紫光股份(000938):2024年报及25年一季报点评:财务费用暂时压制利润释放,AI服务器份额有望超预期
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-05-08 07:19
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [8] Core Views - The company's revenue met expectations, but financial expenses temporarily suppressed profit release. The company achieved an operating income of 79.024 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.572 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 25.23% [1][6] - The subsidiary, New H3C, benefited from domestic AI infrastructure, with its revenue growing by 6.04% to 55.074 billion yuan in 2024, and a significant increase of 26.07% in Q1 2025 [2] - The company experienced a substantial increase in inventory and contract liabilities, indicating potential overstocking of AI GPU chips, which may lead to exceeding expectations in AI server market share and profitability [3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported an operating income of 20.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.25%, but a net profit decrease of 15.75% [1] - Financial expenses rose significantly due to the acquisition of New H3C, with Q1 2025 financial expenses reaching 386 million yuan, an increase of 310 million yuan from Q1 2024 [4] - The company forecasts net profits of 2.14 billion yuan, 2.81 billion yuan, and 3.13 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 34, 26, and 23 [6] Strategic Developments - The company is advancing its H-share listing, which may alleviate financial pressure and support global expansion efforts [5] - New H3C's international business grew by 32% in 2024 and 72% in Q1 2025, indicating strong growth potential in overseas markets [5]
宏华数科(688789):受益数码印花渗透率提升,“设备+耗材”一体化驱动成长
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-08 07:17
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming months [9]. Core Insights - The company is benefiting from the increasing penetration of digital printing, with a growth strategy focused on an integrated "equipment + consumables" model, which is expected to drive future growth [9]. - The company reported a revenue of 1.79 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 42.3%, and a net profit of 414 million yuan, up 27.4% year-on-year [1]. - The company aims to expand its market presence in South America and North America while consolidating its traditional markets in South Asia, Southeast Asia, and Europe [3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved domestic sales revenue of 850 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 46.37%, and international sales revenue of 924 million yuan, up 37.60% [3]. - The revenue from digital printing equipment reached 905 million yuan in 2024, growing by 47.84% year-on-year, while ink revenue was 518 million yuan, increasing by 26.15% [4]. - The company's net profit margin for 2024 was 24.17%, with a gross margin of 44.95% [5]. Future Projections - The company expects to achieve net profits of 550 million yuan, 700 million yuan, and 870 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 32.2%, 28.5%, and 23.5% [9]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3.1 yuan, 3.9 yuan, and 4.9 yuan, respectively [9]. - The company plans to expand its production capacity to approximately 5,520 units, establishing itself as the largest digital printing equipment production base globally [9].
滨化股份(601678):2024年报点评:项目建设稳步推进,开辟了特气新赛道
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-05-08 07:15
Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [12] Core Views - The company's project construction is progressing steadily, with the PO/MTBE unit reaching the expected operational status. The focus on research and innovation has opened up a new track in electronic specialty gases, which is expected to contribute to future performance [3][12] - The company achieved a revenue of 10.228 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 40.00%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 42.77% to 219 million yuan. The revenue growth was primarily driven by the operation of the PDH unit and increased sales of propylene, propane, and butane. However, the decline in profit was due to a significant drop in the prices of main products, while the decrease in raw material and energy costs was relatively small, leading to a decline in gross profit margin [12] Financial Summary - For 2023A, the company reported a revenue of 7.306 billion yuan, with a projected revenue of 10.228 billion yuan for 2024A, reflecting a 40.00% increase. The net profit for 2023A was 383 million yuan, with a projected decrease to 219 million yuan for 2024A [11][12] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is expected to be 0.11 yuan, with projections of 0.16 yuan for 2025 and 0.21 yuan for 2026. The net asset return rate (ROE) is projected to be 1.9% for 2024, increasing to 5.9% by 2027 [11][12] - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from 22.956 billion yuan in 2024A to 27.308 billion yuan in 2027E, while total liabilities are expected to increase from 11.574 billion yuan in 2024A to 13.970 billion yuan in 2027E [13] Market Data - The company's market capitalization is approximately 8.767 billion yuan, with a current stock price of 4.26 yuan and a target price adjusted to 4.86 yuan [6][12] - The stock has a price-to-book ratio (PB) of 0.8 based on the current price, and the price-to-earnings ratio (PE) is projected to be 38.30 for 2024 [12][14]
麦加芯彩(603062):Q1业绩同比显著提升,风电涂料业务快速增长
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-08 07:13
公司费用端基本保持稳定。25Q1 公司期间费用为 0.43 亿元,同比增加 0.15 亿元;期间费用率 10.2%,yoy+0.9pcts;其中销售/管理/研发费用分别为 0.21/0.12/0.10 亿元,财务费用为-53 万元。销售/管理/研发/财务费用率分 别为 5.0%/2.9%/2.4.%/-0.1%,yoy+1.7/持平/-1.2/+0.5pcts。 新兴业务稳步推进,打造国内工业涂料最具竞争力的平台企业。2025 年, 公司将继续巩固集装箱涂料和风电涂料业务,同时加速船舶、光伏、海工、 储能、电力、数据中心等应用领域的推进。2024 年下半年公司收购了科思 创纳米级光伏玻璃涂层相关资产,2025 年有望实现主要客户批量销售。近 日公司公告已取得挪威船级社(DNV)防污漆证书,后续将继续推进中国、 美国船级社的认证进展。船级社认证有助于公司开拓船舶涂料市场,进一 步打开发展空间。 盈利预测与估值:结合公司产品价格趋势、未来产能投放节奏,预计公司 2025-2027 年归母净利润分别为 2.6/3.2/3.9 亿元,维持"买入"的投资评 级。 公司报告 | 季报点评 麦加芯彩(603062) 证券研 ...
