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汽车行业周报:预计4月新能源渗透率达45%,重卡市场仍处上升通道
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-07 08:00
2024年 05月 05日 强于大市(维持) [证T券a研bl究e报_告In•行d业u研st究r•y汽In车f o] 汽车行业周报(4.29-4.30) 预计 4 月新能源渗透率达 45%,重卡市场仍处上升通道 投资要点 西南证券研究发展中心  行[Ta情bl回e_顾Su:m上m周ar,y] SW汽车板块与上周持平,沪深 300上涨 0.6%。估值上, 分析师:郑连声 截止4月30日收盘,汽车行业PE(TTM)为21倍,较前一周上涨2.2%。 执业证号:S1250522040001 电话:010-57758531  投资建议:乘用车方面,4月,乘联会预测狭义乘用车零售约 160.0万辆,环 邮箱:zlans@swsc.com.cn 比-5.3%,同比-1.5%。其中,新能源零售约72.0万辆,与上月持平,同比+37.1%, 联系人:冯安琪 渗透率预计可达45.0%。近期,商务部、财政部等7部门联合印发《汽车以旧 换新补贴实施细则》,在政策推动下,汽车报废量空间较大,新能源乘用车渗 电话:021-58351905 邮箱:faz@swsc.com.cn 透率有望持续提升。商用车方面,4月重卡销量约8.7万辆, ...
医药行业创新药周报:2024年5月第一周创新药周报
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-07 08:00
[2T0a2b4le年_I0n5du月str0y5In日fo ] 强于大市(维持) 证券研究报告•行业研究•医药生物 医药行业创新药周报(4.29-5.5) 2024 年 5 月第一周创新药周报 A股和港股创新药板块及XBI指数本周走势 西南证券研究发展中心 20 2[T4a年ble5_S月u第mm1a周ry,] 陆港两地创新药板块共计 53个股上涨,9个股下跌。其中 [分Ta析bl师e_:Au杜th向or阳] 涨幅前三为乐普生物-B(+27.18%)、开拓药业-B (+26.04%)、基石药业-B 执业证号:S1250520030002 (+22.22%)。跌幅前三为艾迪药业 (-4.89%)、迈博药业-B (-4.82%)、嘉和生物-B 电话:021-68416017 (-2.34%)。 邮箱:duxy@swsc.com.cn 本周 A 股创新药板块上涨 1.28%,跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.72pp,生物医药上涨 [行Ta业bl相e_对Qu指o数te表Pic现] 1.42%。近 6个月 A股创新药累计下跌2%,跑输沪深 300指数 2.39pp,生物医 药累计下跌12.42%。 1% 医药生物 沪深 ...
23年年报及24年一季报点评:包装龙头经营稳健,Q1业绩增速亮眼
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-07 07:30
[Table_StockInfo] 买入 2024年 05月 04日 (维持) 证券研究报告•23年年报及 24年一季报点评 当前价: 26.75元 裕同科技(002831) 轻工制造 目标价: ——元(6个月) 包装龙头经营稳健,Q1 业绩增速亮眼 投资要点 西南证券研究发展中心 [T ab业le绩_S摘u要mm:公ar司y]发 布2023年年报及2024年一季报,2023年公司实现营收152.2 [分Ta析bl师e_:Au蔡th欣or ] 亿元,同比-7%;实现归母净利润14.4亿元,同比-3.3%;实现扣非净利润14.9 执业证号:S1250517080002 亿元,同比-1.4%。单季度来看,2023Q4公司实现营收44.2亿元,同比+2.1%; 电话:023-67511807 实现归母净利润4.5亿元,同比-3.4%;实现扣非后归母净利润4.6亿元,同比 邮箱:cxin@swsc.com.cn +4.5%。2024Q1公司实现营收 34.8亿元,同比+19.4%;实现归母净利润 2.2 分析师:赵兰亭 亿元,同比+20.6%;实现扣非后归母净利润2.4亿元,同比+54.3%。盈利逐期 执业证号:S ...
