Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the machinery industry [1] Core Viewpoints - Domestic excavator sales in May 2025 are under short-term pressure due to low downstream operating conditions and earlier high sales in the year, which have somewhat exhausted future purchasing demand [2][3] - The report remains optimistic about the continuous growth in the replacement demand for construction machinery, projecting a compound growth rate of around 30% for replacement volume in the coming years, which is expected to support future excavator sales [3] - The government is expected to increase infrastructure investment, with a proposed issuance of 1.3 trillion yuan in special bonds and 4.4 trillion yuan in local government bonds, which will likely boost downstream equipment demand [4] Summary by Sections Excavator Sales - In the first five months of 2025, excavator sales (including exports) reached 101,716 units, a year-on-year increase of 17.4%, with domestic sales at 57,501 units, up 25.7%. However, May 2025 saw a total of 18,202 units sold, a 2.1% increase year-on-year, but domestic sales fell by 1.5% to 8,392 units [2][11] - The average working hours for major construction machinery products in May 2025 were 84.5 hours, down 3.9% year-on-year and 6.3% month-on-month, indicating a decline in operational activity [2] Export Trends - Excavator exports in the first five months of 2025 totaled 44,215 units, a year-on-year increase of 8.2%, with May exports at 9,810 units, up 5.4% [5][11] - The report highlights opportunities and challenges for machinery exports due to geopolitical factors and increasing demand in Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East [5] Electrification and Green Transition - Sales of electric loaders surged by 207.7% in the first five months of 2025, with an electrification rate of 20.7%, up 14.5 percentage points year-on-year. In May alone, sales increased by 121.2% [6][11] - The government’s push for green transformation and energy-saving initiatives is expected to accelerate the electrification of construction machinery [6] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several leading companies in the machinery sector, including SANY Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, XCMG, LiuGong, Shantui, and China Longgong, as well as component manufacturers like Hengli Hydraulic, indicating a positive long-term outlook for these firms [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company's employee stock ownership plan has been successfully completed, indicating a growing long-term investment value [1] - The management and key employees' confidence in the company's future is reflected in the stock repurchase plan, which accounts for 0.72% of the total share capital [2] - The company continues to lead the industry in activated carbon production, with a production capacity of 149,900 tons and a utilization rate of 98.68% in 2024, while sales increased by 17.86% year-on-year [2] - The development of new energy carbon materials is progressing well, with mass production of hard carbon and porous carbon achieved, which is expected to create new growth drivers for the company [3] - The net profit forecast for 2025 has been adjusted down by 25% to CNY 290 million due to slowing terminal demand, but future profit projections for 2026 and 2027 have been introduced at CNY 336 million and CNY 407 million, respectively [3] Summary by Sections Employee Stock Ownership Plan - The company completed its employee stock ownership plan by acquiring 2.6217 million shares at CNY 14.83 per share, with senior management and supervisors participating at a rate of 9.23% [1] Production and Sales Performance - The company has maintained its position as the leading producer of activated carbon in China, with a production capacity of 149,900 tons and sales of 150,200 tons in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 17.86% [2] - The sodium silicate production capacity reached 207,200 tons, with a utilization rate of 96.13%, but sales decreased by 42.47% year-on-year [2] - The silica gel production capacity was 26,000 tons, with a utilization rate of 106.90% and sales increasing by 10.62% year-on-year [2] New Energy Carbon Materials - The company has successfully launched its first porous carbon production line, with hard carbon and porous carbon achieving mass production, enhancing product competitiveness [3] - A change in fundraising allocation was announced to support the construction of a new porous carbon project, further solidifying the company's position in the new energy carbon materials sector [3] Financial Forecasts - The report provides a financial forecast with expected revenues of CNY 2,067 million for 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 9.78% [4] - The net profit for 2025 is projected at CNY 290 million, with a slight increase in subsequent years [4] - Key financial metrics such as EPS and ROE are also projected to improve over the next few years, indicating a positive outlook for the company's financial health [4][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [6]. Core Viewpoints - The company has announced a restricted stock incentive plan aimed at enhancing the motivation of core members, with a focus on the progress of its COC/COP products, which are expected to achieve mass sales by 2025 [2][4]. - The incentive plan's assessment period is set from 2025 to 2027, with specific sales and profit targets outlined for each year, indicating a strong confidence in the company's product development [2][4]. - The company has successfully initiated trial production of its thousand-ton COC production line, which is currently undergoing stability testing, and plans to expand its optical materials project in Hubei [3][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Incentive Plan - The company plans to grant 2.03 million restricted stocks to 22 key personnel at a price of 22.17 yuan per share, with performance targets linked to the sales of core products and net profit [1][2]. Financial Forecasts - The company's projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.21 billion, 1.06 billion, and 2.24 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment for 2025 and 2026 due to weak profitability in its polyetheramine products [4][5]. - Revenue is expected to grow significantly from 0.522 billion yuan in 2025 to 1.108 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding profit margins improving over the forecast period [5][11]. Production and Sales Targets - By the end of 2025, the company aims to achieve mass sales of its COC products in at least two out of three targeted fields, with specific sales volume targets set for 2026 and 2027 [2][4]. - The company is also investing in a new project to produce 20,000 tons of polyether amine, with a total investment of 327 million yuan [3][4]. Market Position and Valuation - The current market capitalization of the company is approximately 4.257 billion yuan, with a share price of 44.48 yuan [6]. - The report indicates a significant increase in expected earnings per share (EPS) from 0.22 yuan in 2025 to 2.34 yuan in 2027, reflecting a positive outlook for the company's financial performance [5][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a projected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Insights - The company, Chipsea Technology (688595.SH), is transitioning from traditional consumer electronics to high-end sectors such as automotive electronics, computing and communication, mobile phones, BMS, and industrial control since 2019. The core products are high-performance SOCs [2]. - The company has seen a recovery in downstream demand, with product shipments gradually increasing. Revenue for 2024 is projected at 702 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62.22%, and Q1 2025 revenue is expected to be 158 million yuan, up 4.66% year-on-year [2]. - The company has launched multiple new products in the analog signal chain, with 2024 revenue from these products expected to reach 181 million yuan, a 137.11% increase year-on-year, driven by significant sales growth in BMS products [3]. - MCU chip revenue is projected to reach 326 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a 67.63% year-on-year growth, with notable increases in EC and HUB product shipments [4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Growth - The company anticipates a revenue of 951 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 35.36%, and 1.226 billion yuan in 2026, with a growth rate of 28.92% [5]. - The net profit forecast for 2025 is -13 million yuan, with a subsequent recovery to 23 million yuan in 2026 and 36 million yuan in 2027 [5]. Product Performance - The BMS series products have achieved cumulative shipments exceeding 100 million units, with the first automotive-grade BMS AFE chip set to be released soon [3]. - The company has established a broad product layout centered around EC, covering PD, HapticPad, USB 3.0 HUB, and BMS, with significant growth in shipments for these products [4]. Financial Metrics - The projected gross margin for 2024 is 34.2%, with an expected improvement to 39.3% by 2027 [12]. - The company’s total assets are projected to be 1.695 billion yuan in 2024, with total liabilities of 938 million yuan, resulting in a debt-to-asset ratio of 55% [11].

