2025 年 9 月 2 日 行业研究 国务院"人工智能+"行动意见印发，看好液冷行业发展趋势 ——机械行业周报 2025 年第 35 周（2025.8.25-2025.8.31） 机械行业 买入（维持） 作者 分析师：黄帅斌 执业证书编号：S0930520080005 0755-23915357 huangshuaibin@ebscn.com 分析师：陈佳宁 执业证书编号：S0930512120001 021-52523851 chenjianing@ebscn.com 分析师：汲萌 执业证书编号：S0930524010002 021-52523859 jimeng@ebscn.com 分析师：李佳琦 执业证书编号：S0930524070006 021-52523836 lijiaqi@ebscn.com 分析师：庄晓波 执业证书编号：S0930524070018 0755-25310400 zhuangxiaobo@ebscn.com 分析师：夏天宇 执业证书编号：S0930525070006 021-52523805 xiatianyu@ebscn.com 行业与沪深 300 指数对比图 -20% 0% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue at 945 million yuan, down 9.34% year-on-year, and net profit at 75 million yuan, down 55.20% year-on-year [1] - The company is optimizing inefficient businesses and experiencing good growth in overseas markets, with significant revenue contributions from new product launches and a focus on high-quality channels [2] - Rising costs of raw materials and increased expenses are impacting profitability, with a gross margin of 33.61% for the first half of 2025 [3] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised downwards due to ongoing brand investment, with expected net profits of 249 million, 343 million, and 392 million yuan respectively [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 945 million yuan, a decrease of 9.34% year-on-year, and a net profit of 75 million yuan, down 55.20% year-on-year [1] - For Q2 2025, revenue was 441 million yuan, a decline of 3.37% year-on-year, and net profit was 22 million yuan, down 70.96% year-on-year [1] Product and Market Analysis - Revenue by product category in H1 2025: green peas (234 million yuan, -1.56%), sunflower seeds (125 million yuan, -9.51%), broad beans (125 million yuan, +2.11%), mixed nuts and beans (273 million yuan, -19.92%), and other series (175 million yuan, -11.50%) [2] - Revenue by channel: distribution (696 million yuan, -19.84%), e-commerce (153 million yuan, +12.42%), direct sales (83 million yuan, +154.63%) [2] - Revenue by region: East China (285 million yuan, +3.57%), Southwest (122 million yuan, -29.76%), Central China (110 million yuan, -31.49%), North China (73 million yuan, -39.85%), South China (93 million yuan, +27.26%), Northwest (30 million yuan, -34.65%), Northeast (22 million yuan, -35.73%), and overseas (44 million yuan, +162.92%) [2] Cost and Profitability - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 33.61%, with a decrease in Q2 to 32.79% [3] - The increase in sales expense ratio to 18.56% in H1 2025 and 19.97% in Q2 2025 reflects higher brand investment and personnel costs [3] - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was 7.89%, dropping to 4.95% in Q2 2025 [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 249 million, 343 million, and 392 million yuan, with corresponding EPS of 2.67, 3.68, and 4.20 yuan [4] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 22, 16, and 14 for 2025-2027 [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [3][6]. Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 2.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 461.08%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 205 million yuan, up 90.61% year-on-year [1][2]. - The acceleration of domestic offshore wind construction is expected to further enhance the company's profitability, with significant improvements noted in its main business segments due to increased demand [2][3]. - The company is actively expanding its production capacity and export business, with several new bases planned to support international market growth [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's pile foundation business generated 1.56 billion yuan in revenue, a staggering increase of 1092.63% year-on-year, with a gross margin rise of 10.79 percentage points to 16.30% [2]. - The wind tower segment achieved 291 million yuan in revenue, up 124.14% year-on-year, with a gross margin increase of 18.39 percentage points to 11.91% [2]. - The company reported a gross margin improvement of 15.16 percentage points to 17.04% in H1 2025, indicating a significant enhancement in profitability [2]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates a large-scale development and construction phase in the domestic offshore wind industry from 2025 to 2026, driven by the resolution of previous regulatory and logistical challenges [2][3]. - The company's production capacity and port resources are expected to support a steady increase in market share for offshore wind products, benefiting from the recovery in domestic demand [3]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards, with expected net profits of 706 million yuan, 1.08 billion yuan, and 1.35 billion yuan respectively, reflecting increases of 6%, 22%, and 21% [3][5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 3.25 yuan, 4.95 yuan, and 6.19 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a slight decrease in revenue for the first half of 2025, with total revenue of 1.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.50%, and a net profit of 1.12 billion yuan, down 21.86% year-on-year [1]. - The online channel has been adjusted, while the fish products segment showed stable performance, with fish products revenue increasing by 7.61% year-on-year [2]. - The company's gross margin has been impacted by a reduction in scale and rising raw material costs, leading to a short-term decline in profitability [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 25H1, the company achieved revenue of 1.12 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.12 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 21.86% year-on-year. The second quarter saw revenue of 528 million yuan, down 10.37% year-on-year, and a net profit of 44 million yuan, down 36.27% year-on-year [1]. - Revenue from online and offline channels in 25H1 was 185 million yuan and 939 million yuan, respectively, with online sales decreasing by 6.82% and offline sales increasing by 0.85% [2]. Product Performance - Revenue from various product categories in 25H1 included fish products at 757 million yuan (up 7.61%), vegetable products at 225 million yuan (up 14.30%), while quail eggs saw a decline due to price competition [2]. Profitability and Costs - The gross margin for 25H1 was 29.45%, with a decrease in the second quarter to 28.93%, reflecting cost pressures and reduced scale effects [3]. - The selling expense ratio increased to 13.81% in 