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歧路无喧,电启新程——公用事业行业2025年度中期投资策略
2025-07-09 02:40
歧路无喧,电启新程——公用事业行业 2025 年度中期投 资策略 20250708 十四五期间是一个明确分水岭,与十三五及以前产业逻辑和经营环境截然不同。 从十四五末复盘来看,火电竞争环境可以分为两类投资范式:新兴范式和古典 范式。 新兴范式指游戏规则重大改变时市场行情演绎逻辑。例如 21 年的碳中 和重塑行业估值体系,以及夏季煤价上行至 2000 元以上水平,引发政策干预 讨论;22 年的夏季缺电影响巨大主题。然而,这种情景可遇不可求,大部分情 况下遵循古典投资范式,即游戏规则无重大改变时从基本面视角看全年最确定 窗口期集中在 3 月中下旬至 7 月左右。在此期间市场基于煤炭淡季环比价格上 行压力达成阶段性边际共识,通过煤价边际映射修正年初市场对火电竞盈利极 度悲观或不信任预期。 今年宏观背景下,上半年走势契合古典投资范式。尽管 全国高温席卷而来,但自 22 年夏天起全国发电供给积极性重新调动,大量供 摘要 煤炭价格下跌并未显著提升火电估值,市场主要基于远期盈利修复进行 定价。2025 年二季度煤价同比大幅下跌,但容量电价和企业策略优化 使得上网电价降幅优于预期,龙头公司股息率具吸引力,如华能国际港 股股息 ...
公用事业行业双周报(2025、6、20-2025、7、3):南方区域电力市场启动连续结算试运行-20250704
Dongguan Securities· 2025-07-04 09:10
公用事业 超配(维持) 公用事业行业双周报(2025/6/20-2025/7/3) 南方区域电力市场启动连续结算试运行 投资要点: 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息,关于信息的准确性与完整性,建议投资者谨慎判断,据此入市,风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 行 业 周 报 分析师:苏治彬 SAC 执业证书编号: S0340523080001 电话:0769-22110925 邮箱: suzhibin@dgzq.com.cn 分析师:刘兴文 SAC 执业证书编号: S0340522050001 电话:0769-22119416 邮箱: liuxingwen@dgzq.com.cn 行业指数走势 资料来源:iFinD,东莞证券研究所 相关报告 证 券 研 究 报 告 行 业 研 2025 年 7 月 4 日 究 ◼ 行情回顾:截至7月3日,近两周申万公用事业指数上涨1.0%,跑输沪深 300指数2.2个百分点,在31个申万行业中排第28名;年初至今,申万公 用事业指数下跌0.02%,跑输沪深300指数0.9个百分点,在31个申万行 业中排第23名。 ◼ 分板块来看,近两周申万公用事业指数的子 ...
6月24日晚间重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 10:33
Group 1 - China State Construction won multiple major projects with a total amount of 21.53 billion yuan, accounting for 1.0% of the audited revenue for 2024 [1] - Zhongtai Chemical's subsidiary has fully launched a methanol upgrading demonstration project, which will further reduce production costs [1] - Wide Special Materials expects a net profit increase of approximately 367.51% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, driven by improved demand and internal optimization [1][2] Group 2 - Longdi Group plans to exercise its preferential subscription rights to participate in the convertible bond issuance of its associate company, Yongqi Electronics, with an investment of no more than 89.249 million yuan [3] - Dayou Energy's subsidiary Mengjin Coal Mine has resumed production after a 38-day suspension due to an accident, with an annual capacity of 1.2 million tons [5] - Shanying International plans to repurchase shares worth between 500 million and 1 billion yuan, with a maximum repurchase price of 2.50 yuan per share [7] Group 3 - Huatai Securities has been approved to issue up to 10 billion yuan in technology innovation bonds to support investment in the technology innovation sector [9] - Weixin Kang's cooperative product, an injectable multivitamin, has passed the consistency evaluation, enhancing its market potential [10] - Jinpu Titanium's controlling shareholder will have 35 million shares auctioned, accounting for 3.55% of the company's total share capital [11] Group 4 - China Pharmaceutical plans to waive its preferential purchase rights for a 24% stake in Chongqing Medical Health Industry Co., with a base transfer price of 2.206 billion yuan [12] - Beijia Clean plans to reduce its shareholding by 1.99% due to funding needs [13] - Anpelon has obtained a design patent for a brake sensor, enhancing its technological capabilities [14] Group 5 - Zhongyue Holdings' subsidiary has received approval for a clinical trial application for a new drug, indicating progress in its pharmaceutical development [14] - Lijun Group's YJH-012 