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厦钨新能(688778):主业稳健向上,新品打开成长空间
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-01 10:54
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 57 CNY, based on a 30x P/E for 2025 [6]. Core Viewpoints - The company has a strong position in the lithium battery cathode materials market, particularly as a global leader in lithium cobalt oxide, with a market share of approximately 47% in 2024 [1][34]. - The company is expected to benefit from stable demand for lithium cobalt oxide, optimization of customer structure for ternary materials, and an increase in market share for lithium iron phosphate [5]. - New product developments, including NL cathode materials and sulfide electrolytes, are anticipated to open new growth avenues for the company [5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has over 20 years of experience in lithium battery cathode materials and is recognized as a global leader in lithium cobalt oxide [1]. - In 2024, the company shipped 46,200 tons of lithium cobalt oxide, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 33.52% [24][34]. Product Segments - **Lithium Cobalt Oxide**: The company maintains a leading position with high voltage products that are favored in the consumer electronics sector [1][34]. - **Ternary Materials**: The company has developed high voltage and high power ternary materials, which are gaining traction in applications such as drones [2][41]. - **NL Materials**: These materials are expected to meet the rising demands for high voltage, high energy density, and high cycle life in battery applications [3]. - **Lithium Sulfide**: The company is leveraging its technological expertise to produce lithium sulfide with both performance and cost advantages [4]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 800 million CNY, 945 million CNY, and 1.19 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 62%, 18%, and 26% [5]. - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 13.30 billion CNY, with a decline of 23.19% year-on-year, followed by a recovery in subsequent years [24]. Market Dynamics - The global demand for lithium cobalt oxide is expected to grow steadily, driven by the increasing average capacity of consumer electronics [2]. - The company has established stable partnerships with leading global battery manufacturers, which supports its sales growth in lithium cobalt oxide [2].
中银中外运仓储物流 REITs 审批通过
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-01 10:15
Market Dynamics - Zhongyin Zhongwaiyun Warehousing Logistics REITs has been approved as of May 30, 2025[1] - Guotai Junan Lingang Innovation Manufacturing Industry Park REITs expansion has also been approved on May 30, 2025[1] Market Performance - The CSI REITs total return index increased by 0.03% from May 26 to May 30, 2025[2] - The property REITs index decreased by 0.25%, while the operating rights REITs index rose by 0.46% during the same period[2] - REITs total index outperformed the CSI 300 index by 1.08 percentage points and the CSI All Bond index by 0.01 percentage points[2] Liquidity - Total trading volume for REITs was 4.76 billion yuan, a decrease of 23.7% week-on-week[3] - The largest trading volume among REIT types was in transportation infrastructure, accounting for 25.2% of total trading volume[3] - The average trading volume for property and operating rights REITs was 2.81 billion yuan and 1.95 billion yuan, respectively, both down approximately 23.4%[3] Risk Factors - Future operational conditions of REITs' underlying assets are uncertain[3] - Cash flow projections in the fundraising prospectus may not accurately reflect actual performance[3] - The pace of fundraising issuance may fall short of expectations[3]
中银中外运仓储物流REITs审批通过
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-01 09:07
Industry Dynamics - The approval of Zhongyin Zhongwaiyun Warehousing and Logistics REITs was announced on May 30, 2025, along with the approval of Guotai Junan Lingang Innovation Manufacturing Industrial Park REITs expansion [1][7]. Primary Market - As of May 30, 2025, the total issuance scale of listed REITs reached 174.4 billion, with a total of 66 REITs issued [8]. Market Performance - During the week of May 26 to May 30, 2025, the CSI REITs total return index increased by 0.03%, while the property REITs index decreased by 0.25%, and the operating rights REITs index rose by 0.46%. The REITs total index outperformed the CSI 300 index by 1.08 percentage points [2][16]. Liquidity - The total trading volume of REITs for the week was 476 million, a decrease of 23.7% from the previous week. The trading volumes for property and operating rights REITs were 281 million and 195 million, respectively, also showing declines of 23.9% and 23.4% [3][36]. Correlation - The correlation coefficients between the CSI REITs index and various indices over the past 20 days show a positive correlation with the CSI 300 index (0.534) and a negative correlation with the CSI all bond index (-0.144) [29].
