J P M O R G A N North America Equity Research 07 May 2025 Neutral ▲Price Target (Dec-25):$355.00 Prior (Dec-25):$270.00 Internet - Mid & Small Cap Cory A Carpenter AC (1-212) 270-8125 cory.carpenter@jpmorgan.com Daniel Pfeiffer (1-212) 622-0161 daniel.pfeiffer@jpmchase.com Andrew Watts (1-212) 622-9400 andrew.watts@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities LLC Key Changes (FYE Dec) APP, APP US Price (07 May 25):$303.46 | | Prev | Cur | | --- | --- | --- | | Revenue - 25E ($ mn) | 4,957 | 5,410 | | Revenue - 26E ( ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Equal-weight" rating to Laopu Gold [4] - The industry view is classified as "In-Line" [4] - The price target is set at HK$980.00, indicating a potential upside of 43% from the current price of HK$685.00 [4] Core Insights - The recent equity fund raising of HK$2.7 billion through primary share placement was unexpected, raising concerns among investors despite the necessity due to tight free cash flow [2][3][7] - The company plans to open 8 new stores in 2025, with a total capital expenditure exceeding Rmb400 million [2] - Management previously indicated no immediate capital pressure or fundraising plans, which adds to the surprise of the recent announcement [8] Financial Summary - The company reported an operating cash outflow of Rmb1.2 billion and a free cash flow of -Rmb1.3 billion in the second half of 2024, despite strong sales [2] - Projected earnings per share (EPS) are Rmb9.47 for FY 2024, increasing to Rmb38.62 by FY 2027 [4] - Revenue projections show a growth from Rmb8.5 billion in FY 2025 to Rmb34.8 billion in FY 2027 [4] - EBITDA is expected to rise from Rmb2.15 billion in FY 2025 to Rmb8.92 billion in FY 2027 [4] Market Context - The stock price is expected to react negatively and experience volatility in the near term due to the unexpected fundraising announcement [7] - Demand for gold remains strong, but emerging risks have been highlighted in recent reports [7] - The company declared a dividend per share (DPS) of Rmb6.35, totaling approximately Rmb1.07 billion [8]

However, we are not overly concerned about the FX impact on TSMC earnings, as it doesn't hurt the company's structural profitability. In our recent Top Pick report (link), we noted several stock overhangs are being removed. May 7, 2025 01:53 AM GMT TSMC | Asia Pacific FX impact sensitivity and stock implications; OW The TWD has appreciated significantly recently. TSMC indicated that every 1% appreciation in the USD/TWD rate translates into 40bps GM downside for TSMC, as most of its costs are TWD denominated ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a Neutral rating for China Resources Microelectronics (CR Micro) with a price target of Rmb40.00 for December 2026, based on a 26x one-year forward P/E ratio [1][12][28]. Core Insights - CR Micro reported 1Q25 sales of Rmb2.4 billion, reflecting an 11% year-over-year increase, while net profit surged by 151% year-over-year to Rmb83 million. However, gross margin declined due to increased depreciation from capacity release [1][12]. - The company is expected to experience a sales compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14% and an earnings CAGR of 39% from 2025 to 2027, despite near-term profit pressures from joint venture (JV) losses in Shenzhen and Chongqing [1][12][27]. - The product segment is anticipated to outpace the service segment in long-term growth, with a projected 18% sales CAGR for products and 10% for services during 2025-2027 [7][12]. Financial Summary - For FY25, revenue is estimated at Rmb11,331 million, with a projected increase to Rmb12,983 million in FY26 and Rmb14,936 million in FY27 [11][20]. - The adjusted net income for FY25 is forecasted at Rmb858 million, increasing to Rmb1,421 million in FY26 and Rmb2,035 million in FY27 [11][20]. - The report indicates a decline in gross profit margin (GPM) from 27.2% in FY24 to 26.5% in FY25, with expectations of recovery to 28.4% by FY26 [20][31]. Market Position and Performance - CR Micro has underperformed the A-share Semiconductor Index by 5% year-to-date and is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 45x for FY26, which is 30% higher than its peers [7][12]. - The company is recognized as a leading power semiconductor supplier in China, with growth driven by an expanding product portfolio and market share gains [12][27]. Key Changes in Estimates - Revenue estimates for FY25 have been slightly revised down from Rmb11,382 million to Rmb11,331 million, while FY26 estimates have been adjusted from Rmb13,019 million to Rmb12,983 million [2][20]. - Adjusted earnings estimates for FY25 have been reduced by 40% to Rmb858 million, reflecting higher-than-expected investment losses from JV fabs [7][12]. Quarterly Forecasts - The quarterly revenue forecast for 1Q25 is Rmb2,355 million, with expectations of Rmb2,803 million in 2Q25, Rmb3,053 million in 3Q25, and Rmb3,120 million in 4Q25 [3][31]. Valuation - The price target of Rmb40.00 reflects a cautious outlook, considering sector-wide headwinds and is positioned at the trough level of historical valuation [12][28].

