Core Viewpoints - The traditional building materials sector is expected to bottom out and recover due to a combination of factors such as the slowdown in new real estate demand and the gradual release of stock renovation demand, with consumer building materials benefiting significantly [4] - The special fiberglass electronic cloth sector is experiencing high demand due to the explosion of computing power needs, and companies with outstanding technical advantages and production capacity reserves are favored [4] - Infrastructure investment opportunities are promising, particularly in sectors related to urban renewal and underground pipeline construction [4] Cement Sector - Cement demand is expected to stabilize as confidence in the housing market strengthens, with a potential bottoming out of demand [26][29] - The production of cement is declining due to weak demand from the real estate sector, with a forecasted production volume of 1.693 billion tons in 2025, down 6.9% year-on-year [29] - The average price of cement is recovering due to industry self-discipline and effective supply control, with policies aimed at eliminating backward production capacity expected to accelerate this trend [33] Fiberglass Sector - The fiberglass sector is expanding its application fields, with strong demand for electronic fiberglass cloth driven by the growth of computing power needs [36][41] - The apparent consumption of fiberglass in China has increased from 187,000 tons in 2012 to 624,000 tons in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.56% [40] - The demand for high-performance computing and AI applications is significantly increasing, leading to a structural change in demand for fiberglass materials [44] Glass Sector - The demand for flat glass is under pressure due to a decline in housing completion areas, with consumption levels expected to continue decreasing [51] - The glass industry is facing high inventory levels, with total inventory reaching 58.227 million weight boxes as of December 11, 2025, indicating a need for supply-side adjustments [51] - The photovoltaic glass sector is experiencing growth, but overall glass prices are under pressure due to capacity expansion and declining demand [51] Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is seeing a release of stock demand, with policies aimed at stabilizing the housing market expected to support sales and completion rates [62] - The renovation demand is anticipated to recover as macroeconomic policies stimulate consumption, with a significant portion of demand coming from homes built 10-15 years ago [66] - The urban renewal initiatives and the establishment of a housing pension system are expected to further boost demand for consumer building materials [66] Recommended Investment Targets - Companies such as Rabbit Baby (兔宝宝, 002043) and Beixin Building Materials (北新建材, 000786) are highlighted for their strong market positions and competitive advantages in the consumer building materials sector [4][103] - International Composites (国际复材, 301526) is recommended for its strong performance in the special fiberglass cloth sector [4] - Companies like Jinjing Technology (金晶科技, 600586) and Puhua Co., Ltd. (濮耐股份, 002225) are noted for their promising second growth curves in TCO glass and high-activity magnesium oxide businesses, respectively [4]

ooo[Table_ReportInfo] 2026 年 02 月 06 日 证券研究报告•宏观定期报告 宏观周报（2.2-2.6） 春节促消费提质加力，贵金属价格大幅波动 摘要 [Table_Summary] 一周大事记 国内："以旧换新"春节再加力，锚定农业现代化长效建设。2月 2日，财政 部、税务总局发布《长期资产进项税额抵扣暂行办法》，设立 500万元资产分 界线实行差异化抵扣，细化增值税征管规则，为统一大市场建设和经济高质量 发展提供制度保障；同日，商务部等九部门印发 2026"乐购新春"促消费方 案，围绕六大领域推出五大支持措施，结合已下达的以旧换新资金，完善消费 生态，激发春节消费活力与内需潜力；3日，2026年中央一号文件发布，锚定 农业农村现代化目标，提出常态化精准帮扶等举措，标志"三农"工作转向长 期建设，进一步巩固粮食安全、促进农民增收；4 日，央行召开 2026 年信贷 工作会议，释放总量稳增、结构优化等四大信号，延续适度宽松货币政策，提 升信贷投放精准性、降低融资成本，为"十五五"开局提供金融支撑。 海外：国际贵金属价格大幅波动，美伊持续军事对峙。当地时间 2月 2日，国 际金银及工 ...

