Core Viewpoint - Supermicro Computer (SMCI.US) reported disappointing Q1 FY2026 earnings and revenue, leading to a stock price drop of over 9% after hours, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of underperformance against analyst expectations [1][3]. Financial Performance - Q1 FY2026 revenue was $5.02 billion, down from $5.94 billion year-over-year and below the analyst forecast of $6.09 billion [1]. - Adjusted earnings per share were $0.35, lower than the expected $0.41 but an increase from $0.07 in Q1 FY2025 [1]. Revenue Guidance - The company had previously lowered its revenue outlook for Q1 FY2026 from a range of $6 billion to $7 billion to $5 billion due to delays in revenue recognition from product design upgrades [2]. - Supermicro anticipates strong revenue growth for FY2026, projecting at least $36 billion in revenue, supported by over $13 billion in Blackwell Ultra orders [2]. Market Challenges - The company has faced scrutiny since a report by Hindenburg Research accused it of accounting violations and export control breaches, leading to delays in SEC filings and a risk of delisting from NASDAQ [3]. - Increased competition in the AI server market has raised concerns about Supermicro's long-term profitability, despite a year-to-date stock increase of over 50% [3].

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a downturn, with major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq showing negative futures [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5% to 47,085.24, the S&P 500 dropped 1.2% to 6,771.55, and the Nasdaq decreased 2.04% to 23,348.63 [2] Company Performance Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) - AMD reported third-quarter revenue of $9.25 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $8.74 billion [3] - Adjusted earnings per share were $1.20, surpassing estimates of $1.16, driven by growth in the AI data center business [3] - AMD shares fell 3.70% to close at $250.05, with after-hours trading showing a further decline of 4.7% to $238.20 [2] Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) - Super Micro Computer reported earnings of 35 cents per share, missing the expected 40 cents, leading to a stock decline [4] - Quarterly revenue was $5.01 billion, below analyst estimates of $5.99 billion and down from $5.93 billion a year earlier [4] - The stock dropped 6.40% to $47.50, with after-hours trading showing a decline of 9.5% to $42.99 [3] Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) - Upstart reported earnings of 52 cents per share, beating the estimate of 42 cents, but revenue fell short of expectations [6] - The company projected fourth-quarter revenue of $288 million, below the $303.61 million analyst estimate, and cut its fiscal 2025 revenue outlook to $1.03 billion from $1.05 billion [6] - Shares slid 2.73% to $46.24, plummeting 15.3% to $39.15 in extended trading [5] Pinterest Inc. (PINS) - Pinterest reported third-quarter revenue of $1.05 billion, aligning with analyst estimates, but adjusted earnings of 38 cents per share missed the expected 42 cents [8] - The company forecasted fourth-quarter revenue between $1.31 billion and $1.34 billion, slightly below estimates of $1.34 billion [8] - Shares decreased by 2.39% to $32.91, dropping sharply by 20.09% to $26.30 in after-hours trading [7] Rivian Automotive (RIVN) - Rivian reported third-quarter revenue of $1.56 billion, up 78% year-over-year and above the $1.50 billion estimate [11] - Automotive revenue rose 47% to $1.14 billion, while software and services revenue surged 324% to $416 million [11] - The stock fell 5.23% to $12.50, but gained 3.2% to $12.90 in extended trading [10]

Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) reported quarterly earnings of $0.35 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.28 per share, but down from $0.75 per share a year ago, indicating an earnings surprise of +25.00% [1] - The company posted revenues of $5.02 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.56% and down from $5.94 billion year-over-year [2] - Super Micro shares have increased approximately 66.5% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 16.5% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.63 on revenues of $8.3 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.54 on revenues of $34.13 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Super Micro was mixed prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting the stock is expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Computer-Storage Devices industry, to which Super Micro belongs, is currently ranked in the top 17% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - Pure Storage (PSTG), another company in the same industry, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.59 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +18% [9]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q1 fiscal year 2026 revenue was $5 billion, down 15% year over year and down 13% quarter over quarter, compared to guidance of $6 billion-$7 billion [15] - Non-GAAP gross margin for Q1 was 9.5% compared to 9.6% in Q4 [17] - GAAP diluted EPS was $0.26 compared to guidance of $0.30-$0.42, and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.35 versus guidance of $0.40-$0.52 [18] - Cash flow used in operations for Q1 was $918 million compared to cash flow generated from operations of $864 million in the prior quarter [18] - Q1 closing inventory was $5.7 billion, up from $4.7 billion in Q4 [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - AI GPU platforms represented over 75% of Q1 revenues, continuing to be the key growth driver [15] - Enterprise channel revenues totaled $1.5 billion, representing 31% of revenues, down from 36% in the prior quarter [15] - OEM appliance and large data center segment revenues were $3.4 billion, representing 68% of Q1 revenues, up from 63% in the last quarter [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - By