Core Insights - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) and Hong Kong Cyberport Management Company Limited announced the second phase of the generative AI sandbox participant list, featuring 20 banks and 14 technology partners with 27 use cases [1] Group 1: Participants and Use Cases - Notable participants include Ant Bank, Bank of China Hong Kong, and Fubon Bank Hong Kong, highlighting a diverse range of financial institutions involved in the initiative [1] - Ant Group's Ant Technology is a key technology provider, contributing innovative solutions such as AI agent services and AI security products [1] Group 2: Objectives and Benefits - The initiative aims to enhance banking operational efficiency, improve user experience, and strengthen financial risk management capabilities [1]

Core Insights - Southbound funds increased their holdings in Bank of China Hong Kong (02388.HK) by 1.432 million shares on October 15, 2025, marking a 0.41% increase in total holdings [1][2] - Over the past five trading days, southbound funds have reduced their holdings on four occasions, resulting in a cumulative net reduction of 5.3475 million shares [1][2] - In the last twenty trading days, there have been eleven days of net reductions, totaling 7.3011 million shares [1][2] - As of now, southbound funds hold 351 million shares of Bank of China Hong Kong, which represents 3.31% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1][2] Company Overview - Bank of China Hong Kong is one of the three note-issuing banks in Hong Kong and the only RMB clearing bank in the region, holding a leading position in major business markets [2] - The bank leverages its advantages in RMB services, making it a preferred choice for clients [2] - It offers comprehensive financial and investment services to individuals, various enterprises, and institutions through an extensive branch network and diverse service channels, including online and mobile banking [2] - The bank provides high-quality cross-border services to multinational companies, cross-border clients, and central banks through close collaboration with its parent company, Bank of China [2]

Core Insights - Southbound funds have reduced their holdings in Bank of China Hong Kong (02388.HK) by 1.316 million shares on October 14, 2025, marking a decrease of 0.37% [1][2] - Over the past five trading days, there has been a cumulative net reduction of 7.7515 million shares, while in the last twenty trading days, the total net reduction amounts to 8.6796 million shares [1][2] - Currently, southbound funds hold 350 million shares of Bank of China Hong Kong, which represents 3.3% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1] Trading Data Summary - On October 14, 2025, total shares held were 350 million, with a decrease of 1.316 million shares [2] - On October 13, 2025, total shares held were 351 million, with a decrease of 0.3305 million shares [2] - On October 3, 2025, total shares held were 352 million, with a decrease of 2.1055 million shares [2] - On October 2, 2025, total shares held were 354 million, with a decrease of 3.0275 million shares [2] - On September 30, 2025, total shares held were 357 million, with a decrease of 0.972 million shares [2] Company Overview - Bank of China Hong Kong is one of the three note-issuing banks in Hong Kong and the only RMB clearing bank in the region, holding a leading position in major business markets [2] - The bank leverages its advantages in RMB services, making it a preferred choice for clients [2] - It offers comprehensive financial and investment services through an extensive branch network and various service channels, including online and mobile banking [2] - The bank provides full-scale and high-quality cross-border services to multinational companies, cross-border clients, and central banks through close collaboration with its parent company, Bank of China [2]

