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深信服:三季度收入实现正增长,费用管控成效显著
Shanxi Securities· 2024-10-28 02:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company achieved positive revenue growth in Q3 2024, with significant cost control measures leading to improved financial performance [2][3] - The company is expected to see continuous improvement in revenue and business growth driven by new initiatives in AI, overseas markets, and EDS [3] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 4.634 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.63%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -580 million yuan, down 6.25% [1] - In Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.926 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.77%, and a net profit of 12 million yuan, a significant increase of 54.76% year-on-year [1][2] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 60.60%, a decrease of 4.51 percentage points compared to the same period last year, primarily due to the increase in cloud business revenue [2] - The company’s sales and R&D expense ratios for the first three quarters of 2024 were 41.04% and 35.17%, respectively, both showing a decrease compared to the previous year [2] Future Earnings Forecast - The company’s EPS for 2024-2026 is projected to be 0.64, 1.01, and 1.43 yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 104.09, 66.05, and 46.40 based on the closing price of 66.47 yuan on October 25 [3][4]
巨星农牧:巨星转债投资价值分析:高成长高弹性,生猪养殖盈利或持续
Shanxi Securities· 2024-10-28 02:33
Investment Rating - The report assigns an investment rating of AA- to the convertible bond of the company, with a bond balance of 900 million yuan, accounting for 89.97% of the total issuance [2]. Core Views - The company is positioned in the pig farming sector, which is entering a performance realization phase, with Q3 average pork prices at 26.11 yuan/kg, a 19.58% increase from Q2. The self-breeding profit per head is 500.36 yuan, showing further improvement [1]. - The company has strong cost control capabilities and better growth potential, having continuously increased its breeding scale since its listing in 2020, gradually moving into the industry's first tier. The breeding cost optimization is industry-leading [3]. - The company employs a "company + farmer" cooperative breeding model, which accounts for approximately 80% of its breeding scale, and is expected to enhance production efficiency and reduce costs further [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is based in Leshan, Sichuan, with a total market value of approximately 10 billion yuan. Its revenue composition for H124 is 85.71% from pig farming, 11.32% from feed, and 2.12% from leather products, with a year-on-year net profit growth of 87.13% [1]. Financial Performance - The latest estimated PE for 2024 is 15.4x, and the PB is 3.59x [1]. - The average pork price in Q3 was 26.11 yuan/kg, reflecting a 19.58% quarter-on-quarter increase, indicating a favorable market environment for the company [1]. Market Position - The company is recognized as an industry leader, with peers such as Muyuan and Wens Foodstuffs exceeding market expectations in Q3 performance [1]. - The report notes that the industry's willingness to replenish breeding sows has significantly weakened due to high asset-liability ratios and recent industry shocks [1]. Investment Opportunity - The convertible bond is currently undervalued due to market pessimism and concerns over group risks, with a significant drop since May 2024, suggesting a potential for recovery [3]. - The reasonable valuation for the convertible bond is estimated to be between 121-129 yuan, indicating an attractive investment opportunity [4].
