研究所： 证券分析师： 程一胜 S0350521070001 chengys01@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 王思言 S0350524010001 wangsy02@ghzq.com.cn 投资要点: | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 佩蒂股份 | -2.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | | 沪深 300 | 3.1% | 13.4% | 18.4% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/10/28 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 17.04 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | | | 12.30-21.09 | | 总市值（百万） | | | 4,240.07 | | 流通市值（百万） | | | 2,760.24 | | 总股本（万股） | | | 24,883.03 | | 流通股本（万股） | | | 16,198.58 | | 日均成交额（百万） | | | 120.30 | | 近一月换手（%） | | | 5.16 | 2025 年 10 月 29 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) ——佩蒂股份（300673 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jianghan New Materials [1][10][13] Core Views - The decline in silane prices has negatively impacted the company's performance, but there are signs that prices may have bottomed out, which could benefit the company in the long term [5][9][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.425 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 322 million yuan, down 29.50% year-on-year [5][6] - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 480 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 9.40%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.89%. The net profit for the same period was 112 million yuan, down 22.85% year-on-year and down 1.63% quarter-on-quarter [5][6] Sales and Margins - The average selling price of functional silane in Q3 2025 was 15,229 yuan per ton, a decrease of 2,255 yuan per ton year-on-year and a decrease of 658 yuan per ton quarter-on-quarter. The sales volume increased to 31,200 tons, up 2,080 tons year-on-year and up 3,125 tons quarter-on-quarter [7][9] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 29.29%, down 5.46 percentage points year-on-year and down 1.14 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [8][10] Future Outlook - The report forecasts the company's revenue for 2025-2027 to be 1.95 billion, 2.564 billion, and 3.184 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 418 million, 571 million, and 719 million yuan, respectively. The corresponding P/E ratios are projected to be 23, 17, and 13 times [10][12] - The report suggests that the functional silane industry may be recovering, as prices have recently increased from their lows, which could benefit Jianghan New Materials as a leading player in the sector [9][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights the company's plan to increase its stake in Yinkeng Mining to 70.65%, indicating confidence in the company's future growth [10][11] - The company has faced a decline in revenue and profit due to falling product prices, but there are signs that the price of soda ash may have bottomed out [8][9] - The Alashan Phase II project is progressing smoothly, which is expected to enhance the company's long-term growth potential [11][13] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 8.656 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.062 billion yuan, down 41% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 17.9%, a decrease of 8.1 percentage points [6][7] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.740 billion yuan, a decrease of 17% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter [7] - The average price of soda ash in Q3 2025 was 1,143 yuan/ton, down 28% year-on-year and 9% quarter-on-quarter [8] Market and Industry Insights - The report notes that the soda ash market is currently experiencing oversupply, with many companies in the industry facing losses [9] - The demand for float glass and photovoltaic glass has decreased, but prices are showing signs of recovery due to policy support [9] - The company is positioned as a leader in the soda ash industry with low-cost advantages, supported by the completion of Phase I of the Alashan project and the initiation of Phase II [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][6][8] Core Insights - The company has shown a significant improvement in its financial performance, with Q3 2025 revenue reaching 522 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 15.9%, and a net profit of 4 million yuan compared to a loss of 71 million yuan in Q3 2024 [4][5] - The growth in revenue and profit is attributed to a strong recovery in the film market and effective cost control measures [4][5] - The company is actively exploring diversified cinema consumption scenarios and has implemented targeted marketing strategies for specific events and holidays [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - Q3 2025 revenue: 522 million yuan (YOY +15.9%); net profit: 4 million yuan (compared to -71 million yuan in Q3 2024) [4][5] - Q3 2025 gross margin: 7.55% (compared to -8.42% in Q3 2024); net margin: 0.74% (compared to -15.78% in Q3 2024) [4][5] - The company’s box office revenue for its direct cinema operations was 419 million yuan in Q3 2025, with a market share of 3.68% [5] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 2.392 billion yuan, 2.574 billion yuan, and 2.794 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 248 million yuan, 315 million yuan, and 404 million yuan [7][8] - The company is increasing its investment in short films while being more cautious with film production [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Wuxi Bank [1][16]. Core Views - Wuxi Bank's revenue and net profit growth rates are steadily improving, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 3.87% and a net profit growth of 3.78% for the first three quarters of 2025, showing an increase compared to the first half of 2025 [5]. - The bank's loan and deposit growth rates are both above 10%, with a significant increase in corporate loans, which doubled compared to the same period in 2024 [5]. - The non-performing loan ratio remains stable at 0.78%, with a slight increase in the provision coverage ratio to 427.87% [5]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In Q3 2025, Wuxi Bank's revenue grew by 4.9% year-on-year, and net profit increased by 4.6%, both showing improvements from Q2 2025 [5]. - The bank's total market capitalization is approximately 13,475.35 million yuan, with a current share price of 6.14 yuan [4]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 51 billion, 55 billion, and 59 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 8.47%, 7.01%, and 8.36% respectively [5]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 24 billion, 25 billion, and 27 billion yuan, with growth rates of 5.52%, 6.39%, and 6.54% respectively [5]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a P/E ratio forecast of 5.92 for 2025, decreasing to 5.19 by 2027, and a P/B ratio forecast of 0.58 for 2025, decreasing to 0.48 by 2027 [6][16]. - The bank's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.04, 1.11, and 1.18 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][16].