创新药专题 中国声音响彻2026年JPM大会 西南证券研究院 2026年2月 分析师：杜向阳 执业证号：S1250520030002 电话：021-68416017 邮箱：duxy@swsc.com.cn 分析师：汤泰萌 执业证号：S1250522120001 邮箱：ttm@swsc.com.cn 核心观点 何为JPM大会？ • 摩根大通医疗健康大会（J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference）始于1982年，是全球医疗健康领域最具影响力、规 模最大的医疗投资产业交流合作大会之一，涵盖制药、生物技术、医疗器械、诊断、数字健康、医疗服务等整个医疗 保健领域，是一场 "资本+战略"的顶级商业盛宴。 JPM投资逻辑？ • JPM大会是医疗健康领域规模最大、信息量最丰富的投资与合作盛会，汇聚了全球极具影响力的跨国药企（MNC）、 创新药企（Biotech）及投资机构，不仅为MNC、投资机构与Biotech提供了对接平台，更释放了未来一年行业发展 的清晰信号，对全球生物医药产业的走向提供重要指引。通过梳理JPM大会，不难发现，创新药企业，尤其是有BD交 易预期的企业往往会迎来股价的重要催化，因此 ...

[Table_StockInfo] 2026 年 02 月 03 日 证券研究报告•2025 四季报及 2025 年报点评 泰瑞达（TER.O）半导体 目标价：323.50 美元 买入（首次） 当前价：249.53 美元 数据来源：公司公告，西南证券 请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分 1 投资要点 西南证券研究院 全品类半导体测试平台企业，AI 需求驱动高速增长 | 指标/年度 | 2024A | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万美元) | 2819.88 | 3190.02 | 5172.47 | 6571.75 | 7479.03 | | 增长率 | 5.36% | 13.13% | 62.15% | 27.05% | 13.81% | | 净利润(百万美元) | 542.37 | 554.05 | 1518.96 | 2026.19 | 2371.57 | | 增长率 | 20.86% | 2.15% | 174.16% | 33.39% | 17.05% | | 每股收益 EPS ...

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company, but it indicates a positive outlook with expectations of profitability recovery and growth in the coming years [1]. Core Insights - The company is expected to turn a profit in 2025, with a projected net profit attributable to shareholders of 20.60 million to 30.00 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 128.89% [7]. - The company is focusing on expanding its core business in lithium battery materials, particularly in NCA and cobalt acid lithium products, while also investing in advanced materials for future growth [7]. - Cost control measures and digital transformation initiatives are being implemented to enhance production efficiency and reduce manufacturing costs [7]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2024A: 1,793.91 million yuan - 2025E: 2,352.92 million yuan (growth rate: 31.16%) - 2026E: 3,007.73 million yuan (growth rate: 27.83%) - 2027E: 3,851.80 million yuan (growth rate: 28.06%) [2][10] - **Net Profit Forecast**: - 2024A: -71.30 million yuan - 2025E: 20.60 million yuan (growth rate: 128.89%) - 2026E: 45.56 million yuan (growth rate: 121.19%) - 2027E: 74.55 million yuan (growth rate: 63.62%) [2][10] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2024A: -0.16 yuan - 2025E: 0.04 yuan - 2026E: 0.10 yuan - 2027E: 0.16 yuan [2][10] - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: - 2024A: -3.85% - 2025E: 1.06% - 2026E: 2.29% - 2027E: 3.62% [2][10] Business Segment Analysis - **Cobalt Acid Lithium Products**: - Revenue in 2025E: 1,202.45 million yuan (growth rate: 57.50%) - Gross margin expected to improve to 9.00% in 2025E [10]. - **NCA Materials**: - Revenue in 2025E: 1,073.25 million yuan (growth rate: 12.50%) - Gross margin expected to increase to 3.80% in 2025E [10]. - **Other Businesses**: - Revenue in 2025E: 77.21 million yuan (growth rate: 1.00%) - Gross margin expected to stabilize at 1.00% [10]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is enhancing its production capabilities through lean and intelligent manufacturing practices, aiming to improve efficiency and reduce costs [7]. - It is also focusing on the development of advanced materials for solid-state batteries and other innovative products to strengthen its competitive position in the market [7].