Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - China's industrial profits rose by 3.2% year-over-year (yoy) in April, compared to 2.6% yoy in March, with sequential growth of 4.3% seasonally adjusted (sa) non-annualized in April after a decline of 2.8% in March [1][6] - Industrial revenue increased by 2.6% yoy in April, down from 4.4% in March, with a sequential decline of 0.5% sa non-annualized in April [2][6] - Downstream industries saw profits increase by 17.1% yoy in April, while upstream industries experienced a decline of 26.1% yoy [6] Summary by Sections Industrial Profits - In April, industrial profits increased by 3.2% yoy, with a sequential growth of 4.3% sa non-annualized, following a decline of 2.8% in March [1][6] - Overall profit margins remained stable on a 12-month average basis, with downstream profit margins outperforming upstream [6] Industrial Revenue - Industrial revenue rose by 2.6% yoy in April, down from 4.4% in March, and fell by 0.5% sa non-annualized sequentially [2][6] Sector Performance - The equipment manufacturing sector contributed 3.6 percentage points (pp) to the year-over-year growth of industrial profits in the first four months of the year [6] - Profits in the instrument/meter and electrical machinery sectors grew by 22.0% yoy and 15.4% yoy, respectively [6] PMI Forecasts - The report forecasts an increase in the NBS manufacturing PMI to 49.6 from 49.0 in April, with expectations for the Caixin manufacturing PMI to rise to 50.7 from 50.4 in April [7]

28 May 2025 | 6:43AM HKT Xiaomi Corp. (1810.HK) Buy Earnings Review: 1Q25 results beat on AIoT/EV and strong China sales; An eventful month ahead; Raise TP and reiterate Buy | 1810.HK | | --- | | 12m Price Target: HK$65.00 | | Price: HK$51.55 | | Upside: 26.1% | Key Data __________________________________ Market cap: HK$1.3tr / $170.6bn Enterprise value: HK$1.1tr / $143.8bn 3m ADTV: HK$15.6bn / $2.0bn China China Internet Verticals M&A Rank: 3 Leases incl. in net debt & EV?: No | GS Forecast _______________ ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook on consumer confidence, with the consumer confidence index rising significantly above expectations [2]. Core Insights - The Conference Board index of consumer confidence increased by 12.3 points to 98.0 in May, surpassing consensus expectations, with a prior revised level of 85.7 [2]. - The expectations component of the index rose by 17.4 points to 72.8, recovering from its lowest level since October 2011 [2]. - The present situation component also saw an increase of 4.8 points to 135.9 [2]. - The labor differential decreased slightly to 13.2, with 31.8% of respondents indicating jobs are plentiful and 18.6% stating jobs are hard to get [2]. - The survey's measure of 12-month ahead inflation expectations decreased by 0.5 percentage points to 6.5% [2]. - The rebound in consumer confidence was noted to have gained momentum following the announcement of a 90-day pause in US-China retaliatory tariffs [2]. Summary by Sections Consumer Confidence Index - The consumer confidence index rose to 98.0 in May, a significant increase from the revised April level of 85.7 [2]. - The expectations component increased to 72.8, while the present situation component rose to 135.9 [2]. Labor Market Insights - The labor differential decreased to 13.2, with a slight increase in the percentage of respondents indicating jobs are plentiful [2]. Inflation Expectations - The 12-month ahead inflation expectations decreased to 6.5%, indicating a decline in inflation concerns among consumers [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hesai Group, with a 12-month price target of US$23.3, implying an upside of 8.6% from the current price of US$21.45 [34]. Core Insights - The report highlights that LiDAR adoption in the Chinese automotive market has exceeded expectations, leading to an increase in the forecasted automotive LiDAR volume for 2025 and 2026 by 23% and 37%, respectively, reaching 3.5 million and 6.0 million units [2][8]. - Hesai's gross margin improved to 41.7%, up 3.0 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to higher engineering services revenue [1][33]. - The company is expected to achieve a GAAP net profit of Rmb200 million to Rmb350 million for the full year of 2025, driven by stable gross margins and operational leverage from new product cycles [32][33]. Financial Performance - In 1Q25, Hesai reported revenue of Rmb525 million, a 46% increase year-over-year, with a non-GAAP net profit of Rmb9 billion, contrasting with previous estimates of a net loss [1][7]. - The company ended 1Q25 with Rmb2.3 billion in net cash, indicating a slight decrease from previous quarters, while total debt to equity ratio improved to 14% [4][6]. - Revenue guidance for 2Q25 is set at Rmb680 million to Rmb720 million, reflecting a 53% year-over-year increase [32]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that premium automotive models are increasingly equipping LiDAR as a standard feature, which is expected to drive further adoption in mass-market vehicles [2][8]. - Hesai has secured design wins with 23 OEMs globally, indicating strong demand for its ADAS solutions [32]. - The company anticipates total shipments of 1.2 to 1.5 million units for 2025, representing a 169% year-over-year increase [32]. Product and Pricing Strategy - Hesai's ATX LiDARs, priced around US$200, are expected to contribute significantly to volume, with potential shipments reaching up to 1 million units [33]. - The company is also expanding its robotics segment, with total sales volume of 50,000 units for robotics LiDARs in 1Q25, and expects to ship 300,000 units over the next 12 months [32].

