Core Viewpoint - Weibo's Q3 financial results slightly missed expectations, with total revenue decreasing by 5% year-on-year, and a 4% decrease when excluding foreign exchange impacts [1] Revenue Performance - Total revenue for Q3 decreased by 5% year-on-year, and adjusted for foreign exchange, the decline was 4% [1] - The adjusted operating profit margin was 30%, down 5.6 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a high comparison base [1] Future Outlook - Despite expectations for revenue improvement in Q4, the company is projected to face dual pressures on revenue for the fiscal year 2026 [1] - Brand advertising business is regaining attention, while AI search and commercialization are expected to provide additional upside potential [1] Dividend and Price Target - The company is expected to maintain a similar dividend payout ratio, indicating a yield close to 8% [1] - Adjusted net profit forecasts for fiscal years 2025 to 2026 have been lowered by 1%, and the target price for Weibo's U.S. stock has been reduced from $11.5 to $10.5, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]

Weibo Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Weibo - **Quarter**: Q3 2025 - **Revenue**: $442.3 million, a decrease of 5% year-over-year - **Advertising Revenue**: $375.4 million, down 6% year-over-year - **Non-GAAP Operating Income**: $132 million, with a 30% operating margin - **Monthly Active Users (MAUs)**: 578 million - **Daily Active Users (DAUs)**: 257 million Key Highlights Financial Performance - Weibo's revenues decreased by 5% year-over-year, primarily due to a high base effect from the 2024 Olympics [2][27] - Advertising revenues declined by 6% year-over-year, attributed to the same high base effect [2][27] - Value-added service revenue increased by 2%, reaching $66.9 million [27] - Net income attributable to Weibo was $110.7 million, with diluted EPS at $0.42 [27] User Engagement Strategies - Weibo focused on enhancing user value through recommendation feeds, leading to double-digit quarter-over-quarter increases in per capita viewership time among mid- and low-frequency users [2][3] - Algorithm enhancements for real-time interest-based content recommendations improved user engagement, particularly with video content [2][4] - The shift to a recommendation-based feed broadened content distribution, especially for original and medium-to-long form videos [2][7] AI Integration - AI technology was integrated into Weibo's search product, resulting in over 50% quarter-over-quarter growth in DAU and query volumes [2][10] - AI-driven enhancements improved intelligent search capabilities, enabling continuous exploratory dialogues and better matching of relevant content [12][13] - AI technology has been increasingly integrated across all stages of Weibo's advertising lifecycle, enhancing efficiency and performance [17][30] Advertising and Monetization - Weibo's advertising team aims to solidify its position as a go-to platform for content marketing while enhancing ad product performance [14][29] - Despite a decline in advertising revenue, sectors like e-commerce and automotive showed strong performance, with e-commerce revenues growing over 50% year-over-year [15][27] - AI has transformed Weibo's ad products, leading to substantial improvements in conversion rates and ROI for advertisers [30][29] Competitive Dynamics - Competitive dynamics in the e-commerce sector have persisted, with revenues from this sector achieving notable year-over-year growth [15] - The automotive sector continued to show growth due to strengths in new energy vehicle content ecosystems [15] - Online gaming and smartphone sectors faced declines due to budget contractions [15] Future Outlook - Weibo plans to focus on capturing marketing opportunities in sectors with high budget visibility, such as e-commerce, and to enhance AI applications in advertising [25][26] - The company anticipates a recovery in consumer goods and continued growth in performance-based ads due to product upgrades and AI integration [35][36] Additional Insights - Upgraded fan mechanisms and super topics focusing on events like concerts and anime conventions drove double-digit growth in interaction ratios and user engagement [8][9] - The redesign of information flow products has positively impacted user engagement, enhancing consumption patterns and expected revenue growth [38][41] - The introduction of video content lowers entry barriers for new users, encouraging frequent consumption [42][43] - Weibo's recommendation system has been revamped to better support video content, enhancing visibility for video creators [44] This summary encapsulates the key points from Weibo's Q3 2025 earnings call, highlighting financial performance, user engagement strategies, AI integration, advertising dynamics, competitive landscape, and future outlook.

