| 代码 名称 主力净流入 (元) 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) 游资净占比 散户净占比 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601888 中国中免 | 2.69ZZ | 4.17% | -4535.23万 | -0.70% | -2.24亿 | -3.47% | 证券之星消息，1月7日旅游零售板块较上一交易日上涨3.11%，中国中免领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4085.77，上涨0.05%。深证成指报收于14030.56，上涨0.06%。旅游零售板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601888 | 中国中免 | 93.41 | 3.11% | | 69.22万 | | 64.54亿 | 从资金流向上来看，当日旅游零售板块主力资金净流入2.69亿元，游资资金净流出4535.23万元，散户资 金净流出2.24亿元。旅游零售板块个股资金流向见下表： 以 ...

群益证券(香港)研报指出，中国中免获首都机场T3免税店经营权，元旦离岛免税开门红。受招标要求限 制，公司在首都机场整体经营面积较上一轮缩小，但业绩层面存在一定利好。T3承担首都机场逾80%的 国际旅客，上一轮中，中免经营T2、日上（中国）经营T3，考虑客流和持股情况（中免持股有日上中 国51%股权），本轮招标执行后，尽管收入规模收缩，但归母利润规模将有增加。预计2026年在离岛免 税复苏和出入境持续修复下，公司经营面将延续改善，从长期看，不管是海南还是口岸、市内免税店， 政策支持力度均在加码，进一步打开公司长期发展空间。考虑离岛免税回暖和出入境修复，上调2026- 2027年盈利预测，上调至"买进"。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Morgan Stanley forecasts a 25% to 30% year-on-year growth in Hainan's duty-free market by 2026, which will drive a 44% profit increase for China Duty Free Group (601888) [1] - Morgan Stanley has raised the target price for China Duty Free Group from 60 HKD to 89 HKD, while maintaining a "market perform" rating, suggesting investors wait for a better entry point [1] - The positive outlook for Hainan's tourism retail sector is supported by factors such as gradual macroeconomic recovery, positive wealth effects, expansion of product categories, and policy support [1] Group 2 - The firm predicts that China Duty Free Group's revenue, operating profit, and net profit for the fourth quarter of last year will increase by 19%, 92%, and 135% year-on-year, respectively [1] - However, the expectation for the full year indicates a decline in revenue and profit by 1% and 9% year-on-year, respectively [1]

该行表示对海南旅游零售业前景持正面看法，支持因素包括宏观经济正逐步复苏、积极的财富效应、销 售商品种类扩张及政策支持等，目前预测中国中免去年第四季收入、经营利润及净利润将分别同比增长 19%、92%及135%，但预期全年收入及盈利将同比下跌1%及9%。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，预计2026年海南免税市场将同比增长25%至30%，推动中 国中免(01880)盈利增长44%。该行指出，中免H股现价对应2026年预测市盈率约26倍，经历近期升浪后 估值水平似乎合理，建议投资者等待更佳时机入市，给予"与大市同步"评级，目标价由60港元上调至89 港元。 ...

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley expresses a positive outlook on the Hainan tourism retail industry, supported by macroeconomic recovery, positive wealth effects, expansion of product categories, and policy support [1] - The forecast for China Duty Free Group's Q4 revenue, operating profit, and net profit is expected to grow by 19%, 92%, and 135% year-on-year, respectively, while the full-year revenue and profit are anticipated to decline by 1% and 9% year-on-year [1] - By 2026, the Hainan duty-free market is projected to grow by 25% to 30% year-on-year, driving a 44% increase in China Duty Free Group's profits [1] Group 2 - The current price of China Duty Free Group's H-shares corresponds to a projected price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 26 times for 2026, indicating a reasonable valuation level after recent gains [1] - Investors are advised to wait for a better entry point, with a rating of "in line with the market" and a target price raised from 60 HKD to 89 HKD [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group (601888) (01880) saw a significant stock increase of over 7%, with a current price of 83.7 HKD and a trading volume of 185 million HKD, driven by strong sales growth in Hainan's duty-free market [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Hainan's duty-free sales from January 1 to 3 increased by 129% year-on-year to 712 million CNY, with the number of shoppers rising by 61% [1] - The average duty-free spending per person reached 8,527 CNY, marking a 42.5% year-on-year increase, while the quantity of purchased items grew by 52.4% [1] Group 2: Market Drivers - The robust sales growth is attributed to the relaxation of shopping policy restrictions for local residents and departing travelers in Hainan since October of the previous year, which has boosted shopper traffic [1] - Increased average spending is primarily driven by luxury categories such as clothing, footwear, handbags, jewelry, and mobile products, alongside ongoing government subsidies for duty-free shopping [1] Group 3: Analyst Outlook - UBS has a positive outlook on China Duty Free Group's A-shares and H-shares, setting target prices of 99.59 CNY and 90.73 HKD respectively, with a "Buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group (01880) saw a significant stock increase of over 7%, with a current price of 83.7 HKD and a trading volume of 185 million HKD, driven by strong sales growth in Hainan's duty-free market [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Hainan's duty-free sales from January 1 to 3 increased by 129% year-on-year to 712 million CNY, with the number of shoppers rising by 61% [1] - The estimated per capita duty-free spending reached 8,527 CNY, marking a 42.5% year-on-year increase, while the quantity of purchased items grew by 52.4% [1] Group 2: Market Drivers - The robust sales growth is attributed to the relaxation of shopping policy restrictions for local residents and departing travelers in Hainan since October of the previous year, which boosted shopper traffic [1] - The increase in per capita spending is primarily driven by luxury categories such as clothing, footwear, handbags, jewelry, and mobile products [1] - Local government continues to provide subsidies for duty-free shopping, further supporting sales growth [1] Group 3: Analyst Outlook - UBS has a positive outlook on China Duty Free Group's A-shares and H-shares, setting target prices of 99.59 CNY and 90.73 HKD respectively, with a "Buy" rating [1]

