Core Viewpoint - The report from Huaxi Securities indicates that the bull market may continue, with a favorable spring trading window for A-shares as market turnover surpasses 3 trillion yuan [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - A-shares have broken through the upward fluctuation center, suggesting a positive trend in the market [1] - The PMI and inflation data for December 2025 are better than expected, providing fundamental support for the spring market [1] Group 2: Capital Inflows - There is a significant increase in the willingness of external funds to enter the market, with accelerated inflows of financing and foreign capital since the beginning of the year [1] - Future inflows from insurance funds and resident funds are anticipated, indicating a multi-channel increase in external capital entering the market [1] Group 3: Catalysts for Growth - Events in the technology sector around the Chinese New Year are expected to maintain market risk appetite, contributing to the overall positive sentiment [1]

Group 1 - Hainan's duty-free sales achieved a strong start in the new year, with sales exceeding 1.21 billion yuan in the first week, representing an 88% year-on-year increase [2] - The number of duty-free shopping transactions reached 824,000, with 149,000 visitors, reflecting growth of 30.3% and 38.3% respectively [2] - Domestic brands are seeing increased sales due to new policies allowing certain categories of goods to be sold in duty-free stores with tax exemptions, enhancing their competitiveness [2] Group 2 - Four government departments have issued a joint opinion to encourage trade unions to increase cultural and sports activities, aiming to unleash consumer potential and meet the growing cultural needs of workers [3] - The opinion suggests increasing the proportion of union funds allocated to cultural and sports activities and promoting collective negotiations for paid vacations [3] Group 3 - The investment outlook for 2026 suggests focusing on high-growth sectors supported by policies and technology, including duty-free shopping, silver-haired tourism, and parenting consumption [4] - New consumption trends are expected to maintain demand, with leading companies in sectors like trendy toys, tea drinks, and health products positioned for growth [4] - Innovations in retail and international expansion are anticipated to create new growth opportunities, with specific companies identified as beneficiaries [4] - The AI+ application sector is expected to flourish in 2026, with accelerated commercialization and various themes emerging [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of Huaxi Securities highlights strong demand in the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector, with significant growth in energy storage and power battery needs, as well as a robust demand for core components in humanoid robots and solar photovoltaic applications driven by low-orbit satellite deployment [1][2] - The report emphasizes the expected acceleration in humanoid robot mass production, driven by domestic and international collaborations, and a strong domestic demand for core components such as precision transmission parts and electronic skin [2] - The outlook for NEV sales remains positive, with expectations of stable growth driven by new policies and increasing electrification rates in commercial vehicles, alongside a high demand for power batteries [3] Group 2 - The deployment of low-orbit satellite constellations is anticipated to significantly boost the demand for solar wings, which are essential for satellite energy supply, as the global competition in this area intensifies [4] - The first 30MW pure hydrogen gas turbine project has achieved breakthroughs in pure hydrogen power generation, indicating broad application potential across various energy supply scenarios [5] - The H200 supply chain is expected to restart, with domestic AI models rapidly evolving, suggesting that suppliers closely tied to major players may benefit significantly from upcoming opportunities [6]

中信建投（601066）研报称，近期铜铝代表的有色，年底走势非常强劲，定价关键战略资源安全以及美 国超预期货币宽松。有色行情本质是定价全球新旧秩序更替，所以铜必将接力金银，铜的行情仍未结 束。13000美元并非本轮铜价终点，看好2026年铜价赔率。 NO.3信达证券（601059）：军工行业催化较多 信达证券研报指出，A股行情的基础依然坚实，年度上存在盈利改善和资金流入共振的可能性。战略 上，该机构认为春节前流动性环境大概率较好，市场可能继续偏强，1月可能会有一些波动。未来1年市 场短期的波动可能来自监管政策和供给放量速度。需要关注监管政策变化的情况，同时，如果股权融资 规模放量速度很快，股市供需格局再次转弱，那么市场也存在波动加大的可能。板块方面，科技板块在 春季行情中通常有明显的超额收益，行情可能围绕产业催化出现扩散。周期板块也是春季行情中的弹性 品种，政策和盈利均有预期。有色金属、储能等行业供需格局较好，价格持续上行。军工行业产业催化 较多，业绩空窗期主题活跃的阶段容易表现强。金融板块中，非银的弹性有望逐步增加。 ｜2026年1月12日星期一｜ NO.1华西证券：把握做多窗口牛市行情或将继续推进 华西证 ...

