Flash | 25 Jan 2026 11:31:03 ET │ 12 pages Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment (300450.SZ) Midpoint of 2025 Preliminary Earnings 5%/2% Ahead of CitiE/Consensus; Buy CITI'S TAKE China's leading EV battery equipment maker Wuxi Lead (Lead) released its2025 preliminary results on 25 January, indicating that 2025 net profit could rise by 424%-529% YoY to Rmb1.50bn-1.80bn. The midpoint of the profit range – Rmb1.65bn – came in at 5%/2% ahead of CitiE/Bloomberg consensus. 2025 recurring profit could also increase by 3 ...

Summary of Lead Intelligent (300450.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Lead Intelligent (300450.SZ) - **Industry**: Battery Equipment Manufacturing - **Market Position**: Approximately 25% global market share in lithium-ion battery intelligent equipment Key Financial Highlights - **FY25 Net Income**: Pre-announced to be between Rmb1,500 million and Rmb1,800 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 424% to 529% with a midpoint of Rmb1,650 million, which is +477% year-over-year and +25% compared to Goldman Sachs' estimate of Rmb1,315 million [1][17] - **4Q25 Net Income**: Expected to be between Rmb314 million and Rmb614 million, with a midpoint of Rmb464 million, significantly higher than Goldman Sachs' estimate of Rmb128 million [1] - **SG&A Ratio Improvement**: SG&A ratio as a percentage of sales decreased from 34%/24%/29% in 2Q24/3Q24/4Q24 to 25%/23%/19% in 1Q25/2Q25/3Q25, contributing to better operational efficiency [1] Growth Projections - **Revenue Growth**: Projected revenue for FY25 is Rmb14,498 million, with further growth expected to Rmb22,430.5 million in FY26 and Rmb27,368.3 million in FY27 [4] - **EPS Growth**: EPS is expected to grow from Rmb0.18 in FY24 to Rmb1.03 in FY25, and further to Rmb1.64 in FY26 [4][10] Market Dynamics - **Battery Equipment Orders**: Growth driven by increasing demand for energy storage systems (ESS), but offset by a deceleration in domestic electric vehicle (EV) demand. Domestic NEV production/retail volume is expected to grow by +15%/+11% in 2026E, down from +30%/+18% in 2025 [2][17] - **Solid-State Battery Orders**: Increasing trial orders noted, although actual commercialization remains a long-term goal [2] - **Space-Based Solar Power Demand**: Emerging demand for solar equipment linked to space-based solar power, although current contributions are low at 10%/5% in 2024/1-3Q25 [16][17] Risks and Challenges - **Market Saturation**: Anticipated deceleration in global battery equipment total addressable market (TAM) due to domestic battery oversupply and reduced overseas expansion targets [17] - **Account Receivables Risk**: Historical reference to 2019-20 period where Lead Intelligent faced a 25% impairment loss as a percentage of operating profit due to slower EV growth and competitive margin pressure [17] - **Valuation Compression**: Expectation of subsequent compression in valuation multiples for the battery equipment sub-sector [17] Investment Rating and Price Target - **Current Rating**: Neutral since December 8, 2022 - **12-Month Price Target**: Raised to Rmb49.30 from Rmb44.1, based on a 2026E P/E of 30x [1][18] Conclusion - Lead Intelligent is positioned for significant growth in net income and revenue, driven by operational efficiencies and market demand for battery equipment. However, challenges such as market saturation and account receivables risk may impact future performance. The current valuation is considered fair relative to revenue and net income estimates for 2025-2030, maintaining a Neutral rating.