injection has been approved for clinical trials, showcasing its potential in treating gout [16] - Yageer has sold financial assets totaling 4.176 billion yuan, representing 10.13% of its audited net assets for 2024 [15] Group 6 - Tailing Micro expects a net profit increase of approximately 267% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, driven by customer demand and product sales [19] - Baotai plans to invest 287 million yuan to acquire a 51% stake in Shaanxi Wanhao Titanium Technology Co., enhancing its production capabilities [21] - Laime Pharmaceutical has received a drug registration certificate for azithromycin granules, expanding its product portfolio [23] Group 7 - KQ Bio has received approval for a new veterinary vaccine, marking a significant advancement in its product offerings [25] - Robotech signed a contract worth approximately 17.1 million euros, representing over 12.82% of its audited revenue for 2024 [26] - Alloy Investment is planning a control change, leading to a temporary suspension of its stock [27] Group 8 - Huabang Health's subsidiary has received approval for two dermatological drugs, indicating growth in its pharmaceutical pipeline [28] - Lingxiao Pump Industry plans to invest 60 million yuan in wealth management products, optimizing its financial strategy [29] - Jinzhong Technology has won projects totaling 113 million yuan, accounting for 6.39% of its expected revenue for 2024 [31] Group 9 - Yifan Pharmaceutical's subsidiary has received approval for a clinical trial of a growth hormone injection, indicating progress in its research and development [32] - Guiguan Electric plans to invest 395 million yuan in a photovoltaic project, reflecting its commitment to renewable energy [33] - Rili Technology intends to repurchase shares worth between 10 million and 20 million yuan, supporting its stock performance [34] Group 10 - Xingye Securities' chairman has resigned, leading to a change in leadership [35] - Jinko Solar has achieved third-party certification for its high-efficiency solar cells, setting a new industry record [37] - Changan Automobile's controlling shareholder has changed its name, reflecting a rebranding effort [38]
“共推绿色经济高质量发展” 深圳绿色交易所与环球绿色合作编制国家方法学
Zhong Guo Chan Ye Jing Ji Xin Xi Wang· 2025-06-16 03:16
此次合作,环球绿色及深圳绿交所将组建专业团队,并将完成多项《国家方法学》及配套《编制说明》,此次方法学编订以四大类别为主体,类别下包括的 行业有︰汽车工业,电池工业,建筑工业,能源工业,光伏工业,BIPV,风力发电,水力发电,甲烷及甲醛工业,氢工业,农地,草原等等。此次合作标 志着双方在碳信用开发与低碳技术领域的深度融合,项目聚焦数据调研、模型构建及行业适配性研究,提供可复制的减排路径,助力国家"双碳"目标实现。 方法学是碳市场的基础规则,通过技术创新与行业协同,推动碳资产价值释放,方法学的标准化将加速行业低碳转型,为企业创造可持续的绿色收益,为全 球气候治理贡献中国方案。碳减排方法学的应用对相关行业经济拉动效应显著。以能源领域为例,全球范围内基于方法学的能效提升项目已带动超过数十万 亿元的产业增值;农业减排方法学在欧盟碳市场实施后,推动相关技术研发及服务市场规模持续增长。此次合作编制的建筑领域方法学,预计可激活国内绿 色建材、智能建造等产业链,潜在市场规模或达万亿元;燃料飞逸性排放方法学则有望推动油气行业减排技术投资增长,撬动超万亿元的低碳技术市场。 深圳绿色交易所有限公司(以下简称"深圳绿交所")与环球资 ...
华能水电: 华能澜沧江水电股份有限公司2024年度向特定对象发行A股股票募集资金使用可行性分析报告(修订稿)
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-09 13:09
华能澜沧江水电股份有限公司 募集资金使用可行性分析报告(修订稿) 华能澜沧江水电股份有限公司(以下简称"华能水电"或"公司")为满足 公司业务发展的资金需求、增强公司的盈利能力和抗风险能力,拟向特定对象发 行 A 股股票募集资金,公司编制了《华能澜沧江水电股份有限公司 2024 年度向 特定对象发行 A 股股票募集资金使用可行性分析报告(修订稿)》(以下简称"本 报告")。 本报告中如无特别说明,相关用语与《华能澜沧江水电股份有限公司 2024 年度向特定对象发行 A 股股票预案(修订稿)》中具有相同的含义。 一、本次募集资金使用计划 公司本次向特定对象发行 A 股股票的募集资金总额不超过人民币 58.25 亿元 (含本数),扣除发行费用后的募集资金净额将投入以下项目: 单位:亿元 序号 募集资金投资项目 项目投资总额 募集资金拟投入额 资本性投入金额 合计 约 784 58.25 58.25 在本次向特定对象发行股票募集资金到位之前,公司将根据募集资金投资项 目的实际情况,以自筹资金先行投入,并在募集资金到位后按照相关法规规定的 程序予以置换。 若扣除发行费用后的实际募集资金净额少于上述项目拟投入募集资金总 ...
