2025 年 04 月 29 日 晨会纪要 研究所： 证券分析师： 余春生 S0350513090001 yucs@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 晨会纪要 ——2025 年第 72 期 观点精粹: 最新报告摘要 铝行业周报：关税压力缓和，政策定调积极--行业 PPT 报告 2025Q1 营收同比+41%，IDC 项目持续交付--奥飞数据/通信服务(300738/217301) 公司点评 金属铬、聚合 MDI、烯草酮价格上涨，重视铬盐大周期--行业周报 供需阶段性错配公司业绩承压，深入布局下游高附加值产品矩阵--合盛硅业/化学制品(603260/212203) 公司 点评 一季度业绩同比大幅提升，矿建加速推进--亚钾国际/农化制品(000893/212208) 公司点评 500kV 订单持续落地，盈利能力有望提升--东方电缆/电网设备(603606/216308) 公司点评 Q1 业绩超市场预期，盈利能力大幅回升--新强联/风电设备(300850/216306) 公司点评 2024 年煤电产销量均同比提升，2025Q1 业绩有韧性--陕西煤业/煤炭开采(601225/217401) 公司点 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10][11] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in revenue and profit, with a 29.98% year-on-year increase in revenue for 2024 and a 232.31% increase in net profit for Q1 2025 [5][10] - The company is expanding its fleet and opening new routes, which is driving growth in flight volume and improving fleet utilization [6][10] - The company is expected to continue its revenue growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 76.04 billion, 86.64 billion, and 94.42 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 14%, 14%, and 9% [9][10] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 6.696 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.98%, and a net profit of 268 million, compared to a loss of 965 million in the same period of 2023 [5] - For Q1 2025, the company reported an operating income of 1.774 billion, a 9.78% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 82 million, a 232.31% increase year-on-year [5] Fleet and Operations - The company expanded its fleet to 75 aircraft in 2024 and further to 77 in Q1 2025, with a focus on new route openings and increased flight frequency [6] - The available seat kilometers (ASK) grew by 33.21% in 2024 and 23.73% in Q1 2025, while the revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) increased by 40.72% and 28.08% respectively [6] Revenue and Cost Analysis - In 2024, the company's seat kilometer revenue was 0.433 yuan, a decrease of 2.4%, while other revenue per seat kilometer increased by 83.8% [7] - The operating cost per seat kilometer decreased by 10.4% in 2024, with significant reductions in fuel costs [8] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 701 million, 1.122 billion, and 1.388 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 161%, 60%, and 24% [10] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 36.88 in 2024 to 6.86 by 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [10][11]

[Table_Title] 机构行为每周跟踪 债券研究周报 最近一年走势 机构资金跟踪 本周（4 月 21 日-4 月 25 日）流动性有所放松。R007 收于 1.66%， 较上周减少 5BP，DR007 收于 1.64%，较上周减少 6BP。6 个月国 股转贴利率收于 1.16%，较上周增加 8BP。 机构行为量化指标 久期方面，本周绩优利率债基金久期较上周增加 0.11；"资产荒" 指数有所上行；杠杆方面，全市场杠杆率较上周减少 0.1 个百分点， 收于 106.8%；理财市场方面，本周全市场产品破净率较上周有所下 行，为 2.3%。 研究所： | 证券分析师： | 靳毅 S0350517100001 | | --- | --- | | | jiny01@ghzq.com.cn | 2025 年 04 月 28 日 债券研究周报 jiny01@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 刘畅 S0350524090005 liuc06@ghzq.com.cn 风险提示 相关结论主要基于过往数据计算所得，不能完全预测 未来；报告采用的样本数据有限，存在样本不足以代表整体市场的 风险，且数据处理统计方式可能存在误 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has seen a steady increase in submarine cable orders, while the land cable business remains stable [1] - The company reported a revenue of 22.764 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 2.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 136 million yuan, down 68% year-on-year [4] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.124 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 14.1%, with a net profit of 70 million yuan, down 17.7% year-on-year [4] - The company’s gross margin improved to 7.3% in Q1 2025, up 0.7 percentage points year-on-year and 4.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5] - The company has secured approximately 1.4 billion yuan in submarine cable orders in 2024, a significant increase of 563% year-on-year [5] - The company is expected to deliver submarine cable orders worth 1.2 billion yuan in 2025, contributing a net profit of 140 million yuan [5] Financial Summary - The company’s revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 24.073 billion yuan, 24.857 billion yuan, and 25.614 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 480 million yuan, 601 million yuan, and 724 million yuan [5][7] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 12.49x, 9.96x, and 8.28x respectively [5][7] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 3% in 2024 to 12% by 2027 [8]

