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Analysts Stay Constructive on Salesforce (CRM) Despite Sector Weakness
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-12 15:38
Core Viewpoint - Salesforce Inc. is considered a leading machine learning stock, despite recent price target reductions and a cautious outlook from analysts regarding the software sector [1][2]. Group 1: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Piper Sandler analyst Billy Fitzsimmons reduced the price target for Salesforce from $315 to $280 while maintaining an Outperform rating [1]. - The consensus 1-year median price target for Salesforce is $330, indicating a potential upside of nearly 71% as of February 10 [4]. Group 2: Market Performance and Sector Outlook - Salesforce's stock has experienced a decline of approximately 27% since the beginning of 2026 and over 40% in the past year, reflecting broader concerns about AI's impact on traditional software companies [3]. - Piper Sandler's cautious outlook on the software sector suggests that "seat-compression and vibe coding narratives could set a ceiling on multiples," leading to a focus on hyperscalers and vertical sub-sectors instead [2]. Group 3: Company Overview - Salesforce Inc. is a global enterprise software company specializing in customer relationship management (CRM) and cloud-based business applications, including sales, service, marketing, commerce, and data analytics [5]. - The company's Customer 360 platform utilizes data tools and trusted AI to help organizations unify customer data and enhance personalized engagement [5].
Salesforce Reportedly Trims Workforce, Appoints New Leaders Amid AI Pivot
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-12 01:31
Group 1 - Salesforce has cut part of its workforce, affecting fewer than 1,000 employees, and has reshuffled its executive leadership, appointing six new or promoted executives to lead key business units [1][2] - The layoffs impacted teams across marketing, product, and data, with five high-profile leaders departing since December [1] - The job cuts are part of a broader trend in the tech industry, where companies are trimming staff while increasing their use of artificial intelligence, which is replacing some routine work [3] Group 2 - In January, Amazon laid off 16,000 workers, following 14,000 job cuts in October, indicating a significant trend in workforce reductions across major tech firms [4] - Salesforce's stock closed up 1.4% at $194.03, but has lost about 40.7% in the past year, reflecting market challenges [5] - The company is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter results on February 25, which may provide further insights into its financial health [5]
从高盛到黑石,华尔街巨头都来站台:软件不会垮
美股IPO· 2026-02-12 00:54
Core Viewpoint - Concerns about AI leading to the demise of the software industry are significantly exaggerated, according to executives from Goldman Sachs, Blackstone, Apollo, and KKR. They acknowledge that while AI will bring about a "dramatic technological cycle" and disruption, established software companies are likely to be protected and may even benefit from these changes [1][3][10]. Group 1: Market Reaction and Software Industry Outlook - The recent sell-off in the software sector was triggered by fears that AI could replace traditional software functions, leading to significant declines in stock prices for major companies like Salesforce and Adobe, resulting in the evaporation of hundreds of billions in market value [3][6][8]. - Executives from major financial institutions argue that the market's reaction is an "indiscriminate" sell-off, and the belief that all software companies will become obsolete is overly broad and unfounded [3][9][10]. - Apollo's John Zito stated that while the software industry will not disappear, its business logic will change, emphasizing that the usage of software is expected to increase significantly [4][5]. Group 2: Investment Risks and Diversification - KKR's CFO Robert Lewin indicated that approximately 15% of their private equity investments are exposed to software companies, which represents about 7% of their total assets, suggesting a manageable risk exposure [11]. - Goldman Sachs' CEO David Solomon downplayed the risk exposure in software investments, stating it is "insignificant" relative to the overall scale of their platform [13]. - The executives emphasized the importance of diversification in their investment portfolios to mitigate the impact of potential disruptions in the software sector [11][12].