山西证券:研究早观点-20241028
Shanxi Securities· 2024-10-28 00:37
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,299.70, with a gain of 0.59% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10,619.85, with a gain of 1.71% [1] - The ChiNext Index closed at 2,238.90, with a gain of 2.93% [1] Industry Commentary: Computer - Huawei officially launched HarmonyOS NEXT (also known as HarmonyOS 5.0) on October 22, with over 15,000 native Harmony applications available, covering 18 industries [3] - The ecosystem of devices running HarmonyOS has exceeded 1 billion units [3] - The system has seen a performance upgrade of over 30%, with battery life extended by nearly one hour [4] - Security features have been enhanced, including a new data management mechanism to protect user privacy [4] - The cross-device connectivity speed has improved by 3 times, with a 20% reduction in power consumption [4] - The migration of top 5,000 applications to HarmonyOS is underway, with a target of reaching 500,000 applications in stages, ultimately aiming for 2 million applications [4] Industry Commentary: Chemical - Juhua Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 17.906 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, an increase of 11.83% year-on-year [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.258 billion yuan, up 68.40% year-on-year [6] - In Q3, the company achieved a revenue of 5.826 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.53% year-on-year and 11.86% quarter-on-quarter [7] - The sales volume of fluorine fine chemicals increased significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 286.18% [7] - The company is expected to benefit from the sustained high demand in the refrigerant market, with a favorable outlook for future performance [7] - EPS forecasts for 2024-2026 are 0.77, 1.02, and 1.09 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 26.2, 20.0, and 18.7 [8]
巨化股份:制冷剂配额龙头,持续受益制冷剂长景气度
Shanxi Securities· 2024-10-25 06:54
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company is a leader in refrigerant quotas and continues to benefit from the long-term prosperity of the refrigerant market [2] - The company's revenue and net profit have shown significant growth year-on-year, with a notable increase in the sales volume of fluorinated fine chemicals [2] - The report anticipates sustained high performance for the company due to its leading position in the refrigerant quota market and the expected recovery of the refrigerant market in Q4 [2] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 17.906 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.83%, and a net profit of 1.258 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 68.40% [1] - In Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of 5.826 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.53% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 11.86%, while net profit was 423 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 64.67% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 19.19% [1] - The company expects EPS for 2024-2026 to be 0.77, 1.02, and 1.09 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 26.2, 20.0, and 18.7 [3] Market and Product Insights - The sales volume of fluorinated fine chemicals, petrochemical materials, refrigerants, and basic chemical products saw significant increases, with year-on-year growth rates of 286.18%, 52.29%, 11.41%, and 11.41% respectively [2] - The average prices of refrigerants, fluorinated chemical raw materials, and petrochemical materials increased by 29.81%, 15.40%, and 1.90% year-on-year, while other product prices experienced varying degrees of decline [2] - The company has expanded its production quotas for HFC-32 and HFC-245fa, which is expected to support its growth in the upcoming quarters [2]
计算机行业快报:纯血鸿蒙正式发布,应用生态快速拓展
Shanxi Securities· 2024-10-25 06:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market - A" for the computer industry [1]. Core Insights - The release of HarmonyOS NEXT marks a significant upgrade in system performance, security, intelligence, and multi-device connectivity, with overall system smoothness improved by over 30% and battery life extended by nearly one hour [1]. - The ecosystem of HarmonyOS is rapidly expanding, with over 15,000 native applications currently available and a target of reaching 500,000 applications in the near future, ultimately aiming for 2 million applications [2]. - The report highlights the successful migration of top 5,000 applications to HarmonyOS, which meets 99.9% of user usage time, and anticipates a peak in the migration of long-tail applications in the next 1-2 years [2]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The computer industry has shown a strong market performance over the past year, driven by advancements in HarmonyOS and its ecosystem [1]. Key Developments - HarmonyOS NEXT was officially launched on October 22, with over 1.5 million devices now running the operating system, covering 18 industries and over 38 million enterprises [2]. - The introduction of a new security architecture enhances user privacy by managing data access rather than just permissions [1]. Investment Recommendations - Focus on companies closely collaborating with Huawei and demonstrating high technical completion, such as Softcom Power, Zhongsoft International, and Fabben Information, as they are expected to benefit from the ongoing migration to HarmonyOS [2]. - Anticipation of the launch of HarmonyOS PC products by the end of the year, which is expected to boost Huawei's PC sales, highlighting manufacturers like Zhiwei Intelligent and Softcom Power as key players [2].
