2025 年 6 月 9 日 公司研究 物管基本盘稳固，独立发展轻装上阵 ——融创服务（1516.HK）跟踪报告 要点 1)地产关联影响基本解除，独立发展能力明显提升。公司对关联方的依赖明显降 低，从收入来源上看，2024 年来自第三方的收入为 68 亿元，同比增长 5.6%， 收入占比 97.6%；从业务结构来看，非业主增值服务收入 1.5 亿元，占总收入比 重 2.1%（2021 年为 33.9%）；同时，来自关联方的贸易应收款扣除减值拨备 后的余额为 5.9 亿元，其中无担保的金额为 1.8 亿元，减值计提充分。2025 年 起，公司有望摆脱地产周期影响，轻装上阵，步入稳健增长轨道。 2)深耕核心城市，基本盘稳固。截至 2024 年末，公司在管面积 2.9 亿平，同比 增长 7%，项目续约率为 95%，同比增加 4pct；在管项目饱和收入 85%来自核 心城市，同时 2024 年新签约金额中核心城市占比 98%，项目密度进一步提升， 合同额超人民币千万项目的签约额占比约 49%，大客户数量较 2022 年增长约 84%。公司在保持拓展项目质量的同时，在激烈的市场环境下，新拓展签约仍同 比持平，物管基本盘 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [10]. Core Insights - The company is expected to experience rapid sales growth driven by its leading AI smart driving capabilities, enhanced marketing systems, and a strong new car cycle, with multiple new models anticipated to launch in 2025 [3][8]. - The company is positioned to benefit from significant earnings elasticity due to scale improvements, cost reductions from platform and technology advancements, and the expansion of software profitability models alongside international growth [3][8]. Summary by Sections Historical Review of New Energy Vehicles and Smart Driving Trends - The transition from policy-driven to consumer-driven demand for new energy vehicles has been marked by significant technological advancements and cost reductions, leading to a rapid increase in market penetration rates [5][16]. - The report outlines three phases of development: policy-driven (pre-2019), product introduction (2020-2021), and hybrid power advancements (post-2022) [16][17]. Smart Driving Advantages and Organizational Reforms - The company is embracing AI smart driving through self-developed Turing chips and a comprehensive software ecosystem, aiming to create a robust competitive moat [6]. - Organizational reforms are being implemented to enhance management efficiency, with a focus on optimizing marketing and supply chain strategies [6]. New Car Cycle and Sales Expectations - The company is entering a new car cycle with a strategic product rollout planned for the next three years, including several key models set to launch in 2024 and 2025 [7][8]. - The anticipated new models are expected to significantly boost sales, leveraging the company's advanced smart driving technology [7]. Investment Recommendations - The report forecasts the company's revenue to reach CNY 99.1 billion in 2025, corresponding to a price-to-sales ratio of 1.4x, supported by ongoing advancements in AI smart driving and a strong new car cycle [8][10].

业绩超预期，看好长期竞争优势 整体业绩：美团 25Q1 收入 866 亿元，超彭博一致预期 1.3%；EBIT 106 亿 元，超彭博一致预期 24.83%。调整后净利润约 109 亿元，超彭博一致预期 12.6%。分业务来看，核心本地商业收入 643 亿元，超彭博一致预期 1.5%； 新业务收入 222 亿元，超彭博一致预期 1.4%。 核心本地商业：25Q1 收入端和利润端均超预期。25Q1 收入 643 亿元，超 预期 1.5%，其中配送服务收入 257 亿元，佣金收入 241 亿元，在线营销收 入 119 亿元。25Q1 经营利润 135 亿元，超彭博一致预期 9.5%。 餐饮外卖：外卖即时配送方面，公司丰富产品线，拓宽价格区间，优化 30 分钟送达网络和线上运营环境；"拼好饭" "神枪手"持续更新迭代，满足消 费者对不同价格带高性价比产品的多样化需求；"品牌卫星店"帮助餐饮商 家发掘新的增长机会。截至第一季度末，超过480 个品牌在美团开设了3000 多家高品质品牌卫星店。公司实施一系列扶持中小商家的措施，帮助商家 改善客源，实现业务增长；"光明厨房" ，为了支持包括家庭餐厅和社区餐 厅在内的小微商 ...