核电景气度加速上行,继续推荐西部基建、重点产业投资及转型标的
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-01 07:23
Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Viewpoints - The nuclear power sector is experiencing significant growth, with the approval of 10 new nuclear power units in April 2025, marking the fourth consecutive year of such approvals in China [2][13] - In the first four months of 2025, nuclear power investment reached 36.256 billion, a year-on-year increase of 36.64%, significantly outpacing the 1.6% growth in overall power investment [2][13] - The construction sector is expected to benefit from the rising nuclear power investment, with key companies like China Nuclear Engineering, Libat, and Zhongyan Dadi identified as potential beneficiaries [2][18] Summary by Sections Nuclear Power Sector - The nuclear power sector's investment is on the rise, with a total of 102 operational, under-construction, and approved units, totaling an installed capacity of 113 million kW [13] - China Nuclear Engineering is the leading company in nuclear power construction, with 32 units under construction and a total of 96 units built by the end of 2024 [18] - Libat has secured contracts for significant nuclear projects, indicating strong growth potential in the nuclear sector [18] - Zhongyan Dadi is expected to achieve breakthroughs in nuclear power projects, having recently signed strategic cooperation agreements [20] Cement and Construction Materials - Cement shipment rates have increased to 47.8%, up 1.4 percentage points week-on-week, indicating a recovery in construction activity [3][22] - The asphalt plant operating rate is at 27.7%, down 3.1 percentage points, suggesting a slight decline in activity [22] - The construction sector is seeing a steady increase in new contracts, particularly for major state-owned enterprises like China Construction and China Nuclear Engineering [22][27] Market Performance - The construction index rose by 1.24% in the week of May 26-30, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 1.89 percentage points [4][28] - Key sectors such as architectural design, landscaping, and construction decoration saw significant gains, with leading stocks like Hopu and Hanjia Design showing substantial increases [28][29] Investment Recommendations - Focus on cyclical opportunities arising from improved construction activity, particularly in water conservancy, railways, and aviation sectors [35] - Emphasize the importance of regional opportunities in high-demand areas such as Sichuan, Zhejiang, Anhui, and Jiangsu [35] - Highlight the potential of companies like Sichuan Road and Bridge, Zhejiang Jiaokao, and Anhui Construction in the construction sector [35] - Recommend investments in nuclear power companies like Libat and China Nuclear Engineering due to their strong market positions and growth prospects [37]
旭升集团(603305):24年业绩呈现回落态势 布局新赛道寻求突破
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-01 07:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [5] Core Views - The company is experiencing a decline in performance for 2024, with a projected revenue of 4.41 billion yuan, down 8.79% year-on-year, and a net profit of 416.26 million yuan, down 41.71% year-on-year [1][4] - The automotive segment revenue is expected to be 3.78 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.87% year-on-year, with a significant drop in sales volume by 16.2% [2] - The company is focusing on new sectors such as energy storage and humanoid robots while maintaining its core competency in aluminum alloy lightweight technology [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company anticipates a revenue of 44.09 billion yuan, with a net profit of 4.16 billion yuan, and a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 0.45 yuan, reflecting a decline of 41.56% year-on-year [1][4] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 10.46 billion yuan, down 8.12% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.96 billion yuan, down 39.15% year-on-year [1] - The company’s EBITDA for 2024 is projected at 1.18 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 9.44% [4][11] Operational Strategy - The company is enhancing its internal operational management capabilities and expanding its production capacity, with a focus on cost optimization through technological innovation [3] - It has established a production network across China, North America, and Southeast Asia, aiming for a "China + North America + Southeast Asia" triangular capacity network [3] - The company is implementing a centralized procurement and strategic cooperation model with key suppliers to manage costs effectively [3]
旭升集团(603305):24年业绩呈现回落态势,布局新赛道寻求突破