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the agricultural chemical industry is experiencing a recovery, with companies like Guangxin Co., Ltd. showing a year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3 2025 despite a decline in revenue [3][5][6] - Guangxin Co., Ltd. reported Q3 2025 revenue of 7.73 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 35.73%, but net profit increased by 4.85% year-on-year to 1.70 billion yuan due to effective cost control [4][5] - The company’s main agricultural raw materials saw significant price declines, positively impacting its performance, with prices for key materials like dichlorobenzene and methanol dropping by 13.15% and 5.09% respectively [6][7] Group 2 - Huaxia Bank reported a year-on-year increase in net profit of 7.62% for Q3 2025, driven by improved cost and risk management, despite a decline in revenue for the first nine months [12][13] - The bank's net interest margin slightly increased to 1.55%, and its non-performing loan ratio improved to 1.58%, indicating stable asset quality [14][15] - The bank's total assets reached 4.59 trillion yuan, with a deposit growth of 11.0%, providing a stable funding source for business development [13][14] Group 3 - Tesla's Q3 2025 report showed total revenue of 28.1 billion USD, a 12% year-on-year increase, driven by a 7% rise in global electric vehicle deliveries [17][18] - The company's net profit decreased by 37% year-on-year to 1.37 billion USD, primarily due to increased operational costs and R&D expenditures [17][18] - Several automakers have introduced cross-year tax subsidy plans to stimulate demand, indicating a competitive market environment [18][19] Group 4 - Zhenhua Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 32.17 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.5%, with net profit rising by 12.6% [21][22] - The company experienced seasonal demand fluctuations in Q3 2025, but signs of recovery in demand were noted, particularly in the metal chromium market [23][24] - The average selling price of chromium products showed a slight decline, but the company is positioned to benefit from a projected increase in global chromium salt demand [27][28] Group 5 - Guoguang Co., Ltd. achieved a revenue of 15.23 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a 6.09% year-on-year growth, with net profit increasing by 3.06% [28][29] - The company’s successful promotion of comprehensive crop solutions contributed to its revenue growth, despite a decline in Q3 revenue compared to the previous quarter [30][31] - Guoguang Co., Ltd. plans to maintain a high dividend payout ratio, emphasizing shareholder returns while continuing to invest in production capacity [33] Group 6 - Chongqing Bank reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, with total assets surpassing 1 trillion yuan, indicating strong growth momentum [34][36] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.14%, reflecting stable asset quality and effective risk management [37] - The bank's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 117.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.40%, with net profit rising by 10.19% [35][36] Group 7 - Action Education reported a revenue of 2.22 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 27.93%, with net profit rising by 42.78% [38][39] - The company’s improved profitability is attributed to a higher proportion of high-margin management training courses [39][40] - Action Education plans to distribute dividends, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns while focusing on growth [40] Group 8 - Southern Media reported a revenue of 23.11 billion yuan for Q3 2025, with a net profit increase of 73.72% year-on-year, driven by an optimized revenue structure [42][43] - The company’s gross profit margin improved to 37.5%, indicating effective cost management and a shift away from low-margin businesses [43][44] - Southern Media's cash reserves at the end of Q3 2025 totaled 3.349 billion yuan, providing a solid financial foundation for future operations [44] Group 9 - Yunjigroup reported a revenue of 12.32 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit growth of 27.35%, indicating strong operational performance [46] - The company is positioned for long-term growth, supported by a favorable market environment and effective management strategies [46]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The resumption of Treasury bond trading by the central bank has short - term emotional boosting effects on the bond market, but its signaling significance may be greater than the substantial impact. The medium - to - long - term trend of the bond market still awaits the substantial implementation of key policies such as the reform of fund redemption fees and the overall downward shift of the interest rate center brought about by reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts. The central bank may also adjust its operation intensity and rhythm according to the downward rhythm of market interest rates [5][14]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Why the Resumption? - In January 2025, the central bank suspended Treasury bond trading due to the rapid decline of bond market interest rates (the 10Y Treasury bond yield dropped from 2.14% in early November 2024 to 1.63% at the end of January 2025 and once hit a historical low below 1.6%) and the pressure on the RMB exchange rate (the USD/CNY exchange rate once rose above 7.3). The central bank aimed to suppress excessive