Haidilao's comment is different from Jiumaojiu (9922.HK), which noted sequential improvement in April and Labor Day holiday (see our China BEST Conference takeaways for JMJ here). May 9, 2025 02:04 PM GMT Haidilao International Holding Ltd | Asia Pacific M Update China BEST Conference 2025 Feedback Key Takeaways Potential reasons behind the table turn weakness: Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ Hildy.Ling@morganstanley.com +852 2239-7834 Cindy Gao Research Associate Cindy.XY.Gao@morganstanley.com +852 3963-0149 ...

Humanoids | Asia Pacific 2025 China BEST Conference Takeaways Key Takeaways What pain points can humanoids solve? They could provide lower deployment cost for a lot of "long-tail" corner cases, for which it is not economic viable to deploy industrial robots. Humanoids could provide emotional value as well, expected to be realized in a decade. In what scenarios will humanoids be adopted first? With box picking is unlikely to be replaced by robotic arms, humanoids can help manufacturers to further reduce cost ...

Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp | Asia Pacific May 9, 2025 03:15 PM GMT China BEST Conference 2025 Feedback A-DCU project wins: Joyson recently secured an A-DCU (autonomous domain control unit) order based on Black Sesame's C1296 AD chip, and Joyson would become the exclusive DCU supplier for Dongfeng's multiple models to be launched within 2025. Humanoid potential: Joyson can supply up to Rmb50k value content per humanoid, including sensors, battery management system and support frame. While its humanoid bus ...

J P M O R G A N Europe Equity Research 09 May 2025 First Principles - Advanced packaging European Tech Hardware & Payments Sandeep Deshpande AC (44-20) 7134-5276 sandeep.s.deshpande@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities plc Craig A McDowell (44-20) 7742-4576 craig.mcdowell@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities plc Anchal Sahu (91-22) 6157-3038 anchal.sahu@jpmchase.com J.P. Morgan India Private Limited Specialist Sales contact details: Scott Silver - Specialist Sales - European TMT (44-20) 7134-0412 scott.silver ...

May 9, 2025 02:24 AM GMT Giant Biogene | Asia Pacific China BEST Conference 2025 Feedback Key Takeaways Online platforms: GB saw more supportive policy and subsidies for brands from online platforms, but the positive impact on its P&L has been limited. Some platforms have returned their focus to leading brands from white labels. GB plans to design different free sample/gift rules for different platforms and live stream key opinion leaders (KOLs) to avoid direct price comparisons. Overseas expansion: GB laun ...

中国 证券研究 2025 年 5 月 8 日 长电科技 - A 股价（2025 年 5 月 8 日）： 34.27 未来增长前景有韧性；维持"增持"评级 元 长电科技披露 2025 年 1 季度销售额为 93 亿元（同比增长 36%， 环比下降 15%），净利润为 2.03 亿元（同比增长 50%，环比下降 62%），在我们看来这主要归因于产能利用率改善、整合晟碟上 海以及强于季节性的苹果模组需求。得益于多元化客户/生产基地 以及高端封装解决方案的技术领先优势，我们仍对长电持建设性 看法。目前我们预计 2025-2027 年销售额/盈利年复合增长率为 11%/43%。我们截至 2026 年 6 月的目标价 43.0 元基于 18 倍的一 年期动态市盈率；维持"增持"评级。 维持"增持"评级。我们将 2025/2026 年销售额预测上调 9%/11%，以反映产能利用率的改善以及整合晟碟上海带来的收 入；同时，我们将 2025/2026 年预测净利润下调 37%/11%，原因 是折旧和开发先进封装技术的研发费用增多造成利润率下降。 目前我们预计 2025-2027 年销售额 / 盈 利 年复合增长率为 11%/4 ...