Group 1 - Xibei has raised the average salary of frontline employees by 500 yuan per person per month since September in response to negative public sentiment and online harassment [3][4] - Google has launched its latest AI model, Gemini 3, which aims to provide better answers to complex questions without requiring excessive prompts [4][5] - Gemini 3 Pro has achieved a groundbreaking Elo score of 1501, surpassing its predecessor in almost all major AI benchmarks [5] Group 2 - Xiaomi plans to release a new version of its end-to-end assisted driving system at the Guangzhou Auto Show on November 21 [8] - Meta's Chief Revenue Officer, John Hegeman, is leaving the company to start his own venture, marking a significant leadership change [10] - Meta has won a federal antitrust lawsuit regarding its acquisitions of Instagram and WhatsApp, as the court found no violation of antitrust laws [10] Group 3 - The U.S. stock market saw a collective decline, with the Dow Jones down by 1.07% and the Nasdaq down by 1.21% on November 18 [11] - Nvidia and Microsoft are set to invest up to $150 billion in Anthropic as part of a new strategic partnership [12] - ByteDance has integrated its engineering teams for e-commerce, life services, and advertising to enhance R&D efficiency [12] Group 4 - Weibo reported a total revenue of 3.456 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a decrease of 5% year-on-year [22] - iQIYI's total revenue for Q3 2025 was 6.68 billion yuan, down 8% year-on-year [23] - Baidu's Q3 2025 revenue reached 31.2 billion yuan, with AI business revenue growing over 50% [24] - Xiaomi's Q3 2025 revenue was 113.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.3% [25]

Group 1 - Xiaomi will release an upgraded version of its end-to-end assisted driving system, HAD Enhanced Version, at the Guangzhou Auto Show on November 21 [5] - Dazhong City, a state-owned real estate enterprise, has announced its plan to delist from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with the delisting expected to take effect on November 27 [3] - Wahaha's general manager represented the company at the 2025 sales meeting, while the founder, Zong Fuli, was absent [4] Group 2 - Google has launched its latest AI model, Gemini 3, which aims to compete with OpenAI's ChatGPT, boasting improved reasoning and multimodal capabilities [2] - Apple's designer Abidur Chowdhury has reportedly left the company to join an AI startup, causing a stir within Apple's design team [6] - The tax authorities are cracking down on tax evasion practices involving income splitting, with several cases exposed this year [11] Group 3 - Meta's Chief Revenue Officer, John Hegeman, announced his departure to start his own company, marking a significant leadership change for the social media giant [7] - Meta won a federal antitrust lawsuit regarding its acquisitions of Instagram and WhatsApp, with the court ruling that the transactions did not violate antitrust laws [7] - The U.S. stock market saw a collective decline, with major indices falling, and many large tech stocks also experienced drops [8] Group 4 - Amazon is set to issue bonds for the first time in three years, raising $15 billion to support AI development [18] - "Material Science Source Map" has completed a multi-million angel round of financing, which will focus on core technology development [19] - Weibo reported a 5% year-on-year decline in total revenue for Q3, amounting to approximately 3.156 billion yuan [20]

Group 1 - Quark will launch a new AI browser that integrates with the Qianwen app, marking a strategic collaboration aimed at reshaping the internet access logic [1] - The new AI browser is expected to undergo a significant upgrade on the PC side, enhancing user experience and privacy considerations [1] Group 2 - Weibo has released its first self-developed open-source large model, VibeThinker, which focuses on enhancing capabilities in complex mathematics and competitive programming [2] - The current version of VibeThinker is experimental and not optimized for daily chat interactions, indicating its targeted application in high-intelligence scenarios [2] Group 3 - Several smartphone manufacturers, including Xiaomi, OPPO, and vivo, have paused their procurement of storage chips due to low inventory levels and rising prices from suppliers [3] - The inventory for some manufacturers is reported to be below two months, with certain DRAM stocks dropping to less than three weeks, prompting a reevaluation of procurement strategies [3]

Group 1 - Quark will launch a new AI browser that integrates with the Qianwen app, marking a strategic collaboration aimed at reshaping the internet access logic [1] - The new AI browser is positioned to enhance user experience and privacy considerations, moving beyond traditional browser functionalities [1] Group 2 - Weibo has released its first self-developed open-source large model, VibeThinker, which focuses on enhancing capabilities in complex mathematics and competitive programming [2] - The current version of VibeThinker is experimental and not yet optimized for daily chat interactions, indicating its targeted application in high-intelligence scenarios [2] Group 3 - Several smartphone manufacturers, including Xiaomi, OPPO, and vivo, have paused their storage chip procurement due to low inventory levels and rising prices from suppliers [3] - The inventory for some manufacturers is reported to be below two months, with certain DRAM stocks dropping to less than three weeks, prompting a reevaluation of procurement strategies [3]

Core Viewpoint - Weibo is conducting its Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, indicating a focus on financial performance and strategic insights for investors [2]. Group 1: Financial Results - The conference call is aimed at discussing Weibo's financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting the company's performance metrics and future outlook [2]. Group 2: Management Participation - The call features key executives, including CEO Gaofei Wang and CFO Fei Cao, who will provide insights into the company's operations and financial health [2]. Group 3: Forward-Looking Statements - The company will make forward-looking statements during the call, which may involve risks and uncertainties that could lead to actual results differing from expectations [3].