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup reports that Bank of China Hong Kong is expected to announce its Q3 2025 operating results in late October, forecasting an operating profit of HKD 11.2 billion, representing a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18% and a year-on-year decline of 14% [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue is projected to decrease by 6% year-on-year to HKD 17.3 billion, primarily due to weakened trading income [1] - Net interest margin is expected to remain resilient, benefiting from improved funding costs and normalization of HIBOR [1] - Credit costs are anticipated to remain high at approximately 40 basis points, given the ongoing pressure in the commercial real estate market [1] Stock Performance and Ratings - Bank of China Hong Kong's stock price has recently retreated from its September highs, likely influenced by outflows of southbound funds and market concerns regarding net interest margin and trading income [1] - Citigroup's earnings forecasts for Bank of China Hong Kong for 2025 and 2026 are 1% and 3% higher than market consensus, respectively [1] - The rating is maintained at "Buy," with a slight adjustment of the target price from HKD 41 to HKD 40.9 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company has shown strong revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, with a notable increase in non-interest income, despite a decline in net interest margin due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 40 billion HKD in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.3% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 22.2 billion HKD, up 10.5% year-on-year [1]. - The annualized weighted average ROE was 12.9%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points compared to the previous year [1]. Asset Growth - Total assets grew by 10.0% year-on-year to 4.4 trillion HKD as of June, with a 4.9% increase since the beginning of the year [1]. - Deposits increased by 5.8% year-to-date to 2.87 trillion HKD, while total loans rose by 2.0% to 1.71 trillion HKD [1]. - The common equity tier 1 capital ratio was 20.05%, up 0.03 percentage points from the start of the year [1]. Interest Margin and Income - The average net interest margin for the first half was 1.34%, down 12 basis points year-on-year, leading to a 3.5% decline in net interest income to 25.1 billion HKD [1]. - The decrease in net interest margin is attributed to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and lower market rates compared to the previous year [1]. Non-Interest Income - Net fee income grew by 25.8% year-on-year, driven by a recovery in investment market sentiment and increased demand for wealth management services [2]. - Other non-interest income surged by 99.1%, primarily due to higher global market trading revenues and increased prices for foreign exchange-related products [2]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan generation rate increased to 0.40%, up 0.32 percentage points year-on-year, while the credit cost ratio also rose to 0.40%, an increase of 0.16 percentage points [2]. - The non-performing loan ratio was 1.02% as of June, a slight decrease of 0.03 percentage points from the beginning of the year, indicating relatively strong asset quality compared to the industry [2]. - The provision coverage ratio improved to 86%, up 1 percentage point from the start of the year [2]. Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 38.9 billion HKD, 40.2 billion HKD, and 42.7 billion HKD for 2025-2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 1.8%, 3.4%, and 6.2% [3]. - The estimated EPS for the same period is 3.68, 3.81, and 4.04 HKD, with corresponding PE ratios of 10.0, 9.7, and 9.1 times [3]. - The reasonable stock price range is estimated to be between 43.6 and 48.4 HKD, indicating a potential upside of approximately 18% to 31% compared to the closing price on October 10 [3].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company, indicating an expected performance better than the market by over 10% [5][63]. Core Views - The company has shown strong revenue and profit growth, with a 13.3% year-on-year increase in operating income to HKD 40 billion and a 10.5% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders to HKD 22.2 billion in the first half of 2025 [1][3]. - Non-interest income has significantly increased, with net fee income rising by 25.8% and other non-interest income growing by 99.1%, driven by improved market conditions and increased demand for wealth management services [2][3]. - The company maintains a stable asset scale, with total assets growing by 10.0% year-on-year to HKD 4.4 trillion as of June 2025 [1][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The annualized return on equity (ROE) for the first half of 2025 is 12.9%, up by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The average net interest margin (NIM) decreased to 1.34%, down 12 basis points year-on-year, primarily due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [1][33]. - The company’s total deposits increased by 5.8% year-to-date to HKD 2.87 trillion, while total loans grew by 2.0% to HKD 1.71 trillion [1][7]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) generation rate rose to 0.40%, an increase of 0.32 percentage points year-on-year, but the overall asset quality remains strong compared to industry standards [2][33]. - The company’s NPL ratio is 1.02%, which is lower than the industry average, and the provision coverage ratio improved to 86% [2][33]. Earnings Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is HKD 38.9 billion, HKD 40.2 billion, and HKD 42.7 billion, representing year-on-year growth rates of 1.8%, 3.4%, and 6.2% respectively [3][56]. - Earnings per share (EPS) for the same period is projected to be HKD 3.68, HKD 3.81, and HKD 4.04 [3][56]. Valuation - The report estimates a reasonable price range for the company's stock between HKD 43.6 and HKD 48.4, indicating a potential upside of approximately 18% to 31% from the closing price of HKD 36.86 on October 10, 2025 [3][63].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2025年9月30日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 中銀香港（控股）有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2025年10月2日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | | 備註： | | | | 本公司可發行的股份數目上限為20,000,000,000股普通股股份及其股本並無股份面值。 | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02388 | | 說明 | | | | | | | 多櫃檯證券代號 | 82388 | RMB 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 已 ...