短期港股流动性可能难以进一步放松，边际收紧的概率更大，结合地缘冲突升级、中 美关系仍有不确定性等事件对风险偏好可能有所压制，港股市场可能呈现震荡走势。 长期来看，港股整体盈利能力相对较强，同时互联网、新消费、创新药等资产相对稀 缺，结合当前估值仍偏低，长期配置性价比仍较高。 【金融工程】国内新基市场发行火热，被动资金流入中小盘、科创板——基金市场与 ESG 产品周报 20250623 2025 年 6 月 24 日 晨会速递 分析师点评 市场数据 总量研究 【策略】港股流动性折价收敛能否延续？——策略周专题（2025 年 6 月第 3 期） 本周权益类基金净值集体下滑，国内新基市场发行火热，新成立基金 50 只，以股混 基金为主。行业主题基金方面，本周医药主题基金净值显著回撤，金融地产、TMT 主题基金维持正收益。股票型 ETF 资金转为流入，资金净流入 146.69 亿元，主要加 仓方向为中小盘、科创板、金融地产主题 ETF，以中证 A500ETF 为代表的大盘宽基 ETF 资金呈现净流出，港股 ETF 资金呈现流入。 行业研究 【汽车】Robotaxi 加速落地，智驾精进前行——汽车智驾行业的思考与梳理（ ...

2025 年 6 月 23 日 行业研究 Optimus 机器人将迎重大改进，叉车 5 月内外销增速表现亮眼 ——机械行业周报 2025 年第 25 周（2025.6.16-2025.6.22） 作者 分析师：黄帅斌 执业证书编号：S0930520080005 0755-23915357 huangshuaibin@ebscn.com 分析师：陈佳宁 执业证书编号：S0930512120001 021-52523851 chenjianing@ebscn.com 分析师：汲萌 执业证书编号：S0930524010002 021-52523859 jimeng@ebscn.com 分析师：李佳琦 执业证书编号：S0930524070006 021-52523836 lijiaqi@ebscn.com 分析师：庄晓波 机械行业 买入（维持） 执业证书编号：S0930524070018 0755-25310400 zhuangxiaobo@ebscn.com 联系人：夏天宇 xiatianyu@ebscn.com 行业与沪深 300 指数对比图 -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% 24/06 24/09 2 ...