顺发恒业: 关于全资子公司以资本公积转增注册资本后减资的公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-06 08:08
Group 1 - The core point of the announcement is that Shunfa Hengye's wholly-owned subsidiary, Shunfa Nengcheng, will increase its registered capital by converting capital reserves and subsequently reduce its registered capital, optimizing resource allocation and aligning with the company's strategic development needs [1][2]. - Shunfa Nengcheng's registered capital will change from 23.00 billion RMB to 15.00 billion RMB after the capital reserve conversion, with the company maintaining a 100% ownership stake [1][2]. - The decision to reduce capital is based on the strategic shift away from traditional real estate development, allowing the company to recover 22.50 billion RMB in excess funds [2]. Group 2 - The impact of this capital adjustment is expected to enhance the company's resource allocation and business development capabilities, aligning with long-term goals and shareholder interests without significantly affecting the company's consolidated financial statements or normal operations [2]. - In the fiscal year 2024, Shunfa Nengcheng reported revenues of 15,237.83 million RMB and a net profit of 6,452.24 million RMB, indicating its operational performance prior to the capital changes [1].
梅雁吉祥拟3240万元出售水泥产能指标 回笼资金2904万元加速低碳产业转型
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-06-04 17:08
长江商报奔腾新闻记者徐佳 其中,因对前期合并广州国测规划信息技术有限公司形成的商誉资产计提商誉减值准备,以及受客观经 济环境影响,地理信息行业回款难度加大,公司增加计提信用减值损失,使得梅雁吉祥2024年继续亏 损。 截至2024年末,梅雁旋窑上述生产线待处理固定资产原值为3.05亿元,固定资产减值准备7665.28万元, 累计折旧1.34亿元,净值为9441.86万元。 值得关注的是,A股上市公司上峰水泥(000672.SZ)持有本次交易受让方铜陵上峰35.5%股权。 梅雁吉祥认为,公司通过处置高耗产能优化公司资产结构,所获资金用于绿色能源领域的战略布局,加 速向低碳产业转型;主动契合"双碳"目标下的产业升级趋势,推动企业向绿色低碳发展模式转型。 梅雁吉祥同时表示,本次转让60万吨/年水泥熟料产能指标扣除各项税费后可收回现金约2904万元。转 让完成后梅雁旋窑将依法关停并拆除窑炉等主体设备,因目前设备尚未拆除,后续仍有处置收益,房屋 建筑仍有使用价值,本次产能指标转让损益最终影响金额以年度会计师审计报告为准。 不过,在推进产业转型的过程中,梅雁吉祥业绩承压。2023年和2024年,梅雁吉祥分别实现营业收入 ...
黔源电力:5月19日召开业绩说明会,投资者参与
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-19 11:12
Core Viewpoint - The company, Qianyuan Power, is experiencing significant growth in its main business of hydropower generation, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit in the first quarter of 2025, indicating a strong performance despite rising costs and financial expenses [6]. Company Performance - In Q1 2025, Qianyuan Power reported a main revenue of 401 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 53.88% - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 51.8465 million yuan, up 348.38% year-on-year - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 51.2663 million yuan, an increase of 353.21% year-on-year - The company's debt ratio stands at 55.11%, with investment income at -1.2394 million yuan and financial expenses at 52.6612 million yuan, while the gross profit margin is 52.55% [6]. Industry Outlook - The integrated circuit testing industry is expected to grow rapidly due to the increasing domestic chip localization rate and the rising complexity and integration of chips, which will drive demand for testing services [2][3]. - The shift of the global integrated circuit industry towards domestic markets, supported by national policies, is anticipated to create significant opportunities for the domestic third-party testing market [3]. - The company aims to enhance its core competitiveness in the integrated circuit field through a strategy focused on market orientation and technological innovation [5]. Financial Forecast - Various institutions have provided profit forecasts for Qianyuan Power, with net profit predictions for 2025 ranging from 413 million yuan to 453 million yuan, and for 2026, predictions range from 423 million yuan to 530 million yuan [9]. - The average target price set by institutions for the stock is 18.81 yuan, with four institutions rating it as a buy and one as hold [7].
公用事业行业双周报(2025、4、25-2025、5、8):国家能源局发布《中国氢能发展报告(2025)-20250509
Dongguan Securities· 2025-05-09 10:15
相关报告 证 券 研 究 报 告 超配(维持) 公用事业行业双周报(2025/4/25-2025/5/8) 分析师:苏治彬 SAC 执业证书编号: S0340523080001 邮箱: 国家能源局发布《中国氢能发展报告(2025)》 2025 年 5 月 9 日 投资要点: 电话:0769-22110925 suzhibin@dgzq.com.cn 行业指数走势 资料来源:iFinD,东莞证券研究所 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息,关于信息的准确性与完整性,建议投资者谨慎判断,据此入市,风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 公用事业 公用事业行业双周报(2025/4/25-2025/5/8) 行 业 周 报 行 业 研 究 分析师:刘兴文 ◼ 行情回顾:截至5月8日,近两周申万公用事业指数上涨0.9%,跑输沪深 300指数0.9个百分点,在31个申万行业中排第22名;年初至今,申万公 用事业指数下跌1.3%,跑赢沪深300指数0.8个百分点,在31个申万行业 中排第21名。 ◼ 分板块来看,近两周申万公用事业指数的子板块涨多跌少,其中6个子 板块上涨,热力服务板块上涨3.4%,光伏发电板 ...