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for Wondershare (300624.SZ) as it is categorized as "Not Covered" [1]. Core Insights - The management of Wondershare has a positive outlook on user base stickiness and revenue growth from entertainment applications, indicating strong user willingness to pay [7][8]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its AI-Native applications and AI agent capabilities, with plans to upgrade AI algorithms based on user acceptance [1][8]. Summary by Relevant Sections User Base and Revenue Growth - Wondershare's user base is primarily supported by professional users, showing high stickiness and an upward trend in renewal rates, reflecting strong willingness to pay [7]. - Revenue from entertainment products like SelfyzAI and Media.io studio has been increasing rapidly over the past year, alongside efforts to attract new users [7]. AI-Native Applications and Market Outlook - There is strong user interest in AI-Native applications such as SelfyzAI, and the company plans to enhance awareness of its entertainment products [8]. - A prototype AI agent has been applied to Filmora, with ongoing development to meet commercial standards [8]. Company Profile - Wondershare specializes in multimedia, data recovery, and PDF solutions, actively integrating AI technologies into its flagship products [3]. - The company is investing in R&D for video and audio algorithms to enhance its AI software functions and is collaborating with external foundation models [3].

27 May 2025 | 4:57AM EDT Americas Transportation: US Tariff Impact Tracker – High Frequency Trends Relatively Quiet on Transition As We Await China Bump US Tariff Impact Tracker – Net-net, we saw a relatively quiet week on the data front, as we suspect the transition from a sharp reduction in China trade to a possible burst in activity post the 90-day pause announcement is still to come, based on comments by shippers, US transports, and container companies (i.e., an "air pocket" is possibly to occur first). ...

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for Longcheer (603341.SS) but indicates a positive long-term growth outlook for the company [1][4]. Core Insights - Longcheer is positioned as a market leader in the smartphone ODM sector with a global market share of 33% in 2024, although margins are currently affected by rising raw material costs [4][8]. - The company is optimistic about new business segments, particularly AI glasses and automotive electronics, which are expected to drive future growth [1][8]. - Management anticipates a recovery in margins in 2025 as raw material prices normalize, despite a saturated smartphone market [4][8]. Summary by Sections Smartphone ODM Outlook - Longcheer's smartphone ODM business holds a 33% global market share as of 2024, reflecting its leadership position [4]. - Current margins are pressured by increased raw material costs, but a recovery is expected in 2025 as prices stabilize [4]. - The smartphone market is viewed as saturated, yet AI applications may provide avenues for growth [4][8]. Development of New Business - The AI glasses segment is expected to see increased demand in 2025, supported by new foundational models [8]. - The penetration rate for AI PCs is projected to rise, contributing to a product replacement cycle [8]. - Longcheer's smart cockpit products are in testing and have begun to enter local car OEMs, indicating growth potential in automotive electronics [8].

