11月7日消息，日本9月所有家庭支出同比上升1.8%，预期2.50%，前值2.30%。 华泰证券表示，随着关税不确定性下降、全球制造业周期回升，日本出口增速企稳，经济整体延续修复态势，劳动力虽边 际降温、但仍有韧性，通胀回落、但绝对水平偏高。"高市交易"推动日元走弱、日股创新高、日债收益率陡峭化。 【导读】日韩股市开盘走低，最新跌幅均超2%，万亿巨头软银暴跌8% 隔夜美国三大股指全线收跌，日韩股市开盘走低。 11月7日，日经225指数跌破50000点关口，截至发稿跌幅超8%。 隔夜美国科技股大跌，软银集团股价跌超8%，爱德万测试股价跌超6%。 日本味之素股价跌超16%，跌幅为2011年3月以来最大。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 = | 总市值 三 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日立造船 | 920.0 -19.79% | | 1566亿 | | 7004.T | | | | | 味之素 | 3625.0 -16.15% | | 36454亿 | | 2802.T | | | | | 太阳诱电 | 3645.0 -16.11% | | 4746亿 | | 6976.T | | ...

Group 1 - SoftBank's stock price has resumed its decline, primarily due to investor concerns over the high valuations in the AI sector, leading to a collective drop in related stocks [1][4] - On Friday, SoftBank's stock fell over 8%, following a 10% drop on Wednesday, marking its worst single-day performance since April, with a slight rebound of nearly 3% on Thursday [1][4] - If the decline continues, SoftBank's market value could decrease by approximately $53 billion this week [1] Group 2 - Many investors view SoftBank as the only listed alternative investment for OpenAI, reflecting a growing cautious sentiment in the market regarding the AI industry [4] - OpenAI's CEO has discussed federal loan guarantee plans with the U.S. government to encourage chip factory construction, indicating potential funding uncertainties [4] - Other Japanese tech stocks also experienced declines, with semiconductor testing equipment manufacturer Advantest down over 6%, and chip manufacturers Renesas Electronics and Tokyo Electron down nearly 4% and about 1.5%, respectively [4] Group 3 - The global chip design company Arm, which is controlled by SoftBank, saw its stock drop 1.21% on NASDAQ, while TSMC, the largest chip foundry, also experienced a 0.6% decline [4] - Asian tech stocks were negatively impacted by the overnight decline of U.S. AI concept stocks, with Qualcomm down nearly 4% despite strong quarterly results, and AMD dropping 7% [6] - Experts express concerns that the current AI valuations are reminiscent of the late 1990s internet bubble, with stock price increases far exceeding actual profit expectations [6] Group 4 - While the economic impact of AI is undeniable, market volatility is also expected, with some experts cautioning against prematurely declaring a bubble [7] - Current AI capital expenditures are primarily supported by cash-rich companies with strong balance sheets, rather than cheap credit or speculative behavior [7] - The greater risk may not be a bubble burst, but rather valuation fatigue, as investors grow weary of paying higher premiums for AI returns that are not being realized in a timely manner [7]

Market Overview - Japanese and Korean stock markets opened lower, with the Nikkei 225 index falling below 50,000 points and a decline of 2% [1] - Hitachi Zosen led the decline with an 18.4% drop, followed by Ajinomoto with over a 16% decrease, and SoftBank Group nearly down 9% [1][2] Stock Performance - Notable stock declines include: - Hitachi Zosen: 936.0 JPY, down 211.0 JPY (-18.40%) - Ajinomoto: 3624.0 JPY, down 699.0 JPY (-16.17%) - SoftBank Group: 21250.0 JPY, down 2050.0 JPY (-8.80%) [2] - The KOSPI index in South Korea initially dropped 1.4% but later turned positive [2] US Market Concerns - US tech stocks experienced a collective decline, with notable drops including: - Nvidia's market value evaporating by $173.3 billion - AMD down over 7%, Microsoft on a seven-day losing streak, and Tesla and Qualcomm down over 3% [3] - Concerns are rising about a potential bubble burst, with Michael Burry indicating a strategy to short the AI bubble due to excessive spending and low returns [3] Global Market Outlook - Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley predict a potential 10% to 20% correction in global (US) stock markets due to tech stock bubbles over the next 1-2 years, while expressing optimism for the Chinese market, particularly in AI, electric vehicles, and biotechnology [4] - Concerns about panic selling are highlighted, with high-valuation sectors likely to be the first affected [4]

Group 1 - SoftBank expressed acquisition interest in Marvell, but terms were not agreed upon, leading to a significant increase in Marvell's stock price [1] - Marvell specializes in custom chips, with ASIC services similar to Broadcom, offering comprehensive solutions from network interfaces to memory and packaging [1] - Google plans to launch its seventh-generation Tensor Processing Unit, Ironwood, which boasts four times the performance of the sixth-generation Trillium TPU for training and inference tasks [1] Group 2 - ASICs demonstrate significant advantages in energy efficiency and cost, with Google's TPU v5 being 1.46 times more efficient than NVIDIA's H200, and Amazon's Trainium2 reducing training costs by 40% and inference costs by 55% [2] - Broadcom's AI ASIC revenue is projected to reach $12.2 billion in 2024 and $13.7 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, with quarterly growth rates surpassing NVIDIA [2] - The global AI ASIC market is expected to reach $125 billion by 2028, according to AMD, while Broadcom anticipates the ASIC service market for major clients to be between $60 billion and $90 billion by 2027 [2] Group 3 - Domestic cloud service providers are achieving results in self-developed ASICs, with Baidu's Kunlun chip reaching its third generation and securing a 1 billion yuan order from China Mobile [2] - Alibaba's PPU surpasses NVIDIA's A800 in memory and bandwidth, with a signed order for 16,384 computing cards from China Unicom [2] - ByteDance initiated chip self-development in 2020, planning to achieve mass production by 2026 [2]

