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市场复盘:指数高开高走,市场放量反弹
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-07-12 07:30
Market Performance - Major indices in the A-share market showed significant gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.06%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.99%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.06% [16][25] - Market turnover reached 789.86 billion yuan, an increase of 109.96 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [16][25] - 4,987 stocks rose while 313 stocks fell, indicating a broad-based market rally [16][25] Market Style and Sector Performance - Growth, cyclical, and consumer sectors outperformed, with growth styles significantly outperforming value styles [2][70] - Among the 30 CITIC primary industries, consumer services (+4.12%), non-ferrous metals (+3.77%), and comprehensive sectors (+3.30%) led the gains, while banking (-0.56%) was the only declining sector [2][70] - Concept sectors such as lithium mining, lithium battery cathode materials, and CRO saw substantial increases, while central SOE banks and selected banking sectors experienced minor declines [2][70] Fund Flow and ETF Performance - Main funds recorded a net inflow of 6.13 billion yuan, with large orders contributing 4.07 billion yuan and ultra-large orders 2.06 billion yuan [30] - Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF saw a significant increase in trading volume, with its turnover rising by 1.68 billion yuan compared to the previous day [44] - CSI 1000 ETF attracted the most funds, with a net inflow of 798 million yuan on July 10 [44] Global Market Performance - European markets rose across the board, with Germany's DAX up 0.94%, the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.66%, and France's CAC 40 up 0.86% [48] - US markets also gained, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 1.09%, the S&P 500 up 1.02%, and the Nasdaq Composite up 1.18% [53] - In Asia, the Hang Seng Index rose 2.06%, the Hang Seng Tech Index gained 2.67%, and Japan's Nikkei 225 increased by 0.94% [37] Commodity and Currency Performance - COMEX gold rose 0.42% to $2,377.90 per ounce, while silver increased 0.08% to $31.08 per ounce [51] - ICE Brent crude oil rose 0.93% to $85.45 per barrel [51] - The US dollar index fell 0.12% to 105.00, while the USD/CNY exchange rate rose 0.05% to 7.28 [51]
三花智控:公司点评报告:两大业务同向增长,战新业务持续突破
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-07-12 03:30
[Table_Main] 公司研究|工业|资本货物 证券研究报告 三花智控(002050)公司点评报告 2024 年 07 月 12 日 业绩如期兑现,北美整体转盈 两大业务同向增长,战新业务持续突破 ——三花智控(002050)公司点评报告 [Table_Summary] 事件: 公司发布 2024 年半年度业绩预告,业绩符合我们预期。公司预计 2024 半 年度实现营业收入为 131.55-144.08 亿元,同比增加 5%–15%;公司预计 2024 半年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为 14.64-16.04 亿元, 同 比增加 5%–15%。 新能源车与制冷空调业务同步增长,产能出海持续加速 公司披露报告期内业绩预增的主要原因系:在新能源车热管理方面,公司作 为全球新能源车热管理的领先企业,运用标杆客户示范效应,持续获得订 单,实现了业绩的增长。在出海方面,公司正在积极推进墨西哥、波兰新能 源车热管理生产基地建设,加速新能源车产能出海;在制冷空调电器零部件 方面,公司作为行业的龙头企业,产业龙头优势凸显,核心产品市场份额稳 步提升,带来业绩增长。在出海方面,公司已完成越南工厂二期的建厂并实 现产线 ...
国元证券每日复盘
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-07-12 03:02
Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.06%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.99%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.06% on July 11, 2024[2] - Market turnover reached 7898.64 billion yuan, an increase of 1099.57 billion yuan from the previous trading day[2] - 4987 stocks rose while 313 stocks fell across the market[2] Sector and Style Performance - Consumer services (4.12%), non-ferrous metals (3.77%), and comprehensive sectors (3.30%) were the top performers[3] - Banking sector (-0.56%) was the only declining sector among 30 CITIC primary industries[3] - Growth style significantly outperformed value style, with non-fund heavy stocks rising more than fund heavy stocks[3] Capital Flows - Main funds saw a net inflow of 6.129 billion yuan, with large orders contributing 4.066 billion yuan and super large orders 2.063 billion yuan[3] - Northbound funds recorded a net inflow of 3.046 billion yuan, while southbound funds saw a reduced net inflow of 474 million HKD[31] ETF Performance - Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300ETF saw a significant increase in turnover, rising by 1.675 billion yuan from the previous day[36] - CSI 1000ETF attracted the most capital inflow on July 10, with 798 million yuan[36] Global Market Trends - European markets rose with Germany's DAX up 0.94%, UK's FTSE 100 up 0.66%, and France's CAC40 up 0.86%[3] - US markets gained with Dow Jones up 1.09%, S&P 500 up 1.02%, and Nasdaq up 1.18%[3] - Asian markets showed mixed performance with Hang Seng Index up 2.06% and Nikkei 225 up 0.94%, while India's SENSEX30 fell 0.03%[3]
市场复盘:指数再度回调,市场午后走弱
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-07-11 08:30
国家统计局:6 月份,消费市场供应总体充足,全国 CPI 环比季节性下降,同比 继续上涨,其中,食品价格下降 2.1%,猪肉价格上涨 18.1%,涨幅比上月扩大 13.5 个百分点;受国际大宗商品价格波动及国内部分工业品市场需求不足等因 素影响,全国 PPI 环比有所下降,同比降幅继续收。 商务部就欧盟依据《外国补贴条例》对中国企业调查中采取的相关做法进行贸易 投资壁垒调查。欧盟依据《外国补贴条例》及其实施细则对中国企业开展的初步 审查、深度调查以及突袭检查等调查中采取的相关做法。申请人提出申请时主要 涉及铁路机车、光伏、风电、安检设备等产品。根据《对外贸易壁垒调查规则》 的规定,商务部可以采用问卷、听证会、实地调查等方式向利害关系方了解情况, 进行调查。 调查应在 2025 年 1 月 10 日前结束,特殊情况下可延长至 2025 年 4 月 10 日。 欧洲央行监管委员会委员麦克考尔:央行警示影子银行业风险不断上升。 资料来源:Wind A股市场主要指数表现 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 7 / 11 500 400 300 200 () : 100 0 -100 -200 | --- | --- | ...