固生堂 02273.HK 公司研究 | 首次报告 | | | ——固生堂首次覆盖报告 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 我们预测公司 2025-2027 年每股收益为 1.53、1.81 和 2.24 元。公司是国内领先中医 连锁服务龙头，AI 布局靠前，据可比公司 25 年平均估值，给予公司当年 26 倍市盈 率，对应目标价 43.37 港元（按 1：0.91517 汇率测算），首次给予"买入"评级。 风险提示 中药集采与供应链、合规经营、优质中医师资源不足、行业竞争加剧风险 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 2323.35 | 3022.38 | 3777.96 | 4574.38 | 5717.88 | | 同比增长 (%) | 43.01% | 30.09% | 25.00% | 21.08% | 25.00% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 229.36 | 319.07 | 387.06 | 468.15 | 590.16 ...

固生堂 02273.HK 公司研究 | 首次报告 | | | ——固生堂首次覆盖报告 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 我们预测公司 2025-2027 年每股收益为 1.53、1.81 和 2.24 元。公司是国内领先中医 连锁服务龙头，AI 布局靠前，据可比公司 25 年平均估值，给予公司当年 26 倍市盈 率，对应目标价 43.37 港元（按 1：0.91517 汇率测算），首次给予"买入"评级。 风险提示 中药集采与供应链、合规经营、优质中医师资源不足、行业竞争加剧风险 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 2323.35 | 3022.38 | 3777.96 | 4574.38 | 5717.88 | | 同比增长 (%) | 43.01% | 30.09% | 25.00% | 21.08% | 25.00% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 229.36 | 319.07 | 387.06 | 468.15 | 590.16 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for investment [4]. Core Viewpoints - China Resources Vientiane Life is a leading property management and commercial operation service provider in China, with a strong background and stable shareholding structure [1][16]. - The company has demonstrated resilience in its business operations, particularly in its shopping center segment, which is expected to continue growing despite market challenges [2][4]. - The financial performance shows steady revenue growth and a commitment to high dividend payouts, reflecting strong profitability and shareholder returns [3][4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - China Resources Vientiane Life has over 20 years of experience in commercial operations, focusing on a comprehensive service brand across various sectors [1][16]. - The company is primarily engaged in property management and commercial management, with revenue contributions expected to be 63% and 37% respectively in 2024 [1]. Commercial Operations - The company operates 122 shopping centers, maintaining a leading position in the industry, with expected retail sales growth of 4.6% in 2024 [2]. - Key competitive advantages include early market entry, strong brand partnerships, a clear product line, and a robust membership system that drives customer loyalty [2]. Property Management - Backed by its parent company, China Resources Land, the company has a solid foundation for growth, with a managed area of 4.1 billion square meters as of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.6% [3]. - The company is actively expanding its market presence through various strategies, including acquisitions and partnerships [3]. Financial Analysis - The company reported a revenue of 17.04 billion RMB in 2024, a 15.4% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.63 billion RMB, up 23.9% [3][6]. - The company has maintained a total dividend payout ratio of 100% for two consecutive years, with a current dividend yield of 4.3% [3][4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 19.19 billion RMB, 21.21 billion RMB, and 23.26 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding net profits of 4.17 billion RMB, 4.74 billion RMB, and 5.29 billion RMB [4][6]. - The report suggests a reasonable market valuation of 91.8 billion RMB, translating to a target share price of 40.2 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 22 times [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][5] Core Viewpoints - The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region has officially enacted the "Stablecoin Ordinance," which is expected to enhance the regulatory framework for virtual asset activities and maintain financial stability. The stablecoin market is projected to grow rapidly, potentially reaching a market size of USD 2 trillion by 2028 [2][3] - The company is deeply engaged in the digital finance sector, providing digital RMB system solutions based on its proprietary microservices technology platform, Toplink. This positions the company to benefit from the growth of the stablecoin market [2][6] - The projected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is estimated at CNY 693 million, CNY 914 million, and CNY 1.045 billion, corresponding to current P/E ratios of 19, 14, and 12 times, respectively [2][9] Summary by Relevant Sections Regulatory Developments - The "Stablecoin Ordinance" was passed by the Hong Kong Legislative Council on May 21 and officially published on May 30, establishing a licensing system for stablecoin issuers [2][3] Market Outlook - The global stablecoin market was approximately USD 227.3 billion as of June 3, 2025, with major players like Tether and Circle holding significant market shares of 67.5% and 27.0%, respectively. The market is expected to grow significantly, with forecasts suggesting a potential size of USD 2 trillion by 2028 [3][4] Company Positioning - The company is actively involved in the digital RMB ecosystem, offering comprehensive solutions that cover various operational scenarios, including wallet systems, interconnectivity, and cross-border payment solutions [6][7] - The company is also expanding its international presence, participating in infrastructure projects in Hong Kong and establishing joint