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白银基本面与美洲主要矿企供应情况分析
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 07:21
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - In 2025, silver prices soared due to factors such as US tariffs, the US debt crisis, and geopolitical conflicts. Despite significant price fluctuations, the "supply imbalance" problem persisted, and the price reached over $70 by the end of the year, with a cumulative increase of over 120% [1]. - The global silver supply-demand fundamentals have shown a deficit for five consecutive years. Although demand in multiple sectors has declined, the significant increase in silver - supported exchange - traded products (ETP) has tightened market liquidity. In 2026, high profits may drive mining companies to increase production [4][5]. - The operation of major silver mines in the Americas has a significant impact on the global silver market. The production of some mines is expected to increase, while others may face challenges such as resource depletion [9]. 3. Section - by - Section Summaries 2025 Silver Price Trend Review - In the first half of 2025, silver underperformed gold due to trade frictions and weak industrial product prices. In the second half, strong demand and stable supply led to a continuous decline in spot inventory, and silver prices outperformed gold [1]. - In early October, silver broke through the 2011 high, reaching $50 with a cumulative increase of nearly 90%. After a significant correction, prices rebounded in late November, surpassing the October high and reaching over $70, with a cumulative increase of over 120%. In December, silver prices continued to rise, with a monthly increase of over 30% [1]. Silver Overall Supply - Demand Situation - The global silver supply - demand situation has shown a deficit for five consecutive years, but the deficit has improved compared to previous years. Although demand in multiple sectors has declined, the significant increase in ETPs has tightened market liquidity. AI and new energy sectors have great potential for silver demand, making the supply even tighter [4][5]. - Metal Focus estimates that the global silver mine supply in 2025 will be approximately 31,788 tons, basically the same as in 2024 and at the upper - middle level in the past 10 years. The World Silver Association predicts that the average all - in sustaining cost (AISC) in the first half of 2025 will drop to $13.0 per ounce [5]. Analysis of the Supply Status of Major Silver Mining Enterprises in the Americas - In 2024, the silver production in the Americas accounted for over 50% of the global total. The top 20 global silver - producing enterprises are mainly large comprehensive or copper - gold mining companies, but silver production has a relatively limited marginal contribution to their cash flow [8]. - Five major silver mining companies in the Americas, including Fresnillo, Pan American Silver, Coeur Mining, Hecla Mining, and First Majestic, are expected to account for about 15% of the global silver mine supply in 2025. Their new and old mine exploration and production will affect the competition for key mineral resources [9]. - **Fresnillo**: The world's largest silver mining company, with expected production to decline by 13.8% to 48.5 million ounces in 2025. It may recover in 2026 but remain below 5 million ounces. Some mines face resource depletion risks, while the Juanicipio mine has great exploration potential [10]. - **Pan American Silver**: A Canadian mining company. In 2025, the expected silver production is 22.1 million ounces, a year - on - year increase of about 4.7%. In May 2025, it announced the acquisition of MAG Silver to obtain a 44% stake in the Juanicipio silver mine, which is expected to significantly increase production in the next two years [16]. - **Coeur Mining**: Based in the US, with an expected silver production of 18.45 million ounces in 2025, a year - on - year increase of 61.8%. The Rochester mine is the key growth project, and the Silvertip mine is the core reserve project for medium - to - long - term growth. The company expects production to reach 20 million ounces in 2026, a year - on - year increase of about 30% [18]. - **Hecla Mining**: The largest primary silver producer in the US and Canada. In 2025, the expected silver production is 17.2 million ounces, a year - on - year increase of 6.2%. The Greens Creek and Lucky Friday mines contribute about 78% of the production. The company's production is expected to remain stable above 17 million ounces in the next two years [20]. - **First Majestic**: A Canadian company, one of the global silver mining leaders. In 2025, the expected silver production is 15.3 million ounces, a year - on - year increase of 82.1%. The San Dimas mine is the main contributor to performance, and the acquisition of the Los Gatos mine shows strong production growth potential [23].
美股异动 | 黄金、白银齐创历史新高 金银概念股盘前普涨
智通财经网· 2025-12-26 14:29
智通财经APP获悉,周五,金银概念股盘前普涨,Hycroft Mining(HYMC.US)涨超5%,科尔黛伦矿业 (CDE.US)涨超2.8%,AngloGold Ashanti(AU.US)涨超1.4%,纽曼矿业(NEM.US)涨1%;First Majestic Silver(AG.US)涨超3%,Endeavour Silver(EXK.US)、Dolly Varden Silver(DVS.US)涨超2.8%。现货黄金涨 超1%,报4526.64美元,现货白银涨超4%,报74.75美元,齐齐刷新历史新高。 ...
Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why First Majestic Silver (AG) is a Great Choice
ZACKS· 2025-12-24 18:01
Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the "long context," investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.Whil ...
美股异动 | 金银矿股普跌 赫克拉矿业(HL.US)跌3.5%
智通财经网· 2025-12-24 16:29
智通财经APP获悉,周三,现货黄金短线跌破4450美元/盎司,日内下跌0.78%,现货白银日内跌超1美 元,现报70.42美元/盎司,跌幅1.45%。金银矿股普跌,哈莫尼黄金(HMY.US)跌超2.6%,Barrick Mining(B.US)跌超1%,皇家黄金(RGLD.US)跌0.95%,Paramount Gold Nevada(PZG.US)跌0.85%;赫克 拉矿业(HL.US)跌3.5%,First Majestic Silver Corp(AG.US)跌超2.8%,Pan American Silver Corp(PAAS.US) 跌1.9%。 ...