深南电路:公司24H1业绩预告点评:AI服务器&汽车需求持续放量,ABF产能突破
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-07-10 10:30
%[Table_Main] 公司研究|信息技术|技术硬件与设备 证券研究报告 深南电路(002916)公司点评报告 2024 年 07 月 10 日 [Table_Title] AI 服务器&汽车需求持续放量,ABF 产能 突破 ——公司 24H1 业绩预告点评 当前价: 109.75 元 [Table_Base 基本数据 ] [Table_Summary] 报告要点 公司公布 2024 年半年度业绩预告,预计上半年归母净利润 9.1 亿-10 亿元,同比增长 92%-111%,对应 EPS 1.77-1.95 元/股。公司上半年订单 大幅增长,PCB 产能稼动率回升,产品结构优化带动利润率同步提升。我 们预计公司主要受益于 AI 服务器需求的放量,以及通用服务器迭代升级, 产品迎来量价齐升。 公司 PCB 下游重点布局数据中心、汽车电子领域。通信方面,公司对 通信网络各个环节实现了全覆盖,当前通用服务器迭代升级,AI 服务器和 交换机放量,公司受益于单机价值提升和高速 PCB 需求的增长。汽车领域, 公司的南通三期工厂爬坡顺利,为订单导入提供产能支撑。 载板领域,公司将充分受益于云计算、人工智能、智能驾驶等 ...
市场复盘:指数集体反弹,午后放量上涨
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-07-10 06:30
[Table_Title] 每日复盘 证券研究报告 20240709 市场复盘:指数集体反弹,午后放量上涨 报告要点: 2024 年 7 月 9 日三大指数集体反弹,市场午后放量上涨。上证指数上涨 1.26%,深证成指上涨 1.68%,创业板指上涨 1.43%。市场成交额 7269.87 亿 元,较上一交易日大幅增加 1427.80 亿元。全市场 4271 只个股上涨,917 只 个股下跌。 风格上看,各市场风格普遍上涨。成长、周期、金融和稳定涨幅较大,消 费风格微涨;非基金重仓股指数涨幅大于基金重仓股指数;成长风格表现显 著优于价值,中小盘表现显著优于大盘。 分行业看,30 个中信一级行业中 27 个行业上涨;表现相对靠前的是: 电子(4.36 %),通信(3.87 %),汽车(3.16 %);表现相对靠后的是:农林 牧渔(-2.06 %),建材(-0.74 %),综合(-0.13 %)。概念板块方面,多数概 念板块上涨,智能音箱、高速铜连接、无线充电等大幅上涨;鸡产业、猪产业、 生物育种等小幅走低。 资金筹码方面,主力资金首次大幅净流入,7 月 9 日净流入 75.47 亿元, 为 7 天来主力资金首次净 ...
兆易创新:公司2024年中期业绩预告点评:周期拐点带动24H1业绩修复
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-07-10 06:30
[Table_Main] 公司研究|信息技术|半导体与半导体生产设备 证券研究报告 兆易创新(603986)公司点评报告 2024 年 07 月 10 日 [Table_Title] 周期拐点带动 24H1 业绩修复 ——公司 2024 年中期业绩预告点评 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 7 月 9 日,公司发布 2024 年中期业绩预告,预计 24H1 营收实现 36.09 亿元(YoY+21.69%),预计归母净利达到 5.18 亿元(YoY+54.18%)。从二 季度来看,公司预计营收实现 19.82 亿元(YoY+21.97%),预计公司归母净 利实现 3.13 亿元(YoY+68.28%)。 公司存货水位持续下滑,相较 23Q1库存最高点,24Q1 已下降 10.87%, DOI 从 237.59 天下降至 177.44 天,随着 Q2 存货水位进一步下降,产品 价格上升趋势明显,毛利率开始修复,24Q2 净利实现较大增幅。 TWS 耳机、AI phone、AI PC 和服务器等场景提振 Nor Flash 需求, 叠加中国台湾厂商在毛利率压力下涨价可能性较高,公司作为全球第二大 Nor ...