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has lowered the federal funds target rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00%–4.25%, marking the first rate cut of the year [1] - The easing of the dollar is expected to stimulate economic activity in Hong Kong, benefiting asset performance [1] - Lower interest rates are anticipated to reduce corporate financing costs and encourage capital expenditure [1] Group 2 - The recent data indicates that the "stagflation" effect from tariffs on the U.S. economy is becoming apparent, with a more pronounced downward trend in employment compared to rising inflation [1] - The Fed's statement has notably shifted regarding the labor market, emphasizing rising unemployment risks and changes in risk balance, reflecting a greater focus on employment issues [1] - The dot plot has significantly shifted downward, with median rate forecasts for the end of this year and next year both lowered by 25 basis points, indicating a dovish policy stance [2] Group 3 - There are still divisions among Fed members regarding the extent of rate cuts, as some members advocate for a 50 basis point cut instead of 25 [2] - The uncertain economic outlook and frequent expressions from the U.S. government regarding monetary policy preferences may weaken the predictability of future monetary policy [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong government's 10th batch of silver bonds has begun accepting subscriptions, with expectations of high demand due to favorable interest rates and upcoming bond maturities [1] Group 1: Subscription Details - The estimated number of subscribers for this batch is expected to exceed 300,000, with total subscription amounts projected to surpass HKD 70 billion [1] - The total issuance amount may be increased to HKD 55 billion [1] Group 2: Interest Rate Expectations - Market expectations suggest that the Federal Reserve will resume a rate-cutting cycle, with a potential reduction of 0.25% this week and another 0.25% by the end of the year [1] - The current silver bond offers a guaranteed interest rate of 3.85%, which is 0.15% lower than last year's rate of 4%, but still over 1% higher than the current market rate for one-year fixed deposits [1] Group 3: Investment Appeal - The silver bonds are considered attractive for their defensive nature and ability to provide stable cash flow, despite recent positive trends in the stock market [1] - It is recommended for clients to subscribe to 25 to 30 lots to increase their chances of winning a subscription [1]

（於香港註冊成立之有限公司） 股份代號：2388（港幣櫃台）及82388（人民幣櫃台） 敬啟者： 本次公司通訊的刊發通知及發佈公司通訊的安排 本次公司通訊的刊發通知 1. 公司通訊 請知悉，所有公司通訊的中、英文版本均會繼續於該等網站提供。請在本公司網站投資者關係一節或在香港交易所網站瀏覽公司通 訊。 根據上市規則及公司條例，本公司毋須就於該等網站刊載公司通訊向股東發出通知。謹此建議 閣下可於香港交易所網站訂閱訊息 提示服務，以便在本公司刊發公司通訊時接收通知。 閣下若因任何理由未能閱覽載於該等網站的公司通訊，本公司將於收到 閣 下通知後，盡快安排向 閣下發送公司通訊的印刷本，費用全免。請 閣下發送電郵至bochk.ecom@computershare.com.hk或郵 寄書面指示至本公司的股份過戶登記處（「股份登記處」）香港中央證券登記有限公司，地址為香港灣仔皇后大道東183號合和中心 17M樓提出要求。 2. 可供採取行動的公司通訊2 根據上市規則，本公司須向每名股東個別發送可供採取行動的公司通訊。請知悉所有可供採取行動的公司通訊將根據 閣下的選 擇，以電郵或郵寄方式個別發送予 閣下。為確保能及時收取最新 ...