海外行业报告 | 行业动态研究 人工智能 证券研究报告 "人工智能+"行动的意见发布，政策驱动 AI 产业进 入加速周期 事件：国务院于 8 月 26 日印发《关于深入实施"人工智能+"行动的意见》 （下文简称"《意见》"）。意见提出科学技术、产业发展、消费提质、民 生福祉、治理能力与全球合作六大重点行动。在此基础上，《意见》进一步 提出涵盖模型、数据、算力、应用环境、开源生态、人才体系、政策法规 与安全治理的"八大强化基础支撑能力"。 明确可量化目标与阶段时间线，中国 AI 渗透率有望提升。《意见》提出到 2027 年率先实现人工智能与六大重点领域的广泛深度融合，新一代智能终 端、智能体等应用普及率超过 70%；到 2030 年普及率超过 90%、智能经济 成为重要增长极；到 2035 年全面步入智能经济与智能社会新阶段。我们认 为，《意见》通过设定可量化目标和阶段性时间线，有望强化政策执行的确 定性与产业落地的可预期性。当下 AI 整体普及率与渗透率仍处于相对较低 水平，产业空间依然广阔。我们认为，随着政策逐步落地，叠加模型能力 持续迭代、AI 成本进一步下降，中国 AI 渗透率有望加速提升。 《意见》提 ...

我们的点评如下： 公司报告 | 半年报点评 拓邦股份（002139） 证券研究报告 营收持续增长，智能汽车及机器人业务良好发展 事件：公司发布2025 年半年报，25H1 实现收入55.02 亿元，同比增长9.70%， 归母净利润 3.30 亿元，同比下降 15.11%，扣非归母净利润 3.10 亿元，同 比下降 16.87%；毛利率为 22.55%，同比下降 1.35pct。 工具与家电业务稳健增长 2025H1 工具与家电毛利率 22.22%，同比下降 1.98pct。2025H1 工具板块实 现收入 20.79 亿元，同比增长 5.67%。公司通过提升核心客户响应速度、 加速创新研发，满足客户技术升级与功能创新需求，推动核心品类稳健增 长。公司积极推进下游客户与产品品类拓展，与部分日系及国内头部客户 合作进展顺利，并形成新的增量贡献。公司通过全球化供应链灵活调配， 快速响应客户需求，有效缓解了交货周期等因素带来的阶段性影响。 2025H1 家电板块实现销售收入 22.98 亿元，同比增长 27.60%。公司在家电 领域深耕智能控制底层核心技术，已构建"硬件设计+底层软件+云服务+AI 算法"的全栈技术能 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a 6-month outlook maintained [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 7.34 billion yuan for Q2 2025, which is in line with Bloomberg consensus expectations. Adjusted net profit reached 560 million yuan, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 8.1% [1]. - The user metrics show a Daily Active Users (DAU) of 109 million and Monthly Active Users (MAU) of 363 million, with a daily average usage time of 105 minutes [1]. - The company is benefiting from a strong performance in its gaming and advertising segments, with significant growth in user engagement and creator monetization [1][2][3]. Revenue Breakdown 1) **Mobile Games**: - Revenue for the quarter was 1.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 60%, driven by strong performance from "Three Kingdoms: Strategize the World" and stable contributions from "Fate/Grand Order" and "Azur Lane" [2]. - The company is also focusing on new game releases and overseas expansion for existing titles [2]. 2) **Advertising**: - Revenue reached 2.45 billion yuan, up 20% year-on-year, primarily due to strong growth in performance advertising [3]. - The company has improved its advertising infrastructure, leading to a more than 10% increase in eCPM and approximately 30% growth in performance ad revenue [3]. 3) **Value-Added Services (VAS)**: - Revenue was 2.84 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11%, supported by growth in live streaming and other value-added services [3]. - The number of paid members reached 23.7 million, with over 80% opting for annual or auto-renewal plans [3]. 4) **IP and Derivatives**: - Revenue was 440 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 15% [3]. Profitability - The gross profit was 2.68 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 36.5%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.6 percentage points. The adjusted net profit of 560 million yuan indicates a turnaround from previous losses [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from its strategy of "self-developed quality products and global distribution," with projected revenues for 2025-2027 of 30.1 billion, 32.6 billion, and 35.6 billion yuan respectively [4].

公司报告 | 半年报点评 恒力石化（600346） 证券研究报告 中期分红提升回报，反内卷助力相对底部反转 2025 年 H1 公司实现归母净利润 30.5 亿，同比-24.08% 2025 年 H1，公司实现营业收入 1038.87 亿元，同比-7.69%；实现归母净利 润 30.5 亿，同比-24.08%，扣非归母净利润 22.96 亿元，同比-35.16%。其 中，Q2 公司实现归母净利润 9.99 亿，扣非净利润 10.57 亿，环比-14.7%。 重视投资者回报，近年来首次增加中期分红 基于充裕的现金流与良好的盈利状况，公司已积极推出 2025 年半年度利润 分配方案（该方案尚需股东会审议通过后实施），计划每股派发现金红利 0.08 元（含税），合计派现 5.63 亿元（含税），占 2025 年半年度归属于上 市公司股东净利润的 18.46%，公司以切实举措回报股东，进一步增强市场 信心。 反内卷有望助力石化周期反转 2024 年 7 月，中央政治局会议首次提出"要强化行业自律，防止'内卷式' 恶性竞争"。同年 12 月，中央经济工作会议在部署 2025 年重点任务时再 次强调要"综合整治'内卷式' ...