25H1, attributed to enhanced brand building and promotional expenses [3]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised down to 254 million yuan, 302 million yuan, and 359 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.56, 0.67, and 0.80 yuan [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 22 for 2025, 19 for 2026, and 16 for 2027 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Qiaqia Foods [4][6]. Core Views - Qiaqia Foods reported a decline in revenue and net profit for H1 2025, with revenue at 2.752 billion yuan, down 5.05% year-on-year, and net profit at 89 million yuan, down 73.68% year-on-year [1]. - The company is actively expanding its product line, launching several new products, and shifting its marketing strategy to a combination of online and offline channels, which is expected to drive future growth [2]. - Rising raw material costs and increased promotional expenses have pressured profit margins, with gross margins for H1 2025 at 20.31% [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - H1 2025 revenue was 2.752 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.05% year-on-year, while net profit was 89 million yuan, down 73.68% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, revenue was 1.181 billion yuan, an increase of 9.69% year-on-year, but net profit fell to 11 million yuan, down 88.17% year-on-year [1]. Product and Market Strategy - The company faced revenue declines in its core product categories due to the timing of the Spring Festival, with sunflower seeds and nuts seeing revenue drops of 4.45% and 6.98% respectively [2]. - New product launches include konjac, whole nuts, fresh-cut fries, and ice cream, with a focus on both online and offline sales channels [2]. Cost and Profitability - H1 2025 gross margin was 20.31%, down 3.56 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to rising raw material costs and competitive pricing pressures [3]. - Selling expense ratio increased to 12.09% in H1 2025, reflecting higher promotional spending to support new product launches [3]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised down to 430 million, 670 million, and 776 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS estimates of 0.85, 1.32, and 1.53 yuan [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 27x for 2025, 18x for 2026, and 15x for 2027 [4].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoints - The IPO market on the Beijing Stock Exchange is accelerating, with increased participation in new stock offerings, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets are experiencing a contraction in new stock issuance [2] - The performance of various industries is diverging significantly, with improvements in profitability for the float glass sector, while coal and livestock industries are expected to maintain negative profit growth [3] - Market sentiment is optimistic, with a notable increase in the number of rising stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, indicating a sustained increase in risk appetite among investors [4] Company Research - **Changsha Bank**: The bank reported a revenue of 13.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.6%, and a net profit of 4.3 billion yuan, up 5.1% year-on-year. The annualized return on equity was 12.6%, slightly down by 0.6 percentage points [8] - **Suzhou Bank**: The bank achieved a revenue of 6.5 billion yuan, a 1.8% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.13 billion yuan, up 6.2% year-on-year. The annualized return on equity was 12.34%, down by 1 percentage point [9] - **China Energy Construction**: The company reported a revenue of 292.76 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a 2.7% increase year-on-year, but a net profit decline of 13.8% to 5.43 billion yuan [22] - **China Chemical**: The company achieved a revenue of 90.72 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.3% year-on-year, but a net profit increase of 9.3% to 3.1 billion yuan [23] Industry Research - **Magnesium Oxide**: The application potential of magnesium oxide in rare earth metallurgy is promising, with various grades affecting production efficiency and cost [7] - **Phosphate Fertilizers**: The company reported stable revenue growth in the phosphate fertilizer sector, driven by an improved product mix and favorable industry conditions [11] - **Carbon Fiber**: The company anticipates an increase in net profit due to rising sales volumes in the carbon fiber sector, with projections for 2025-2027 showing significant growth [12] - **Specialty Gases**: Despite a decline in profitability due to increased competition, the demand for specialty gases remains strong, supported by new capacity releases [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.76 billion CNY and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 50 million CNY for the first half of 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 24.7% and 23.7% respectively, with a turnaround in net profit [1] - The display materials segment saw significant growth, while the application materials segment continued to decline [2] - The company is focusing on two main segments, enhancing market potential through deep cooperation with leading customers and technological innovations [4] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised downwards due to pressure on application materials business and the delay in the second phase of the UTG project [4] Revenue and Profitability - In H1 2025, the display materials revenue was 2.20 billion CNY, up 42.0% year-on-year, while application materials revenue was 490 million CNY, down 26.4% [2] - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 16.4%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 2.6%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points [3] - The company achieved a significant increase in operating cash flow, reaching 260 million CNY in H1 2025, up 230 million CNY year-on-year [1] Segment Performance - The display materials segment, particularly through Shenzhen Guoxian, contributed significantly to revenue growth, achieving 1.89 billion CNY in revenue, up 45.2% year-on-year [2] - The application materials segment faced challenges, with subsidiaries reporting declines in both revenue and net profit [2] Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 162 million CNY, 208 million CNY, and 251 million CNY respectively, reflecting