North America Equity Research December 2025 US Internet 2026 Outlook Doug Anmuth AC (212) 622-6571 douglas.anmuth@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities LLC Dae Lee, CFA AC (415) 315-8500 dae.k.lee@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities LLC Bryan M. Smilek AC (212) 622-8886 bryan.smilek@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities LLC Neeraj Kookada, CFA (212) 622-0270 neeraj.s.kookada@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities LLC Margaret Hoffman (212) 622-1710 margaret.hoffman@jpmchase.com J.P. Morgan Securities LLC See the e ...

海外科技巨头业绩不及预期，美股率先调整 开源证券近日发布电子行业周报：本周（2025.12.8-2025.12.12）电子行业指数涨1.36%，其中半导体领 涨3.30%。光学光电子跌1.23%，消费电子跌1.39%；海外科技方面，美联储宣布降息25个基点，将联邦 基金利率目标区间降至3.50%-3.75%，符合市场预期。但由于甲骨文以及博通业绩会交流不及预期，海 外科技大幅下跌，费城半导体下跌3.58%、英伟达跌4.05%、博通跌7.77%、特斯拉涨0.87%、Meta跌 4.33%、苹果跌0.18%。 以下为研究报告摘要： 合肥长鑫今年7月已经开始辅导。我们预计明年长鑫长存扩产将会有较高的同比增速，叠加先进逻辑厂 商的持续扩产，建议关注半导体设备的投资机会。 本周（2025.12.8-2025.12.12）电子行业指数涨1.36%，其中半导体领涨3.30%。光学光电子跌1.23%，消 费电子跌1.39%；海外科技方面，美联储宣布降息25个基点，将联邦基金利率目标区间降至 3.50%-3.75%，符合市场预期。但由于甲骨文以及博通业绩会交流不及预期，海外科技大幅下跌，费城 半导体下跌3.58%、英伟达跌4. ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the current state and future potential of AI, emphasizing the gap between awareness and practical usage, and the need for product development beyond just advanced models [4][6][37]. Group 1: Current AI Usage and Perception - Despite high awareness of AI tools like ChatGPT, actual daily usage remains low, with only about 10%-15% of users engaging with these tools regularly [6]. - The term "AI" is evolving into a buzzword rather than a precise definition, similar to how "automation" has been used historically [8]. Group 2: Platform Transformation and Structural Changes - The article positions generative AI within the context of historical platform transformations, noting that while such changes typically create winners and losers, the current AI landscape lacks clear physical limits [10]. - The uncertainty surrounding AI's effectiveness and its implications for human intelligence leads to conflicting narratives within the industry [10]. Group 3: Bubble Dynamics and Investment Risks - The discussion highlights the inevitability of a bubble in the AI sector, with the focus on structural characteristics rather than labeling the current phase [12]. - The prevailing sentiment among major cloud service providers is that the risk of not investing outweighs the risks associated with over-investment [15]. Group 4: Product Development and Market Needs - There is a significant gap in product forms that can effectively integrate AI into workflows, with current offerings like ChatGPT seen as inadequate for practical applications [16]. - The future of AI software companies lies in creating user-friendly interfaces that translate AI capabilities into actionable workflows [18]. Group 5: Validation and Error Management - The ability to validate AI outputs is crucial, as many applications require specific and accurate results, which can be challenging to achieve with current models [20]. - The article emphasizes that the deployment of AI is not just about generation capabilities but also about reliable delivery and verification processes [20]. Group 6: Competitive Landscape and Strategic Positioning - Major tech companies are positioning themselves differently in the AI landscape, focusing on various aspects such as user entry points, cash flow, and ecosystem control [27]. - OpenAI is highlighted as needing to strengthen its product offerings and infrastructure to maintain its competitive edge [28]. Group 7: Industry Implications and Future Outlook - The article concludes that the real concern for industries is not merely the adoption of AI but the potential redefinition of value chains due to AI advancements [35]. - The transition from model-centric to product-centric AI solutions is expected to reshape industries significantly by 2025 [36].

周一美股成交额第1名特斯拉收涨3.56%，股价创近一年新高，成交541.09亿美元。据该公司管理层透露 及当地目击者称，特斯拉公司正在奥斯汀试点无安全员随车的Robotaxi服务，此前的测试阶段曾配备车 内监控人员。 此后特斯拉CEO马斯克亦确认奥斯汀无人驾驶Robotaxi测试正在进行。 券商韦德布什在最新报告中乐观预计：特斯拉市值在2026年底将达3万亿美元，FSD渗透率或达50%以 上。分析师Dan Ives表示："我们认为特斯拉正朝着'人工智能革命'的方向大步迈进，2026年自动驾驶与 机器人技术将成为核心发力点，这一转型将'改写行业规则，定义特斯拉的未来'。我们维持对特斯拉 的'跑赢大盘'评级，目标股价仍为600美元。" 第2名英伟达收高0.73%，成交289.36亿美元。英伟达宣布正式发布新一代旗舰开源模型系列Nemotron 3。该系列相较前代产品，在运算速度、成本效益与智能水平上均有提升，其最大特点是采用了创新的 混合Mamba-Transformer专家模型架构。 第3名博通收跌5.59%，成交225.25亿美元。至此该股已经连续三个交易日下跌，三日累计下跌17.7%。 中金公司维持博通跑赢 ...

Stone also claimed that these teams have “doubled their fraud and scam reduction goal and over the last 15 months, user reports of scam ads have declined by well over 50%.”Meta communications chief Andy Stone, however, pushed back on the investigation, posting on Threads, “Once again, Reuters is misconstruing and misrepresenting the facts.” He argued that CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s “integrity strategy pivot”—which included instructing the China ads-enforcement team to reportedly “pause” its work—was to improve t ...

Billionaires who built fortunes in America's system should be giving far more away.They benefited from the U.S. education system, regulations, and venture capital networks, philanthropist Melinda French Gates said. Speaking to Wired editor-in-chief Katie Drummond recently, French Gates said those systems supported people who started businesses in America. French Gates discussed the Giving Pledge, which she launched in 2010 with Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) co-founder Bill Gates and Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:B ...

MENLO PARK, CALIFORNIA - OCTOBER 28: A pedestrian walks in front of a new logo and the name 'Meta' on the sign in front of Facebook headquarters on October 28, 2021 in Menlo Park, California. A new name and logo were unveiled at Facebook headquarters after a much anticipated name change for the social media platform. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)Getty ImagesMETA is Alphabet’s competitor in the Interactive Media & Services sector that possesses:1) A lower valuation (P/OpInc) in comparison to Alphab ...

Meta Platforms' (META) stock dipped slightly this week following a report that the company is making a significant pivot in its artificial intelligence strategy. The report from Bloomberg says that Meta is developing a closed, monetizable AI model with the codename “Avocado” that could incorporate tech from Chinese companies, including Alibaba Group (BABA). More News from Barchart Such a plan would be a shift in Meta’s AI strategy, which has long favored open-source models such as Llama. Such decentra ...

Facebook Messenger’s desktop app is no more https://t.co/ZbwXnENdcI ...

Key Takeaways META expects 2025 capital spending of $70-$72B, with more growth projected in 2026. AI-powered tools are boosting ad engagement, with a $60B annual run rate for META's ad products. Earnings estimates for 2025 have declined 2.7% in 30 days, reflecting cost pressures and competition.Meta Platforms’ (META) shares closed at $644.23 on Dec. 12, down roughly 19.1% from the 52-week high of $796.25 it hit on Aug. 15. META shares have returned a meager 3.2% in the trailing 12-month period, underperform ...