每经AI快讯，1月22日，半导体芯片股盘前普涨。阿斯麦涨2%，台积电涨1.5%，英伟达涨1%。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

智通财经APP获悉，国际大行瑞银(UBS)近日发布研报称，总部位于荷兰的光刻机巨头阿斯麦(ASML Holding NV)股价在经历2026年以来的屡创新高式强劲 涨幅之后，股价仍有非常广阔的牛市风格上行空间。瑞银分析团队维持对于阿斯麦的"买入"这一看涨评级，未来12个月内目标股价则从此前瑞银予以的1030 欧元大幅上调至1400欧元，主要逻辑基于更强劲的资本开支——先进制程逻辑芯片产能与高性能存储芯片产能扩张推动、对中国市场营收预期更乐观，并且 瑞银对于阿斯麦2026年与2027年核心业绩增长预期均较此前本已强劲的增长预期大举上调。 在欧洲股票市场，截至周三收盘，有着"人类科技巅峰"称号的阿斯麦股价收于1154欧元，自2026年以来，在AI算力基础设施建设狂潮与"存储芯片超级周 期"背景之下愈发强劲的半导体设备支出预期(尤其是自台积电大幅上调年度资本开支且台积电业绩指引展望远超市场一致预期，半导体设备支出预期愈发火 热)的大举驱动之下，累计涨幅已经高达25%，并且屡创历史新高点位。在瑞银、花旗以及KeyBanc等大型投资机构看来，阿斯麦股价的新一轮"主升浪"已然 开启。 在美股市场，阿斯麦美股ADR(ASM ...

每经AI快讯，1月22日，半导体芯片股盘前普涨。阿斯麦涨2%，台积电涨1.5%，英伟达涨1%。 ...

Summary of the Conference Call on Global Semiconductor Capital Equipment Industry Overview - The focus is on the **Wafer Fabrication Equipment (WFE)** market, particularly imports to **China**. - In **2025**, total WFE imports to China reached **$39.2 billion**, representing a **3% year-over-year (YoY)** increase, despite a **13% YoY** decline in December imports due to a high base effect from December 2024 [2][26][37]. Key Insights - **December 2025** saw WFE imports of **$4.5 billion**, marking the highest monthly figure for the year, with a **MoM increase of 84%** [2][3][26]. - **Lithography imports** hit a record high in December at **$2.3 billion**, primarily driven by demand from **Shanghai** and **Beijing** [3][27][35]. - The overall demand for WFE in China remains robust, particularly for **AI chip and memory production**, indicating a continued push for local production capabilities [3][68]. Company-Specific Insights ASML - ASML's China sales are projected to reach **EUR 3.14 billion** in Q4 2025, reflecting a **35% QoQ** and **64% YoY** increase, driven by high lithography imports [4][68][70]. - China is expected to account for **42%** of ASML's total system sales in Q4 2025, significantly higher than previous guidance [68][79]. Lam Research (LRCX) - December revenues for LRCX are expected to decline by **42% QoQ**, with China exposure estimated at **25%** of total revenues [6][90]. - The company anticipates that its China revenue exposure will fall below **30%** in 2026 [6][90]. Applied Materials (AMAT) - AMAT's January quarter revenues are projected to increase by **4% QoQ**, with China exposure remaining around **30%** [7][87]. Other Companies - **Tokyo Electron (TEL)** and **Kokusai** are also expected to see growth, with TEL benefiting from competitive pricing and Kokusai from increased adoption of batch ALD technology [17][20]. - **Screen** and **Advantest** are projected to experience declines in China revenue, with Screen's expected to drop **43% YoY** [11][12]. Import Trends - The **US, Singapore, and Malaysia** combined accounted for **35%** of WFE imports to China in 2025, while Japan's share decreased to **23%** [43][50]. - The share of lithography imports from the Netherlands has increased significantly since 2023, indicating a shift in sourcing strategies among global vendors [43][65]. Investment Implications - **NAURA**, **AMEC**, and **Piotech** are highlighted as outperformers in the domestic WFE market, benefiting from local demand and technological advancements [14][15][16]. - **ASML**, **LRCX**, and **AMAT** are also rated as outperformers, with strong growth prospects driven by ongoing demand in the semiconductor sector [19][20][21]. Conclusion - The WFE market in China is showing signs of resilience and growth, particularly in lithography, despite some expected declines in revenue for certain companies. The ongoing investments in local production capabilities for advanced technologies like AI chips and memory are likely to sustain demand in the coming years.

Natural Gas Industry - Natural gas prices surged over +24% to a 6-week high, following a +26% increase the previous day, driven by an Arctic cold front expected to raise heating demand and disrupt US production [1][17] Gold Market - Gold prices increased by another 1%, reaching a new record high amid the Greenland crisis and concerns over Japan's fiscal policies leading to higher deficits, which are driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2] Stock Market Performance - Stock indexes rebounded sharply, recovering over half of the previous day's losses after President Trump announced a framework for a deal regarding Greenland and refrained from imposing tariffs on European nations [4][5] - The S&P 500 Index closed up +1.16%, the Dow Jones up +1.21%, and the Nasdaq 100 up +1.36% [5] Mortgage Applications and Housing Market - US MBA mortgage applications rose by +14.1%, with the purchase mortgage sub-index up +5.1% and refinancing up +20.4% [6] - Pending home sales in December fell by -9.3% month-over-month, marking the largest decline in 5.5 years, while construction spending in October rose by +0.5% month-over-month [6] Earnings Season - The Q4 earnings season has been positive, with 81% of the 38 S&P 500 companies that reported beating expectations, and S&P earnings growth is projected to increase by +8.4% in Q4 [8] Interest Rates and Treasury Notes - The 10-year T-note yield fell by -4 bp to 4.25%, supported by lower bond yields and strong demand for a $13 billion auction of 20-year T-bonds [11] - Rising inflation expectations limited gains in T-notes, with the 10-year breakeven inflation rate reaching a 3.25-month high of 2.358% [12] Company-Specific Movements - Chip makers saw significant gains, with Intel closing up more than +11% and AMD up more than +7%, contributing to the overall market rally [16] - Progressive Software's stock rose over +10% after forecasting stronger-than-expected full-year adjusted EPS [18] - Citizens Financial Group's stock increased by more than +6% after reporting total deposits above consensus expectations [19]

