公司报告 | 首次覆盖报告 海力风电（301155） 证券研究报告 海风迎新一轮景气周期，深远海+出口贡献新动力 公司深耕海上风电零部件制造领域超 15 年，是国内领先的海上风电装备供应商。 公司成立于 2009 年，以"海上+海外"双轮驱动战略为指引，构建设备制造、新 能源开发、施工及运维三大业务板块。主要产品为风电塔筒、桩基、导管架及升压 站等，尤以海上风电设备零部件产品为主。 海风在全球市场迎来中欧需求的共振，25 年或将开启新一轮装机景气度。 产能不断扩张，自有优质码头持续推进海风布局。公司目前确定了浙江温州、广东 湛江等多个省外基地以及江苏省盐城市滨海港、江苏省南通市小洋口海力如东、江 苏省启东市吕四港（二期）三个省内基地，叠加目前已建成投产的海力海上、海力 装备、海恒设备、海力风能、海力东营、海力乳山、启东吕四港（一期），已基本 完成基地布局。年生产能力已达 100 万吨，并计划在 2025 年前提升至 150 万吨。 深远海+出口贡献新动力。1）前瞻研发深远海市场产品，2024 年研发人员及费用 大幅增长，产品线方面，从单一风电零部件向多元化海工装备延伸，形成"大兆瓦 塔筒＋重型桩基+导管架+海 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 409 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.01%, and a net profit of 80 million yuan, with a slight increase of 0.31% [1] - The company is focusing on expanding its magnesium alloy die-casting business, which has seen significant revenue growth, particularly in the automotive and aerospace sectors [2][3] - The company is accelerating its capacity expansion both domestically and internationally, responding to the growing demand in Southeast Asia [3] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 409 million yuan, with a net profit of 80 million yuan, and a net profit margin of 19.66% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 88 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.28%, but a decline in net profit to 17 million yuan, down 4.08% [1] - The company’s revenue from magnesium alloy die-casting reached 283 million yuan in 2024, accounting for 69.49% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 9.16 percentage points [2] Growth and Profitability Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 94 million yuan, 119 million yuan, and 152 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 40.06, 31.62, and 24.78 [4] - The company’s EBITDA is expected to grow from 149 million yuan in 2024 to 241 million yuan in 2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory [4] Market Position and Strategy - The company is leveraging its first-mover advantage in the magnesium alloy die-casting market and is actively expanding its production capacity to meet increasing global demand [3] - The company has established partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, including BMW and Audi, to supply magnesium alloy components for electric and traditional vehicles [3]

公司报告 | 公司点评 真爱美家（003041） 证券研究报告 巩固一带一路客户优势 公司发布 24 年报和 25 年一季报 25Q1：营收 1.8 亿元，同比+13%；归母净利润 2.1 亿元，同比+689%；扣 非归母净利润 0.44 亿元，同比+155%；毛利率 20%，同比-4pct；净利率 115%， 同比+99pct。 24Q4：营收 2.6 亿元，同比+1%；归母净利润 0.2 亿元，同比-14%；扣非归 母净利润 0.2 亿元，同比+1806%；毛利率 19%，同比-1pct；净利率 8%， 同比-1pct。 24 年：营收 8.8 亿元，同比-8%；归母净利润 0.76 亿元，同比-28%；扣非 归母净利润 0.6 亿元，同比-35%；毛利率 19%，同比-3pct；净利润率 9%， 同比-2pct。此外，公司拟每 10 股派发现金红利 4 元(含税)，拟现金分红 0.58 亿元，派息率为 76%。 25 年一季度归母净利润增长主因真爱毯业原徐村厂区土地、建筑及附属物 征收补偿收益 2 亿元。 吨价下行拖累毛利率 在市场区域方面，公司主要出口中东、北非和南非等地区，包含"一带一路" 中西亚和 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [5] Core Views - The company is experiencing revenue growth, with a projected revenue of 409 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.01%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 80.33 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.31% [1] - The company is expanding its magnesium alloy production capacity both domestically and internationally, responding to the growing demand in various sectors such as aerospace, automotive, and consumer electronics [2][3] - The company is focusing on innovation in magnesium alloy precision casting technology, aiming to enhance its market position and expand its applications in lightweight automotive components [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company's revenue from magnesium alloy die-casting parts reached 283 million yuan, accounting for 69.49% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 9.16 percentage points. Revenue from aluminum alloy die-casting parts was 102 million yuan, representing 24.91% of total revenue, with a year-on-year decrease of 6.98 percentage points [2] - The company's net profit margin for 2024 is projected to be 19.66%, a decrease of 3.08 percentage points year-on-year. For Q1 2025, the net profit margin is approximately 19.18%, a decrease of about 2.27 percentage points [1] - The company’s total revenue is expected to grow significantly from 352.22 million yuan in 2023 to 812.26 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 27.42% [4] Capacity Expansion and Market Position - The company is accelerating its capacity expansion, with domestic sales revenue of 287 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.66%, and export revenue of 122 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.74% [3] - The company is leveraging its partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, including BMW and Audi, to meet the demand for magnesium alloy components in both traditional and new energy vehicles [3]

