行 业 及 产 业 轻工制造 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 黄莎 A0230522010002 huangsha@swsresearch.com 屠亦婷 A0230512080003 tuyt@swsresearch.com 庞盈盈 A0230522060003 pangyy@swsresearch.com 张海涛 A0230524080003 zhanght@swsresearch.com 魏雨辰 A0230525010001 weiyc@swsresearch.com 联系人 魏雨辰 A0230525010001 weiyc@swsresearch.com 2026 年 02 月 26 日 关注关税政策变化、AI 眼镜新品催 化；家居和内需消费有望边际改善 看好 ——造纸轻工周报 2026/02/09-2026/02/23 本期投资提示： ⚫ 重点提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 相关研究 - 汇率大幅波动的风险；关税预期波动的风险 ⚫ 1）出口：关税政策变化，海外下游存补库预期，推荐 Alpha ...

Corporate Structure and Governance - The company plans to cancel its supervisory board, transferring its functions to the audit committee of the board, aiming to enhance governance efficiency [1] - As the exclusive optical lens partner for Xiaomi's AI glasses, the business is progressing smoothly, with the average retail price of AI glasses lenses exceeding expectations at nearly 800 yuan [2] Performance and Operating Conditions - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 626 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.39%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 149 million yuan, up 8.83% [3] - The company maintained a stable gross margin of 57.95%, with R&D expenses increasing by 44.41%, indicating a greater investment in technology [3] Stock Price and Fund Performance - The company was officially included in the CSI 1000 Index on January 9, 2026, which may increase its demand in index funds [4] - Recent stock price fluctuations have been influenced by capital flow, with a net outflow of 11.6064 million yuan on February 4, 2026, but the long-term industry outlook remains supported by the growth in AI glasses shipments [4] Business Development - The company continues to launch high-end product lines, such as the Tianji series lenses, focusing on material innovation and domestic substitution [5] - The rising interest in smart wearables warrants attention to the company's developments in AR/VR fields, particularly its deepening collaborations with companies like Xiaomi [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 48.51 yuan, maintaining the rating [3][6]. Core Insights - The company's main business has shown remarkable growth, with PMC Ultra Bright series revenue increasing by 53.7% year-on-year. The three star products account for 56.3% of the revenue from regular lenses, and the upgraded 1.74 series lenses saw a 112.4% increase in sales year-on-year [2]. - The company has established strategic partnerships, including becoming a partner with China Aerospace and collaborating with Aier Eye Hospital, which enhances its market position [2]. - The company is also benefiting from the growth of AI glasses, with government subsidies expected to accelerate market penetration. The first batch of 625 billion yuan in subsidies will provide a 15% subsidy for AI glasses priced at or below 6000 yuan, significantly lowering the consumer price threshold [3]. Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 8.35 billion yuan, 9.25 billion yuan, and 10.26 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 8.43%, 10.70%, and 11.00% respectively. The net profit is expected to be 2.01 billion yuan, 2.27 billion yuan, and 2.60 billion yuan for the same period, with corresponding growth rates of 13.54%, 13.27%, and 14.53% [6][8]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 1.00 yuan in 2025 to 1.29 yuan in 2027, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 40.2x, 35.5x, and 31.0x for the years 2025 to 2027 [8][9]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has positioned itself as the exclusive optical partner for Xiaomi's AI glasses, with cumulative revenue from this partnership reaching 6.51 million yuan. This collaboration has significantly improved the profitability of individual products [2]. - The innovative OMO (Online-Merge-Offline) model has been implemented, providing comprehensive services in over 400 selected stores nationwide, which has enhanced conversion efficiency and attracted interest from other brands seeking to replicate this model [2][6].