These 5 Software Stocks Could Double in Price This Year, Says Morgan Stanley
Investopedia· 2026-02-11 20:40
Core Insights - Morgan Stanley analysts suggest that five software stocks could potentially double in value within the next 12 months if fears surrounding AI subsist and the stocks rebound to their fair value [1] Group 1: Market Overview - Software stocks have faced significant declines this year, with the iShares Expanded Tech-software Sector ETF (IGV) losing over 20% of its value since the beginning of the year, primarily driven by concerns regarding AI's impact on the industry [1] - Major companies like Intuit, ServiceNow, and Salesforce have seen substantial drops in their stock prices due to fears that AI-native startups will pressure profit margins and reduce corporate headcounts, limiting revenue growth [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Morgan Stanley identifies that some software stocks are currently trading at more than a 50% discount to their fair value, creating potential buying opportunities for investors [1] - The five software stocks highlighted by Morgan Stanley include large caps Intuit and Salesforce, which have potential upsides of 101% and 109% respectively from their recent closing prices [1] - Mid-cap stocks such as ServiceTitan, CCC Intelligent Solutions, and Vertex are also expected to more than double in value according to the analysts [1] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The uncertainty surrounding AI's development has led to volatility in the stock market, but historical trends show that investors have often rebounded from such concerns, driving stock prices higher [1] - Experts, including Nvidia's CEO, have expressed skepticism about the notion that AI will severely disrupt the software industry, suggesting that nimble software providers could leverage AI to their advantage [1] - The market for tech stocks is expected to remain turbulent as uncertainty continues to loom over the software sector, with Morgan Stanley indicating that disruption-related volatility is likely to persist [1]
The AI-fueled software meltdown is overblown
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-11 19:54
Core Viewpoint - The software sector is experiencing significant declines due to fears that AI advancements will disrupt existing software companies, leading to a sell-off on Wall Street [1][2][6]. Group 1: Market Impact - ServiceNow (NOW) stock has decreased by over 22% since January 29, while Thomson Reuters (TRI) has fallen more than 26% as of Wednesday. Intuit (INTU) shares are down over 26%, and Snowflake (SNOW) has shed 18%. Salesforce (CRM) has dropped more than 20% [2]. - The release of new AI tools by Anthropic and OpenAI has intensified concerns that these companies will either create competing software or enable businesses to develop their own, posing a threat to traditional software firms [1][2]. Group 2: Analyst Perspectives - Some analysts believe the panic in the market is an overreaction, suggesting that AI will not replace existing software companies but rather enhance their services [3][4]. - William Blair analyst Jason Ader noted that the current market reaction resembles a "baby-with-the-bath-water" situation, indicating that not all software companies are equally at risk [4]. Group 3: AI Industry Developments - The AI industry has made significant advancements since the launch of ChatGPT in 2022, changing how tasks are performed but it is premature to declare AI companies as the new leaders in enterprise software [5]. - The uncertainty surrounding the potential impact of AI on the software industry has led to a broader sell-off, with investors seeking safer investments in sectors perceived as more stable [6][7].
CRM vs. INTU: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2026-02-11 17:41
Core Viewpoint - The article compares Salesforce.com (CRM) and Intuit (INTU) to determine which stock is a better option for value investors, highlighting CRM's stronger valuation metrics and Zacks Rank [1]. Group 1: Zacks Rank and Earnings Outlook - CRM has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook due to recent revisions in earnings estimates, while INTU has a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [3]. - The Zacks Rank emphasizes stocks with improving earnings estimates, making CRM a more attractive option for investors [3]. Group 2: Valuation Metrics - CRM has a forward P/E ratio of 14.90, compared to INTU's forward P/E of 18.22, suggesting that CRM is undervalued relative to INTU [5]. - CRM's PEG ratio is 0.99, indicating a favorable valuation when considering expected EPS growth, while INTU's PEG ratio is 1.28 [5]. - CRM's P/B ratio is 3.02, significantly lower than INTU's P/B of 6.07, further supporting CRM's valuation as more attractive [6]. Group 3: Value Grades - CRM has a Value grade of B, while INTU has a Value grade of D, indicating that CRM is perceived as a better value investment [6].
Better AI Software Stock: ServiceNow vs. Salesforce
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-11 16:12
Group 1: Industry Overview - The technology industry is a significant investment area in 2026, driven by artificial intelligence (AI), but software stocks face challenges as some business models may be disrupted by AI [1] - Wall Street analysts predict that fears regarding AI could lead to declines in share prices across the software sector, creating potential buy opportunities for investors [2] Group 2: Salesforce Insights - Salesforce is a leader in customer relationship management (CRM) software, but the emergence of AI poses a threat to the relevance of CRM solutions [3] - In response to the AI threat, Salesforce launched its suite of AI agents under the Agentforce brand in 2024 and reported record results in its fiscal third quarter, with revenue increasing 9% year over year to $10.3 billion [4] - Agentforce's annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew 330% year over year in fiscal Q3, totaling half a billion dollars, although its revenue contribution is still in the early stages [5] Group 3: ServiceNow Insights - ServiceNow, like Salesforce, focuses on streamlining workflows and has performed well despite stock price declines, achieving $3.6 billion in sales for Q4, a 21% year-over-year increase [6] - The company has integrated AI into its platform and anticipates that AI agents will help expand its addressable market, contributing to revenue growth [6] - ServiceNow forecasts its 2026 subscription sales to reach at least $15.5 billion, up from $12.9 billion in 2025, with subscriptions making up 97% of 2025's revenue of $13.3 billion [7]
AI-Driven Platforms Strengthen IT Foundations, ISG Says
Businesswire· 2026-02-11 16:00
