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利通科技:2024年中报点评:业绩短期承压,期待超高压装备产业化
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 11:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1]. Core Views - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2024, with revenue of 220 million yuan, down 4.7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 46.26 million yuan, down 26.7% year-on-year. The second quarter also showed a similar trend with revenue of 120 million yuan, down 5.0% year-on-year, and a net profit of 27.11 million yuan, down 26.8% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on diversifying its ultra-high pressure equipment business and expects to see growth in the future. It plans to enhance its existing product lines and develop new products, including floating oil hoses and high-pressure cleaning machines [2]. - The forecast for net profit from 2024 to 2026 is approximately 140 million, 160 million, and 180 million yuan, respectively, indicating a compound annual growth rate of 11.4% [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 220 million yuan, a decrease of 4.7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 46.26 million yuan, down 26.7% year-on-year. The second quarter's revenue was 120 million yuan, down 5.0% year-on-year, with a net profit of 27.11 million yuan, down 26.8% year-on-year [1]. - The revenue breakdown for various products includes: steel wire winding rubber hoses (34.89 million yuan, -17.84%), steel wire braided rubber hoses (63.12 million yuan, -10.74%), fiber reinforced rubber hoses (11.08 million yuan, +23.97%), and assembly and supporting fittings (102.05 million yuan, +1.33%) [1]. Business Development - The company aims to optimize its existing business by expanding its oil hose product line and developing new markets. It has obtained API 17K certification for some of its oil pipe products, positioning itself to enter the marine engineering hose market [2]. - New projects include the construction of a high molecular material recycling and special rubber research institute in Qingdao, with plans for a prototype of the ultra-high pressure food sterilizer to be ready by September [2]. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenue growth from 485.4 million yuan in 2023 to 625.3 million yuan in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate of 9.5% [3]. - The projected net profit for 2024, 2025, and 2026 is 140 million, 160 million, and 180 million yuan, respectively, with a net profit growth rate of 7.56%, 13.22%, and 13.37% [3][5].
山西汾酒:2024年中报点评:青花系列主动控量,积极备战双节旺季
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 11:42
[Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 27 日 证券研究报告•2024 年中报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:175.74 元 山西汾酒(600809)食品饮料 目标价:——元(6 个月) 青花系列主动控量,积极备战双节旺季 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024 年中报,上半年实现收入 227.5 亿元,同比+19.6%,归 母净利润 84.1亿元,同比+24.3%;其中 24Q2实现收入 74.1亿元,同比+17.1%, 归母净利润 21.5 亿元,同比+10.2%。 青花系列主动控量,玻汾系列接棒发力。1、在外部商务消费有所承压的背景下, 公司全产品矩阵协同发力,24Q1 青花系列等中高端产品放量高增,24Q2 玻汾 依托高性价比接棒发力,助力公司上半年收入实现平稳增长。2、分产品,24Q2 中高价白酒实现收入 45.7 亿元,同比+1.5%,预计主要系商务需求有所承压, 叠加公司对青花主动控量,帮助渠道消化库存;其他酒类实现收入 28.0亿元, 同比+58.3%,预计主要系玻汾性价比高,市场投放量有所加大。3、分区域, 24Q2 省内实现收入 28.0亿元,同比+ ...
农夫山泉:包装水短期承压,茶饮加速放量

Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 10:03
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 29 日 证券研究报告•2024 年中报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:27.05 港元 农夫山泉(9633.HK)食品饮料 目标价:34.20 港元 包装水短期承压,茶饮加速放量 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024 年中报,24H1 实现营收 221.7 亿元,同比+8.4%;归母 净利润 62.4 亿元,同比+8.0%。 包装水受舆论攻击影响承压,茶饮受益于无糖风潮维持高增。分品类看,包装 水、茶饮料、功能饮料、果汁饮料、其他产品分别实现销售收入 85.3 亿元 (-18.3%)、84.3亿元(+59.5%)、25.5亿元(+3.8%)、21.1亿元(+25.4%)、 5.5 亿元(-7.2%),分别占总营收的 38.5%/38.0%/11.5%/9.5%/2.5%。其中,包 装水下降较多主因 2 月底网络出现大量对公司和创始人的舆论攻击和恶意诋毁 影响品牌销售。茶饮料中东方树叶及茶π两大单品在健康化、低糖化趋势下快 速放量,第二曲线逐步夯实,东方树叶新口味新规格研发上市。功能饮料一方 面推出尖叫新口味注入品牌活力,另一方 ...
