2026 年 01 月 26 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：73 分（较热） 最近一年大盘走势 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (%) 沪深300 相关研究 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（较热） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 73 分，市场情绪处于"较热"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：商业航天、银行、消费 1、商业航天主题：埃隆·马斯克正积极推进 SpaceX 的 IPO 计划，目标在今年 7 月前完成。作为行业标杆，其上市预期 极大地提振了全球市场对整个商业航天赛道的关注与信心。 另外，低轨轨道和频谱资源遵循"先占先得"的国际规则。 数据显示，可用轨位空间已十分紧张，中国已申请超 20 万颗 卫星的轨道频率，这直接倒逼各国加快卫星制造与发射节奏 以抢占资源，是行情核心驱动力。相关标的：中国卫星 （600118）、航天电子（600879） 2、银行主题：银行股具有高股息特性，如中证银行指数的股 息率高达 6. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the media industry, highlighting its strong performance relative to the market [1][9]. Core Insights - The first quarter of 2026 is expected to benefit from the Spring Festival and the AI Spring Festival Gala, with diverse film offerings catering to various audience preferences. The integration of AI in cinema operations and new interactive experiences is anticipated to explore new commercial boundaries [3][4][15]. - The AI Spring Festival Gala is expected to reignite interest in AI applications and competition for new traffic entry points, with various AI-driven apps emerging to enhance digital marketing and e-commerce [3][4][16][17]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing transformation in the media landscape driven by technological advancements, particularly in AI, which is expected to create new business models and content production paradigms [3][4][16]. Industry Overview - The media industry has shown strong performance, with a 50.7% increase over the past 12 months compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which only increased by 22.7% [1]. - The report notes that the film market is set to feature four major films for the Spring Festival, with themes ranging from national security to family-friendly animation, indicating a diverse content supply [15]. - The gaming sector is experiencing growth, with the market for legendary games projected to exceed 400 billion yuan in 2026, driven by technological advancements and the proliferation of mini-games [23][24]. Recommended Stocks and Rationale - The report recommends several stocks, including Wanda Film (002739), Mango Super Media (300413), and BlueFocus Communication Group (300058), citing their strong positions in the industry and potential for growth [4][9]. - Specific companies are highlighted for their innovative approaches, such as Wanda Film's integration of AI in its operations and the development of new interactive entertainment experiences [15][16]. - The report also mentions the potential of companies like Bilibili (9626.HK) and Tencent (0700.HK) to leverage AI technologies in their marketing strategies [4][9].

2026 年 01 月 25 日 正极材料不断突破，镍钴自供能力强化 —格林美（002340.SZ）公司动态研究报告 买入(首次) 投资要点 分析师：黎江涛 S1050521120002 lijt@cfsc.com.cn | 基本数据 | 2026-0 1-2 3 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 9.66 | | 总市值（亿元） | 493 | | 总股本（百万股） | 5103 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 5073 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 5.85-9.66 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 1094.59 | ▌ 三元材料受益于需求结构化升级，技术持续突破 伴随 eVOTL、人形机器人、穿戴式 AI 设备的兴起与固态电池 的产业化实践，全球高镍及超高镍三元前驱体出货量占比提 升，公司三元材料业务有望受益。2025 年前三季度，公司镍 钴前驱体出货 12 万余吨，正极材料实现出货 1.7 万余吨。公 司在高端前驱体方面持续突破，超致密高镍及超高镍前驱体 已通过量产认证并实现数十吨级出货，固态电池用富锂锰基 前驱体进入吨级验证阶段。2025 年 7 月，公司全球首款超高 ...

2026 年 01 月 25 日 地方债发行提速，关注风格切换——资产配置周 报 —固定收益周报 投资要点 ▌ 一、国家资产负债表分析 负债端。最新更新的数据显示，2025 年 12 月实体部门负债 增速录得 8.4%，前值 8.6%，符合预期。预计 2026 年 1 月实 体部门负债增速继续下降至 8.3%附近。金融部门方面，上周 资金面边际上略有收敛，符合预期。本周地方债发行节奏似 乎有所加快，若能在 2 月持续，可带动实体部门负债增速在 2 月出现轻微反弹，但 2 月资金面边际上进一步松弛概率有 限。合并来看，2 月底之前我们对权益市场持乐观看法，关 注后续风格能否由目前的成长持续占优逐步向均衡、甚至价 值占优方向转化；而若上述情景发生，2 月债市调整风险有 所上升。2025 年 12 月 24 日，央行发布四季度例会通稿，明 确指出，"使社会融资规模、货币供应量增长同经济增长、 价格总水平预期目标相匹配"，这表明稳定宏观杠杆率的大 方向仍然没有动摇，等待 2026 年两会给出定量财政目标。 财政政策。上周合计政府债（包括国债和地方债）净增加 6214 亿元（高于计划的净增加 5075 亿元），按计划下 ...