公司报告 | 首次覆盖报告 海力风电（301155） 证券研究报告 海风迎新一轮景气周期，深远海+出口贡献新动力 公司深耕海上风电零部件制造领域超 15 年，是国内领先的海上风电装备供应商。 公司成立于 2009 年，以"海上+海外"双轮驱动战略为指引，构建设备制造、新 能源开发、施工及运维三大业务板块。主要产品为风电塔筒、桩基、导管架及升压 站等，尤以海上风电设备零部件产品为主。 海风在全球市场迎来中欧需求的共振，25 年或将开启新一轮装机景气度。 产能不断扩张，自有优质码头持续推进海风布局。公司目前确定了浙江温州、广东 湛江等多个省外基地以及江苏省盐城市滨海港、江苏省南通市小洋口海力如东、江 苏省启东市吕四港（二期）三个省内基地，叠加目前已建成投产的海力海上、海力 装备、海恒设备、海力风能、海力东营、海力乳山、启东吕四港（一期），已基本 完成基地布局。年生产能力已达 100 万吨，并计划在 2025 年前提升至 150 万吨。 深远海+出口贡献新动力。1）前瞻研发深远海市场产品，2024 年研发人员及费用 大幅增长，产品线方面，从单一风电零部件向多元化海工装备延伸，形成"大兆瓦 塔筒＋重型桩基+导管架+海 ...

行业报告 | 行业研究周报 基础化工 证券研究报告 前 4 月化学原料和化学制品制造业利润总额 1150 亿 元，TDI、百草枯价格上涨 上周指 25 年 5 月 19-25 日（下同），本周指 25 年 5 月 26 日-6 月 1 日（下同）。 本周重点新闻跟踪 5 月 27 日，国家统计局发布数据，1—4 月份，全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总 额 21170.2 亿元，同比增长 1.4%。其中，1—4 月份，采矿业实现利润总额 2875.0 亿元，同比下降 26.8%；制造业实现利润总额 15549.3 亿元，增长 8.6%；电力、热 力、燃气及水生产和供应业实现利润总额 2745.8 亿元，增长 4.4%；化学原料和化 学制品制造业营业总额为 29439.3 亿元，利润总额为 1150 亿元，下降 4.4%。 本周重点产品价格跟踪点评 本周 WTI 油价下跌 1.2%，为 60.79 美元/桶。 重点关注子行业：本周 TDI/醋酸价格分别上涨 2.9%/1.3%，VE/橡胶/VA/电石法 PVC/ 轻 质 纯 碱 / 乙 二 醇 / 氨 纶 / 乙 烯 法 PVC/ 聚 合 MDI 价 格 分 别 下 ...

$$\overline{{{\prod_{i\in\mathbb{N}}}}}\frac{\bigtriangleup}{\bigtriangleup}\frac{\bigtriangleup}{\bigtriangleup}\frac{\bigtriangleup}{\bigtriangleup}$$ 制作：产品中心 证券研究报告 | 2025 年 06 月 05 日 重点推荐 《策略|"特朗普不确定"再起——政策与大类资产配置月观察》 上周（5.26-5.30）海外政策聚焦于美国国际贸易法院此前做出禁止执行 特朗普对等关税，但随后被联邦上诉法院暂时搁置; 5 月 30 日特朗普宣布 将钢铝关税提高至 50%，司法不确定下后续贸易谈判不确定性上升。1、 权益：A 股方面，5 月受一揽子稳预期措施加码落地以及特朗普"对等关 税"有所缓和影响，5 月三大指数普遍集体反弹明显，其中创业板和深证 综指分别反弹 2.32%和 2.94%。万得微盘股指数 5 月累计反弹超过 10%。2、 固收：受二季度国债加速发行可能挤占银行流动性影响，央行 5 月再度净 投放资金 5998 亿元（含国库现金）。DR007 月末有所收 ...

