twice that of its domestic operations, enhancing its profitability as it increases its market share [5] Group 4: Revenue and Profit Growth - UBS has raised Invec's revenue forecasts for 2026 and 2027 by 21% and 64%, respectively, and net profit forecasts by 54% and 146%, anticipating a rapid increase in market share [6] - Revenue is projected to grow from 6.399 billion yuan in 2025 to 18.192 billion yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 92.6%, and diluted EPS expected to rise significantly [6] - The EBIT margin is expected to increase from 12.3% in 2025 to 28.1% in 2027, driven by scale effects and product optimization [6] Group 5: Valuation Insights - Invec's current stock price corresponds to a 23x 2027E P/E, which is below its historical average and in line with the global industry median, despite its higher growth rates compared to peers [7] - The market has not fully priced Invec's growth potential, as it continues to be viewed through a traditional component-level lens rather than recognizing its system-level capabilities and high-margin international business [7]