Core Viewpoint - The light industry and beauty care sector is expected to stabilize and improve by 2026, driven by domestic demand policies and steady export growth, despite facing certain pressures in the broader environment [2] Domestic Demand - The "14th Five-Year Plan" year is anticipated to see an increase in domestic demand policies, coupled with a growing consumer pursuit of high-quality living, which opens up significant growth opportunities for the industry [2][3] Export Potential - The cross-border e-commerce penetration rate has substantial room for improvement, and the improvement of international relations along with the demand boost from emerging markets will further expand the market, injecting momentum into the industry's overseas expansion [2][3] Company Insights - Companies with core technology and brand advantages are expected to seize opportunities, with cutting-edge technology enhancing product competitiveness and brand strength breaking the price-performance competition [2] - These companies are likely to benefit from domestic demand and explore overseas markets through global layouts, leading the growth in the trend of high-quality industry development [2] Investment Focus - **Beauty Sector**: Focus on high-end skincare and makeup brands with Eastern cultural characteristics such as Maogeping (01318) and Lin Qingxuan (02657), as well as companies like Marubi Biotechnology (603983.SH) showing marginal improvements [3] - **Home Furnishing**: Attention on leading companies with strong channel capabilities and multi-category layouts like Oppein Home Group (603833.SH) and Kuka Home (603816.SH), as well as Man Wah Holdings (01999) benefiting from the anticipated recovery in the US real estate market due to Federal Reserve rate cuts [3] - **Two-Wheel & Motorcycle**: The two-wheeler market is generally stable with a natural replacement cycle, and companies like Yadea Technology (01585), Aima Technology (603529.SH), and Ninebot (689009.SH) are under focus as market expectations are currently pessimistic [3] Light Industry Consumption - **Personal Care**: Companies with a big product strategy and all-channel expansion capabilities such as Baiya Co., Ltd. (003006.SZ) and Weigao Medical (300888.SZ) are noteworthy [4] - **Stationery**: Product and channel optimization are key for stationery companies adapting to current consumer trends, with attention on Morning Glory (603899.SH) and Qixin Group (002301.SZ) [4] Jewelry Sector - Focus on Laopu Gold (06181), which is expected to see performance growth due to continuous channel expansion and market breakthroughs [5] Export Companies - Companies with significant technical barriers and brand advantages in high-demand segments such as Haoyang Co., Ltd. (300833.SZ) and Yiyi Co., Ltd. (001206.SZ) are of interest [5]

证券研究报告|宏观研究报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 1 月 11 日 [Table_Title] 逢高配置 [Table_Summary] ► 高波开局，利空情绪释放 新年第一周，债市经历了大幅的止盈或止损行情，这一现象在年初时 点，并不常见。异动背后，或多是情绪作祟，机构卖债的实际诉求可能并 非负债端出现了超预期波动，亦或是其他的短期用款需求。而是在 2025 年多轮调整行情的疤痕效应下，债市投资者对于眼前的各种不确定性或更 加敏感，普遍倾向于提前卸掉久期风险，年初轻装上阵。波动始于情绪， 也容易终于情绪，因而 8-9 日的债市初步修复，其实也并没有强利多逻辑 作为支撑。 观察机构久期变化，以代表性较强的利率债基久期中枢为参考，1 月 以来稳定版本（40 日滚动窗口）的久期中枢测算结果，从 3.58 年渐进回 落至 3.37 年，位于 2025 年以来 4.8%的较低分位数，且与低点 3.31 年相 差无几。灵敏版本（15 日滚动窗口）的久期中枢测算结果为 3.46 年，同 处于 2025年以来的地分位数 14.1%。两组数据均可反映，债市2026年开 局，便已经处于低风险状态，机构的担忧情 ...