Core Insights - Weibo's advertising and marketing revenue from Alibaba increased by 112% year-on-year to $45.5 million in Q3 2025, driven by increased advertising budgets in Alibaba's local life business and strong marketing demand in its e-commerce sector [1][3] - Overall revenue for Weibo in Q3 2025 was $442.3 million, a decrease of 5% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to Weibo shareholders fell by 20.47% to $110 million [1][2] Revenue Breakdown - Advertising and marketing revenue (excluding Alibaba) was $375.4 million, a decline of 6% year-on-year, primarily due to reduced contributions from the food and beverage sector, which benefited significantly from the Paris Olympics last year [2] - Value-added services revenue reached $66.9 million, a slight increase of 2% year-on-year [4] User Metrics - As of the end of Q3 2025, Weibo had 578 million monthly active users and 257 million daily active users [5] - The search feature, Weibo Zhisu, saw its monthly active users exceed 70 million, with a 50% increase in daily active users and search volume [6] Strategic Focus - Weibo's strategy for 2025 emphasizes enhancing user value, maintaining leadership in trending and entertainment content, and improving user engagement through AI-driven recommendations and search systems [5] - The company plans to strengthen its content marketing advantages and improve the conversion rates of information flow advertisements, leveraging AI throughout the advertising process [6][7] Market Performance - As of the latest report, Weibo's stock price increased by 2.51% to $10.2 per share in pre-market trading [8]

Market Overview - US stock index futures are all down ahead of the market opening, with Dow futures down 0.68%, S&P 500 futures down 0.57%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.72% [1] - European indices also show declines, with Germany's DAX down 1.40%, UK's FTSE 100 down 1.37%, France's CAC40 down 1.42%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 down 1.46% [2][3] - WTI crude oil is up 0.02% at $59.87 per barrel, while Brent crude oil is down 0.05% at $64.17 per barrel [4] Economic and Monetary Policy Insights - Analysts warn of a potential market correction as the S&P 500 index closes below its 50-day moving average for the first time in 139 trading days, breaking a record for the second-longest period above this trend line in the century [4] - The Nasdaq also falls below its 50-day moving average, ending the longest streak since October 1995, with more stocks hitting 52-week lows than highs, indicating weak market internals [4] - Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson emphasizes a cautious approach to further rate cuts, citing a softening job market and recent easing inflation risks [5] - UBS predicts a strong likelihood of a rate cut in December, despite internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve [6] Oil Market Forecast - Goldman Sachs warns of a continued decline in oil prices until 2026 due to a supply surplus of approximately 2 million barrels per day, forecasting Brent crude at $56 per barrel and WTI at $52 per barrel by 2026 [7][8] Company-Specific Developments - Apple (AAPL.US) sees a 37% increase in iPhone 17 sales in China, regaining a 20% market share, indicating strong consumer response to new models [9] - Google (GOOGL.US) CEO warns of irrational factors in the current AI market, suggesting that no company, including Google, is immune to potential market corrections [9] - Arm (ARM.US) partners with Nvidia (NVDA.US) to integrate NVLink technology into its Neoverse platform, enhancing collaboration in AI data center chips [9] - Home Depot (HD.US) reports Q3 sales of $41.35 billion, with same-store sales growth of only 0.2%, below expectations [10] - Axalta (AXTA.US) announces a merger with AkzoNobel to create a $25 billion global coatings company, expected to complete by late 2026 or early 2027 [10] - Baidu (BIDU.US) reports Q3 revenue of 31.2 billion yuan, with AI-related business revenue growing over 50% [11] - Futu Holdings (FUTU.US) shows a significant increase in Q3 revenue by 86.3% year-on-year, with net profit up 136.9% [12] - Weibo (WB.US) reports a net profit of $454 million for Q3, a 55.43% increase year-on-year, despite a slight decline in total revenue [13]

Weibo (NasdaqGS:WB) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 18, 2025 06:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsLiu Yu - Associate DirectorGaofei Wang - CEOFei Cao - CFOSandra Zhang - Head of Investor RelationsNone - TranslatorConference Call ParticipantsAlicia Yap - AnalystOperatorGood day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Weibo reports' third quarter 2025 financial results. At this time, all participants are in the listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To as ...