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稀土:从资源龙头到永磁先锋,政策与需求双重驱动下的产业链价值解析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 14:32
从医药、化工、再到军工依然还是轮动的一天!而今日最强的减肥药的思考,之前已经写过了,不再重复了,有兴趣的朋友可以找出来看看,今 日想深挖一下稀土的思考! 一、政策驱动:从资源管控到战略定价权重构 1.1 供给端:配额制度与出口管制的双重收紧 中国作为全球稀土供应链的核心,2025 年稀土开采配额预计维持在 27-28 万吨 REO,同比增速 5%-10%,较前几年 20% 以上的高速增长显著放 缓。政策导向从 "规模扩张" 转向 "质量管控",通过《稀土开采和稀土冶炼分离总量调控管理办法》将进口矿、独居石等所有来源稀土纳入配额 管理,强化国家供给控制权。中重稀土配额连续五年维持 1.92 万吨不变,镝、铽等战略资源稀缺性进一步凸显。 关键影响: 1.2 需求端:新能源与高端制造的双重引擎 稀土永磁材料(NdFeB)成为增长核心,新能源汽车、风电、工业电机及人形机器人等领域需求爆发: 二、市场空间:供需错配下的千亿级蓝海 2.1 全球供需格局:缺口持续扩大 三、价格走势:结构性分化与周期拐点 3.1 轻稀土:触底反弹与成本支撑 3.2 中重稀土:稀缺性与政策溢价 四、产业链价值重构:从资源到技术的全链条升级 4 ...
沪银历史新高,周期如何看?
2025-06-09 01:42
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview Aviation Industry - Boeing's aircraft delivery suspension has a limited impact on the Chinese aviation industry, with three previously suspended aircraft set to be delivered to Xiamen Airlines and China Southern Airlines. China Eastern Airlines plans to introduce 46 Boeing aircraft by 2025, with about 10 already delivered in Q1. These new aircraft represent less than 1% of the total industry fleet of 4,300 aircraft [2][4] - Market expectations suggest that tax rebates may compensate airlines for the delivery suspension, which has not significantly affected stock prices [4] - The summer 2025 aviation market is expected to see good pre-sales, with non-fuel ticket prices projected to achieve double-digit growth, although current seat occupancy rates are lower than last year [5] Express Delivery Industry - The express delivery sector is experiencing price increases, particularly in Yiwu, while intense price wars among major companies have not yielded expected results. The growth rate for Zhongtong's parcel volume in Q1 was only 19%, compared to the industry average of 22% [6] - The price war may reach a temporary bottom if price increases continue, presenting a good opportunity for investment in companies like Zhongtong, Jitu, YTO, and Shentong [6] - The application of unmanned vehicles in the last-mile delivery is rapidly advancing, with SF Express increasing its investment in unmanned vehicles, significantly reducing per-package costs [7][8] Chemical Industry - The CCPI price index has decreased due to oil price fluctuations and the seasonal decline in consumption. The index currently stands at 44,033 points, down one percentage point from the previous week [9] - U.S. inventory growth in March was 3.47%, indicating potential future demand decline, which may affect chemical product exports [10] - OPEC's decision to increase production may impact the chemical industry, with a focus on supply-constrained products [11] Fertilizer Market - Potash fertilizer contract prices have risen, with ongoing tight supply and demand conditions expected to maintain high prices. The price for potash contracts in India is $349 per ton, up $70 year-on-year [13][14] Refrigerant and Vitamin Markets - Refrigerant prices are rising due to increased downstream demand, with R32 reaching 51,000 yuan per ton. Vitamin E prices are expected to rise due to low inventory levels and production halts among leading companies [15] Precious Metals Market - Silver prices are rising due to increased tariffs on copper and aluminum, while platinum and palladium prices are influenced by industrial demand fluctuations. The gold market is currently volatile, with attention on potential risks to the U.S. dollar's credibility [18][19] Oil Market - Brent crude oil prices have risen to $66.65 per barrel, with expectations of fluctuations between $63 and $67 in June. Despite OPEC's production increase, global demand remains tight [20]
A股金属新材料板块竞价活跃,九菱科技高开超5.5%,金力永磁高开4.5%,大地熊、正海磁材、中科磁业等均开涨超2%。
news flash· 2025-06-09 01:29
A股金属新材料板块竞价活跃,九菱科技高开超5.5%,金力永磁高开4.5%,大地熊、正海磁材、中科磁 业等均开涨超2%。 订阅A股市场资讯 +订阅 ...