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook on the real estate industry, indicating a preference for stable and high-quality real estate companies [46]. Core Insights - The real estate market is showing signs of stabilization, with a potential for continued policy easing to support recovery. The report highlights the importance of focusing on financially sound real estate firms [46]. - Recent data indicates a year-on-year increase in second-hand housing transactions by 11.7% in 14 cities, while new housing transactions have decreased by 18.1% [18][19]. - The report notes a significant decline in new housing transaction volumes, particularly in second-tier cities, which saw a 20% year-on-year drop [18]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The real estate sector experienced a decline of 2.2% in the week of January 26-30, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.3 percentage points [12]. - Trading volume for the week was 146.65 billion yuan, reflecting a 13.3% decrease compared to the previous week [12]. Basic Data - The total market capitalization of the real estate industry is 1,253.122 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 1,218.269 billion yuan. The industry’s price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) stands at 61.8, compared to 14.2 for the CSI 300 [4]. Industry and Company Dynamics - Recent policy changes have relaxed the "three red lines" requirements for many real estate companies, allowing only those in distress to report financial metrics regularly [36]. - The report highlights significant company activities, including new financing and mergers, which may enhance competitive positioning in the market [39][40][41]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on several companies across different segments: 1. Development: China Resources Land (1109.HK), Longfor Group (0960.HK) 2. Commercial: China International Trade (600007.SH), New City Holdings (601155.SH) 3. Property Management: Poly Property (6049.HK), China Overseas Property (2669.HK) 4. Brokerage: Beike-W (2423.HK) [46][48].

关注债市修复行情的持续性 核心观点 西南证券研究院 [Table_Author] 分析师：杨杰峰 执业证号：S1250523060001 电话：18190773632 邮箱：yangjf@swsc.com.cn 分析师：叶昱宏 执业证号：S1250525070010 电话：18223492691 邮箱：yeyuh@swsc.com.cn [Table_Report 2026 年 02 月 02 日 证券研究报告•固定收益定期报告 债券市场跟踪周报（1.26-1.30） 相关研究 请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分 S 2026年 1月，债券市场整体呈现为触底后的修复行情。2026年 1月，债券市 场在经历月初"股强债弱"的逆风期后，走出了一轮由政策预期驱动、配置力 量托底的修复行情。月初，权益市场"春季躁动"预期强烈，风险偏好快速上 行，对债市形成显著压制，收益率曲线呈现陡峭化上行。随着监管层对股市过 快上涨的"降温"表态抑制风险偏好以及央行持续性传达流动性呵护态度，债 市修复行情逐渐开启。1 月 19 日，央行结构性降息 25BP 推动利率中枢进一 步下行，虽然一季度总量降息落空可能性有所提升，但债市仍表现出较 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the machinery equipment industry as of February 1, 2026 [1]. Core Insights - The robotics index underperformed the market, with the CSI Robotics Index dropping by 5.7%, lagging behind the Shanghai Composite Index by 5.2 percentage points and the CSI 300 Index by 5.7 percentage points [5][11]. - Tesla's humanoid robot, Optimus, is set for mass production, with plans to shift production capacity from Model S and Model X to Optimus and Cybercab by the end of Q2 2026. By the end of 2026, the robots will handle more complex tasks, with public sales expected by the end of 2027 [16]. - Figure has launched the Helix 02 robot model, featuring a highly integrated control system that allows for advanced humanoid control and dexterous operations [17]. - Galaxy General has introduced the Galbot S1, an industrial-grade heavy-duty robot capable of operating in complex environments with a maximum load capacity of 50 kg and a working height of 2.3 m [19]. - Tianchuang Robotics has formed a strategic partnership with Softcom Tianxu to develop intelligent robotic and digital twin systems for various industrial applications [21]. - The company A-Tongmu has submitted an application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to leverage the special technology company channel [23]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The robotics index experienced a decline of 5.7% from January 26 to February 1, 2026, underperforming compared to major indices [11]. Industry Dynamics - Tesla's plans for humanoid robot production and the introduction of new models like Helix 02 and Galbot S1 highlight significant advancements in the robotics sector [16][17][19]. - Strategic collaborations, such as that between Tianchuang Robotics and Softcom Tianxu, indicate a trend towards integrated solutions in the robotics industry [21].