山西证券:研究早观点-20241025
Shanxi Securities· 2024-10-25 00:34
资料来源:最闻 研究早观点 2024 年 10 月 25 日 星期五 市场走势 资料来源:最闻 【公司评论】爱美客(300896.SZ):爱美客(300896.SZ)2024 三季报点 评-三季度营收、归母净利润同比微增 | --- | --- | --- | |----------|-----------|----------| | 指数 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 % | | 上证指数 | 3,280.26 | -0.68 | | 深证成指 | 10,441.75 | -1.27 | | 沪深 300 | 3,928.83 | -1.12 | | 中小板指 | 6,478.64 | -1.48 | | 创业板指 | 2,175.10 | -1.37 | | 科创 50 | 977.60 | -0.16 | 分析师: 李召麒 执业登记编码:S0760521050001 电话:010-83496307 邮箱:lizhaoqi@sxzq.com 【今日要点】 【行业评论】太阳能:202409 光伏行业月度报告-9 月国内光伏新增装 机同增 32.4%,逆变器出口额同比增长 4.2% 【山证农业】乖宝宠物 2024 年 ...
乖宝宠物:宠粮国产龙头规模稳步增长,盈利水平持续提升
Shanxi Securities· 2024-10-24 07:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company [1][2]. Core Views - The company has shown a strong market performance with a revenue increase of 17.96% year-on-year, reaching 3.671 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, and a net profit increase of 49.64%, amounting to 470 million yuan [2][3]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its own brand's mid-to-high-end product lines, particularly during the Double Eleven shopping festival, which is expected to boost market share and profitability [1][3]. - The projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 558 million yuan, 695 million yuan, and 822 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.39 yuan, 1.74 yuan, and 2.05 yuan [1][5]. Financial Performance - For the third quarter of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.245 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.92%, and a net profit of 162 million yuan, up 49.11% year-on-year [3]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 41.98%, reflecting a 6.21 percentage point increase compared to the previous year [3]. - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 2.5 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 100 million yuan, indicating strong confidence in its financial health [3]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 5.259 billion yuan in 2024 to 6.363 billion yuan in 2025, and further to 7.666 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.5%, 21.0%, and 20.5% respectively [5][7]. - The projected P/E ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 47.6, 38.1, and 32.3 respectively, indicating a decreasing trend in valuation multiples as earnings grow [5][9]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 13.4% in 2024 to 14.6% in 2026, reflecting enhanced profitability [5][9].
爱美客:三季度营收、归母净利润同比微增
Shanxi Securities· 2024-10-24 06:38
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported a slight year-on-year increase in revenue and net profit for Q3 2024, with revenue reaching 2.376 billion yuan (+9.46%) and net profit at 1.586 billion yuan (+11.79%) [2] - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 94.8%, a slight decrease of 0.5 percentage points, while the net profit margin improved by 1.5 percentage points to 66.73% [3] - The company is expected to see new growth from its injectable botulinum toxin product, which has entered the registration phase [4] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of 719 million yuan (+1.1%) and net profit of 465 million yuan (+2.13%) [2] - The operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2024 was 1.534 billion yuan (+4.72%) [3] - The projected EPS for 2024-2026 is expected to be 6.70, 7.91, and 9.38 yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 32.4, 27.4, and 23.1 [4] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company’s revenue is forecasted to grow from 3.19 billion yuan in 2024 to 4.648 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.2% and 23.0% respectively [4] - Net profit is projected to increase from 2.025 billion yuan in 2024 to 2.838 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.0% and 18.7% respectively [4]
202409光伏行业月度报告:9月国内光伏新增装机同增32.4%,逆变器出口额同比增长4.2%
Shanxi Securities· 2024-10-24 06:31