Core Insights - The report indicates that commercial banks are increasing their allocation to interest rate bonds, while broad-based funds are reducing their holdings in government bonds and policy financial bonds [4][5][51]. Group 1: Interbank Leverage Ratio - As of the end of July, the interbank market leverage ratio was 106.81%, down from 107.64% at the end of the previous month, indicating a decrease of 0.83 percentage points and remaining below historical levels for the same period [2][11]. Group 2: Custody Data Overview - In July 2025, the total custody scale of bonds at China Central Depository & Clearing Co., Ltd. (CCDC) and Shanghai Clearing House reached 173.03 trillion yuan, an increase of 174.49 billion yuan from the previous month [3][14]. Group 3: By Bond Type - The total custody scale of major interest rate bonds (government bonds, local government bonds, policy bank bonds) reached 114.81 trillion yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 143.74 billion yuan. Commercial banks were the main buyers, increasing their holdings by 154.99 billion yuan, while broad-based funds, securities companies, and foreign institutions reduced their holdings [4][51]. - The custody scale of major credit bonds (corporate bonds, medium-term notes, short-term financing bonds, and ultra-short-term financing bonds) was 16.04 trillion yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 20.07 billion yuan. Broad-based funds and commercial banks were the main buyers, increasing their holdings by 116.8 billion yuan and 71.7 billion yuan, respectively [4][30][51]. - The custody scale of interbank certificates of deposit was 20.74 trillion yuan, a decrease of 37.43 billion yuan, with commercial banks and foreign institutions being the main sellers [4][47][51]. Group 4: By Institution - The custody scale of commercial banks reached 84.13 trillion yuan, increasing by 137.58 billion yuan. They increased their holdings in interest rate bonds and credit bonds by 154.99 billion yuan and 7.17 billion yuan, respectively, while reducing their holdings in interbank certificates of deposit by 24.58 billion yuan [5][52]. - The custody scale of broad-based funds was 37.55 trillion yuan, decreasing by 83.7 billion yuan. They increased their holdings in credit bonds by 116.8 billion yuan but reduced their holdings in interest rate bonds and interbank certificates of deposit by 117.9 billion yuan and 2.26 billion yuan, respectively [5][52]. - Foreign institutions had a custody scale of 3.79 trillion yuan, decreasing by 301.6 billion yuan, with reductions in interest rate bonds, interbank certificates of deposit, and credit bonds by 129 billion yuan, 167.3 billion yuan, and 5.4 billion yuan, respectively [5][57].

公司报告 | 半年报点评 芒果超媒（300413） 证券研究报告 25H1 点评：会员与广告环比回暖，关注下半年政策红利释放 事件：北京时间 2025 年 8 月 22 日，芒果超媒发布 2025 年上半年业绩公告。2025 年上半 年公司实现营业总收入 59.64 亿元，同比减少 14.31%；实现归母净利润 7.63 亿元，同比 减少 28.31%，主要系内容与研发投入加大导致互联网视频业务成本上升；扣非归母净利润 6.10 亿元，同比下降 33.15%。 内容主业：会员与广告业务环比回暖，剧集市占率大幅提升。1）会员业务：2025 年上半年， 公司会员业务实现营业收入 24.96 亿元，同比小幅增长，用户月活均值同比增 14.24%，人 均单日时长稳居行业前列。根据云合数据，上半年芒果 TV 影视剧有效播放量同比增长 69%， 保持快速上升势头。《国色芳华》创下芒果剧集在云合集均播放量首破 4000 万的佳绩，成为 开年现象级爆款剧；《五福临门》11 次登顶云合热播榜；《韶华若锦》播出期间芒果 TV 站内 热度剧类第一。公司储备有《水龙吟》《咸鱼飞升》《野狗骨头》等影视剧近百部。我们认为， 公司影视剧储 ...