2025 年 6 月 23 日 行业研究 5 月国内氧化铝产能利用率降至 2023 年以来新低 ——金属周期品高频数据周报（2025.6.16-6.22） 要点 流动性：M1 和 M2 增速差在 2025 年 5 月为-5.6 个百分点。（1）BCI 中小 企业融资环境指数 2025 年 5 月值为 49.09，环比上月+2.20%；（2）M1 和 M2 增速差与上证指数存在较强的正向相关性：M1 和 M2 增速差在 2025 年 5 月为-5.6 个百分点，环比+0.9 个百分点；（3）本周伦敦金现价格环比上 周-1.91%。 基建和地产链条：6 月上旬重点企业粗钢旬度日均产量环比+3.25%。（1） 本周价格变动：螺纹+0.00%、水泥价格指数-1.21%、橡胶+0.72%、焦炭 +0.00%、焦煤-3.11%、铁矿-2.07%；（2）本周全国高炉产能利用率、水 泥、沥青、全钢胎开工率环比分别+0.21pct、-5.90pct、-1.8pct、 +4.24pct；（3）2025 年 6 月上旬，重点企业粗钢旬度日均产量为 215.90 万吨。 地产竣工链条：钛白粉、平板玻璃毛利润处于低位水平。本周钛白粉、 ...

2025 年 6 月 23 日 总量研究 国内新基市场发行火热，被动资金流入中小盘、科创板 ESG 金融产品跟踪：本周绿色债券发行市场热度持续上升，新发行绿色债券 27 只，已发行规模合计 453.12 亿元。国内绿色债券市场稳步发展，截至 2025 年 6 月 20 日，绿色债券市场累计发行规模合计 4.56 万亿元，发行数 量合计 3922 只。 基金表现方面，主动权益型、股票被动指数型、债券型 ESG 基金本周净值涨 跌幅中位数分别为-1.24%、-0.91%、0.10%。低碳经济、绿色、碳中和主题 基金表现明显占优。截至 2025 年 6 月 20 日，国内基金市场存量 ESG 基金 共 213 只，规模合计 1307.73 亿元。 风险提示：报告数据均来自于历史公开数据整理分析，存在失效的风险；历 史业绩不代表未来；基于定量模型测算基金仓位结果，和实际仓位存在差 异。 ——基金市场与 ESG 产品周报 20250623 要点 市场表现综述：大类资产方面，本周（下文如无特殊说明，本周均指代 2025.6.16-2025.6.20）原油价格延续上涨，权益市场指数全面回调。行业方 面，本周银行、通信、电子 ...

2025 年 6 月 23 日 总量研究 国内新基市场发行火热，被动资金流入中小盘、科创板 ——基金市场与 ESG 产品周报 20250623 要点 市场表现综述：大类资产方面，本周（下文如无特殊说明，本周均指代 2025.6.16-2025.6.20）原油价格延续上涨，权益市场指数全面回调。行业方 面，本周银行、通信、电子行业呈现上涨，美容护理、纺织服饰、医药生物 行业跌幅居前。基金市场方面，本周权益类基金净值集体下滑，中长期纯债 型基金涨幅占优。 基金产品发行情况：本周国内新基市场发行火热，新成立基金 50 只，以股 混基金为主，新成立基金合计发行份额为 459.23 亿份。其中债券型基金 10 只、混合型基金 14 只、股票型基金 20 只、FOF 基金 3 只、REITs2 只、国 际(QDII)基金 1 只。全市场新发行基金 19 只，从类型来看，股票型基金 14 只、债券型基金 3 只、FOF 基金 1 只、混合型基金 1 只。 基金产品表现跟踪：长期行业主题基金指数方面，本周医药主题基金净值显 著回撤，金融地产、TMT 主题基金维持正收益。截至 2025 年 6 月 20 日， 本周金融地产、T ...

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a pullback this week, influenced by a decline in risk appetite, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.1% and the CSI 500 down by 1.8% [1][12] - The banking, communication, and electronics sectors performed relatively well, with gains of 2.6%, 1.6%, and 1.0% respectively, while the beauty care, textile and apparel, and pharmaceutical sectors saw significant declines of 5.9%, 5.1%, and 4.4% [1][12][16] Group 2 - The Hong Kong stock market has shown strong performance this year, with an overall increase of 17.3% as of June 20, ranking it among the top global markets [2][19] - The AH share premium index has significantly declined from a high of 145 at the beginning of the year to around 128, representing a decrease of 10.7% [2][24] - The decline in the Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR) has led to a significant reduction in financing costs for the Hong Kong stock market, with the 1-month HIBOR dropping to approximately 0.53% [2][27] Group 3 - Southbound capital remains a significant portion of the Hong Kong market, with net inflows reaching 697.6 billion HKD as of June 20, 2025, and trading volume consistently maintaining a high proportion [3][36] - The market is expected to maintain a consolidation state, with three main investment themes to focus on: domestic consumption, domestic substitution, and sectors that are currently underweighted by funds [4][55][57] - The domestic consumption theme is expected to receive policy support, while the domestic substitution theme may present investment opportunities, albeit with challenges [4][56]