有色金属行业资金流入榜:洛阳钼业等5股净流入资金超亿元
沪指6月6日上涨0.04%,申万所属行业中,今日上涨的有13个,涨幅居前的行业为有色金属、通信,涨 幅分别为1.16%、1.00%。有色金属行业位居今日涨幅榜首位。跌幅居前的行业为美容护理、纺织服 饰,跌幅分别为1.70%、1.18%。 有色金属行业资金流出榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅(%) | 今日换手率(%) | 主力资金流量(万元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300748 | 金力永磁 | -2.58 | 4.75 | -15028.69 | | 600259 | 广晟有色 | -3.25 | 7.16 | -10604.44 | | 000807 | 云铝股份 | 0.00 | 0.76 | -7611.22 | | 000969 | 安泰科技 | -2.20 | 2.64 | -5690.63 | | 300328 | 宜安科技 | -1.94 | 5.08 | -5276.07 | | 000795 | 英洛华 | -1.94 | 2.00 | -4454.14 | | 300963 | 中洲特材 | 6.26 | 21.72 | -4366 ...
港股午评|恒生指数早盘涨0.42% 金力永磁涨超13%
智通财经网· 2025-06-05 04:07
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.42%, gaining 98 points to close at 23,752 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.92% [1] - Kuaishou-W saw a rise of over 4% due to the launch of its new 2.1 series model, with institutions optimistic about its profitability [1] - Jinli Permanent Magnet surged over 13% as overseas medium and heavy rare earth prices significantly increased, expected to gradually transmit to the domestic market [1] - Hongteng Precision rose over 13% as overseas AI leaders maintain positive capital expenditure plans, benefiting the company's AI business [1] - Xindong Company increased by 6.5% with the launch of the international version of "Yise," and institutions are optimistic about the company's performance growth [1] Group 2 - Weimob Group rose by 4.76% following the upgrade of its Weimob Guide Agent product, positioning the company to benefit from the development of WeChat e-commerce [2] - China National Nuclear Corporation (China Tongfu) increased by over 11% as its fluorine-18 betahistine injection entered Phase III clinical trials [3] - Tianli International Holdings rose nearly 12%, with institutions suggesting that private high school diploma institutions may continue to benefit from a long-term supply-demand gap in the industry [3] - Alibaba Pictures rose by 1%, with institutions optimistic about the sustained box office heat during the summer season, indicating long-term cash flow stability for its To C business [3] - Zhaoke Ophthalmology-B increased by 1.36% after receiving FDA approval for its new drug application for cyclosporine eye gel [3] - Reading Group rose by 5.72% after acquiring a 26.67% stake in Yihua Kaitian, with its IP+AI strategy expected to release more value [3] - Giant Bio fell over 5.63%, having dropped nearly 28% from its previous high, facing ingredient controversies with its skincare brand [3] - Longpan Technology declined over 4% as it plans to issue shares at a nearly 9% discount, raising HKD 117 million [3]
【大涨解读】稀土磁材:稀土出口透明化,海外涨价有望向国内传导,机器人也带来大量增量
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-06-05 02:40
Group 1: Market Performance - Rare earth magnetic material stocks, including Longmag Technology, saw significant gains, with increases exceeding 10% for several companies [1] - Key performers included: - Jinli Permanent Magnet (300748.SZ) with a price of 22.57, up 7.17%, and a market cap of 256 billion [1] - Keheng Co., Ltd. (300340.SZ) at 12.55, up 6.81%, with a market cap of 26.4 billion [1] - Longmag Technology (300835.SZ) at 36.48, up 6.67%, with a market cap of 29.9 billion [1] - Guangsheng Nonferrous (600259.SS) at 54.78, up 5.29%, with a market cap of 184.3 billion [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - China has implemented export controls in the rare earth sector, causing global automotive manufacturers to express concerns and consider relocating some production to China [2] - The introduction of a tracking system for the rare earth magnet industry indicates that export controls may become a long-term policy [2] Group 3: Price Trends and Demand - Since 2024, rare earth prices have been low, but the introduction of export controls has led to a significant price increase for overseas medium and heavy rare earths, stimulating demand for inventory replenishment [3] - The humanoid robot market is projected to create a demand equivalent to a new rare earth permanent magnet market, with potential sales of 10 million units translating to 20-40 thousand tons of rare earth materials [3] - The primary export markets for rare earth products are Europe, Southeast Asia, Japan, and South Korea, with ongoing approval processes for export licenses [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The global electric vehicle market is expected to grow significantly, with sales projected to reach 18.236 million units in 2024, a 24.4% increase year-on-year, with China contributing 70.5% of the total sales [4] - Continued policy support and increasing consumer acceptance are expected to drive sustained growth in the electric vehicle market, thereby increasing demand for rare earth magnetic materials [4]
金力永磁(300748) - H股公告-证券变动月报表
2025-06-04 12:02
股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年5月31日 狀態: 新提交 本月底法定/註冊股本總額: RMB 1,344,771,235 FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 江西金力永磁科技股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年6月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06680 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 200,745,600 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 200,745,600 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 2 ...