盈利能力稳健,关注新国标最后窗口
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-07 07:30
[Table_StockInfo] 买入 2024年 04月 30日 (维持) 证券研究报告•2023年报&2024一季报点评 当前价: 28.76元 天能股份(688819) 电力设备 目标价: ——元(6个月) 盈利能力稳健,关注新国标最后窗口 投资要点 西南证券研究发展中心 [T ab事le件_S:u公m司m发ary布] 2023年报及2024一季报。2023年实现营业收入477.48亿元, 同比+14.00%;实现归母净利润23.05亿元,同比+20.77%。24Q1实现营业收 [分Ta析bl师e_:Au韩th晨or ] 入 93.28亿元,同比-13.24%;实现归母净利润5.02亿元,同比-18.64%。 执业证号:S1250520100002 电话:021-58351923  量:下游两轮车需求强劲,铅续储能规模出货。2023年公司铅酸电池产品收入 444亿元,同比+19%;铅蓄电池出货 125GWh,同比+25%,营业收入、出货 邮箱:hch@swsc.com.cn 量均实现高水平增长。主要系(1)2022年积累的下游需求于23H1集中释放; 分析师:胡泽邦 (2)竞品两轮车锂电池价格高企 ...
2024年5月第一周创新药周报
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-07 07:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the pharmaceutical industry [1]. Core Insights - The innovation drug sector in both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks saw a total of 53 stocks rise and 9 fall during the first week of May 2024, with notable gains from Lepu Biopharma-B (+27.18%), Zai Lab-B (+26.04%), and CStone Pharmaceuticals-B (+22.22) [2][18]. - The A-share innovation drug sector increased by 1.28%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.72 percentage points, while the biopharmaceutical sector rose by 1.42% [19]. - The Hong Kong innovation drug sector rose by 3.7%, underperforming the Hang Seng Index by 0.97 percentage points [21]. - The XBI index in the US increased by 5.25%, with a cumulative increase of 11.84% over the past six months [22]. Summary by Sections Domestic Key Innovation Drug Progress - Five new drugs were approved for market launch in China in May, along with four new indications [3][24]. - The report highlights the approval of several drugs, including Anakinra for non-small cell lung cancer and other treatments for various conditions [33]. Overseas Key Innovation Drug Progress - In the US, one NDA was approved in May, with no BLA approvals reported [27]. - The report notes that Europe and Japan did not have any new drug approvals during the same period [3]. Global Key Innovation Drug Transaction Progress - Four significant transactions occurred globally, including collaborations between Ansai and Poseida Therapeutics for oncology and Evotec for precision cardiology [4]. Market Data - The total market capitalization of the innovation drug sector is approximately 52,549.92 billion yuan, with a TTM P/E ratio of 27.2 compared to the CSI 300's 12.1 [7].
包装龙头经营稳健,Q1业绩增速亮眼
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-07 07:05
[Table_StockInfo] 买入 2024年 05月 04日 (维持) 证券研究报告•23年年报及 24年一季报点评 当前价: 26.75元 裕同科技(002831) 轻工制造 目标价: ——元(6个月) 包装龙头经营稳健,Q1 业绩增速亮眼 投资要点 西南证券研究发展中心 [T ab业le绩_S摘u要mm:公ar司y]发 布2023年年报及2024年一季报,2023年公司实现营收152.2 [分Ta析bl师e_:Au蔡th欣or ] 亿元,同比-7%;实现归母净利润14.4亿元,同比-3.3%;实现扣非净利润14.9 执业证号:S1250517080002 亿元,同比-1.4%。单季度来看,2023Q4公司实现营收44.2亿元,同比+2.1%; 电话:023-67511807 实现归母净利润4.5亿元,同比-3.4%;实现扣非后归母净利润4.6亿元,同比 邮箱:cxin@swsc.com.cn +4.5%。2024Q1公司实现营收 34.8亿元,同比+19.4%;实现归母净利润 2.2 分析师:赵兰亭 亿元,同比+20.6%;实现扣非后归母净利润2.4亿元,同比+54.3%。盈利逐期 执业证号:S ...
业绩符合预期,盈利能力提升
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-07 06:00
业绩符合预期,盈利能力提升 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------|--------|---------------------------------|--------|--------| | | | | | | | 营业收入(百万元) | | 2235.40 2702.08 3278.31 3980.25 | | | | 增长率 | 10.39% | 20.88% | 21.33% | 21.41% | | 归属母公司净利润(百万元) | | 278.65 361.56 493.94 641.33 | | | | 增长率 | 11.77% | 29.75% | 36.62% | 29.84% | | 每股收益 EPS (元) | | 0.33 0.43 0.59 0.77 | | | | 净资产收益率 ROE | 8.37% | 10.48%12.76% | | 14.53% | | PE | | 52 40 29 23 | | | | PB | | 4.38 4.23 3.77 3.30 | | | | 数据来源: Wi ...