27 May 2025 | 5:38AM BST Europe Retail Mid-Year European Retail Outlook & Strategy: Having lowered European consumer HAC to c.+2%, we focus on four themes for 2025 HAC update: Our 2025 HAC forecasts are now Germany +2.3%, UK +1.7%, and France +1.2%, largely reflecting differences in wage inflation and, in all cases, assuming the recent material savings rate increases stabilise across the year. In this context, we look at 4 themes for the second half of 2025: promotion mix). Notably, Ahold flag their persona ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies [1]. Core Insights - The UK clothing market experienced a year-over-year growth of +1.4% for the 12 weeks ending April 27, compared to +0.9% in the previous period [1]. - Notable performers include M&S with +11.5% growth, Primark at +3.1%, and Next at +2% [1]. - Zara led with a remarkable +16.1% growth year-over-year, while H&M reported +8.9% [1][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Market Performance - The UK clothing market's growth of +1.4% year-over-year is an improvement from +0.9% in the prior 12 weeks [1]. - Pre-COVID comparisons show a +3.3% growth stack versus +4.5% previously [1]. Company-Specific Performance - **Primark**: Achieved +3.1% year-over-year growth, a recovery from -0.2% in the previous period. Market share increased by +11 basis points to 6.7% [4]. - **M&S**: Reported +11.5% growth, up from +8.8% in the previous period. Market share rose by +99 basis points to 11% [4]. - **Next**: Recorded +2% growth, with market share increasing by +6 basis points to 9.3% [4]. - **Zara**: Achieved +16.1% growth year-over-year, with a pre-COVID growth of +78.9% [4]. - **H&M**: Reported +8.9% growth year-over-year, with a pre-COVID growth of +4.4% [4]. Future Projections - Forecasts for Inditex suggest a +5.1% growth in 1Q26E, while H&M is expected to see +1% growth in 2Q25E [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) with a 12-month price target of $191, indicating an upside of 8.4% from the current price of $176.12 [33] Core Insights - ICE's Energy business is projected to continue its robust growth trajectory, supported by structural tailwinds such as the globalization of natural gas, increasing Brent dominance, and the U.S. administration's push for energy exports [2][4] - The Mortgage segment is showing signs of improvement, with management confident in capturing a larger share of the $14 billion revenue total addressable market (TAM) as industry headwinds diminish [24] - The Fixed Income & Data Services segment is expected to achieve over 5% growth driven by unique data offerings and increasing demand for analytics [29][31] Summary by Sections Energy Business - ICE's Energy revenues are on track for another record year, with over $2 billion in annual revenues, accounting for more than 20% of total revenues and over 25% of operating income [2] - Year-to-date growth in Energy revenues exceeds 20%, following a 25% growth last year and 29% growth in 2023 [2] - The firm anticipates continued growth in LNG and natural gas benchmarks, with TTF volumes up approximately 30% year-to-date [4][15] Mortgage Segment - The mortgage business has undergone significant transformation, with management seeing early signs of idiosyncratic growth that could outweigh broader industry challenges [24] - Recent improvements in origination volumes, with new purchases up 10% year-over-year and refinancing up 50% year-over-year, support a positive near-term outlook [24][27] Fixed Income & Data Services - The Fixed Income segment is experiencing steady growth, driven by demand for unique pricing content and analytics, with the index business contributing over $100 million in revenue [29][31] - Management expects continued growth in fixed income Active ETFs and further integration of unique data sets from the mortgage franchise [31] Data Centers and Connectivity - ICE is expanding its data center capabilities to support future connectivity revenue growth, driven by rising demand from various market participants [32] - The firm operates its private cloud, which is more cost-effective compared to outsourcing, enhancing operational efficiency and easing future M&A integration [32]