geography, the US represented 37% of Q1 revenues, Asia 46%, Europe 14%, and the rest of the world 3% [16] - Year-over-year, US revenues decreased 57%, while Asia grew 143% [16] - Asia's growth was attributed to a US-based customer opening a large data center in Asia [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on capturing market share in the AI infrastructure market, with a strong emphasis on DCBBS solutions [13][12] - The company is expanding its global footprint with new production facilities in Taiwan, the Netherlands, Malaysia, and soon the Middle East [11] - The DCBBS solution is becoming a critical part of the business strategy, driving future growth and profitability [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects to ship at least $10.5 billion in the December quarter, with a full-year revenue outlook raised to at least $36 billion [14][22] - Management noted that the complexity of new GPU racks has caused revenue shifts from Q1 to Q2, but this will strengthen growth trajectory [8] - Management is optimistic about the demand for AI compute and infrastructural solutions, positioning the company to lead in this space [7] Other Important Information - The company executed a $1.8 billion AR facility to strengthen working capital [19] - The cash position at quarter-end totaled $4.2 billion, while bank and convertible note debt was $4.8 billion, resulting in a net debt position of $575 million [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the increased revenue guidance? - Management indicated that the availability of NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra chipsets and market share expansion are both contributing factors [26] Question: When will DCBBS impact gross margins? - Management expects DCBBS to ramp up and positively impact gross margins soon, with current customer feedback being very positive [28] Question: What components contribute to the strong order outlook? - The strong order outlook is driven by GPU products and a comprehensive data center solution approach [32] Question: Is there conservatism in the revenue guidance? - Management confirmed that the guidance is conservative, with expectations for continued growth and capacity expansion [42] Question: How is the company managing working capital? - The company has implemented an accounts receivable sale program to enhance working capital flexibility [56] Question: What is the status of the Malaysia plant? - The Malaysia plant is starting to ramp up production and is expected to contribute significantly going forward [51] Question: How does the company account for risks of revenue push-outs? - Management acknowledged that large projects can lead to timing issues, but the overall trend of revenue growth remains strong [80]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q1 fiscal year 2026 revenue was $5 billion, down 15% year-over-year and down 13% quarter-over-quarter, compared to guidance of $6 billion-$7 billion [15] - Non-GAAP gross margin for Q1 was 9.5% versus 9.6% in Q4 [17] - GAAP diluted EPS was $0.26 compared to guidance of $0.30-$0.42, and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.35 versus guidance of $0.40-$0.52 [18] - Cash flow used in operations for Q1 was $918 million compared to cash flow generated from operations of $864 million in the prior quarter [18] - Q1 closing inventory was $5.7 billion, up from $4.7 billion in Q4 [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - AI GPU platforms represented over 75% of Q1 revenues, continuing to be the key growth driver [15] - Enterprise channel revenues totaled $1.5 billion, representing 31% of revenues, down from 36% in the prior quarter [15] - OEM appliance and large data center segment revenues were $3.4 billion, representing 68% of Q1 revenues, up from 63% in the last quarter [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - By geography, the U.S. represented 37% of Q1 revenues, Asia 46%, Europe 14%, and the rest of the world 3% [16] - Year-over-year, U.S. revenues decreased 57%, while Asia grew 143% [16] - Asia's growth was attributed to a U.S.-based customer opening a large data center in Asia [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leading the AI growth trend with innovative solutions, including the DCBBS [7] - The DCBBS is critical for future success, enabling rapid planning, design, and deployment of AI-ready data centers [9] - The company is executing an aggressive global expansion, with new production facilities in Taiwan, the Netherlands, Malaysia, and soon the Middle East [11] - The long-term goal is to expand revenues in higher margin segments such as data center building block solutions and software service offerings [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects to ship at least $10.5 billion in the December quarter, with a full-year revenue outlook raised to at least $36 billion [14][22] - The company anticipates a sequential growth through fiscal 2026, driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure [14] - Management acknowledged the challenges of ramping production and the complexities of new GPU racks impacting revenue timing [8][15] Other Important Information - The company executed a $1.8 billion AR facility to strengthen working capital [19] - The Q1 cash conversion cycle was 123 days, up from 96 days in Q4 [19] - Capital expenditures for Q1 totaled $32 million, resulting in negative free cash flow of $950 million for the quarter [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the increased revenue guidance? - Management indicated that the availability of NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra chipsets is a key driver for increased revenue guidance, alongside market share expansion [26] Question: When will DCBBS impact gross margins? - DCBBS has received positive feedback, and management expects it to ramp up quickly, contributing to higher profit margins in the future [28] Question: What components contribute to the strong order outlook? - The strong order outlook is driven by GPU products like Blackwell Ultra and AMD MI350, along with a focus on providing end-to-end data center solutions [32] Question: Is there conservatism in the revenue guidance? - Management confirmed that the revenue guidance is conservative, with expectations for continued growth as capacity and technology mature [42] Question: How is the company managing working capital? - The company has implemented an accounts receivable sale program to enhance working capital flexibility, especially as revenues double [56] Question: What is the status of the Malaysia plant? - The Malaysia plant is starting to ramp up production and is expected to contribute significantly going forward [51] Question: How does the company plan to improve margins? - Management is focused on leveraging additional business, expanding manufacturing in various geographies, and enhancing DCBBS strategies to improve margins [75]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q1 fiscal year 2026 revenue was $5 billion, down 15% year over year and down 13% quarter over quarter, compared to guidance of $6 billion-$7 billion [14] - Non-GAAP gross margin for Q1 was 9.5% versus 9.6% in Q4 [17] - GAAP diluted EPS was $0.26 compared to guidance of $0.30-$0.42, and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.35 versus guidance of $0.40-$0.52 [18] - Cash flow used in operations for Q1 was $918 million compared to cash flow generated from operations of $864 million in the prior quarter [18] - Q1 closing inventory was $5.7 billion, up from $4.7 billion in Q4 [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - AI GPU platforms represented over 75% of Q1 revenues, continuing to be the key growth driver [15] - Enterprise channel revenues totaled $1.5 billion, representing 31% of revenues, down from 36% in the prior quarter [15] - OEM appliance and large data center segment revenues were $3.4 billion, representing 68% of Q1 revenues, up from 63% in the last quarter [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - By geography, the US represented 37% of Q1 revenues, Asia 46%, Europe 14%, and the rest of the world 3% [16] - Year-over-year, US revenues decreased 57%, while Asia grew 143% [16] - Asia's growth was attributed to a US-based customer opening a large data center in Asia [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leading the AI growth trend with innovative solutions, including the DCBBS [6] - The DCBBS is critical for future success, enabling rapid planning, design, and deployment of AI-ready data centers [9] - The company is executing an aggressive global expansion, with new production facilities in Taiwan, the Netherlands, Malaysia, and soon the Middle East [11] - The long-term goal is to expand revenues in higher margin segments such as data center building block solutions and software service offerings [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects to ship at least $10.5 billion in the December quarter, with a full-year revenue outlook raised to at least $36 billion [13][24] - The company anticipates sequential growth through fiscal 2026, driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure [13] - Management acknowledged the complexity of new GPU racks causing revenue shifts from Q1 to Q2, but believes this will strengthen growth trajectory [7] Other Important Information - The company executed a $1.8 billion AR facility to strengthen working capital [19] - Q1 GAAP operating expenses were $285 million, down 10% quarter-over-quarter [17] - The company is investing in expanding its DCBBS portfolio and upcoming releases [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: What drives the increased revenue guidance? - Management indicated that the availability of NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra chipsets and market share expansion are both key drivers for increased revenue guidance [27] Question: When will DCBBS impact gross margins? - Management noted that DCBBS has been well received and is expected to ramp up quickly, with higher profit margins anticipated in the data center infrastructure sector [28] Question: What contributes to the strong order outlook? - Management highlighted that GPU products, including Blackwell Ultra and AMD MI350, are significant contributors to the strong order outlook [32] Question: Is the December quarter the low watermark for gross margins? - Management confirmed that the December quarter is expected to have lower margins due to ramping up new product lines, but improvements are anticipated in future quarters [46] Question: How does the company account for revenue push-outs? - Management acknowledged that large projects often face timing challenges due to logistics and customer readiness, which can impact quarterly results [75]

Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US) reported first-quarter revenue of $5 billion, which fell short of analysts' average expectation of $6 billion, leading to a stock price drop of over 10% in after-hours trading. However, the company provided a second-quarter revenue forecast that exceeds Wall Street expectations, indicating strong demand for its AI-optimized servers [1]. Group 1 - Super Micro Computer's first-quarter revenue was $5 billion, below the expected $6 billion [1]. - The company's stock price declined by over 10% in after-hours trading following the earnings report [1]. - For the second quarter, Super Micro Computer expects revenue between $10 billion and $11 billion, significantly higher than the analysts' average estimate of $7.83 billion [1]. Group 2 - The optimistic second-quarter forecast suggests that Super Micro Computer is well-positioned to compete against larger rivals such as Dell and Hewlett Packard Enterprise [1]. - These competitors are also striving to provide hardware solutions to meet the surging demand for artificial intelligence [1].

Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) missed Wall Street's expectations for its fiscal first quarter, leading to a significant drop in stock price during after-hours trading [1][5]. Financial Performance - For the quarter ending September 30, Supermicro reported adjusted earnings of $0.35 per share on sales of $5.02 billion, falling short of analyst expectations of $0.37 per share and $5.83 billion in sales. Year-over-year, earnings decreased by 52% and sales declined by 15% [2]. - The company revised its sales guidance for the September quarter, indicating that some customers postponed deliveries to the December quarter for project upgrades [3]. - For the current quarter, Supermicro anticipates adjusted earnings of $0.50 per share on sales of $10.5 billion, compared to Wall Street's expectations of $0.61 per share and $7.94 billion in sales [3]. - For the full fiscal year 2026, Supermicro expects net sales of at least $36 billion, representing a 64% increase, surpassing analyst expectations of $32.2 billion [4]. Market Reaction - Following the earnings report, SMCI stock fell over 8% in after-hours trading to $43.45, and during regular trading, it dropped 6.6% to close at $47.40 [5].

Core Insights - Super Micro Computer Inc. reported weaker-than-expected results for the fiscal first quarter, leading to a share price decline of up to 10% in extended trading [1][3] - Revenue decreased by 15% year-over-year to $5.02 billion, significantly below the expected $6 billion [1][3] - Net income fell over 60% to $168.3 million, or 26 cents per share, compared to $424.3 million, or 67 cents per share, a year earlier [2] Revenue and Earnings - The company initially expected revenue of $6 billion to $7 billion but revised its guidance down to $5 billion for the quarter [1] - Super Micro anticipates sales of $10 billion to $11 billion in the current quarter, exceeding the average estimate of $7.83 billion [2] Market Position and Trends - Super Micro has benefited from the AI boom, utilizing Nvidia's graphics processing units in its servers, but growth has stagnated recently [3] - Analysts suggest that competitors like Dell may be gaining market share, impacting Super Micro's performance [3] - Prior to the earnings report, Super Micro's stock had increased by 55% for the year [3]

Group 1: Magnum Ice Cream Co (MICC) Demerger and Listing - Magnum Ice Cream Co (MICC) is preparing for a triple listing on the London Stock Exchange, New York Stock Exchange, and Euronext Amsterdam, following its demerger from Unilever, expected in mid-November 2025 [1][2] - The demerger process is projected to incur costs of €800 million, with approximately 55% of these costs already incurred [1] - Unilever will retain a minority stake of less than 20% in Magnum for up to five years, which will be sold to cover separation costs and maintain capital flexibility [2] - Magnum reported €7.9 billion in revenue and €1.3 billion in adjusted EBITDA for 2024, holding an approximate 21% global retail market share [2] - The company has established a stable dividend policy, targeting a payout ratio of 40-60% of adjusted net income, with the first dividend expected in the first half of 2027 [2] Group 2: Corporate Earnings - Amgen (AMGN) reported a 12.4% year-on-year increase in sales to $9.56 billion, driven by strong performance from new inflammation drugs and cholesterol therapy Repatha [7] - Following its strong performance, Amgen raised its full-year profit and revenue guidance, with adjusted EPS now expected between $20.60 and $21.40 and revenue between $35.8 billion and $36.6 billion [7] - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) issued a weak profit forecast for the current quarter, adjusting its first-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue estimate to approximately $5 billion, down from $6-$7 billion [8] - Despite the short-term setback, Super Micro maintained its full-year revenue forecast of at least $33 billion, citing strong AI demand and a $12 billion backlog of new orders [8] - AMD (AMD) beat its Q3 expectations with revenues of $9.25 billion and adjusted EPS of $1.20, but its Q4 outlook did not meet investor expectations [8] Group 3: Canada's Financial Sector Reforms - Canada's government is targeting competition within its financial sector by tackling fees, simplifying the process for consumers to switch banks, and reducing regulatory burdens for smaller lenders [9] - The initiative includes prohibiting investment and registered account transfer fees, which currently cost Canadians an average of $150 per account [9] - The government plans to increase the amount of immediately available deposited cheque funds to $150 from $100 [9] Group 4: Economic Indicators - New Zealand's unemployment rate for Q3 rose to 5.3%, with no employment growth quarter-over-quarter and a year-over-year decline of -0.6% [11] - In the United States, API crude oil inventories surged by 6.5 million barrels, significantly exceeding forecasts that anticipated a draw of 2.4 million barrels [12]