Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the pharmaceutical industry [1] Core Insights - The trend of Chinese innovative drugs going overseas is opening up long-term value for companies, with significant collaborations occurring since September 2025. The innovative drug index has decreased by 11.34% from September 1 to December 19, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 12.93 percentage points. However, the index has increased by 38.65% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 20.76 percentage points [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of oral immunomodulatory drugs, highlighting the positive results from Takeda's TYK2 inhibitor, zasocitinib, in treating moderate to severe plaque psoriasis. This drug is expected to provide significant benefits to patients and is part of a broader trend of domestic companies developing oral immunomodulatory drugs [3] - The report notes the progress of domestic small nucleic acid drugs, with YKYY032 receiving clinical approval from both the FDA and NMPA. The report anticipates an increase in clinical approvals for small nucleic acid drugs by 2026, as more companies enter this field [5] - The report tracks the flu season, indicating a peak in flu cases and a corresponding increase in the use of new flu medications, which are expected to see significant sales growth due to improved treatment protocols and online sales [7] - The report highlights a recovery in the financing of domestic innovative drugs, with a total financing amount of $5.51 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a 67.6% increase year-on-year. The report also notes a significant increase in orders for CXO companies, indicating a positive trend in the industry [8] Summary by Sections 1. Pharmaceutical Market Tracking - The pharmaceutical industry outperformed the CSI 300 index by 0.14 percentage points in the last week, ranking 22nd among 31 sectors [20] - Over the past month, the pharmaceutical industry underperformed the CSI 300 index by 2.06 percentage points, ranking 19th [24] 2. Pharmaceutical Sector Trends and Valuation - The pharmaceutical industry index has decreased by 2.50% over the past month, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.06 percentage points [40] - The current PE (TTM) for the pharmaceutical industry index is 37.07, above the five-year historical average of 31.16 [44] 3. Recent Research Achievements - The report includes various deep-dive studies on the pharmaceutical industry, focusing on topics such as the growth of oral drugs and the stability of blood products [48] 4. Recent Industry Policies and News - Recent policies from the National Healthcare Security Administration aim to improve the quality and efficiency of medical insurance fund settlements, which could positively impact the pharmaceutical sector [50] - Significant news includes the approval of new drugs by various companies, indicating ongoing innovation and development within the industry [51][52]

2025 年 12 月 22 日 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 相关研究 1、《双融日报》2025-12-19 2、《双融日报》2025-12-18 3、《双融日报》2025-12-17 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（过热） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 81 分，市场情绪处于"过热"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：81 分（过热） 最近一年大盘走势 20 25 (%) 沪深300 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：液冷、银行、券商 1、液冷主题：第五届国际 AIDC 液冷产业链千人大会暨全球 数据中心液冷市场趋势研讨会将于 12 月 18 日至 19 日举行。 近年来国际 AI 领域的主要企业正加速转向液冷技术应用。例 如，英伟达在去年发布的 B100 与 H200 芯片上，已正式将散 热方案从传统风冷升级为液冷系统。相关标的：英维克 （002837）、飞龙股份（002536） 2、银行主题：银行股具有高股息特性，如中证银行 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the humanoid robot sector and the automotive industry [2][12]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is accelerating from technology development to large-scale commercial application, with significant order growth from leading manufacturers [7]. - The first batch of L3 autonomous driving vehicles has received approval for conditional market entry, marking a critical step towards commercialization in China [10]. - The overall order volume for humanoid robots in 2025 is projected to exceed 30,000 units, with leading companies like UBTECH and UTree capturing significant market shares [6]. Summary by Sections Humanoid Robot Sector Market Performance - The Huaxin humanoid robot index fell by 1.47% this week, with a year-to-date return of 88.8% [21]. - The total order value for leading companies in the humanoid robot sector has surpassed 5 billion, with UBTECH's Walker series accounting for 1.3 billion [6][4]. Automotive Sector Market Performance and Valuation - The CITIC automotive index increased by 0.1%, outperforming the broader market by 0.4 percentage points [37]. - The automotive sector's PE ratio is at 31.8, positioned at the 36.4% percentile over the past four years, while the PB ratio is at 3.0, at the 96.3% percentile [54]. Industry Data Tracking - From December 1-14, the average daily retail of passenger vehicles in China decreased by 24% year-on-year, with total retail reaching 76.4 million units [60]. - The average price of rubber has increased, while prices for steel, copper, and aluminum have decreased [67]. Company Announcements - UBTECH has secured a strategic partnership with Texas Instruments, with total orders exceeding 1.3 billion [5]. - Moulding Technology has signed a procurement framework agreement for humanoid robot components, marking a significant step into the humanoid robot industry [74].