Adobe Inc. ( ADBE ) is still feeling the investor burn despite a slight rebound from its 52-week lows in the low $260/share range. The declines have come in the wake of a reckoningAnalyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no bu ...

Adobe Inc. ( ADBE ) is still feeling the investor burn despite a slight rebound from its 52-week lows in the low $260/share range. The declines have come in the wake of a reckoningAnalyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no bu ...

The severity of the pullback in software stocks in recent days, driven by fears of advances in artificial intelligence disrupting the industry, has created opportunities for investors to position for ... ...

Core Insights - The S&P 500 has increased by 68% since the launch of OpenAI's ChatGPT in November 2022, primarily driven by gains in big tech stocks, while companies like McDonald's and Starbucks have also benefited from AI-driven productivity expectations [1] - Adobe has faced significant challenges, with its shares down 21% due to fears that AI content-creation technologies may render its services obsolete [2] - Despite the negative sentiment, Adobe reported record revenue of $19.41 billion for the fiscal year following ChatGPT's debut, with a 17% year-over-year earnings growth [5] Financial Performance - Adobe's revenue and net income have shown consistent growth over the past few fiscal years, with revenue increasing from $17.61 billion in 2022 to $23.77 billion in 2025, representing an 11% year-over-year growth in 2025 [6][7] - Net income rose from $4.76 billion in 2022 to $7.13 billion in 2025, indicating strong financial health despite market challenges [6][7] - Earnings per share (EPS) increased from $10.10 in 2022 to $16.70 in 2025, reflecting the company's ability to enhance shareholder value [7] Market Sentiment - There is a rising short interest in Adobe's stock, reaching an eight-year high, indicating growing pessimism among investors [4] - The media has raised concerns about Adobe's future, with some questioning whether it is a "falling knife" [3] - Despite bearish sentiment, there are arguments suggesting that the current market outlook may overlook Adobe's strong fundamentals and growth potential [4]

Market Sentiment - The S&P 500 is near record levels, but overall market sentiment feels cautious despite positive economic indicators [1][2] - The market has experienced a persistent rally over the past few years, climbing a "wall of worry" [2] Dollar Dynamics - Concerns about dollar debasement are influencing stock market performance; the stock market's gains may be necessary to keep pace with a declining dollar [3] Earnings Growth - Overall earnings growth remains strong, with some sectors like energy showing a comeback, despite concerns in the software sector [4] Software Sector Analysis - Selective buying in the software sector is advised, with companies like ServiceNow expected to benefit from AI, while others like monday.com face risks of being easily replicated [6][8] Energy Sector Performance - The energy sector has been the best-performing group this year after a period of underperformance, although the portfolio has not heavily rotated into this sector [9] Investment Strategy - The investment strategy focuses on durable compounders such as Visa, Mastercard, and Meta, which have strong moats and consistent earnings growth [10] Gold and Silver Market - Central bank buying and U.S. government deficit spending are expected to drive gold prices higher over the next several years, despite short-term volatility [13] - The recent Fed appointments create uncertainty regarding the dollar's strength, contributing to potential volatility in gold and silver markets [14] Cryptocurrency Outlook - Cryptocurrency has shifted away from the "digital gold" narrative and is now viewed as a high beta asset, with capital flows being diverted to meme stocks and other assets [16] - The future of cryptocurrency remains uncertain, with potential for significant gains or losses, making it a risky investment [17][18]

J.P. Morgan says fears of an AI-driven software wipeout are overblown and highlights 19 stocks—from Microsoft to CrowdStrike—it believes are positioned to rebound. ...

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Market Sentiment - The CNN Money Fear and Greed index improved, moving to the "Neutral" zone with a current reading of 48.3, up from 43.9 [3] - This index measures market sentiment, indicating that higher fear pressures stock prices while higher greed has the opposite effect [3] Stock Market Performance - U.S. stocks mostly closed higher, with the Nasdaq Composite increasing by over 200 points during the session [1] - The Dow Jones index reached a record high, closing higher by approximately 20 points at 50,135.87 [2] - The S&P 500 rose by 0.47% to 6,964.82, while the Nasdaq Composite increased by 0.90% to 23,238.67 [2] Sector Performance - Most sectors on the S&P 500 ended positively, with materials, energy, and information technology stocks showing the largest gains [2] - In contrast, consumer staples and health care stocks closed lower, diverging from the overall market trend [2]

Core Insights - In February, investors are focusing on companies with consistent earnings growth and earnings acceleration, which serves as a stronger catalyst for stock price increases [1] Earnings Acceleration - Earnings acceleration refers to the incremental growth in a company's earnings per share (EPS), indicating an increase in quarter-over-quarter earnings growth rates [3] - Companies demonstrating earnings acceleration are often undervalued, leading to potential stock price rallies as they gain investor attention [4] Screening Parameters - The screening criteria for identifying stocks with earnings acceleration include: - The last two quarter-over-quarter EPS growth rates must exceed previous periods' growth rates [6] - Projected EPS growth rates for the upcoming quarter should surpass those of prior periods [6] - Additional parameters include a current stock price of at least $5 and an average 20-day trading volume of at least 50,000 [7][8] Notable Companies - Adobe Inc. (ADBE) is showing accelerating quarter-over-quarter EPS growth with an expected earnings growth rate of 12.1% for the current year [10] - The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) has a projected earnings growth rate of 10.3% for the current year and meets strict screening criteria [11] - Entergy Corporation (ETR) has an expected earnings growth rate of 7.1% for the current year and is also among the companies showing earnings acceleration [12]