ventures in the Middle East to promote digital transformation [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [10][12]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading one-stop brand for home meal products in China, offering a diverse product range including hot pot, barbecue, beverages, single-serving meals, ready-to-cook packages, fresh produce, Western cuisine, and snacks [6][18]. - The company experienced explosive revenue growth from 2020 to 2022, but saw a decline in 2023, with a slight recovery expected in 2024 [6][10]. - The gross margin initially decreased but is projected to improve by 2025 due to enhancements in core products [6][10]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates a comprehensive product portfolio that caters to various dining scenarios, supported by a robust community store network and a strong digital supply chain [6][18]. - The company has developed online sales channels, including its app and partnerships with third-party delivery platforms [6][18]. Revenue and Growth - Revenue surged from 2.965 billion to 7.173 billion from 2020 to 2022, driven by the "stay-at-home economy" and rapid franchise expansion [25]. - In 2023, revenue fell by 15% to 6.094 billion, but is expected to rebound to 6.470 billion in 2024, marking a 6.2% year-on-year increase [25]. Store Network and Market Strategy - The company maintains a stable store count of over 10,000, with plans to add 1,000 more stores in 2025, focusing on lower-tier markets [40][41]. - The store structure has shown a trend towards higher-tier cities, but future strategies will emphasize expansion into lower-tier markets [40][41]. Supply Chain and Brand Strength - The company has established a complete supply chain from production to sales, with six controlled factories and a focus on a "single product, single factory" model [55][56]. - Membership numbers have grown significantly, from 22.4 million in April 2023 to 41.33 million by December 2024, indicating increased consumer loyalty [55][66]. Market Outlook - The market for home meal products is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 20.7% from 2022 to 2027, with the company well-positioned to capitalize on this trend [9][69]. - The company aims to double its scale over the next five years, with a focus on expanding its presence in rural markets [9][69].

证券研究报告 | 2025年06月08日 中国软件国际（00354.HK） 中国香港通过稳定币法案，公司深耕数字化金融领域，有望充分受益 |  公司研究·公司快评 | | |  | 计算机·计算机设备 |  投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 熊莉 | 021-61761067 | | xiongli1@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980519030002 | | 证券分析师： | 艾宪 | 0755-22941051 | | aixian@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980524090001 | 事项： 事件：5 月 21 日，中国香港特区立法会三读通过《稳定币条例草案》，以在香港设立法定货币稳定币发行 人的发牌制度，完善对虚拟资产活动在香港的监管框架，以保持金融稳定；5 月 30 日，中国香港特区政府 在宪报上刊登《稳定币条例》，正式成立法例。 国信计算机观点：1）中国香港《稳定币条例》正式成为法例，稳定币市场规模快速增长，2028 年市场规 模有望达到 2 万亿美金；2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [12] Core Views - The company is expected to experience rapid sales growth driven by its leading AI smart driving capabilities, enhanced marketing systems, and a strong new car cycle, with multiple new models anticipated to launch in 2025 [4][10] - The company is positioned to benefit from significant earnings elasticity due to scale improvements, cost reductions from platform and technology, and the expansion of software profitability models alongside continued growth in international markets [4][10] Summary by Sections Historical Review of New Energy Vehicles - The transition from policy-driven to consumer-driven demand for new energy vehicles has been marked by significant technological advancements and cost reductions, leading to a rapid increase in market penetration rates [20][21] - The report identifies three phases in the development of new energy vehicles: policy-driven (before 2019), product introduction (2020-2021), and hybrid power surge (post-2022) [20][21] Technological Advancements and Cost Reduction - The report highlights the continuous improvement in battery costs, which are projected to decrease significantly, enhancing the competitiveness of new energy vehicles [32][33] - The integration of advanced technologies in hybrid vehicles has led to improved fuel efficiency and reduced costs, making them more appealing to consumers [30][36] Smart Driving Capabilities - The company is leveraging its proprietary AI technology and cloud-based model training to enhance its smart driving features, which are expected to see significant advancements in the coming years [8][45] - The report emphasizes the importance of algorithms, computing power, and data in driving the evolution of smart driving technologies, positioning the company as a leader in this space [45][48] New Product Cycle - The company is set to launch a series of new models starting in Q3 2024, including the M03 and P7+, with additional strategic models planned for 2025, which will contribute to sustained sales growth [9][10] - The anticipated new product cycle is expected to significantly expand the company's market presence and sales volume [9][10] Investment Recommendations - The report projects the company's revenue to reach 99.1 billion yuan in 2025, with a price-to-sales ratio of 1.4x, reinforcing the investment thesis based on the company's strong positioning in the AI-driven automotive market [10]