记者丨费心懿 光伏锂电设备龙头预告2025年业绩大幅上升，赴港二次上市进程提速。 1月25日晚，先导智能（300450.SZ）公告，2025年度预计归属于上市公司股东的净利润为15-18亿元， 同比大幅增长424.29%—529.15%。其中，第四季度预计实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为3.14—6.14 亿元，而去年同期亏损3.22亿元。 强劲业绩表现和涉足固态电池、钙钛矿等热门题材推动公司市值在去年一度重返千亿水平，去年内股价 涨幅更是超150%。截至1月26日，公司最新市值为969亿元。 编辑丨骆一帆 锂电需求回暖 先导智能的其核心客户囊括全球顶级电池厂商与整车厂，包括比亚迪、LG Energy、特斯拉、大众等； 在光伏领域则为通威股份（600438.SH）、隆基绿能（601012.SH）等龙头提供设备。 据弗若斯特沙利文数据，以2024年收入计，先导智能是全球最大的锂电池智能装备供应商，全球市场份 额为15.5%，中国市场份额19%。 事实上，先导智能业绩回暖的核心驱动是动力电池及储能电池需求进一步复苏。其中，公司在去年第四 季度的盈利大增亦是行业复苏的一大侧写。 值得一提的是，在锂电设备细分赛道，差 ...

光伏锂电设备龙头预告2025年业绩大幅上升，赴港二次上市进程提速。 1月25日晚，先导智能（300450.SZ）公告，2 025年度预计归属于上市公司股东的净利润为15-18亿元，同比大幅增长424.29%—529.15%。 其 中，第四季度预计实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为3.14—6.14亿元，而去年同期亏损3.22亿元。 强劲业绩表现和涉足固态电池、钙钛矿等热门题材推动公司市值在去年一度重返千亿水平，去年内股价涨幅更是超150%。截至1月26日，公司 最新市值为969亿元。 锂电需求回暖 先 导 智 能 的 其 核 心 客 户 囊 括 全 球 顶 级 电 池 厂 商 与 整 车 厂 ， 包 括 比 亚 迪 、 LG Energy 、 特 斯 拉 、 大 众 等 ； 在 光 伏 领 域 则 为 通 威 股 份 （600438.SH）、隆基绿能（601012.SH）等龙头提供设备。 记者丨 费心懿 编辑丨骆一帆 从行业来看，2025年，光伏和锂电产业都进入了激烈的博弈期，而相关设备厂商业绩出现了显著的分野。 锂电设备领域，复苏信号向上传导，尤其在第四季度。激光装备智造龙头海目星（688559.SH）的年报 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电池 先导智能（300450） 2025 年业绩预告点评：业绩符合预期，主业 传统锂电持续增长&固态电池 0-1 受益 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 16,628 | 11,855 | 14,800 | 17,850 | 20,600 | | 同比（%） | 19.35 | (28.71) | 24.84 | 20.61 | 15.41 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,774.57 | 286.10 | 1,654.03 | 2,327.87 | 2,711.58 | | 同比（%） | (23.45) | (83.88) | 478.13 | 40.74 | 16.48 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.13 | 0.18 | 1.06 | 1.49 | 1.73 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 55.73 | 345.69 | 59.80 | ...

项目持续验收，公司业绩符合市场预期： 2025 年公司预计实现归母净利润15-18 亿元，同比增长 424.29%-529.15%，中值为16.5 亿元，同比+477%；扣非净利润预计为14.8-17.8 亿元，同比 +310.83%~394.11%。 按照中值测算，2025Q4 公司归母净利润预计为4.64 亿元，同比大幅扭亏（2024Q4 为-3 亿元）、环比 +4%，主要系随着国内头部电池企业开工率提升、扩产节奏有序加快，公司订单规模同比快速回升，订 单交付与项目验收节奏同步提速。 风险提示：下游扩产不及预期，新品拓展不及预期。 政策&招标催化不断，看好固态电池设备产业化加速：工信部于2025 年9 月对2024 年启动的60 亿元固 态电池重大研发专项进行中期审查，通过审查的项目将获得后续拨款，并可能启动第二轮补贴申报窗 口；国内从上至下的材料厂商、设备厂商、电池厂商、整车厂等均在加大投入，争相推动固态电池产业 化。 覆盖固态电池整线设备，获欧、美、日、韩及国内头部电池玩家重复订单：①前道制程：包括湿法和干 法两条路线，公司已推出高效制浆、混料涂布、混料分散及高剪切等核心设备，并延伸至真空镀锂、固 态 ...