业绩短期承压,期待超高压装备产业化
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 10:03
[Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 26 日 证券研究报告•2024 年中报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:7.10 元 利通科技(832225)基础化工 目标价:——元(6 个月) 业绩短期承压,期待超高压装备产业化 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024年中报,24H1公司实现营业收入 2.2亿元,同比-4.7%, 归母净利润 4626.4 万元,同比-26.7%,扣非归母净利润 4336.1 万元,同比 -27.9%;其中单 24Q2 公司实现营业收入 1.2 亿元,同比-5.0%,归母净利润 2711.5 万元,同比-26.8%,扣非归母净利润 2569.0 万元,同比-29.8%。 业绩短期承压,期待后续表现。24H1,公司钢丝缠绕橡胶软管/钢丝编织橡胶软 管/纤维增强橡胶软管/胶管总成及配套管件/混炼胶/其他产品分别实现营收 3489.3/ 6312.4/ 1107.9/ 10204.9/ 874.1/ 117.5 万元,分别同比-17.84%/ -10.74%/ +23.97%/+ 1.33%/+ 3.42%/+ 93.60%,毛利率分别为 43.97%/ ...
顺丰同城:净利同比翻倍增长,预计9月进入港股通
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 10:03
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 28 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:10.86 港元 顺丰同城(9699.HK)交通运输 目标价:12.89 港元 净利同比翻倍增长,预计 9 月进入港股通 基础数据 [Table_BaseData] 52 周区间(港元) 6.37-12.6 3 个月平均成交量(百万) 0.51 流通股数(亿) 9.17 市值(亿) 99.63 [Table_Summary 事件:顺丰同城公布 ] 2024年半年报。2024年上半年公司实现营收 68.8亿元, 同比增长 19.6%。公司毛利及毛利率分别为 4.7亿及 6.9%,较去年同期毛利率 6.7%上涨 0.2pp。净利润及净利润率分别为 0.6亿元及 0.9%,较去年同期净利 润同比翻倍增长,增速达 105.1%,公司盈利能力持续提升。 业务凸显良好韧性,实现核心业务健康可持续增长。公司订单量与去年同期相 比实现强劲增长超过三成,同城配送服务的收入从 2023 年上半年 33.9 亿元增 长 19.2%至 2024 年上半年 40.4 亿元。充分发挥运力网络的弹性和成本 ...
禾望电气:毛利率进一步上升,研发投入大幅增长
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 08:08
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hewei Electric (603063) with a target price of 16.05 CNY over the next six months [1][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.38 billion CNY for the first half of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 10.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 150 million CNY, down 23.6% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin increased, while the expense ratio faced short-term pressure due to increased R&D investment, which rose to 11.7% of revenue, up 3.8 percentage points year-on-year [1][4]. - The gross margin for the new energy control business improved significantly, reaching 35.7%, an increase of 8 percentage points year-on-year, despite a revenue decline of 12.2% [1][4]. - The hydrogen energy business is expected to become a new growth driver, with the company providing large-capacity IGBT hydrogen production power products [1][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 38.6% and a net profit margin of 12.5% [1]. - The revenue forecast for 2024-2026 is projected to be 4.02 billion CNY, 4.86 billion CNY, and 6.06 billion CNY, respectively, with net profits of 472 million CNY, 619 million CNY, and 816 million CNY [2][4]. - The company is positioned as a leading domestic manufacturer in the wind power converter sector, leveraging its technological advantages to accelerate domestic substitution [5][6]. Business Segment Insights - The new energy control business is expected to see a revenue growth rate of 6.4% in 2024, with a gross margin of 34.89% [4]. - The engineering transmission business is projected to grow by 10% in 2024, maintaining a gross margin of 45% [4]. - The company is collaborating with Longi to expand its hydrogen energy business, which has significant growth potential [5][6].
杰瑞股份:经营性现金流大幅改善,新增订单势头良好
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 08:08
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 28 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:27.63 元 杰瑞股份(002353)机械设备 目标价:——元(6 个月) 请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分 1 经营性现金流大幅改善,新增订单势头良好 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024年半年报,2024H1公司实现营业收入 50.0亿元,同比减 少 8.5%;归母净利润 10.9 亿元,同比增长 4.3%。2024Q2 公司实现营业收入 28.3 亿元,同比减少 10.0%;归母净利润 7.1亿元,同比增长 3.1%。受油气工 程服务接单节奏影响,收入端短期承压。 国内外市场拓展顺利,新增订单势头良好。海外市场多点开花:2024H1,公司 为中东子公司增资 1.2亿美元在迪拜建设高端油气装备制造基地;成功斩获中亚 战略客户重大天然气项目订单;完成北美首套电驱压裂装备交付,同时与客户 再次签订电驱压裂设备新订单;与伊拉克中部石油公司签署曼苏里亚开发生产 合同。夯实国内基本盘:2024 年 6 月,成功中标中石油 2024 年电驱压裂设备 (带量)集中采 ...