Best ETF of 2025 & Its 7 Winning Stocks
ZACKS· 2025-12-23 17:01
Key Takeaways SLVP led 2025 with about 179% gains as silver miners topped on supply tightness and high demand.Silver prices surged, lifting SLV 126% and beating gold's rally (up 63%). Rate cuts, a weaker dollar and high industrial usage boosted silver's demand. As we are going to wrap up 2025, it’s time to assess the market performance of the exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that ruled most of 2025. In this journey, metal and mining stocks emerged the clear winner of the year.  Be it silver, gold or copper – pr ...
美股异动 | 黄金白银股盘前普涨 金银价格再创历史新高
智通财经网· 2025-12-22 14:18
智通财经APP获悉,周一,黄金股盘前普涨,Hycroft Mining(HYMC.US)涨超21%,科尔黛伦矿业 (CDE.US)涨超5%,AngloGold Ashanti(AU.US)涨超4%,纽曼矿业(NEM.US)涨超3%。此外,银概念股 盘前集体上行,First Majestic Silver(AG.US)涨近4%,Endeavour Silver(EXK.US)、Dolly Varden Silver(DVS.US)涨超4%。 消息面上,受市场对美联储进一步降息的预期、持续的避险需求以及美元走软的提振,现货黄金日内张 近2%突破4420美元/盎司,屡创新高,年内累计上涨超68%。现货白银价格涨2.6%突破69美元/盎司,亦 创新高,年内累计上涨超140%。 ...
First Majestic Inks Deal to Sell Its Del Toro Mine to Sierra Madre
ZACKS· 2025-12-19 16:21
Key Takeaways AG struck a definitive deal to sell the Del Toro Silver Mine in Mexico to Sierra Madre Gold & Silver. First Majestic will receive up to $60M via $20M cash, $10M shares at close, plus staged payments.AG may earn extra $20M if resource and production milestones are met within 48 to 60 months.First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG) announced that it has inked a definitive agreement with Sierra Madre Gold & Silver Ltd. to sell the Del Toro Silver Mine. The Del Toro Mine, located in Mexico, is a past-prod ...
My Top 10 Portfolio Holdings for 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-19 08:06
This combination of growth and value stocks has the tools and intangibles necessary to outperform in the year to come.Less than two weeks from today, the curtain will close on 2025. When that happens, investors will likely be grinning from ear to ear. As of the closing bell on Dec. 12, the ageless Dow Jones Industrial Average, benchmark S&P 500, and Innovation-inspired Nasdaq Composite have rallied 14%, 16%, and 20%, respectively, year to date.But investing isn't about where we've been -- it's all about wha ...
First Majestic Announces Proposed Sale of the Del Toro Silver Mine for up to US$60M
TMX Newsfile· 2025-12-17 22:14
Vancouver, British Columbia--(Newsfile Corp. - December 17, 2025) - First Majestic Silver Corp. (NYSE: AG) (TSX: AG) (FSE: FMV) (the "Company" or "First Majestic") is pleased to announce that it has entered into a definitive agreement (the "Agreement") dated December 17, 2025 to sell its 100%-owned past producing Del Toro Silver Mine located in the Municipality of Chalchihuites, Zacatecas, Mexico ("Del Toro"), to Sierra Madre Gold & Silver Ltd. (TSXV: SM) (OTCQX: SMDRF) ("Sierra Madre") for total considera ...
The Zacks Analyst Blog Fresnillo, Hecla and First Majestic Silver
ZACKS· 2025-12-17 10:31
Core Insights - Silver is experiencing a significant bull run, with prices recently reaching $64 an ounce, translating to a year-to-date gain of 114.8%, outperforming gold's 63.9% rally [2][3] - The macro environment for silver is expected to improve in 2026, driven by a dovish Federal Reserve, strong demand, and a persistent supply deficit [3] - The U.S. Geological Survey has classified silver as a critical mineral, which may lead to policy support and efforts to strengthen domestic supply chains [5] Silver Market Dynamics - The total global silver supply is projected to rise by 1% in 2025 to 1.022 billion ounces, while total demand is expected to drop by 4% to around 1.117 billion ounces [6] - The silver market is anticipated to record a deficit of approximately 95 million ounces in 2025, marking the fifth consecutive year of deficit [7] - Industrial demand for silver is expected to decline by 2% in 2025 due to global economic uncertainties [6] Growth Drivers - The increasing adoption of solar technology is driving demand for silver in photovoltaic applications, with global renewable power capacity expected to double between 2025 and 2030 [8] - The electrification of the automotive industry is boosting silver demand, particularly in battery electric vehicles [9] - Rapid digitalization and the rise of AI are emerging as new demand drivers for silver [10] Featured Companies - **Fresnillo plc**: The company is acquiring Probe Gold, which has the potential to produce over 200,000 ounces annually. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Fresnillo's earnings indicates a year-over-year growth of 380.6% for 2025 [12][14] - **Hecla Mining**: The company is focusing on reducing debt and enhancing operational efficiency. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Hecla's earnings indicates a year-over-year growth of 245.5% for 2025 [15][18] - **First Majestic Silver**: The acquisition of Gatos Silver is expected to boost free cash flow and production. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for First Majestic's earnings indicates a year-over-year growth of 279% for 2025 [19][22]