Core Viewpoints - The latest strategies from top brokerages indicate a bullish sentiment in the A-share market, with a focus on sectors like technology, traditional manufacturing, and resource pricing power [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14] Group 1: Market Trends - The A-share market is experiencing a "rally" phase, with significant trading volume and a risk appetite resurgence, as evidenced by the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4100 points [4][6] - The market is expected to maintain its upward trajectory until the Spring Festival, driven by favorable macroeconomic indicators and increased participation from institutional investors [3][4][11][13] Group 2: Sector Focus - Brokerages recommend focusing on technology sectors, particularly AI applications, commercial aerospace, and robotics, which are anticipated to benefit from policy support and market trends [3][7][12][14] - Traditional manufacturing and resource sectors are highlighted for their potential in pricing power enhancement, with suggestions to increase allocations in non-bank financials [2][4][8] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investment strategies emphasize a balanced approach, suggesting a mix of growth-oriented and cyclical sectors, with a focus on themes like "anti-involution" and price recovery in industries such as chemicals and metals [7][8][14] - The importance of monitoring market sentiment and performance metrics is stressed, particularly as the market enters a period of earnings announcements and potential volatility [12][13]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 智通财经1月11日讯（编辑 若宇）十大券商最新策略观点新鲜出炉，具体如下： | 券商 | 核心观点 | | --- | --- | | 中信证券 | 继续聚焦资源和传统制造定价权的提升 | | 年西证券 | 把握做多窗口 牛市行情或将继续推进 | | 信达证券 | 市场成交放量风险偏好回升 交易性资金有望回暖接力 | | 中泰证券 | 开年市场新高后或如何演绎? | | 来等班券 | 春季行情短期进入主升阶段 继续聚焦科技成长和周期成长主线 | | 方正证券 | 春季攻势已经展开 配置上建议关注三条主线 | | 浙商证券 | 市场选择直接上攻 均衡配行业、持仓迎春节 | | 光大证券 | 政策红利释放 A股市场热度短期有望延续 | | 东吴证券 | 建议以景气成长为主 | | 中国银河 | A股市场开启"躁动"行情 重点布局结构性投资机会 | 中信证券：继续聚焦资源和传统制造定价权的提升 从当前的量价和风偏指标来看，短期市场热度偏高，但情绪指标还没有转弱迹象，预计主题、小票轮动 的震荡上行格局可能还会延续到两会前后，直至内需预期的上修， ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huaxi Securities indicates that the bull market may continue, with a favorable spring trading window for A-shares as market turnover surpasses 3 trillion yuan [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - A-shares have broken through the upward midpoint of fluctuations, suggesting a positive trend in the market [1] - The PMI and inflation data for December 2025 are better than expected, providing fundamental support for the spring market [1] Group 2: Capital Inflows - There is a significant recovery in the willingness of external funds to enter the market, with accelerated inflows of financing and foreign capital since the beginning of the year [1] - Anticipation of further inflows from insurance funds and resident funds is expected [1] Group 3: Catalysts for Growth - Events in the technology sector around the Chinese New Year are expected to maintain market risk appetite [1]

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 China Chief Economist Forum held in Shanghai emphasized the theme "Chess in the Middle Game: Building a Strong Nation" and highlighted the formation of a policy framework aimed at regulating listings, increasing delisting efforts, encouraging dividends from listed companies, and promoting long-term capital inflow into the market [1][2]. Group 1 - The current market environment has established a framework that includes strict listing regulations, enhanced delisting measures, and encouragement for companies to distribute dividends, alongside efforts to attract long-term capital [1][2]. - The stock market has shown signs of a slow bull market, as evidenced by its performance over the past year and the beginning of the current year [1][2]. - A significant change noted by investors is the establishment of a lower limit in the stock market, which is considered crucial for market stability [1][2]. Group 2 - The future focus should be on maintaining the upward trajectory of the market while ensuring that the downward limits are secured, with expectations for the index to rise from 3800 to 4000 points [1][2]. - If the Shanghai Composite Index can achieve these lower limits, the attractiveness of the stock market is expected to increase significantly [1][2].