Group 1 - The entertainment products sector increased by 1.66% on January 29, with Zhejiang Natural leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] - Key stocks in the entertainment products sector showed significant price increases, with Zhejiang Natural rising by 10.02% to a closing price of 26.90 [1] Group 2 - The entertainment products sector saw a net inflow of 90.47 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 46.39 million yuan [2] - Major stocks like Zhujiang Piano and Zhejiang Natural had substantial net inflows from main funds, with Zhujiang Piano receiving 66.66 million yuan [3] - Retail investors showed a negative trend in several stocks, with significant outflows from Zhujiang Piano and Zhejiang Natural [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the smart glasses industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this sector [6][75]. Core Insights - The smart glasses industry is expected to enter a rapid growth phase, with related companies poised to benefit from an upturn in market conditions [6][75]. - The report highlights that AI glasses without display functions are likely to meet the underlying demand logic of traditional eyewear, potentially leading to quicker market penetration [2][6]. Summary by Sections Product Development and Market Penetration - Continuous improvement in product capabilities is anticipated, with sales expected to increase. Key factors affecting rapid market penetration include reliance on traditional offline channels for final delivery, the need for lightweight materials for comfort, battery capacity constraints, and the performance of SoC chips [4][24][32][33][38]. Market Trends and Projections - The report draws parallels with the smart watch market, predicting that AI glasses will have a penetration rate of only 0.1% in 2024, similar to the early stages of smart watches. It forecasts that global AI glasses shipments will reach 291 million units by 2034, with a CAGR of 55.16% from 2025 to 2034 [21][23][75]. Key Product Launches - The report discusses the launch of Ray-Ban Meta, which features significant improvements in audio and video quality, and integrates with Meta's social platforms, enhancing user experience and application scenarios [10][11][15][71]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in leading domestic lens brand Mingyue Lens and company Inpai, which are expected to benefit from the industry's growth. Mingyue Lens is actively collaborating with top brands in the industry, while Inpai is expanding into the smart sports equipment sector [6][75][76].

Market Overview - The entertainment products sector increased by 0.43% on January 23, with Qixin Group leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4136.16, up 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14439.66, up 0.79% [1] Stock Performance - Qixin Group (002301) closed at 8.38, up 3.08%, with a trading volume of 368,300 shares and a transaction value of 306 million yuan [1] - Tongda Chuangzhi (001368) closed at 28.90, up 2.30%, with a trading volume of 35,300 shares and a transaction value of 101 million yuan [1] - Huali Technology (301011) closed at 28.15, up 1.88%, with a trading volume of 28,800 shares and a transaction value of 80.81 million yuan [1] - Mingyue Optical (301101) closed at 44.80, up 1.86%, with a trading volume of 39,400 shares and a transaction value of 176 million yuan [1] - Zhejiang Zhengte (001238) closed at 57.41, up 1.79%, with a trading volume of 6,672 shares and a transaction value of 38.09 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The entertainment products sector experienced a net outflow of 165 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 145 million yuan [2] - The sector's overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors are actively buying [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Qixin Group had a net inflow of 26.39 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 2.38 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - Yingpais (002899) saw a net inflow of 12.42 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 16.35 million yuan [3] - Guangbo Co. (002103) had a net inflow of 5.94 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 11.49 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The AI glasses industry is expected to enter a rapid growth phase, driven by technological breakthroughs and new product launches, benefiting companies within the supply chain [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The AI glasses supply chain is larger and more complex than traditional eyewear, incorporating various electronic components and a wider range of participating manufacturers [2]. - Key players in the AI glasses market include smartphone manufacturers, internet companies, XR firms, traditional eyewear brands, and 3C companies, with XR startups collaborating with traditional eyewear manufacturers [2]. Group 2: Sales Growth - Domestic AI glasses sales are projected to reach 210,000 units by Q3 2025, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of approximately 200%, primarily driven by brands like Xiaomi and Ray-Ban Meta [3]. - Notable product launches include Xiaomi AI glasses, which are expected to surpass total sales of 300,000 units by the end of 2025, and Alibaba's Quark AI glasses, which have seen strong pre-sale demand [3]. - Ray-Ban Meta's global sales are anticipated to reach 1.12 million units by Q3 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of nearly 50% [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the AI glasses industry is entering a rapid growth phase, driven by technological breakthroughs and new product launches, leading to an upturn in the industry cycle for related companies [1][4] - The supply chain for AI glasses is more extensive than traditional eyewear, involving a larger number of participants, including hardware suppliers (chips, sensors, audio, Bluetooth), software providers, and ODM/OEM manufacturers [3] - XR startups typically collaborate with traditional eyewear manufacturers, with wearable device-related companies making up 45% of the entrants in the AI glasses market [3] Group 2 - The launch of Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses marks a new product cycle, featuring improved audio and video quality, and integration with Meta's social platforms [2] - Domestic AI glasses sales are rapidly increasing, with a reported 210,000 units sold in Q3 2025, a 200% quarter-on-quarter growth, driven by brands like Xiaomi and Ray-Ban Meta [4] - Xiaomi's AI glasses are projected to sell over 300,000 units by the end of 2025, while Alibaba's Quark AI glasses have seen strong pre-sale demand, with initial batches selling out quickly [4]