a decrease of 38%, 35%, and 31% from previous estimates [4] - The report highlights ongoing efforts in technological advancements and market expansion, particularly in the display materials sector [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a projected investment return exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [6][14]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.83 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decline of 9.6%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 330 million yuan, down 28.5% year-on-year [2][3]. - The decline in performance is attributed to weak market demand for filter presses, leading to reduced sales volume and profit margins. The gross margin decreased by 3.5 percentage points to 25.9% [3]. - The company is actively expanding into new markets and promoting product innovation, with a focus on complete filtration equipment, although the contribution to net profit remains limited due to lower margins [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.42 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.3% year-on-year, while net profit was 160 million yuan, down 30% year-on-year [2][3]. - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 25.9%, reflecting a decline of 3.5 percentage points compared to the previous year, while the net profit margin fell to 11.6%, down 3.1 percentage points [3]. Market Dynamics - The company faced significant pressure from the overall demand for filter presses, particularly in the renewable energy sector, where revenue contribution dropped by 9.1 percentage points to 13.4% [3]. - Domestic revenue accounted for 95.8% of total revenue in H1 2025, amounting to 2.71 billion yuan, a decline of 9.0% year-on-year, while international revenue was 120 million yuan, down 21.4% [3]. Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with net profit estimates revised down to 731 million yuan for 2025, a 19% decrease [4][5]. - The report suggests that despite current challenges, the company’s long-standing position as a leader in the filter press market and its ongoing efforts in product development may sustain future growth [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [3][6]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 1H25 increased by 30.0% year-on-year to 5.16 billion yuan, accounting for approximately 39% of the original full-year forecast. However, the gross margin decreased by 2.5 percentage points to 18.6% [1]. - In 1H25, the company saw significant growth in its intelligent electronic control products, with sales increasing by 43.1% year-on-year. The number of new projects also rose by 44% to 282 [2]. - The company is accelerating its global expansion, with its Mexican subsidiary achieving stable profitability and ongoing construction of a factory in Morocco [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 1H25 total revenue reached 5.16 billion yuan, with a net profit of 520 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.2% [1]. - The gross margin for 2Q25 was 19.2%, showing a year-on-year decline of 2.2 percentage points [1]. Product Development - The company is focusing on new product development, particularly in integrated chassis systems, with successful mass production of line control braking systems [2]. - The company is preparing for mass production of new products such as EMB and air suspension systems, with significant production capacity planned [2]. Global Strategy - The Mexican subsidiary reported a net profit of approximately 18.27 million yuan, with expectations for continued growth as production capacity increases [3]. - The company has established a 200 million yuan industrial fund to invest in emerging fields such as humanoid robots and low-altitude economy [3]. Earnings Forecast - The report has adjusted the profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 down by 10%, 6%, and 1% respectively, but maintains a positive long-term growth outlook due to the integrated chassis strategy [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 18.18 billion with a year-on-year growth of 13.2% and a net profit of 1.23 billion, reflecting a 25.1% increase [1]. - The company aims to reach a revenue target of 60 billion by 2030, with international revenue accounting for over 60% and a net profit margin of no less than 8% [1]. - The demand for earthmoving machinery is supported by the ongoing equipment upgrades and the commencement of the Yaxia hydropower project, which is expected to further boost demand for large excavators and loaders [2]. - The company has seen a 10.5% year-on-year growth in overseas revenue, reaching 8.52 billion, with significant growth in emerging markets [3]. - The sales of electric loaders in China have surged by 172.8%, with the company benefiting from a leading position in the electric loader market [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 18.18 billion, a 13.2% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.23 billion, up 25.1% [1]. - The gross margin stood at 22.3%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points, while the net margin remained stable at 6.3% [1]. Market Demand - The earthmoving machinery segment saw a revenue of 11.65 billion, growing 17.3% year-on-year, with loaders and excavators experiencing over 20% and 25% growth in sales, respectively [2]. - The commencement of the Yaxia hydropower project is expected to further enhance demand for the company's machinery [2]. International Expansion - The company achieved overseas revenue of 8.52 billion, marking a 10.5% increase, with a notable 40% growth in emerging markets [3]. - The company’s market share in earthmoving machinery has increased, with significant growth in sectors like mining and aerial work platforms [3]. Electric Machinery Development - The sales of electric loaders increased by 193.0% year-on-year, with the company capturing over 50% of the industry’s electric loader exports [4]. - The company has received over 20 intent orders for autonomous electric loaders, indicating strong market interest [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report projects a slight downward adjustment in net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with expected profits of 1.86 billion, 2.46 billion, and 3.08 billion, respectively [5]. - The expected EPS for the same period is projected to be 0.92, 1.22, and 1.52 yuan [5].