证 券 研 究 报 告 【债券深度报告】 业绩比较基准新规落地，比较及影响 1 月 23 日，证监会发布《公开募集证券投资基金业绩比较基准指引》，同日基 金业协会发布《公开募集证券投资基金业绩比较基准操作细则》。上述两项文 件分别从规则和实操层面对公募基金业绩比较基准的制定与执行作出规范。 本文聚焦债基视角，从正式稿与征求意见稿对比、债基业绩比较基准概况以及 新规对债市投资的影响三方面展开分析。 一、正式稿 VS 征求意见稿 《指引》作为顶层设计，划定监管红线与核心原则，共有六章二十一条。主要 内容包括明确基准的选取规范，严格基准的变更要求，加强基准的信息披露， 强化基准的约束作用，突出基准衡量业绩的作用等。 《操作细则》为《指引》的配套实操文件，对业绩比较基准相关内容进行了更 为详细的规定。此处重点关注明确提及债券基金业绩比较基准要求的三点：（1） 基准匹配：正式稿第十条，例如"对于基金合同中明确专注于特定市场、券种、 久期、信用等级的产品，原则上以相应市场、券种、久期、信用等级的债券指 数作为业绩比较基准要素"等。（2）基准信披：正式稿第十三条，货基、债基 定期报告的基准信披有所弱化。（3）基准跟踪：正式 ...

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 华创交运|红利资产月报（2026 年 1 月） 港口集装箱景气度相对较好，强调交运红利 推荐（维持） 板块配置价值 交通运输 2026 年 01 月 28 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴一凡 邮箱：wuyifan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516090002 证券分析师：梁婉怡 邮箱：liangwanyi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523080001 证券分析师：吴晨玥 邮箱：wuchenyue@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523070001 证券分析师：霍鹏浩 邮箱：huopenghao@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524030001 证券分析师：卢浩敏 邮箱：luhaomin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524090001 证券分析师：李清影 邮箱：liqingying@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525080004 联系人：刘邢雨 邮箱：liuxingyu@hcyjs.com 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 121 | 0 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is a key supplier of stainless steel armor for fusion magnets, with potential demand in emerging industries possibly underestimated [7] - The company has a competitive advantage in the superconducting magnet segment, particularly with its stainless steel armor products, which are essential components of superconducting magnet systems [6][8] - The report highlights the expected capital expenditure expansion cycle in the controlled nuclear fusion industry, which may lead to increased orders across the supply chain [34] Financial Summary - Projected total revenue (in million) for 2024A is 10,918, with a year-on-year growth of 27.4%. For 2025E, it is expected to be 11,795, with a growth of 8.0%. However, a decline of 8.7% is anticipated for 2026E, followed by a slight increase of 2.2% in 2027E [2] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders (in million) for 2024A is 1,490, with a minimal growth of 0.1%. For 2025E, it is expected to be 1,540, with a growth of 3.3%. A decline of 12.7% is expected for 2026E, followed by a recovery of 16.3% in 2027E [2] - The target price range for the company is set between 40.0 and 48.0 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 13% to 35% from the current price of 35.43 yuan [2][9] Industry Analysis Controlled Nuclear Fusion Sector - The company’s stainless steel armor products are crucial for superconducting magnet systems, which are essential for the Tokamak devices, the leading technology in nuclear