Investment Rating - The report rates the smart glasses industry as "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The smart glasses industry is expected to enter a rapid growth phase, with related companies poised to benefit from an upturn in market conditions. Recommended companies include Mingyue Lens, which is actively collaborating with leading brands in the industry, and Inpai, which is accelerating its layout in the smart sports equipment sector [2][66] - The launch of the Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses marks a new cycle in smart glasses products, featuring improved audio and video quality, and integration with Meta's social platforms [2][66] - The supply chain for smart glasses has expanded significantly, incorporating more electronic components compared to traditional eyewear, with a diverse range of manufacturers involved [2] Summary by Sections New Product Developments - The domestic AI glasses market has seen a rapid increase in sales, with 210,000 units sold in Q3 2025, a 200% quarter-on-quarter growth. Major contributors include Xiaomi, Ray-Ban Meta, and others [5][8] - Xiaomi's AI glasses are projected to surpass 300,000 units sold by the end of 2025, while the Ray-Ban Meta has achieved global sales of 1.12 million units in Q3 2025, reflecting a nearly 50% increase [5][6] Key Players and Products - Major AR glasses manufacturers are actively launching new products, including: - Ray-Ban V3 by FFALCON, released in January 2025 - INMO Air 3, set to launch in November 2024 - Rokid Glass, expected to be available in June 2025 [6][15] - The report highlights the emergence of unicorn brands in the AI glasses sector, with valuations exceeding 1 billion RMB for companies like INMO and Rokid [11] Market Trends and Projections - The CES 2026 event is expected to showcase a significant increase in AI glasses exhibitors, with 55 companies participating, up from over 30 in 2025 [11][14] - The report anticipates continued innovation in 2026, with major tech companies like Google and Apple planning to release new AI glasses [14] Financial Projections - Financial forecasts for key companies in the smart glasses sector indicate a positive outlook, with Mingyue Lens and Inpai both rated as "Buy" based on their earnings per share (EPS) projections for 2025 to 2027 [68]

Market Overview - The entertainment products sector increased by 0.01% on January 20, with Qixin Group leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4113.65, down by 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14155.63, down by 0.97% [1] Top Performers - Qixin Group (002301) closed at 8.19, up by 3.02%, with a trading volume of 407,800 shares and a transaction value of 330 million yuan [1] - Chenguang Group (6688809) closed at 28.25, up by 1.99%, with a trading volume of 79,000 shares and a transaction value of 221 million yuan [1] - Source Medical (001222) closed at 23.92, up by 1.57%, with a trading volume of 29,400 shares and a transaction value of 70.11 million yuan [1] Underperformers - Hailun Piano (300329) closed at 15.20, down by 5.00%, with a trading volume of 86,000 shares and a transaction value of 132 million yuan [2] - Zhejiang Natural (605080) closed at 25.80, down by 4.83%, with a trading volume of 77,600 shares and a transaction value of 202 million yuan [2] - Gaole Shares (002348) closed at 6.02, down by 3.22%, with a trading volume of 314,400 shares and a transaction value of 192 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The entertainment products sector saw a net inflow of 3.75 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 101 million yuan [2] - The sector's overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional buying and retail selling [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Mingyue Lens (301101) had a net inflow of 27.42 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 26.08 million yuan [3] - Qixin Group (002301) experienced a net inflow of 25.44 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors facing a net outflow of 44.78 million yuan [3] - Guangbo Shares (002103) had a net inflow of 17.20 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 31.73 million yuan [3]