Group 1 - Dongwu Securities issued a report on January 26, giving a "Buy" rating to XianDao Intelligent (300450.SZ) based on several factors [1] - The company's performance meets market expectations due to ongoing project acceptance [1] - The downstream power and energy storage sectors remain highly prosperous, with traditional lithium battery growth continuing [1] - Continuous policy and tender catalysts are expected to accelerate the industrialization of solid-state battery equipment [1] - The company covers solid-state battery production line equipment and has received repeat orders from leading battery players in Europe, the US, Japan, South Korea, and domestically [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Xian Dao Intelligent, is experiencing significant growth in its performance, with a projected net profit increase of 424.29% to 529.15% in 2025, driven by a recovering global battery market and strong demand in the energy storage sector [1][2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of 1.5 billion to 1.8 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 424.29% to 529.15% [1][2]. - The expected non-net profit for 2025 is between 1.48 billion and 1.78 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 310.83% to 394.11% compared to the previous year [1][2]. - In 2023, the company reported a revenue of 16.628 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.35%, but the net profit decreased by 23.45% [2]. - In 2024, the revenue further declined to 11.855 billion yuan, a drop of 28.71%, with net profit plummeting by 83.88% to 286 million yuan [2]. Group 2: Market and Operational Insights - The growth in 2025 is attributed to a recovery in the global power battery market and a strong increase in energy storage demand, alongside a rapid rebound in order scale and delivery pace [1][3]. - The company is enhancing its core competitiveness through increased investment in R&D, focusing on new technologies and products, particularly in solid-state batteries and other advanced battery technologies [3]. - The company has maintained high R&D expenditures, exceeding 1.6 billion yuan for two consecutive years, with over 1.2 billion yuan spent in the first three quarters of 2025 [3]. Group 3: Hong Kong Listing Progress - The company has made significant progress in its Hong Kong listing, with its application approved by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's listing committee [4][5]. - The company aims to use the funds from the Hong Kong listing to support its solid-state battery technology development and global expansion [5]. - The company has established a global presence with 19 overseas subsidiaries in 16 countries, enhancing its global R&D and service capabilities [5].

Company Overview - Company expects a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projected between 1.5 billion to 1.8 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 424.29% to 529.15% [2] - The company anticipates a net profit of 314 million to 614 million yuan in Q4, recovering from a loss of 322 million yuan in the same period last year [2] - The company's market capitalization reached 96.9 billion yuan as of January 26, following a stock price increase of over 150% last year [2] Industry Demand and Performance - The core customers include top global battery manufacturers and automotive companies such as BYD, LG Energy, Tesla, and Volkswagen, as well as leading firms in the photovoltaic sector [4] - The company holds a 15.5% global market share and a 19% share in the Chinese market for lithium battery intelligent equipment, making it the largest supplier in this sector [4] - The recovery in demand for power and energy storage batteries is a key driver of the company's performance, with significant profit growth noted in Q4 [4] Financial Performance and Growth Drivers - The overseas market has become a crucial revenue engine, with overseas revenue accounting for 17.46% of total revenue in the first half of 2025, and a gross margin of 40.27% significantly higher than domestic levels [5] - The company has improved its operational cash flow and overall profitability through cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures [5] Industry Trends and Competitive Landscape - The lithium battery equipment sector is experiencing a recovery, with notable performance differences among equipment manufacturers [6] - The company maintains a gross margin of over 35% in its lithium battery equipment business, while competitors show lower profitability [7] - The company is positioned to benefit from the anticipated acceleration in production expansion by downstream battery manufacturers in 2026, driven by solid-state battery and energy storage demand [7] Strategic Developments - The company has submitted an application for a secondary listing in Hong Kong, marking a significant step in its globalization strategy [8] - If successful, the company will become the first renewable energy equipment manufacturer listed on the Hong Kong stock market, enhancing its global development capabilities [9] - The dual capital platform strategy aims to lower financing costs, improve efficiency, and attract international investors, thereby strengthening the company's competitive position [9]

格隆汇1月26日丨先导智能(300450.SZ)公布，根据本次发行上市的时间安排，公司按照有关规定在香港 联交所网站刊登本次发行聆讯后资料集，该聆讯后资料集为公司根据香港联交所、香港证券及期货事务 监察委员会的要求而刊发，刊发目的仅为提供资讯予香港公众人士和合资格的投资者，除此之外并无任 何其他目的。同时，该聆讯后资料集为草拟版本，其所载资料可能会适时作出更新和变动。 ...