固定收益 | 固定收益专题 利率专题 证券研究报告 6 月，债市关键词 "震荡与博弈"成为 5 月市场关键词，债市窄幅波动，演绎分化行情：一 是长短端利率分化，二是利率和信用分化；展望 6 月，"震荡"行情会如何 演绎？经济预期差怎么看？央行态度和资金面如何演绎？本文聚焦于此。 5 月债市低波，行情分化 首先，从 5 月债市表现来看，多空交织下债市窄幅波动，演绎分化行情。 一是长短端利率的分化，短端利率小幅下行，长端利率中枢上移，10 年国 债收益率上破 1.7%，30 年国债收益率升破 1.9%，曲线向陡峭化演绎；二是 利率和信用的分化，赔率约束下利率债震荡偏弱，信用债在非银力量配置 下表现较强，带动信用利差收窄。 6 月债市，震荡态势如何打破？ 回顾历史来看，6 月逆回购多为净投放，MLF 方面多为等量或超量续做，6 月债市收益率多呈现出回落趋势。 当前而言，债市演绎震荡性行情，背后或是多空博弈相对均衡的结果，经 济基本面波浪式修复，宽松的资金面也对市场有所支撑，意味着利率上行 有顶；但另一方面，存单提价现象的存在，又约束了利率下行的空间。 往后展望，债市如何打破震荡态势？从市场演绎来看，机构确会期待 6 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a maintained rating for the next six months [5]. Core Views - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 increased by 10% year-on-year to 95.7 billion yuan, with marketing service revenue growing by 15% to 48.7 billion yuan and transaction service revenue increasing by 6% to 47 billion yuan. The revenue growth was impacted by intensified competition and external uncertainties, while net profit decreased by 45% year-on-year to 16.9 billion yuan, with a Non-GAAP net profit margin of 18% [1][2]. - The company is facing challenges due to increased competition and its decision to invest more in merchant support and platform ecosystem development, which has led to a significant rise in sales expenses by 43% year-on-year to 33.4 billion yuan. This may pressure the adjusted net profit in the short term, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to strengthened supply chain support for new merchants [2][3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been revised down to 440.2 billion yuan, 505.6 billion yuan, and 577.4 billion yuan respectively, from previous estimates of 470.2 billion yuan, 547.8 billion yuan, and 625 billion yuan. The projected Non-GAAP net profits for the same years are now expected to be 104.8 billion yuan, 132.7 billion yuan, and 155.5 billion yuan, down from earlier forecasts of 138 billion yuan, 169.8 billion yuan, and 196.9 billion yuan. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 10X, 8X, and 6X [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a 6-month outlook maintained [5]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance shows a 10% year-on-year revenue growth to 95.7 billion yuan, with marketing services revenue increasing by 15% to 48.7 billion yuan and transaction services revenue growing by 6% to 47.0 billion yuan. The revenue growth slowdown is attributed to intensified competition and external uncertainties, while adjusted net profit decreased by 45% to 16.9 billion yuan, with a Non-GAAP net profit margin of 18% [1][2]. - The company is facing challenges due to increased competition and its decision to enhance investments in merchant support and platform ecosystem development, leading to a 43% increase in sales expenses to 33.4 billion yuan. This may pressure short-term profitability, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to strengthened supply chain support for new merchants [2][3]. - The company's overseas market expansion, particularly the introduction of a semi-managed model in North America, is expected to impact transaction service revenue due to a decrease in overall monetization rates. The cancellation of the "small package tax exemption" policy in the U.S. may also increase merchant costs, potentially slowing growth in the North American market [3]. Summary by Sections - **Q1 2025 Performance**: Revenue increased by 10% to 95.7 billion yuan, with marketing services up 15% and transaction services up 6%. Adjusted net profit fell by 45% to 16.9 billion yuan [1]. - **Revenue and Profitability Challenges**: Revenue growth is slowing due to increased competition and the company's investment strategy, with sales expenses rising significantly. Short-term profitability may be under pressure, but long-term competitiveness is expected to improve [2]. - **Overseas Market Dynamics**: The introduction of a semi-managed model in North America may affect revenue, and regulatory changes could impact merchant costs and growth [3]. - **Revised Financial Projections**: The company’s revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 440.2 billion, 505.6 billion, and 577.4 billion yuan respectively, with Non-GAAP net profit estimates revised to 104.8 billion, 132.7 billion, and 155.5 billion yuan [3].