风险提示：市场大幅波动风险、样本数据遗漏风险、统计出现偏差风险等。 摘要 西南证券研究院 [Table_Author] 分析师：杨杰峰 执业证号：S1250523060001 电话：18190773632 邮箱：yangjf@swsc.com.cn 分析师：叶昱宏 执业证号：S1250525070010 电话：18223492691 邮箱：yeyuh@swsc.com.cn 联系人：李茂怡 电话：15528164673 邮箱：limaoyi@swsc.com.cn [Table_ReportInfo] 2026 年 02 月 02 日 证券研究报告•固定收益定期报告 债券 ETF 周度跟踪（1.26-1.30） 科创债 ETF：久期为何集体回撤 请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分 S 各类债券 ETF 资金净流入情况：净流出幅度进一步收窄，资金面有望回归常 态。上周利率债类 ETF、信用债类 ETF、可转债类 ETF净流入资金分别-27.54 亿元、-68.90亿元、+43.95亿元，债券 ETF市场合计净流入金额-52.49亿元。 整体来看，上周债券 ETF资金流入结构延续前周，利率、信用债类 ETF净流 出压 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights that the North Exchange (北交所) experienced a year of significant excess returns in 2025, with the North Exchange 50 Index rising by 38.8%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 21.1 percentage points [60]. - The report emphasizes the importance of liquidity improvements in 2026, driven by various factors including increased retail participation and the introduction of passive investment products like the North Exchange 50 ETF [7][54]. 2025 Sector Review - In 2025, the North Exchange showed a characteristic of "stable revenue, pressured profits," with overall revenue growing by 7.0% year-on-year in Q3 2025, while net profit attributable to shareholders declined by 4.8% [5][17]. - The report notes that sectors such as robotics, AI, military industry, and semiconductors demonstrated significant performance, indicating a strong correlation with the broader market [5][60]. 2026 Liquidity Outlook - The liquidity outlook for 2026 is expected to improve systematically, with increased retail investment and the launch of passive products anticipated to bring substantial incremental funds [7][54]. - Historical data suggests that previous market rallies in the North Exchange were driven by liquidity expansion, indicating a solid foundation for market support in 2026 [7]. Investment Themes - The investment strategy for 2026 focuses on three dimensions: technology growth sectors such as semiconductors and AI, macroeconomic recovery signals in consumer and cyclical sectors, and unique assets in the North Exchange that are key to domestic substitution and growth [8][5]. - The report highlights the importance of identifying high-scarcity and performance-driven targets within these themes [8]. New Stock Market Insights - The average first-day gain for new stocks in 2025 was an impressive 368.1%, primarily due to the valuation gap between primary and secondary markets [9]. - The North Exchange has a robust pipeline of new listings, particularly from advanced manufacturing sectors, which is expected to continue [9]. Industry Structure - As of December 31, 2025, the North Exchange had 287 listed companies, with 61.0% concentrated in mechanical equipment, electric power equipment, and other high-end manufacturing sectors, significantly higher than the corresponding figures for the ChiNext and STAR Market [10][12]. - The report indicates a strong focus on advanced manufacturing and "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" enterprises, with a notable increase in the proportion of such companies over the years [14][16]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the North Exchange's companies experienced a decline in net profit margins, with a year-on-year drop of 4.8%, contrasting with the growth seen in other markets [17][24]. - The report notes that the return on equity (ROE) was adversely affected by pressures on net profit margins and asset turnover rates, indicating a need for operational efficiency improvements [25][31]. Sector Profitability - The report highlights significant profitability disparities across sectors, with industries like automotive and home appliances showing strong growth resilience, while sectors such as media and pharmaceuticals faced severe profit declines [39]. - The automotive sector, in particular, saw a remarkable profit increase of 110.5%, indicating robust demand and market share gains [39]. Investment Participation - Institutional participation in the North Exchange has been increasing, with the number of funds holding North Exchange stocks rising significantly [40]. - The report notes that the North Exchange theme funds have outperformed the average industry returns, with several funds achieving returns exceeding 40% in 2025 [47][49]. Market Trends - The North Exchange's liquidity improved significantly in 2025, with daily trading volumes increasing from 29.9 billion yuan in 2023 to 266.9 billion yuan in 2025 [58]. - The report indicates that the North Exchange's volatility has decreased, reflecting a more stable trading environment [58].