【导读】特朗普改口，市场暴涨 中国基金报记者 泰勒 大家好，今晚好消息，涨跌全看特朗普，外围市场全线大涨了！ 一起看看发生了什么事情。 1月21日晚间，美股三大指数高开高走，道指涨约500点，纳斯达克指数涨超1%，标普500指数也涨超 1%。 尽管特朗普排除了军事行动，但他仍表示，他正在"寻求立即谈判，再次讨论由美国收购格陵兰的事 宜"。 特朗普还在达沃斯讲话中表示，他将要求国会落实其提出的10%信用卡利率上限方案。鉴于国会内部支 持不足，这一前景仍不确定。该表态推动美股银行股上涨。 此外，美国财长贝森特周三在达沃斯对记者表示，特朗普政府"并不担心"前一交易日的抛售。 分析师表示，关键不在于特朗普说了什么，而在于他没有说什么。"他没有重申对欧洲的关税威胁；他 没有说政府会动用武力夺取格陵兰；他也没有说要给信用卡利率设上限，而是让国会去做。这更像是在 降低实质内容的烈度，尽管风格仍然是典型的特朗普"。 摩根大通资产管理的Bob Michele表示，周二市场的抛售是在向特朗普政府传递信息：需要采取行动恢 复秩序，就像去年"解放日"关税扰动投资者之后，官员们所做的那样。 在特朗普对世界经济论坛表示他不会以武力收购格 ...

【导读】特朗普改口，市场暴涨 中国基金报记者 泰勒 大家好，今晚好消息，涨跌全看特朗普，外围市场全线大涨了！ 一起看看发生了什么事情。 1月21日晚间，美股三大指数高开高走，道指涨约500点，纳斯达克指数涨超1%，标普500指数也涨超1%。 在特朗普对世界经济论坛表示他不会以武力收购格陵兰之后，股市上涨，市场对这一问题的担忧缓解；此前该担忧曾扰动市场并引发资金 撤离美国资产。 特朗普在达沃斯的讲话中谈到，他认为美国在北约承担了财政和军事负担。以下这段话提振了股市： 特朗普还在达沃斯讲话中表示，他将要求国会落实其提出的10%信用卡利率上限方案。鉴于国会内部支持不足，这一前景仍不确定。该表 态推动美股银行股上涨。 此外，美国财长贝森特周三在达沃斯对记者表示，特朗普政府"并不担心"前一交易日的抛售。 分析师表示，关键不在于特朗普说了什么，而在于他没有说什么。"他没有重申对欧洲的关税威胁；他没有说政府会动用武力夺取格陵 兰；他也没有说要给信用卡利率设上限，而是让国会去做。这更像是在降低实质内容的烈度，尽管风格仍然是典型的特朗普" 。 摩根大通资产管理的Bob Michele表示，周二市场的抛售是在向特朗普政府传递信息 ...

摩根大通将阿斯麦的目标价从587欧元上调至800欧元。 ...

If you want full access to all our reports, data, and investing ideas, join The Aerospace Forum , the #1 aerospace, defense, and airline investment research service on Seeking Alpha, with access to evoX Data Analytics, our in-house developed data analytics platform.ASML stock ( ASML ) has surged 32% since my last report , in which I downgraded the stock from "Strong Buy" to "Buy." With increasing wafer equipment spending, Q4 2025 earnings coming up, and the fact that the stock now exceeds my priceDhierin-Pe ...

Core Viewpoint - ASML Holding N.V. is recognized as a significant player in the AI stock market, with an Outperform rating initiated by RBC Capital and a price target of $1,550, driven by multiple growth factors in its memory and logic businesses [1][3]. Group 1: Growth Drivers - ASML is expected to outperform the SOX index in 2025 due to increased wafer fab equipment spending and growth in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography, with these trends likely to continue into 2026 and 2027, supported by strong demand from GenAI [2]. - Key catalysts for ASML include a tight DRAM supply, rising EUV intensity, and a potential rebound in Samsung's HBM4 [2]. - The logic segment is seeing a resurgence in foundry competition, with GenAI accelerators adopting more advanced nodes [2]. Group 2: Valuation and Market Position - The valuation premium of ASML over US peers has decreased, making the risk/reward profile more attractive for investors [3]. - ASML specializes in advanced semiconductor equipment, including lithography, metrology, and inspection systems for chip manufacturing [3]. Group 3: Services Business - ASML's services business is projected to continue growing at a double-digit rate, indicating strong ongoing demand and operational strength [2].