宏华数科:内销表现亮眼,出口持续增长
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 08:03
[Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 28 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:57.96 元 宏华数科(688789)机械设备 目标价:——元(6 个月) 内销表现亮眼,出口持续增长 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024 年半年报,2024 年上半年实现营收 8.2 亿元,同比增长 45.8%;归母净利润为 2.0亿元,同比增长 35.5%。单二季度营收 4.5亿元,同 比增长 61.7%,环比增长 21.4%,实现归母净利润 1.1亿元,同比增长 35.8%, 环比增长 31.4%,业绩稳步提升,盈利能力持续向好。 收入结构变动导致毛利率小幅下降,总体利润水平维持高位。2024年上半年公 司综合毛利率 45.8%,同比下降 1.7 个百分点,主要系公司"设备先行,耗材 跟进"经营模式下,产品结构变动,设备收入占比提升所致。上半年公司净利 率 25.4%,保持高位运行,同比下降 2.3个百分点,主要系汇兑收益减少所致。 内销表现亮眼,出口持续增长。2024年上半年公司期间费用率为 16.6%,同比 增加 2.7个百分点,主要系内销占比提 ...
纽威数控:业绩符合预期,净利润小幅下滑
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 08:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the next six months [1][2]. Core Views - The company's H1 2024 performance met expectations, with revenue of 1.162 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.93%, and a net profit of 145 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.86% [1]. - The machine tool industry is facing demand pressure, but the company managed to achieve slight revenue growth by expanding its market [1]. - The gross profit margin decreased due to intensified market competition, with H1 2024 gross margin at 25.31%, down 0.75 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2024, the company achieved revenue of 614 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.81% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.89% [1]. - The net profit for Q2 2024 was 75 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.50% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.10% [1]. - The company’s revenue from large machining centers was 530 million yuan, vertical CNC machines 360 million yuan, and horizontal CNC machines 250 million yuan in H1 2024 [1]. Market Dynamics - The machine tool industry saw a 3% decline in revenue for key enterprises in the first half of 2024, with total profit down 9.2% [1]. - New orders for metal cutting machine tools increased by 4.1%, while the backlog of orders decreased by 5.4% [1]. - Domestic sales accounted for 1.01 billion yuan of revenue, while international sales contributed 150 million yuan in H1 2024 [1]. Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin for H1 2024 was 25.31%, with a decline in the margin for vertical CNC machines being particularly notable [1]. - The net profit margin for H1 2024 was 12.45%, down 1.28 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company’s R&D expense ratio increased by 0.36 percentage points, contributing to the slight decline in net profit [1]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 360 million yuan, 420 million yuan, and 480 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with a compound annual growth rate of 15% [2][3].
宏华数科:2024年半年报点评:内销表现亮眼,出口持续增长
Southwest Securities· 2024-08-29 07:32
[Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 08 月 28 日 证券研究报告•2024 年半年报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:57.96 元 宏华数科(688789)机械设备 目标价:——元(6 个月) 内销表现亮眼,出口持续增长 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024 年半年报,2024 年上半年实现营收 8.2 亿元,同比增长 45.8%;归母净利润为 2.0亿元,同比增长 35.5%。单二季度营收 4.5亿元,同 比增长 61.7%,环比增长 21.4%,实现归母净利润 1.1亿元,同比增长 35.8%, 环比增长 31.4%,业绩稳步提升,盈利能力持续向好。 收入结构变动导致毛利率小幅下降,总体利润水平维持高位。2024年上半年公 司综合毛利率 45.8%,同比下降 1.7 个百分点,主要系公司"设备先行,耗材 跟进"经营模式下,产品结构变动,设备收入占比提升所致。上半年公司净利 率 25.4%,保持高位运行,同比下降 2.3个百分点,主要系汇兑收益减少所致。 内销表现亮眼,出口持续增长。2024年上半年公司期间费用率为 16.6%,同比 增加 2.7个百分点,主要系内销占比提 ...