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-01 07:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [5] Core Views - The company is experiencing a decline in performance for 2024, with a projected revenue of 4.41 billion yuan, down 8.79% year-on-year, and a net profit of 416.26 million yuan, down 41.71% year-on-year [1][4] - The automotive segment revenue is expected to be 3.78 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.87% year-on-year, with a significant drop in sales volume by 16.2% [2] - The company is focusing on new growth areas such as energy storage and humanoid robots while leveraging its core aluminum alloy lightweight technology [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company anticipates a revenue of 44.09 billion yuan, with a net profit of 4.16 billion yuan, reflecting a significant decline compared to the previous year [1] - The first quarter of 2025 shows a revenue of 10.46 billion yuan, down 8.12% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.96 billion yuan, down 39.15% year-on-year [1] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 0.45 yuan, a decrease of 41.56% year-on-year [1] Operational Strategy - The company is enhancing its internal operational management capabilities and expanding its production capacity, with a focus on cost optimization through technological innovation [3] - It has established a production network across China, North America, and Southeast Asia, aiming to provide integrated lightweight solutions to global customers [3] - The company is implementing a "zero inventory" management model and optimizing supply chain collaboration to improve inventory turnover rates [3]
建筑装饰行业研究周报:核电景气度加速上行,继续推荐西部基建、重点产业投资及转型标的
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-01 04:25
Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained as "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Viewpoints - The nuclear power sector is experiencing significant growth, with the approval of 10 new nuclear units in 2025, marking the fourth consecutive year of such approvals in China [2][13] - In the first four months of 2025, nuclear power investment reached 36.256 billion, a year-on-year increase of 36.64%, significantly outpacing the 1.6% growth in overall power investment [2][13] - The construction sector is expected to benefit from the rising nuclear power investment, with key companies like China Nuclear Engineering, Libat, and Zhongyan Dadi identified as potential beneficiaries [2][18] Summary by Sections Nuclear Power Sector - The nuclear power sector's investment is on the rise, with a total of 102 operational, under-construction, and approved units, totaling an installed capacity of 113 million kW [13] - China Nuclear Engineering is the leading company in nuclear construction, with 32 units under construction and a strong competitive advantage [18][21] - Libat is involved in significant projects, including the construction of modules for nuclear power plants, indicating a robust future in modular applications [18][21] - Zhongyan Dadi is making strides in nuclear projects, having signed strategic agreements and won multiple bids [20][21] Cement and Construction Activity - Cement shipment rates have increased to 47.8%, reflecting a 1.4 percentage point rise, indicating a recovery in construction activity [3][22] - The construction sector is seeing a steady increase in new contracts, particularly for major state-owned enterprises like China Construction and China Nuclear Engineering [3][22][27] Market Performance - The construction index rose by 1.24% in the week of May 26-30, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 1.89 percentage points [4][28] - Key sectors within construction, such as design services and landscaping, have shown strong performance, with notable stock gains [4][28] Investment Recommendations - Focus on cyclical opportunities arising from improved construction activity, particularly in water conservancy, railways, and aviation projects [35][36] - Emphasis on the nuclear power sector, with recommendations for companies like Libat and China Nuclear Engineering, as well as emerging opportunities in AI and cleanroom sectors [37][38]
沪深300增强本周超额基准1.79%
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-31 11:47
戴维斯双击即指以较低的市盈率买入具有成长潜力的股票,待成长性显现、 市盈率相应提高后卖出,获得乘数效应的收益,即 EPS 和 PE 的"双击"。 策略在 2010-2017 年回测期内实现了 26.45%的年化收益,超额基准 21.08%。 金融工程 | 金工定期报告 金融工程 证券研究报告 沪深 300 增强本周超额基准 1.79% 戴维斯双击策略 今年以来,策略累计绝对收益 11.24%,超额中证 500 指数 12.19%,本周 (20250526-20250530 )策略超额中证 500 指数-3.02% 。本期组合于 2025-05-06 日开盘调仓,截至 2025-05-30 日,本期组合超额基准指数 0.37%。 净利润断层策略 净利润断层策略是基本面与技术面共振双击下的选股模式,其核心有两点: "净利润",指通常意义上的业绩超预期;"断层",指盈余公告后的首个交 易日股价出现向上跳空,该跳空通常代表市场对盈余报告的认可程度。 策略在 2010 年至今取得了年化 28.71%的收益,年化超额基准 27.17%。本 年 组 合 累 计 绝 对 收 益 17.81% , 超 额 基 准 指 数 18 ...
华纬科技(001380):24年业绩高速增长 产能持续扩张
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-31 10:20
公司报告 | 季报点评 华纬科技(001380) 证券研究报告 24 年业绩高速增长,产能持续扩张 2024 年业绩高速增长,2025Q1 期间费用率保持稳定。 ①2024 年公司实现营业收入 18.60 亿元,同比+49.67%;归母净利润 2.26 亿,同比+38.00%;扣非归母净利润 2.13 亿,同比+37.21%。②2025Q1 公 司实现营业收入 4.50 亿元,同比+47.36%;归母净利润 0.64 亿元,同比 +57.43%;扣非归母净利润 0.61 亿元,同比+67.68%。③公司 2024 年加权 平均净资产收益率 14.19%,同比-0.54pct;2025Q1 公司加权平均净资产收 益率为 3.71%,同比+1.06pct。④2025Q1 期间费用相比上期有上升。2025Q1 销售费用为 0.12 亿元,管理费用为 0.12 亿元,研发费用为 0.23 亿元,财 务费用为-17.43 万元。 悬架系统零部件产能释放驱动营收增加,产能持续扩张。 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和免责申明 1 悬架系统零部件(悬架弹簧+稳定杆)2024 年收入 16.3 亿元,同比+60.2%。 其中"高 ...
华纬科技(001380):24年业绩高速增长,产能持续扩张
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-31 08:36
公司报告 | 季报点评 风险提示:汽车销量不及预期;宏观经济波动;盈利能力不及预期,产能 扩张不及预期。 | 财务数据和估值 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 1,243.05 | 1,860.41 | 2,289.25 | 2,767.12 | 3,278.36 | | 增长率(%) | 39.63 | 49.67 | 23.05 | 20.87 | 18.48 | | EBITDA(百万元) | 305.27 | 430.97 | 414.86 | 515.29 | 638.60 | | 归属母公司净利润(百万元) | 164.07 | 226.42 | 266.80 | 347.11 | 449.16 | | 增长率(%) | 45.59 | 38.00 | 17.84 | 30.10 | 29.40 | | EPS(元/股) | 0.61 | 0.84 | 0.99 | 1.28 | 1.66 | | 市盈率(P/E) | 33.64 | 24.38 | ...