作为海南免税市场最大份额的龙头运营商，中国旅游集团中免股份有限公司（以下简称：中国中免，股 票代码：601888.SH）2026年首个交易日却未承接到元旦假期免税消费的红利。 截至1月5日收盘，中国中免报90.29元/股，日跌4.52%，市值约1868亿元。不过，时间拉长 来看，自2025年12月18日以来，中国中免股价已上浮近20%。在12月31日盘中，该股一度冲 至95.66元/股，创下2023年11月以来的新高。 不过，作为"免税茅"，当下的中国中免与高峰时期仍相距甚远。 2020年6月，中共中央、国务院发布《海南自由贸易港建设总体方案》。当年，中国中免的股价也进入 疯狂的上行通道，仅2020年6月，股价就上涨超50%，并首次突破百元大关，随后股价更接连冲破200元 和300元，顶峰时刻的市值一度超过8000亿元。 封关后的第一个小长假，海南免税销售再度起飞，但中国中免还没缓过来。 2026年元旦假期，海南迎来离岛免税消费热潮。海口海关1月4日公布统计数据，2026年1月1日~3日， 海口海关共监管离岛免税商品销售44.2万件，同比增长52.4%；购物人数8.35万人次，同比增长60.6%； 购物金额7 ...

从资金流向上来看，当日旅游零售板块主力资金净流出2.91亿元，游资资金净流入7585.11万元，散户资 金净流入2.15亿元。旅游零售板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 名称 主力净流入 (元) 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) 游资净占比 散户净占比 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601888 中国中免 | -2.9117 -5.59% | 7585.11万 | 1.46% | 2.15(Z | 4.13% | | WILL - A TT WILL CLASS | | | | | | 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成投资建议。 证券之星消息，1月6日旅游零售板块较上一交易日上涨0.33%，中国中免领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4083.67，上涨1.5%。深证成指报收于14022.55，上涨1.4%。旅游零售板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | - ...

中国中免（601888）(01880)尾盘涨超3%，截至发稿，涨2.42%，报78.45港元，成交额3.33亿港元。 消息面上，国元国际研报指出，2026年元旦假期作为海南自贸港全岛封关后的首个小长假，旅游市场迎 来"开门红"。全省接待游客217.16万人次，按可比口径同比增长25.2%；实现旅游总收入31.36亿元，同 比增长28.9%，收入增速高于人次增速3.7个百分点，显示消费结构持续优化。离岛免税、入境旅游等领 域表现突出，该行认为封关政策的红利与多元化产品供给将共同推动海南旅游市场进入高质量发展新阶 段。 瑞银发布研报称，据海口海关数据显示，海南1月1至3日免税销售同比增长129%至7.12亿元，免税购物 人次按年增加61%。该行估算人均免税消费额为8527元，按年上升42.5%；而购买商品数量亦按年增长 52.4%。所有数据均胜市场预期。瑞银认为，销售增长强劲主要由于海南在去年10月放宽了当地居民及 离境旅客于海南免税店的购物政策限制，推动购物人流增长。 ...