fusion [13][21] - The company has secured a significant project with the Chinese Academy of Sciences for stainless steel armor, valued at 58.168 million yuan, showcasing its strong supply capabilities [30] Nuclear Power Industry - The nuclear power sector in China is expected to see substantial growth, with projections indicating the need for 10 GW of new nuclear power installations annually from 2025 to 2030 [56] - The company is a key supplier of U-shaped pipes for third-generation nuclear power plants and is strategically positioned in the fourth-generation nuclear technology space [56][60] Aerospace Sector - The company has launched a production line for aerospace-grade pipes, establishing a first-mover advantage in the supply chain [8] Traditional Downstream Sector - The oil and gas industry shows long-term demand potential, with the company possessing advanced technology for nickel-based alloy oil well pipes [8]

证 券 研 究 报 告 (1) 收盘价：大周期环比+1.34%、制造环比+0.51%、科技环比+0.33%、大消费 环比+0.25%、大金融环比+0.81%。 (2) 转股溢价率：大周期环比+0.95pct、制造环比+1.9pct、科技环比+1.9pct、大 消费环比+3.1pct、大金融环比+1.1pct。 【债券日报】 转债市场日度跟踪 20260128 ❖ 市场概况：今日多数行业上涨，估值环比抬升 指数表现：中证转债指数环比上涨 0.85%、上证综指环比上涨 0.27%、深证成 指环比上涨 0.09%、创业板指环比下降 0.57%、上证 50 指数环比上涨 0.27%、 中证 1000 指数环比上涨 0.21%。 市场风格：中盘价值相对占优。大盘成长环比上涨 0.51%、大盘价值环比下降 0.01%、中盘成长环比上涨 1.80%、中盘价值环比上涨 2.56%、小盘成长环比 上涨 0.22%、小盘价值环比上涨 1.22%。 资金表现：转债市场成交情绪减弱。可转债市场成交额为 814.63 亿元，环比 减少 4.34%；万得全 A 总成交额为 29922.89 亿元，环比增长 2.42%；沪深两 市主力净流 ...

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 华创交运|红利资产月报（2026 年 1 月） 港口集装箱景气度相对较好，强调交运红利 推荐（维持） 板块配置价值 交通运输 2026 年 01 月 28 日 证券分析师：吴晨玥 邮箱：wuchenyue@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523070001 证券分析师：霍鹏浩 邮箱：huopenghao@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524030001 证券分析师：卢浩敏 邮箱：luhaomin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524090001 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴一凡 邮箱：wuyifan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516090002 证券分析师：梁婉怡 邮箱：liangwanyi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523080001 证券分析师：李清影 邮箱：liqingying@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525080004 联系人：刘邢雨 邮箱：liuxingyu@hcyjs.com 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 121 | 0 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 康耐特光学（02276.HK）重大事项点评 强推（维持） 配股募资 14 亿港元，强化 XR 业务布局，彰 显成长雄心 事项： 1）公司拟通过配售代理向不少于 6 名承配人配售 2700 万股，配售价格每股 52.00 港元。若悉数配售，预计筹集资金总额约 14.04 亿港元，净额约 14.00 亿 港元。配售完成后总股本预计由 4.80 亿股增至 5.07 亿股。2）根据 AR 圈报 道，字节跳动旗下的 AI 眼镜预计于"春节前后"的时间节点上市，或通过"限 量赠送"替代公开销售。 评论： [主要财务指标 Indicator_FinchinaSimpleHK] | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 2,061 | 2,347 | 2,835 | 3,380 | | 同比增速(%) | 17.1% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 19.2% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 428 | 564 | 696 | 869 | | 同比增速(%) | 31.0% ...