About this content About Sean Mason Sean Mason is a Senior Journalist at Proactive, having researched and written about Canadian and US equities for 20 years. Sean graduated from the University of Toronto with a BA in history and economics and has also passed the Canadian Securities Course. He previously worked at Investors Digest of Canada, Stockhouse, and SmallCapPower.com. Read more About the publisher Proactive financial news and online broadcast teams provide fast, accessible, informative and action ...

Core Viewpoint - SoftBank Group is exploring the possibility of acquiring Marvell Technology, which could become the largest merger in the semiconductor industry if completed [1] Group 1: Acquisition Interest - SoftBank's interest in acquiring Marvell is linked to a potential merger with its subsidiary, Arm, a UK chip design company [1] - Although there are no active negotiations currently, the possibility of reviving acquisition talks remains [1] Group 2: Strategic Intent - Masayoshi Son, the billionaire founder of SoftBank, has been intermittently considering Marvell as a potential acquisition target for years [1] - This interest is part of SoftBank's strategy to capitalize on the AI boom through hardware investments [1] Group 3: Previous Engagement - SoftBank had previously expressed interest in Marvell several months ago, but the two parties could not reach an agreement on transaction terms [1]

Core Viewpoint - SoftBank Group has explored the possibility of acquiring Marvell Technology, which could become the largest merger in the semiconductor industry if completed [1] Group 1: Acquisition Interest - SoftBank's intention to acquire Marvell is aimed at merging it with its controlled UK chip design company, Arm [1] - Although there are no active negotiations currently between Marvell and SoftBank, the possibility of reviving acquisition talks remains [1] Group 2: Historical Context - Masayoshi Son, the billionaire founder of SoftBank, has intermittently considered Marvell as a potential acquisition target for years [1] - This interest is part of SoftBank's strategy to benefit from the AI boom through hardware investments [1] Group 3: Negotiation Status - SoftBank had previously expressed interest in Marvell several months ago, but the two parties could not agree on transaction terms [1]

Core Viewpoint - Marvell Technology (MRVL.US) shares rose over 10% in pre-market trading, reaching $102.21, following reports of a potential acquisition interest from SoftBank to merge with its chip design company Arm, although no agreement on terms was reached [1] Company Summary - Marvell Technology's stock price increased significantly, indicating positive market sentiment regarding the potential acquisition [1] - SoftBank expressed interest in acquiring Marvell Technology several months ago, aiming to combine it with Arm [1] - Current negotiations between Marvell Technology and SoftBank have not progressed, with no active discussions taking place at this time [1]

Group 1 - SoftBank considered acquiring American chip manufacturer Marvell earlier this year, which would set a record for the largest merger in the chip industry if completed [2] - The founder of SoftBank, Masayoshi Son, has been interested in Marvell for years, viewing it as a potential acquisition target to help build an AI hardware empire [2][3] - Marvell's current market value is approximately $80 billion, down 16% from the beginning of the year, contrasting sharply with the strong performance of peers like Arm and Nvidia [3] Group 2 - SoftBank's plan involves deep integration of Marvell with its already controlled UK chip design company Arm, aiming to create a strong competitive edge in the AI chip market [3] - This strategy aligns with Masayoshi Son's recent focus on AI hardware, as evidenced by SoftBank's acquisition of Ampere Computing earlier this year [3] - The global tech giants are investing heavily in AI infrastructure, with Nvidia's stock soaring 1300% over five years, making it the first company to surpass a $5 trillion market cap [4] Group 3 - SoftBank launched a $500 billion "Star Gate" data center project in collaboration with OpenAI and Oracle to remain competitive in the AI space, although progress has been slower than expected due to site selection disputes [4]

Core Viewpoint - The operation of AI trading reflects a profit cycle where AI companies and their investors mimic a life cycle model, ensuring funds ultimately return to their own coffers [2] Group 1: Company Overview - SB OAI Japan is a joint venture established by SoftBank and OpenAI in Japan, with both parties holding 50% stakes. The company will provide an enterprise AI solution called "Crystal intelligence," tailored for the management and operational needs of Japanese businesses [4] - The "Crystal intelligence" service aims to enhance productivity and management efficiency by utilizing advanced AI tools, combining OpenAI's enterprise products with localized implementation and support services [5] Group 2: Investment Dynamics - The establishment of SB OAI Japan occurs amid concerns from analysts regarding the substantial funding directed towards AI development and the exorbitant valuations of related companies, drawing parallels to the internet bubble [3] - The investment cycle in AI is characterized by a closed-loop system where investors inject large amounts of capital into AI companies, collaborate to form new enterprises, and often become the first customers of these new ventures, leading to a return of funds to the investors [5]