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy-A" rating for the company 688472.SH (Canadian Solar) [1] Core Views - The solar power generation in September increased by 12.7% year-on-year, with a total output of 32.34 billion kWh, accounting for 4.03% of the national total power generation [2][30] - The report highlights a significant increase in domestic photovoltaic (PV) installations, with September's new installations reaching 20.9 GW, a year-on-year increase of 32.4% and a month-on-month increase of 26.9% [11][34] - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the solar storage sector, including Canadian Solar, Sungrow Power, and DEYE Technology, among others [34] Summary by Sections 1. Installation - In September, domestic PV installations increased by 32.4% year-on-year and 26.9% month-on-month, totaling 20.9 GW. Cumulatively, from January to September, installations reached 160.9 GW, up 24.8% year-on-year [11][34] 2. Exports - **2.1 Module Exports**: In September, module export value was 14.37 billion yuan, down 40.7% year-on-year and 17.4% month-on-month. Cumulative exports from January to September totaled 175.53 billion yuan, a decrease of 30.2% year-on-year [3][11] - **2.2 Inverter Exports**: In September, inverter export value was 4.84 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 4.2% but a month-on-month decrease of 21.3%. Cumulative exports from January to September reached 45.04 billion yuan, down 21.5% year-on-year [19][11] 3. Solar Power Generation - In September, solar power generation reached 32.34 billion kWh, marking a 12.7% year-on-year increase and accounting for 4.03% of the total national power generation of 802.36 billion kWh, which grew by 6.0% year-on-year [30][2] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes investment in leading solar storage companies such as Canadian Solar, Sungrow Power, and DEYE Technology, and suggests monitoring other companies in the solar industry [34]
贝斯特:Q3净利率同环比提升,重点业务突破可期
Shanxi Securities· 2024-10-24 03:55
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" rating to the company, indicating an expected outperformance relative to the benchmark index by more than 15% [3] Core Views - The company's three-tier business strategy is clear and well-executed, with turbocharger components benefiting from the increasing penetration of hybrid vehicles and close cooperation with leading customers [3] - The new energy vehicle component business is positioned for import substitution, with the Anhui Best facility expected to gradually enter the performance realization phase starting in 2025 [3] - The company has comprehensive layout of screw products in key downstream sectors such as machine tools, humanoid robots, and automobiles, demonstrating long-term growth potential [3] - The establishment of a factory in Thailand supports the globalization strategy and provides a foundation for the continued growth of the first and second-tier businesses [3] Financial Performance - Q3 2024 net profit margin reached 23.51%, up 1.68 percentage points year-on-year and 2.49 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, mainly due to increased investment net income and asset impairment reversal [3] - Q3 2024 gross margin was 35.15%, down 1.34 percentage points year-on-year but up 0.97 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3] - Q3 2024 operating expense ratio remained stable at 12.79%, with management expense ratio at 8.46% and R&D expense ratio at 4.08% [3] - The company achieved revenue of 1.042 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.52%, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 225 million yuan, up 7.08% year-on-year [2] Business Development - In industrial machine tools, the company successfully applied high-precision screw pairs and guide rail pairs in domestic well-known machine tool manufacturers in Q2 2024, and signed batch rolling delivery orders in Q3, with breakthroughs in C0-level screw pairs [1] - For humanoid robots, the company has continuously optimized planetary roller screw processes and improved mass production process layout, with key process equipment development progressing smoothly [1] - In new energy vehicles, the company completed the first customer sample delivery of EMB brake system ball screw pairs [1] - The company established BYH NEW TECHNOLOGY CO LTD in Thailand to accelerate global layout and mitigate the impact of international trade friction [1] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profit attributable to shareholders of 307 million yuan, 371 million yuan, and 476 million yuan in 2024-2026, representing year-on-year growth of 16.7%, 20.5%, and 28.4% respectively [3] - EPS is projected to be 0.62 yuan, 0.74 yuan, and 0.95 yuan for 2024-2026, with PE ratios of 27.5, 22.8, and 17.8 times based on the closing price on October 23, 2024 [3] - Revenue is forecasted to grow from 1.49 billion yuan in 2024 to 2.139 billion yuan in 2026, with gross margin expected to increase from 34.4% to 37.6% over the same period [5] - ROE is projected to improve from 10.0% in 2024 to 13.0% in 2026, while net profit margin is expected to increase from 20.6% to 22.2% [5]