speculation in the bond market and maintain exchange rate stability [12]. - The reasons for the resumption at the current time include: the bond market has returned to a relatively high level (the 10Y Treasury bond fluctuates in the range of 1.8% - 1.9%); the need to inject liquidity into the market (only one reserve requirement ratio cut this year and year - end seasonal pressure); some short - term bonds bought by the central bank last year may mature this year; and the need to hedge potential supply pressure from policies such as "pre - allocating part of the new local government debt quota for 2026" and "accelerating the implementation of policy - based financial instruments" [13]. Impact on the Bond Market - In terms of the purchase term, the central bank may continue the "buy - short" mode and the necessity of "sell - long" has decreased. Since June, large banks have continuously increased their holdings of short - term interest - rate bonds, which may be preparing for the central bank's operation. Currently, the 10Y Treasury bond yield is at a relatively reasonable level, so the central bank's need to "sell - long" to regulate yields has declined. The bond - buying behavior of large banks can be tracked to judge the central bank's operation [14]. - Although the resumption of Treasury bond trading has boosted market sentiment in the short term (the yield of the active 10Y Treasury bond dropped by 5BP on October 27), this emotional impact may be short - lived and difficult to fundamentally change the bond market's operation logic [14].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's profitability is under pressure due to high raw material costs, but there is a trend of marginal improvement [6] - The company has shown a notable performance in new sales channels, particularly in membership and bulk stores, contributing to revenue growth despite overall revenue decline [6] - The company is a leading player in the leisure snack industry in China, with significant market share in the seed industry and growth potential in the nut segment [6] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 45.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.68 billion yuan, down 73.17% year-on-year [4] - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 17.49 billion yuan, a decline of 5.91% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.79 billion yuan, down 72.58% year-on-year [4] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 24.52%, a decrease of 8.59 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to high prices of sunflower seeds and nuts [6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 68.50 billion yuan, 73.43 billion yuan, and 77.75 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -4%, +7%, and +6% respectively [6] - The net profit forecasts for the same period are 3.20 billion yuan, 6.98 billion yuan, and 8.17 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -62%, +118%, and +17% respectively [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates are 0.63 yuan, 1.38 yuan, and 1.61 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company's Q3 2025 performance shows a sequential improvement, with sufficient cash reserves and continued debt reduction [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 9.325 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.99%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.277 billion yuan, down 40.65% year-on-year [5][6] - The company has a strong cash position with 13.942 billion yuan in cash as of the end of Q3 2025, and a significant reduction in the debt-to-asset ratio by 8.88 percentage points to 21.17% [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.360 billion yuan, a sequential decrease of 5.12%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 401 million yuan, an increase of 10.08% sequentially [5] - The company’s coal production for the first three quarters was 26.1851 million tons, up 1.52% year-on-year, while the sales volume of commercial coal was 20.8564 million tons, down 5.50% year-on-year [6] - The average selling price of coal was 422.84 yuan per ton, a decrease of 14.44% year-on-year, while the cost per ton was 262.22 yuan, a slight increase of 0.14% year-on-year [6] Cost Management - The company has effectively managed its costs, with a significant reduction in management expenses by 22.35% year-on-year and financial expenses decreasing by 144.70% year-on-year [7] - The gross profit per ton of coal has declined by 30.87% year-on-year to 160.62 yuan [6] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 12.244 billion yuan, 12.840 billion yuan, and 13.465 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 1.908 billion yuan, 2.141 billion yuan, and 2.391 billion yuan [9][10] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.14 yuan, 1.28 yuan, and 1.43 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a significant year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3 2025, with a revenue of 1.232 billion yuan, representing a 41.99% growth, and a net profit of 107 million yuan, up 27.35% year-on-year [4][6] - The company’s Q3 revenue reached 352 million yuan, a 27.97% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 34 million yuan, reflecting a 45.71% growth [6] - The company is investing in a partnership with a professional investment institution to enhance project and industry resource integration, committing up to 1 billion yuan in a total investment of 9.5 billion yuan [6] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 30.74%, slightly down by 0.19 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 8.99%, down by 0.72 percentage points [6] - The company’s order acquisition capability is highlighted, with substantial overseas expansion and a strong order backlog expected to support stable growth over the next two years [6] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.44 billion yuan, 3.49 billion yuan, and 4.68 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 236 million yuan, 377 million yuan, and 585 million yuan [8][9] - The expected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 27, 17, and 11 respectively [6][9] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 7% in 2024 to 20% in 2027 [9]