盈利韧性凸显，收入结构持续优化 2025H1，公司营业收入约 4.05 亿元，同比-7.1%，主要系公司持续深化 轻资产化战略，从重自有资金融资，向重科技融合平台撮合融资转变带 来的总营业收入下降，但轻资产化模式的平台科技服务收入表现亮眼， 约 2.11 亿元，同比+37.0%，占总营收比重首次突破 50%，成为公司的 主要增长动力。公司实现净利润约 2.03 亿元，同比+22.9%，得益于 AI 技术降本增效及联营公司业绩贡献（应占联营公司业绩 0.79 亿元，同 比增长 94.1%）。同时，公司连续 7 年实施高分红政策, 并承诺 2024– 2026 年度派息率不低于 90%。叠加特别股息后，2025 年合计派息总额 将接近 9.5 亿元。我们认为，公司将继续加强平台化轻资产化转型，降 低风险，加大研发资金投入力度，从而有望释放更多利润。 港股公司报告 | 公司点评 盛业（06069） 证券研究报告 AI 驱动业务升级成效显著，创新赛道布局持续深化 考虑到公司重点围绕电商、AI 应用、机器人等创新领域的撮合服务， 未来公司业绩有望继续快速增长。随着公司继续加强平台化发展战略， 平台普惠撮合业务快速提升， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [5][15]. Core Views - The company's integrated "wood-pulp-paper" business model is showing significant results, with major projects in Guangxi and Hubei gradually coming into production, contributing to the overall development of the company's supply chain [2][3]. - The company reported a revenue of 3 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a 25% year-on-year increase, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 240 million yuan, a 15% decrease [1]. - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6 billion yuan, a 30% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 470 million yuan, down 14% [1]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company produced 1.1079 million tons of specialty pulp and paper, a 98.55% increase year-on-year, with sales volume reaching 833,400 tons, up 62.25% [1]. - The production of food and medical consumer products reached 170,000 tons, with sales of 147,000 tons, reflecting a growth of 35.7% [1]. - The sales of electrolytic capacitor paper base materials increased by 14.6%, while daily consumer series paper base materials sales rose by 24.94% [1]. - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting revenues of 12.5 billion, 14.6 billion, and 16.5 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 970 million, 1.22 billion, and 1.45 billion yuan [3][4]. Production Capacity and Projects - The Guangxi and Hubei projects are expected to significantly enhance the company's production capacity, with a total of 7 pulp production lines and 8 specialty paper production lines now operational [2]. - The self-produced pulp from these projects has reached a level that can replace imported wood pulp, addressing a long-standing industry dependency on imports [2]. Valuation Metrics - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.4, 1.7, and 2.1 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 19, 15, and 12 [3][4]. - The company’s total assets are expected to grow from 18.87 billion yuan in 2023 to 33.22 billion yuan by 2027 [10]. Market Position - The company operates in the light industry manufacturing and paper-making sector, with a current market capitalization of approximately 17.94 billion yuan [6]. - The stock price is currently at 25.41 yuan, with a target price yet to be specified [5].

公司报告 | 半年报点评 万和电气（002543） 证券研究报告 热水与厨电并重，海外业务增长可期 事件： 2025 年 8 月 26 日，万和电气发布 2025 年半年报。2025H1 公司实现营业 收入 40.8 亿元，同比+7.1%；实现归母净利润 3.8 亿元，同比+6.7%；扣非 归母净利润 4.1 亿元，同比+3.0%。2025Q2 公司实现营业收入 17.9 亿元， 同比-2.4%；实现归母净利润 2.0 亿元，同比增加 5.5%；扣非归母净利润 1.9 亿元，同比-7.2%。 点评： 国内承压，海外景气。分区域看，25H1 公司主营业务中国内收入 22.7 亿 元，同比-4.4%；海外收入 17.3 亿元，同比+26.5%，表现优于国内。2024 年公司新增"全球运营"为战略主轴之一，今年上半年泰国生产基地增资 至6.04 亿元的产能布局，为公司后续成本优化及海外业务拓展奠定了基础。 在全球运营的节奏上，公司在夯实 OEM、ODM 优势业务的基础上，通过 跨境电商、布局线下渠道等方式稳步推进 OBM 业务，多元产业的周期互 补不仅可以有效应对全球化运营风险，也是公司海外业务发展的持续源动 力。 ...

2025 年上半年公司营收 233 亿，同比+3.5%，归母 19.6 亿，同比+23%；Q2 公司营业收入达 125 亿元，同比+1.2%；归母净利润为 10.77 亿元，同比 +12.5%。 公司报告 | 半年报点评 中海油服（601808） 证券研究报告 半潜式平台高日费合同兑现，业绩稳健增长 公司 2025Q2 归母净利润同比+12.5% 半潜式高日费合同开始作业，日费大幅增加 2025Q2 作业天数为 5017 天，同比+10%；其中半潜式钻井平台作业天数同 比+12%；自升式平台同比+9%。2025Q2 自升式、半潜式钻井平台可用天使 用率分别 97.4%、88.1%，较同期分别+10.1 pct、+7.1pct，环比分别为+5.5pct、 -2.3pct，我们认为同比提升主要是因为去年 Q2 自升式平台被中东暂停及 今年国内工作量饱满，以及海外北海半潜式平台新合同贡献。 2025 上半年自升式平台日费为 7 万美金/日，同比-5.4%；半潜式平台日费 为 17.1 万美金/日，同比+27.6%，主要是半潜式平台高日费合同兑现。 油田技术服务收入略有下滑 2025 年上半年油田技术服务营收 123 ...