金力永磁(300748) - 关于回购公司A股股份的进展公告
2025-06-04 09:12
根据相关规定,公司正在办理证券公司资金账户开立、银行第三方资金存管 等回购前相关手续。 截至 2025 年 5 月 31 日,公司暂未实施股份回购。 二、其他说明 证券代码:300748 证券简称:金力永磁 公告编号:2025-035 江西金力永磁科技股份有限公司 关于回购公司 A 股股份的进展公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整,没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 江西金力永磁科技股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于 2025 年 4 月 25 日 召开第四届董事会第六次会议及第四届监事会第五次会议,并于 2025 年 5 月 28 日召开了 2024 年年度股东大会,审议通过《关于<回购公司股份方案>的议案》: 同意公司使用公司自有资金或自筹资金(股票回购专项贷款等)以集中竞价交易 方式回购公司 A 股股份,其中自筹资金(股票回购专项贷款等)占回购资金总额 比例不超过 90%,回购股份的资金总额不低于人民币 10,000 万元(含),不超 过人民币 20,000 万元(含),回购价格不超过人民币 31.18 元/股(含),本次回 购的股份将依法全部用于注销并减少注册资本。具体内 ...
飙升!刚刚,猛拉20cm涨停!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-06-04 04:55
Market Overview - A-shares showed positive performance with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.43% to 3376.58, Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.91% to 10148.98, and ChiNext Index up by 1.22% to 2027.16 [2][4] - The total trading volume in the market was 742.5 billion yuan, slightly lower than the previous day [4] Sector Performance - The communication, non-ferrous metals, and textile sectors experienced gains, while sectors like aviation transport and smart logistics struggled [4] - The rare earth permanent magnet concept stocks were notably active, with Kexin Co., Ltd. hitting the 20% daily limit up [10][12] Notable Stocks - Kexin Co., Ltd. rose by 20.02% to 11.75 yuan, while Guangsheng Nonferrous gained 10.00% to 52.03 yuan [11] - In the beverage sector, Xiangpiaopiao reached the daily limit up, and Pinwo Foods surged over 13% [14][15] - The tourism sector saw Emei Mountain A stock hitting the daily limit up, with Changbai Mountain and Dalian Shengya also showing significant gains [16][17] Financial Sector - The financial sector showed strength, with Nanhua Futures gaining 9.99% to 15.74 yuan and Everbright Securities up by 8.33% to 18.20 yuan [19][20]
A股,突然拉升!稀土永磁,领涨!
证券时报· 2025-06-04 04:29
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed overall strength on June 4, with the rare earth permanent magnet concept leading the gains [1][5][6]. A-share Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a significant rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.43%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.91%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.22% at midday [5]. - Nearly 4,000 stocks in the market saw an increase [5]. - Key sectors such as comprehensive, communication, non-ferrous metals, and social services all recorded gains exceeding 1% [6]. Rare Earth Permanent Magnet Sector - The rare earth permanent magnet sector was notably strong, with companies like Keheng Co. hitting the daily limit with a 20.02% increase, and Jiuling Technology seeing a peak increase of over 11% [6][7]. - Other companies in this sector, such as Guangsheng Nonferrous and Zhongke Magnetic, also experienced significant gains [6]. Hong Kong Market Performance - The Hong Kong market also showed strength, with the Hang Seng Index constituents like CSPC Pharmaceutical Group and China Biologic Products leading with gains exceeding 5% [2][14]. - China General Nuclear Power Corporation saw a dramatic rise, with its stock price increasing by over 30% during trading [3][15]. Market Volatility and Stock Movements - Several stocks in the A-share market experienced consecutive trading halts, indicating high volatility [9]. - Companies like Gongchuang Turf and Zhongheng Design reported significant price fluctuations, with Gongchuang Turf's stock price deviating by 20% over two consecutive trading days [10][11]. International Context - Concerns were raised regarding China's rare earth exports potentially causing shortages in the automotive industry in Europe, the U.S., and India, prompting questions about possible export policy adjustments [8].