宏观研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 【宏观快评】 年度回顾：利润的结构变化 ——12月工业企业利润点评 主要观点 12 月工业企业利润数据：受其他损益收入比下降影响，利润增速回升 12 月，据统计局数据，规模以上工业企业当月利润由 11 月份下降 13.1%转为 增长 5.3%，回升 18.4 个百分点。库存方面，截止至 2025 年 12 月，库存同比 3.9%，前值为 4.6%。分所有制看，12 月，国有控股工业企业利润增速为-51.5%， 私营企业增速为 0.56%，外商及港澳台为 41.4%。 量、价、利润率拆分来看，量价双升。PPI 同比，12 月同比为-1.9%，11 月为 -2.2%。工增 12 月增速为 5.2%，11 月为 4.8%；收入端 12 月增速为-3.21%， 11 月为-0.26%。利润率方面，12 月为 5.57%，去年同期（可比口径）为 5.13%。 利润率拆分来看，12 月毛利率为 16.40%，去年同期为 16.44%；费用率 10.7%， 去年同期为 10.23%；其他损益收入比为 0.14%，去年同期为 0.87%。 全年利润结构回顾：中游制造与大宗商品占比回升 （一） ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended," indicating an expected increase in the industry index by over 5% compared to the benchmark index in the next 3-6 months [19]. Core Insights - The launch of Clawdbot, an AI assistant capable of taking over devices and performing tasks autonomously, has generated significant market interest, achieving over 50,000 stars on GitHub within days of its release [2][4]. - The report highlights the importance of low-latency and secure infrastructure support for AI agents like Clawdbot, which is expected to benefit companies involved in cloud computing, AI data centers, computing power services, and content delivery networks [8]. Industry Overview - The computer industry consists of 337 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 64,957.50 billion and a circulating market capitalization of 58,620.09 billion [5]. - The absolute performance of the industry over the past 1 month, 6 months, and 12 months has been 13.7%, 22.6%, and 42.4% respectively, while the relative performance has been 10.3%, 7.0%, and 19.2% [6]. Key Companies to Watch - The report suggests focusing on companies that provide secure and low-latency infrastructure, including: 1. Cloud computing: Alibaba, NET, Deepin Technology, Kingsoft Cloud, New Idea Network Group, Yuke Data 2. AI Data Centers: Runze Technology, Baoxin Software, Data Port, Guanghuan New Network, Aofei Data, Yunsai Zhili 3. Computing Power Services: Kexin Data, Hongjing Technology, Dawi Technology, Youfang Technology, Litong Electronics, Zhiwei Intelligent 4. CDN: Wangsu Technology 5. Chips: Haiguang Information, Cambricon, Muxi Co., Tian Shuzhixin, Moer Thread, Longxin Zhongke 6. Large Models: Minimax, Zhipu, iFlytek [8].

债券研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 【债券日报】 行业表现：今日正股行业指数下降占比过半，共计 23 个行业下跌。A 股市场 中，跌幅前三位行业为煤炭（-2.27%）、农林牧渔（-1.95%）、钢铁（-1.34%）； 涨幅前三位行业为电子（+2.27%）、通信（+2.15%）、国防军工（+1.65%）。 转债市场共计 17 个行业上涨，涨幅前三位行业为通信（+3.75%）、国防军工 （+2.65%）、机械设备（+1.63%）；跌幅前三位行业为煤炭（-1.04%）、有色金 属（-0.90%）、纺织服饰（-0.77%）。 (1) 收盘价：大周期环比-0.20%、制造环比+0.88%、科技环比+1.97%、大消费 环比-0.27%、大金融环比+0.02%。 (2) 转股溢价率：大周期环比+0.59pct、制造环比+0.3pct、科技环比-0.13pct、 大消费环比+0.88pct、大金融环比+0.071pct。 转债市场日度跟踪 20260127 ❖ 市场概况：今日转债缩量上涨，估值环比压缩 指数表现：中证转债指数环比上涨 0.15%、上证综指环比上涨 0.18%、深证成 指环比上涨 0.09%、创业板指环比上涨 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The real - estate bond market has gone through stages of risk accumulation, concentrated outbreak, and current orderly resolution and yield gaming. The recent Vanke bond extension event has led to significant fluctuations in the real - estate sector's valuation, prompting a re - examination of the industry's credit boundaries and pricing logic. The report backtracks the adjustment and repair patterns of the real - estate bond sector, explores potential stabilization signals in the current market adjustment, and outlines investment strategies [2][12]. - Currently, the bottom of credit expectations has been initially established, and the easing of pessimistic sentiment in the bond market provides conditions for the valuation repair of real - estate bonds. However, the probability of a wide - range special support policy for central and local state - owned enterprise real - estate bonds in the short term is low, and the spreads of different issuers may diverge, with high - quality issuers having stronger valuation repair momentum [5][43]. - The investment strategy focuses on 1 - 2 - year central and local state - owned enterprise real - estate bonds to capitalize on valuation repair opportunities [6][44]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Past: Review of the Adjustment Characteristics of the Real - Estate Bond Sector after Public Opinion Shocks - **Stage One (2020)**: Industry risks gradually accumulated, with a few real - estate enterprises defaulting. The excess spread of real - estate bonds did not widen significantly, and the industry's credit risk continued to build up. The spill - over effect of the Yongmei default on real - estate bonds was not immediately apparent [3][13]. - **Stage Two (2021 - 2023)**: The number of defaulting real - estate enterprises increased significantly, and at the same time, policies to stabilize the real - estate market were intensively introduced. The excess spread of AA - rated real - estate bonds fluctuated widely at high levels, with the widening and narrowing cycles often around 5 months [3][14]. - **Stage Three (Since 2024)**: The industry's credit risk is being cleared in an orderly manner, with occasional local risks. Real - estate bonds with high coupon rates are attractive, becoming a target for institutions to seek excess returns in an "asset shortage" environment. The excess spread of real - estate bonds significantly narrowed during the alpha market of spread compression from April to August in 2024 and 2025, but then the credit spread widened [3][16]. 3.2 Current: Significant Adjustment of the Real - Estate Sector's Valuation since Vanke Announced the Proposed Extension 3.2.1 Weak Trading Sentiment and Significant Valuation Increases of Multiple Issuers in the Sector - Since Vanke announced the proposed extension of its bond, the trading prices of many real - estate enterprise bonds have significantly deviated from their valuations, and the valuation yields of issuers have generally increased. Some issuers, including central enterprises, local state - owned enterprises, mixed - ownership enterprises, and private enterprises, have been particularly affected. There is a risk of further increases in valuation yields [4][17][18]. 3.2.2 Signals of Stabilization in the Adjustment: Trading Sentiment, Issuance Situation, and Negative Public Opinion - **Trading sentiment**: It is becoming more moderate, with the trading deviation of real - estate bonds narrowing, and the proportion of TKN transactions stabilizing or rising, showing an initial trend [20][21]. - **Issuance situation**: The primary - market issuance of real - estate bonds has recovered, with the subscription multiple increasing, especially in the recent week [24]. - **Negative public opinion**: The market has become more "insensitive" to negative information. The Vanke event has fully fermented, and the risk of further transmission has narrowed [31]. 3.3 Outlook: Offensive Allocation Strategy after the Adjustment Stabilizes 3.3.1 Conditions for the Offensive Window: Comprehensive Judgment Based on Policies, Credit Risk Expectations, and Bond - Market Sentiment - **Policy aspect**: In the short term, the probability of a wide - range special support policy for central and local state - owned enterprise real - estate bonds is low, but targeted relief policies for high - risk issuers can be expected. If favorable policies are introduced, the repair process of real - estate bonds may accelerate [5][35][43]. - **Credit risk expectation aspect**: The market's pessimistic sentiment towards the real - estate industry's credit risk has reached the bottom. The debt disposal process of Vanke is an important factor affecting market sentiment. With the confirmation of Vanke's disposal plan, the short - term credit expectation bottom of real - estate bonds may be established [37]. - **Bond - market sentiment aspect**: When the bond - market sentiment is good and institutions have a high demand for returns, the spread repair momentum of real - estate bonds is stronger; otherwise, there is greater pressure for spread widening [39]. 3.3.2 Investment Strategy: Focus on 1 - 2 - Year Central and Local State - Owned Enterprise Real - Estate Bonds to Capitalize on Valuation Repair - The core of the current strategy is to moderately extend from the previously conservative bonds with a maturity of less than 1 year to 1 - 2 - year medium - to high - grade central and local state - owned enterprise real - estate bonds, which can provide more attractive coupon yields with relatively controllable risks [44]. - **Central enterprises**: They have strong shareholder backgrounds, sound finances, and are mainly located in core cities. Representative issuers include Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd. and China Resources Land Limited. The 1 - 2 - year yield ranges from 2.10% to 2.70%, and the average excess spread ranges from 35 to 85 BP [6][45]. - **Local state - owned enterprises**: They are located in regions with good economic development, have strong shareholder backgrounds, and perform well in terms of profitability and solvency. Representative issuers include Shanghai Lujiazui (Group) Co., Ltd. and Guangzhou Urban Construction and Development Co., Ltd. The 1 - 2 - year yield ranges from 1.95% to 2.0%, and the average excess spread ranges from 15 to 20 BP [6][45].