每日复盘:指数集体反弹,午后放量上涨
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-07-10 06:02
2024 年 7 月 9 日三大指数集体反弹,市场午后放量上涨。上证指数上涨 1.26%,深证成指上涨 1.68%,创业板指上涨 1.43%。市场成交额 7269.87 亿 元,较上一交易日大幅增加 1427.80 亿元。全市场 4271 只个股上涨,917 只 个股下跌。 资金筹码方面,主力资金首次大幅净流入,7 月 9 日净流入 75.47 亿元, 为 7 天来主力资金首次净流入。其中超大单净流入 62.31 亿元,大单净流入 13.16 亿元。中单资金净流出 63.16 亿元,小单持续净流出 12.31 亿元。 7 月 9 日,亚太主要股指收盘多数上涨,恒生指数持平,报 17523.23 点; 恒生科技指数上涨 0.96%,报 3600.90 点;韩国综合指数上涨 0.34%,报 2867.34 点;日经 225 指数上涨 1.96%,报 41580.17 点;印度 SENSEX30 指数上涨 0.49%,报 80351.64 点;澳洲标普 200 指数上涨 0.86%,报 7829.70 点。 2024 年 07 月 10 日 内容目录 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 2 / 11 美股三大指数涨跌 ...
兆易创新:公司2024 年中期业绩预告点评:周期拐点带动24H1业绩修复
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-07-10 06:02
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 108.5 to 134.8 CNY based on a valuation of 62x to 72x for 2024 [2][10]. Core Views - The company is expected to recover its performance in the first half of 2024, with projected revenue of 3.609 billion CNY (YoY +21.69%) and net profit of 518 million CNY (YoY +54.18%) [2]. - The decline in inventory levels and the upward trend in product prices are anticipated to improve the company's gross margin, leading to significant profit growth in Q2 2024 [2]. - The demand for Nor Flash products is expected to rise due to applications in TWS headphones, AI phones, AI PCs, and servers, benefiting the company as the second-largest Nor Flash manufacturer globally [2]. - The transition of major manufacturers from DDR3 to higher-value DDR5 and HBM is expected to create a supply gap in niche DRAM, which the company aims to capitalize on by shifting from agency sales to self-developed DRAM [2]. - The automotive sector, a key application area for MCUs, is projected to enter a replenishment phase in late 2024 to early 2025, which may revitalize demand for the company's MCU products [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved revenue of 3.609 billion CNY in H1 2024, slightly exceeding expectations, with an upward revision of 2024 revenue forecast to 7.969 billion CNY and net profit to 1.165 billion CNY [2][3]. - The gross margin is expected to be approximately 39% for 2024 [2]. Market Outlook - The report highlights a positive outlook for the semiconductor industry, driven by the recovery in demand and pricing power due to inventory adjustments and market dynamics [2]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the anticipated price increases in the Nor Flash market as competitors face margin pressures [2]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a detailed financial forecast, projecting significant revenue growth rates of 38.3% for 2024 and 24.7% for 2025, alongside a substantial increase in net profit margins [3][7]. - Key financial ratios such as P/E and P/B are projected to improve, indicating a favorable investment proposition [3][7].
药品出海行业研究报告:中国力量河出伏流,出海浪潮中各显身手
Guoyuan Securities· 2024-07-10 02:30
[Table_Main] 行业研究|医疗保健 证券研究报告 医疗保健行业研究报告 2024 年 07 月 06 日 [Table_Title] 中国力量河出伏流,出海浪潮中各显身手 ——药品出海行业研究报告 [Table_Summary] 报告要点: 药品出海是成长为全球化大药企的基本门槛和必经之路 据 Frost&Sullivan 统计,2022-2030 年中国在全球医药市场中的占比 仅保持在 17%左右,未来有很大的提升空间。从国际医药巨头的成长 历史来看,进军全球市场是必经之路,国际市场是支撑企业做大的必 要基础。我国"十四五"医药工业发展规划也提出支持企业立足本土 资源和优势,面向全球市场,培育一批世界知名品牌,形成一批国际 化程度高、全球布局发展的大型制药公司。 法规医药市场规模巨大,新兴市场人口多、卫生支出增长快 据 Frost&Sullivan,2018-2030 年美国与欧盟的医药市场之和超过全 球市场的 50%。据 WHO,2020 年中低收入、中高收入和高收入国家 人均卫生支出平均分别为 125 美元、515 美元和 3708 美元,且高收 入国家占全球卫生支出 80%以上,整体来看,法 ...