Core Insights - Integrated software platforms are increasingly vital for AI-enabled modernization of hybrid, multicloud enterprise IT environments, as per ISG's research [1][2] - Platform consolidation has shifted from being an efficiency measure to a structural necessity for enterprises [1] - Enterprises are replacing fragmented toolchains with platforms that integrate AI-assisted execution and robust governance [1] Group 1: Platform Evaluation and Rankings - The 2026 ISG Buyers Guides™ evaluated 97 software providers, focusing on integration, delivery speed, automation, and governance [1] - Microsoft emerged as the top Overall Leader in the Application Platforms category, followed by ServiceNow and Salesforce, all rated Exemplary [1][2] - In the AI-Driven Development Platforms category, Microsoft also led, with Appian and Pegasystems following, all rated Exemplary [2] Group 2: AI Integration in Platforms - AI functionality is now a core component across all platform categories, enhancing efficiency and visibility in application delivery [1] - Development platforms are incorporating AI for code generation, testing, documentation, and performance tuning [1] - Organizations with mature integration practices are better positioned to adopt unified, AI-enabled platforms [1] Group 3: Intelligent Automation Platforms - ISG evaluated 37 providers in the Intelligent Automation Platforms category, with Appian, Microsoft, and Automation Anywhere leading in Process Intelligence Platforms [2] - In Intelligent Document Processing Platforms, Appian ranked first, followed by Microsoft and ServiceNow, all rated Exemplary [2] - Microsoft also led in Automation and Orchestration Platforms, with Appian and Automation Anywhere following closely [2]
AI营销:新风口剑指千亿,服务商乘势而进
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-11 13:57
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the food and beverage industry [1] Core Insights - AI marketing is transforming the marketing logic from "experience-driven" to "data-intelligent-driven," enhancing efficiency and precision in marketing strategies [5][10] - The AI marketing sector is expected to reach a market size of nearly 100 billion by 2029, driven by the increasing demand for digital transformation and technological advancements [5][36] - The emergence of Generative Engine Optimization (GEO) is creating new growth opportunities in the marketing landscape, with significant potential for market expansion [5][41] Summary by Sections AI Marketing: Full-Chain Digital Reconstruction - AI marketing leverages technologies like machine learning and natural language processing to capture user needs and respond in real-time, moving beyond traditional marketing methods [10][11] - The marketing process is divided into four core functions: data insight, content generation, process execution, and interactive assistance [11][12] Acceleration of AI Marketing Commercialization - The AI marketing sector is transitioning into a new phase of commercial application, with three main monetization models: advertising revenue sharing, subscription models, and value-added service fees [17][19] - Leading SaaS companies are integrating AI technologies to enhance marketing effectiveness, with notable examples including Salesforce and Tencent's Magic Agent [23][30] New Opportunities in AI Marketing: GEO - GEO aims to optimize content visibility and credibility in AI-generated responses, significantly improving traffic acquisition efficiency [41][44] - The GEO market is projected to grow substantially, with estimates suggesting a market size of 29 billion yuan by 2025 and 240 billion yuan by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of 52.6% [54][55]
美股下一个“AI受害者”已经出现,市场正在提前定价!
美股研究社· 2026-02-11 11:06
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent internal rotation in the U.S. stock market, highlighting a shift from a few large-cap stocks leading the market to a broader participation across various sectors, while also addressing the impact of AI on traditional business models and the resulting market volatility [5][7][8]. Market Performance - On Tuesday, the S&P 500 fell by approximately 0.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by about 0.1%, reaching a new historical high [5]. - The equal-weighted S&P index also reached a record high, indicating a shift in market dynamics with around 300 stocks in the S&P 500 rising [7]. Retail Sales Data - The U.S. Commerce Department reported that December retail sales were flat month-over-month, significantly below the expected 0.4% growth, indicating a slowdown in consumer spending [9]. - Core retail sales, excluding autos and gas, even showed a decline, reflecting weakened consumer spending momentum during the holiday season [9]. Interest Rate Expectations - The weak retail data led to a rise in U.S. Treasury prices and a decline in yields, with the futures market increasing the probability of three rate cuts within the year, with two already priced in [9]. - Historical trends suggest that rate cut expectations typically support risk assets, but the current market shows a divergence where rates are falling but stocks are not rising, particularly in the tech sector [11]. AI Impact on Market Sentiment - Market participants are shifting their interpretation of AI's impact from a growth narrative to concerns about short-term disruptions, leading to a "sell first, think later" mentality [12]. - Investors are moving from an "AI is a panacea" mindset to a more pragmatic "performance realization" phase, anticipating greater differentiation between winners and losers in the market [12]. Institutional Perspectives - There is a noticeable divergence in institutional views on the tech sector, with Goldman Sachs warning about the risks of overestimating AI's growth potential and emphasizing the need for actual earnings and cash flow improvements to support tech valuations [13]. - UBS downgraded its rating on the U.S. tech sector from "overweight" to "neutral," citing key risks while still acknowledging the long-term potential of AI [14]. Wealth Management Sector - The wealth management sector has come under scrutiny following the launch of an AI tool by Altruist Corp., which automates tasks traditionally reliant on human expertise, raising concerns about the core revenue models of wealth management firms [17][18]. - The market reacted sharply, with significant declines in stocks of major wealth management firms, indicating fears about the long-term competitive structure of the industry under AI pressure [19][21]. Broader Market Reactions - The sell-off in the market has been attributed to fears that AI tools could undermine the intermediary value of insurance brokers, leading to a significant drop in the insurance brokerage sector [22]. - The recent downturn in the software sector has seen substantial market capitalization losses, with estimates indicating a combined loss of approximately $611 billion across software, financial services, and asset management sectors [26]. Conclusion - The current market environment reflects a transition from viewing AI as a beneficiary narrative to recognizing potential victims, with traditional software companies facing heightened scrutiny and volatility [27]. - The article suggests that this phase serves as a valuation and business model stress test, prompting a reevaluation of which revenue models are based on irreplaceable value versus those reliant on information asymmetry [34].