线下+线上全面布局,盈利能力承压
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-07 06:00
[Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 05 月 01 日 证券研究报告•2023年报&2024 年一季报点评 当前价:15.04 元 良品铺子(603719)食品饮料 目标价:——元(6 个月) 线下+线上全面布局,盈利能力承压 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2023年报及 2024年一季报,2023年实现营业收入 80.5亿元 (-14.8%),实现归母净利润 1.8 亿元(-46.3%);2024Q1 实现营业收入 24.5 亿元(+2.8%),实现归母净利润 0.6 亿元(-58%)。此外,公司拟向全体股东 每 10 股派发现金股利 2.25元(含税)。 加盟门店业务持续调整,线下+线上全面布局。2023 年电商、加盟、直营、团 购分别实现收入 31.7亿元(-32.6%)、24亿元(-6.7%)、18.9亿元(+21.7%)、 4.9 亿元(-0.5%);2024Q1 电商、加盟、直营、团购分别实现收入 12.9 亿元 (+6.7%)、6.4亿元(-16%)、6.4亿元(+10.2%)、1.8亿元(+57.3%)。1) 线下方面:截至 2023 年末,公司直营、加盟门店数 ...
2023年短期承压,24Q1毛利率改善
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-07 06:00
[Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 04 月 29 日 证券研究报告•2023 年报&2024 年一季报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:35.45 元 洽洽食品(002557)食品饮料 目标价:——元(6 个月) 2023 年短期承压,24Q1 毛利率改善 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2023年报及 2024年一季报,2023年实现营业收入 68.1亿元 (-1.1%),实现归母净利润 8 亿元(-17.8%);2024Q1 实现收入 18.2 亿元 (+36.4%),实现归母净利润 2.4亿元(+35.1%)。此外,公司拟向全体股东每 10 股派发现金红利 10 元(含税)。 2023年瓜子需求偏弱。1、分品类看,2023年葵花子、坚果、其他产品分别实 现收入 42.7 亿元(-5.4%)、17.5 亿元(+8%)。葵花子收入下滑,公司通过定 制款瓜子培育茶饮、餐饮场景。坚果方面,礼盒坚果增长较快,同时加大风味 坚果试销力度。2、分渠道看,经销、直营(含电商)分别实现收入 57.5 亿元 (-0.8%)、10.6 亿元(-3%)。截至 2023 年末,渠道数字化平台掌控终端网 ...
2024年一季报点评:主业稳健增长,关注新业务进展
Southwest Securities· 2024-05-07 05:00
Investment Rating - Buy (First Coverage) with a target price of 14.30 yuan (6 months) [1] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2024 revenue of 2.33 billion yuan, up 8.97% YoY, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 120 million yuan, up 8.00% YoY [2] - The company's refined management has shown results, with a significant decrease in the period expense ratio [2] - The company is riding the wave of the low-altitude economy, and its aviation engine business is expected to become a second growth curve [4] - The company is actively expanding into the new energy sector, covering power systems, energy storage, and hydrogen energy [9] Business Performance - Q1 2024 gross margin was 13.5%, down 0.6 percentage points YoY, while net margin was 5.6%, up 0.1 percentage points YoY [2] - The period expense ratio for Q1 2024 was 7.75%, down 1.15 percentage points YoY, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios decreasing [2] - The company's aviation engine subsidiary has developed a product line of 200HP and below, with over 20 derivative products and propellers [4] - The company's new energy products cover power systems, energy storage, and hydrogen fuel cell systems [9] Financial Forecasts - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 630 million, 720 million, and 820 million yuan for 2024-2026, with EPS of 0.55, 0.62, and 0.71 yuan, respectively [9] - The company's PE ratios for 2024-2026 are expected to be 21x, 19x, and 16x, with a three-year net profit CAGR of 31.2% [9] - The target price of 14.3 yuan is based on a 2024 PE of 26x [9] Business Segments - The company's general machinery segment has become its largest business, accounting for 47.3% of revenue in 2023 [27] - The engine segment saw revenue growth of 19.0% in 2023, driven by increased production efficiency [62] - The company's aviation engine segment has built five product platforms, covering over 20 end products for military and civilian drones and light aircraft [34] Historical Performance - From 2016 to 2023, the company's revenue grew from 4.69 billion yuan to 8.15 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 8.2% [30] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders in 2023 was 360 million yuan, down 7.3% YoY, mainly due to increased R&D and financial expenses [30] - The company's gross margin in 2023 was 14.6%, up 1.8 percentage points YoY, driven by lower raw material costs [36]