2025 年 04 月 28 日 公司研究 评级：增持(维持) | 研究所： | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | | 刘洁铭 S0350521110006 | | | | liujm@ghzq.com.cn | | 证券分析师： | | 秦一方 S0350523120001 | | | | qinyf@ghzq.com.cn | | 联系人 | ： | 黄诗汶 S0350124040004 | | | | huangsw01@ghzq.com.cn | [Table_Title] 强化核心业务优势，利润率改善持续兑现 ——新乳业（002946）2024 年报和 2025 年一季 报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/04/28 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 新乳业 | 9.0% | 10.8% | 65.2% | | 沪深 300 | -3.4% | -0.9% | 5.5% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/04/28 | | 当前价格（元） | | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][12] Core Views - The company is experiencing a strong growth momentum driven by channel reforms and the release of channel dividends, with significant revenue growth expected [2][11] - The company has successfully turned around its main product, the spicy chicken feet, which had seen a decline for two consecutive years, and is now back to growth [8][11] - The company is leveraging new high-growth channels such as membership stores and snack wholesale systems, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth [11] Financial Performance Summary - For the year 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.182 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.37%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 157 million yuan, up 35.44% [4][5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 383 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.23%, and a net profit of 50 million yuan, up 16.25% [5][9] - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 28.97%, with a slight decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin increased to 13.31%, up 1.29 percentage points [8][9] Product and Channel Analysis - In 2024, the revenue breakdown by product showed significant growth in spicy chicken feet and other flavored meat products, with spicy chicken feet revenue reaching 785 million yuan, up 8.6% year-on-year [8] - The company’s revenue from offline and online channels in 2024 was 1.1 billion yuan and 70 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 17.7% and 204.3% [8] - The company has seen substantial revenue growth in various regions, particularly in East China and South China, with increases of 18.8% and 294.9% respectively [8] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.670 billion yuan in 2025, representing a growth rate of 41%, and a net profit of 220 million yuan, with a growth rate of 40% [10][11] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.37 yuan in 2024 to 0.51 yuan in 2025 [10][12] - The report anticipates continued growth in revenue and profit margins due to the expansion of new channels and the scale effect from increased revenue [11]

2025 年 04 月 28 日 公司研究 评级：增持(首次覆盖) 研究所： 证券分析师： 祝玉波 S0350523120005 zhouyb01@ghzq.com.cn 联系人 ： 史亚州 S0350124060026 shiyz@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 港航物流+新能源双轮驱动，2024 年业绩实现稳 健增长 ——珠海港（000507）2024 年年报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 | 表现 300 | | | | 2025/04/28 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | | 1M | 3M | 12M | | | 珠海港 | | 4.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | | | 沪深 300 | | -3.4% | -0.9% | 5.5% | | | 市场数据 | 2025/04/28 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格（元） | 5.57 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | 4.28-5.98 | | 总市值（百万） | 5,122.92 | | 流通市值（百万） | 5,025.99 | | 总股 ...

2025 年 04 月 28 日 公司研究 评级：买入(首次覆盖) 研究所： 证券分析师： 张钰莹 S0350524100004 zhangyy03@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 多业务共振向上，2025 年有望开启丰收之年 ——骄成超声（688392）2024 年报及 2025 一季 | 相对沪深 | 300 | 表现 | | 2025/04/25 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 骄成超声 | | -4.4% | 27.5% | 5.3% | | 沪深 300 | | -3.7% | -1.2% | 7.3% | | 市场数据 | 2025/04/25 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格（元） | 49.65 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | 27.78-61.50 | | 总市值（百万） | 5,699.82 | | 流通市值（百万） | 3,466.50 | | 总股本（万股） | 11,480.00 | | 流通股本（万股） | 6,981.88 | | 日均成交额（百万） | ...

2025 年 04 月 28 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 《振华股份（603067）及铬盐行业点评之六：金属 铬供需趋紧向铬盐产业链传导，公司全链条布局有 望迎价值重估（买入）*化学原料*李永磊，董伯骏， 陈云》——2025-04-25 《振华股份（603067）2024 年三季报点评：技改 导致 Q3 业绩环比下降，长期业绩趋势向上（买入） *化学原料*李永磊，董伯骏，陈云》——2024-10-31 《振华股份（603067）搬迁项目点评：重庆基地技 事件: 2025 年 4 月 27 日，振华股份发布 2024 年年度报告：2024 年实现营业 收入 40.67 亿元，同比+9.9%；实现归母净利润 4.73 亿元，同比+27.5%； 实现扣非归母净利润 4.82 亿元，同比+26.2%；销售毛利率 25.19%，同 比+0.62 个 pct；销售净利率 11.60%，同比+1.53 个 pct；经营活动现金 流净额为 3.33 亿元。 同日，公司发布 2025 年一季报：2025 年 Q1 单季度，公司实现营业收 入 10.2 亿元，同比+7.6%，环比-5.0%；实现归母净利润 1.17 亿元， ...

2025 年 04 月 28 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) | 研究所： | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | | 陈晨 S0350522110007 | | | | chenc09@ghzq.com.cn | | 联系人 | ： | 张益 S0350124100016 | | | | zhangy33@ghzq.com.cn | chenc09@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 煤炭产销增长显著，公司长期发展前景广阔 ——广汇能源（600256）公司动态研究 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/04/25 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 广汇能源 | -11.3% | -5.5% | -13.8% | | 沪深 300 | -3.7% | -1.2% | 7.3% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/04/25 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 5.72 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | | | 5.39-8.47 | | 总市值（百万） | ...