买入(首次) 投资要点 分析师：黎江涛 S1050521120002 lijt@cfsc.com.cn 2026 年 01 月 25 日 正极材料不断突破，镍钴自供能力强化 —格林美（002340.SZ）公司动态研究报告 | 基本数据 | 2026-0 1-2 3 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 9.66 | | 总市值（亿元） | 493 | | 总股本（百万股） | 5103 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 5073 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 5.85-9.66 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 1094.59 | 市场表现 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 25/01 25/02 25/03 25/04 25/05 25/06 25/07 25/08 25/09 25/10 25/11 25/12 26/01 (%) 格林美 沪深300 相关研究 ▌ 三元材料受益于需求结构化升级，技术持续突破 伴随 eVOTL、人形机器人、穿戴式 AI 设备的兴起与固态电池 的产业化实践，全球高镍及超高镍三元前驱体出货量占比提 升，公司 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the media industry, highlighting strong performance compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 indices [1][9]. Core Insights - The first quarter of 2026 is expected to benefit from the Spring Festival and the AI Spring Festival Gala, with diverse film offerings catering to various audience preferences. The cinema industry is actively embracing AI and exploring new commercial boundaries [3][15]. - The AI Spring Festival Gala is anticipated to reignite interest in AI applications and competition for new traffic entry points, with various AI-driven apps emerging to enhance digital marketing and e-commerce [3][16][17]. - The report emphasizes the importance of quality content in driving audience demand amidst increasing competition from other entertainment options, suggesting that cinema operators must innovate to maintain competitiveness [15]. Industry Overview - The media industry has shown significant growth, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index reflecting varying performance levels [14]. - The report notes that the film industry in China is projected to generate substantial revenue, with the total industry output expected to exceed 8,172.59 billion yuan in 2025, indicating a robust market [28]. Recommended Stocks and Rationale - Key stocks to watch include: - Wanda Film (002739): Leading cinema chain participating in the Spring Festival lineup [4]. - Mango Super Media (300413): Benefiting from historical drama series [4]. - BlueFocus Communication Group (300058): Innovating in AI-driven marketing [4]. - Shanghai Film (601595): Engaging in AI collaborations to enhance content creation [4]. - The report suggests that these companies are well-positioned to leverage AI advancements and capitalize on the upcoming Spring Festival [4][9].

2026 年 01 月 23 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：72 分（较热） 最近一年大盘走势 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (%) 沪深300 相关研究 | 1、《双融日报》2026-01-22 | | --- | | 2、《双融日报》2026-01-21 | | 3、《双融日报》2026-01-20 | ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（较热） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 72 分，市场情绪处于"较热"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：商业航天、银行、消费 1、商业航天主题：埃隆·马斯克正积极推进 SpaceX 的 IPO 计划，目标在今年 7 月前完成。作为行业标杆，其上市预期 极大地提振了全球市场对整个商业航天赛道的关注与信心。 另外，低轨轨道和频谱资源遵循"先占先得"的国际规则。 数据显示，可用轨位空间已十分紧张，中国已申请超 20 万颗 卫星的轨道频率，这直接倒逼各国加快卫星制造与发射节奏 以抢占资源 ...

2026 年 01 月 22 日 双融日报 1、机器人主题：1 月 17 日，中央广播电视总台《2026 年春 节联欢晚会》顺利完成首次彩排。据介绍，马年春晚是"科 技+艺术"的再升级，将"科技智造"融入舞美呈现、内容创 作等，丰富人们对年味的缤纷想象。继蛇年春晚扭秧歌的智 能机器人跻身"顶流"后，机器人将再度登上春晚舞台，用 科技范和新鲜感的创意火花彰显我国科技进步的新气象。相 关标的：三花智控（002050）、卧龙电驱（600580） --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：76 分（较热） 最近一年大盘走势 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (%) 沪深300 相关研究 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（较热） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 76 分，市场情绪处于"较热"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：机器人、银行、零售 2、银行主题：银行股具有高股息特性，如中证银行指数的股 息率高达 6.02%，显著高于 10 年期国债收益率。在经 ...

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating to "Buy" [9] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 10 billion to 12 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 49% to 79%, and a net profit of 850 million to 1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 427% to 520% [4] - The company has established a differentiated competitive advantage through "storage + wafer-level advanced packaging" and is experiencing significant improvements in operational performance due to stabilizing storage prices [5][6] - The AI sector is driving rapid growth, with a comprehensive embedded storage matrix developed for various applications, including AI smartphones and AR glasses [7] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company's stock price has shown a significant increase, with a current price of 190.36 yuan and a market capitalization of 88.9 billion yuan [1] Investment Highlights - Storage prices have stabilized and improved, leading to a notable enhancement in operational performance [5] - The company is one of the earliest to integrate packaging and testing, enhancing its competitive edge in the industry [6] - The company has developed a comprehensive storage matrix for AI applications, indicating strong growth potential in emerging sectors [7] Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 110.55 billion, 165.06 billion, and 200.44 billion yuan, respectively, with EPS of 1.92, 4.16, and 5.23 yuan [9][11]

- The report suggests a "barbell combination" of major assets, focusing on dollar depreciation, China-US AI competition, and re-inflation of resource commodities[5] - The A-share market is expected to reach new heights in 2026, driven by macro policies and a shift from valuation-driven to profit-driven growth[5] - The report recommends continuing to allocate to AI competition and re-inflation resource commodities as core strategies[5] - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index both showed significant recovery, with the Hang Seng Index up 3.64% and the Hang Seng Technology Index up 3.38%[10] - The US stock market saw all three major indices record gains, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 2.03%, the S&P 500 up 1.71%, and the Nasdaq up 1.44%[10] - The report highlights the importance of the "spring agitation" phenomenon in the stock market, which typically occurs from January to March, driven by policy expectations, seasonal liquidity changes, and institutional rebalancing[65] - The report's rotation strategy model, which selects effective signals from single-factor tests, achieved an annualized return of +18.04%, with an excess annualized return of +11.86% compared to the performance benchmark[55] - The report suggests a 40:60 allocation between dividends and growth based on the current composite score[55] - The report indicates that small-cap stocks have a higher probability of outperforming in February and March, while large-cap stocks are favored in January and October[58][61] - The report identifies "technology growth" and "non-ferrous cycles" as the main market opportunities, with a focus on AI, energy storage, and industrial metals such as copper, aluminum, tin, rare earths, and lithium[69]