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for Dayuan Pump Industry (603757.SH) [2] Core Insights - The company is positioned in high-growth sectors such as liquid cooling, commercial pumps, and heat pumps, aligning with the "dual carbon" goals and emerging industries like energy storage and new energy vehicles. New business segments have achieved significant growth, effectively offsetting fluctuations in traditional business areas [5] - Continuous high R&D investment strengthens the company's technological advantages, with a focus on high-end and customized products. The company has accelerated the import substitution process, increasing its market share in high-end sectors such as chemicals, nuclear power, and semiconductors [6] - The company is expanding its global footprint with new subsidiaries in Southeast Asia, enhancing its manufacturing and sales network. It maintains a high cash dividend policy, with cumulative dividends exceeding the total amount raised during its IPO, thereby boosting investor confidence [7][8] Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.16 billion, 2.46 billion, and 2.87 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.28, 1.45, and 1.72 yuan for the same years, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 37.0, 32.7, and 27.4 times [9][11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][8] Core Insights - The company is experiencing growth driven by emerging businesses and globalization, with overseas revenue contributing significantly to overall performance [4][6] - Continuous investment in R&D is enhancing the company's technological barriers and product iterations, positioning it as a leader in the electric heating components sector [5] - The company has established strong customer relationships and a solid supply chain, which enhances its resilience against market risks [6] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of 20.98 billion, 23.13 billion, and 25.26 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.81, 0.93, and 1.04 yuan [7][10] - The projected growth rates for revenue are 9.0% in 2025, 10.3% in 2026, and 9.2% in 2027 [10] Market Position - The company has a strong presence in overseas markets, with over 50% of its revenue coming from international operations, particularly in Europe, the Americas, and Asia [4] - The company is focusing on high-growth markets in Latin America and Southeast Asia, with significant increases in exports of heat pumps and electric heating components for electric vehicles [4] R&D and Innovation - R&D expenses for the first half of 2025 were 53.98 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.20%, indicating a commitment to technological innovation [5] - The company has successfully expanded the application of its thick-film electric heating components into the electric vehicle thermal management systems, showcasing its adaptability to market trends [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the media industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the significant growth potential of the AI sector, particularly through the case of Zhipu, which is set to submit its IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The revenue projections for Zhipu from 2022 to 2024 show a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 130%, with revenues expected to reach 3.12 billion RMB by 2024 [4] - The report emphasizes the strategic partnerships and collaborations within the media industry, particularly between Zhipu and Huace Film & TV, which aims to leverage AI for content generation and review processes [6][8] - The report outlines the expected growth of the Chinese large language model market, predicting it will reach 101.1 billion RMB by 2030, driven primarily by institutional clients [4] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The media sector has shown mixed performance over different time frames, with a 1-month performance of 0.3%, a 3-month decline of 6.7%, and a 12-month increase of 11.9% compared to the CSI 300 index [1] Financial Projections - Zhipu's revenue forecasts indicate a growth trajectory from 0.57 billion RMB in 2022 to 3.12 billion RMB in 2024, while net profits are projected to be negative due to high R&D and computing costs [4] - The gross margin for Zhipu is expected to fluctuate, with estimates of 54.6% in 2022, 64.6% in 2023, and 56.3% in 2024, reflecting the company's focus on high-value services [4] Strategic Partnerships - Huace Film & TV has invested 100 million RMB in Zhipu and is collaborating on AI-driven content generation and review systems, aiming to set industry standards [6][8] - The partnership is expected to enhance Zhipu's brand influence and technological capabilities within the media sector [8] Market Outlook - The report anticipates that the IPO of Zhipu will catalyze a new phase of capital investment in the AI large model sector, potentially accelerating commercialization across the industry [10] - The report also notes that the growth of Zhipu could serve as a benchmark for other emerging AI companies in China [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the media industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this sector [10]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the concept of "Reward Economy," which is seen as a strategic initiative to expand domestic demand. The media industry, with its dual attributes of technology and consumption, is positioned to leverage this trend to stimulate curiosity-driven and emotional consumption [3][4]. - The cinema sector is expected to benefit from increased consumer spending on experiences, particularly during festive seasons, with a lineup of both domestic and international films anticipated to boost box office attendance [4]. - The IP derivatives market in China is projected to grow significantly, with the market size expected to increase from 174.2 billion yuan in 2024 to 335.7 billion yuan by 2029, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14% [4][8]. Summary by Sections Media Industry Performance - The media sector has shown a relative performance of -1.1% over the past month, -8.0% over three months, and a positive 10.4% over the past year compared to the CSI 300 index [1]. Consumer Behavior Trends - Changes in population structure are influencing consumer behavior, shifting focus from mere material acquisition to a holistic enhancement of life quality, including spiritual and emotional satisfaction [3]. - The "Reward Economy" reflects a growing demand for meaningful consumption, where purchases are driven by emotional significance rather than just functional needs [3]. Cinema and Experience Economy - The cinema sector is highlighted as a key player in the experience economy, with strategic investments in IP and social consumption aimed at attracting younger audiences [4]. - Notable companies like Wanda Film and Shanghai Film are adapting their business models to focus on IP-driven ecosystems that resonate emotionally with consumers [4][8]. IP and AI Integration - The report identifies a growing market for IP-related products, including toys and trading cards, with significant growth expected in the coming years. The IP toy market is projected to grow from 75.6 billion yuan in 2024 to 167.5 billion yuan by 2029, with a CAGR of 17.2% [4][8]. - AI-enhanced products, such as AI toys and smart glasses, are emerging as new consumer choices, further driving engagement in both online and offline experiences [7][8]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on cinema chains (e.g., Wanda Film, Hengdian Film), IP-related products (e.g., Mango Super Media, Aofei Entertainment), and new experience-driven exhibitions (e.g., Oriental Pearl, Bilibili) as potential investment targets [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company's main business in construction machinery, including excavators and loaders, has seen significant growth, with excavator revenue increasing by 25.1% year-on-year and net profit rising over 90% in the first half of 2025 [3][4] - Emerging businesses, such as aerial work platforms and mining machinery, are also experiencing rapid growth, with aerial work platform sales and profits more than doubling [3][4] - The company's "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines a clear long-term development strategy, aiming for revenue of no less than 60 billion yuan by 2030, with international revenue accounting for at least 60% [5][8] Business Structure Optimization - The main business and emerging sectors are working in synergy, with the construction machinery sector leading the way [3] - The company has achieved a market share increase of 1.6 percentage points in excavators, with overseas sales growing by 22.1% [3][4] Globalization and Overseas Growth - The company is transitioning from a sales network layout to localized operations, with overseas revenue becoming a core support against domestic industry fluctuations [4] - Revenue from emerging markets has grown over 20% in the first three quarters of 2025, with a significant increase in overseas gross margins [4] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 348.63 billion yuan, 396.57 billion yuan, and 444.50 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.77, 1.06, and 1.34 yuan [8][10] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 16.3, 11.9, and 9.4 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating growth potential [8][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [2][7] Core Insights - The company has shown continuous growth supported by a robust order backlog, with a revenue of 55.52 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.03%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.966 billion yuan, up 13.02% year-on-year. New effective orders amounted to 88.583 billion yuan, a 9.0% increase year-on-year [5][6] - The demand for gas turbines is surging, particularly in the U.S., driven by the rapid growth of AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) needs. The company has successfully entered overseas markets with its self-developed G50 heavy-duty gas turbine, marking a significant milestone with an order for a 50 MW combined cycle power project in Kazakhstan [6] - Revenue forecasts for the company are projected at 81.2 billion yuan in 2025, 88.3 billion yuan in 2026, and 89.6 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 1.15, 1.37, and 1.52 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 19.6, 16.5, and 14.8 for the respective years [7][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 55.52 billion yuan, a 16.03% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.966 billion yuan, up 13.02% year-on-year. The order backlog includes 88.583 billion yuan in new effective orders, with significant contributions from clean energy equipment and renewable energy orders [5][6] Market Opportunities - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for gas turbines, particularly in the U.S. market, where major tech companies are increasingly adopting gas turbines as primary or backup power sources for new data centers. The company has made significant strides in international markets, achieving its first complete gas turbine export [6] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to see revenues of 81.24 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 16.6%, and further growth in subsequent years. The projected EPS for 2025 is 1.15 yuan, with a PE ratio of 19.6, indicating a favorable valuation relative to expected earnings growth [7][9]

2025 年 12 月 19 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：47 分（中性） 3、券商主题：12 月 6 日，证监会主席吴清在证券业协会会 员大会致辞，提出"将着力强化分类监管、"扶优限劣"。 对优质机构适当"松绑"，进一步优化风控指标，适度打开 资本空间和杠杆限制，提升资本利用效率"。证券行业要摒 弃简单的拼规模、比增速、争排名把重心聚焦到高质量发 展，中小机构加快从同质化经营向差异化发展转变，一流机 构不仅是规模大还需专业强、服务优等内容。相关标的：中 信证券（600030）、国泰海通（601211） ▌ 风险提示 最近一年大盘走势 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 (%) 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（中性） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 47 分，市场情绪处于"中性"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：液冷、银行、券商 1、液冷主题：第五届国际 AIDC 液冷产业链千人大会暨全球 数据 ...