新相微(688593):业绩拐点显现,产品矩阵扩张,战略并购构建产业生态
Bank of China Securities· 2025-05-08 07:09
资料来源:公司公告, Wind ,中银证券 以 2025 年 5 月 7 日收市价为标准 相关研究报告 电子 | 证券研究报告 — 调整盈利预测 2025 年 5 月 8 日 688593.SH 增持 原评级:增持 市场价格:人民币 18.45 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 5.5 25.8 (8.1) 83.2 相对上证综指 3.0 17.8 (9.3) 77.0 发行股数 (百万) 459.53 (20%) 14% 49% 83% 118% 152% May-24 Jun-24 Jul-24 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct-24 Nov-24 Dec-24 Jan-25 Feb-25 Apr-25 May-25 新相微 上证综指 | 流通股 (百万) | 319.01 | | --- | --- | | 总市值 (人民币 百万) | 8,478.32 | | 3 个月日均交易额 (人民币 百万) | 107.08 | | 主要股东(%) | | | New Vision Microelectronics Inc.(BVI) | 16.68 | ...
恒玄科技(688608):智能手表贡献第二增长极,智能家居和AIoT市场蓄势待发
Bank of China Securities· 2025-05-08 07:09
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue and profit growth, with its smart watch chips contributing as a second growth driver, while the smart home and AIoT markets are poised for expansion [3][8] - The Bluetooth audio chip business has rebounded strongly, and the new product BES2800 is expected to solidify the company's leading position in the market [3][8] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating based on its current valuation levels and growth prospects [5] Financial Summary - The company’s revenue for 2024 is projected to be RMB 3,263 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 49.9% [7] - The net profit for 2024 is expected to reach RMB 460 million, with a substantial year-over-year increase of 272% [7] - The estimated EPS for 2025 is RMB 6.97, with a significant upward adjustment of 43.7% from previous estimates [7][5] - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately RMB 52.1 billion, with corresponding PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 projected at 62.2, 45.5, and 35.9 respectively [5][7] Growth Drivers - The smart watch and wearable device market is expected to see a surge, with the company’s smart watch chip revenue projected to grow by 116% year-over-year in 2024 [8] - The company’s investment in R&D continues to increase, with R&D expenses reaching RMB 617 million in 2024, a 12% increase from the previous year [8] - The new generation of smart Bluetooth audio chips is anticipated to enhance the performance and connectivity of wearable devices, further driving growth [8]
兆易创新(603986):多元业务协同发力,定制存储方兴未艾
Bank of China Securities· 2025-05-08 07:09
电子 | 证券研究报告 — 调整盈利预测 2025 年 5 月 8 日 603986.SH 资料来源:公司公告, Wind ,中银证券 以 2025 年 5 月 7 日收市价为标准 相关研究报告 《兆易创新》20241106 《兆易创新》20240821 《兆易创新》20240423 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 电子:半导体 证券分析师:苏凌瑶 增持 原评级:增持 市场价格:人民币 130.35 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 26.6 25.1 (5.9) 55.1 相对上证综指 24.1 17.1 (7.1) 48.9 发行股数 (百万) 664.06 流通股 (百万) 662.99 (21%) (2%) 17% 36% 55% 74% May-24 Jun-24 Jul-24 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct-24 Nov-24 Dec-24 Jan-25 Mar-25 Apr-25 May-25 兆易创新 上证综指 | 流通股 (百万) | 662.99 | | --- | --- | | 总市值 (人民币 百万) | ...
三七互娱(002555):25Q1业绩承压,关注后续新游表现
Great Wall Securities· 2025-05-08 07:03
证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 05 月 08 日 三七互娱(002555.SZ) 25Q1 业绩承压,关注后续新游表现 25Q1 业绩阶段性承压,新游有望逐步贡献增长。公司 25Q1 实现营业收入 42.43 亿元,同比下降 10.67%,环比增长 3.45%;实现归母净利润 5.49 亿 元,同比下降 10.87%,环比下降 29.19%,主要因(1)公司于 2024H2 以 及 25Q1 上线的《时光杂货店》《英雄没有闪》《时光大爆炸》等多款游戏处 于推广初期;(2)受产品生命周期影响,《寻道大千》《灵魂序章》等数款上 线超过一年的成熟期产品流水相较于 2024 年同期自然回落。目前,公司正 坚持内容突破、长线运营,不断提升《寻道大千》《斗罗大陆:魂师对决》 《Puzzles & Survival》等多款在运营产品的生命力,不断提高公司经营业绩 的成长性和稳定性。 产品储备丰富,新游戏表现亮眼。2025Q1 公司《时光大爆炸》《英雄没有闪》 等多款产品已陆续上线,其中《时光大爆炸》跻身微信小游戏畅销榜第 4 名, 《英雄没有闪》上线后迅速冲进 iOS 畅销榜前五,并在 4 月登顶微信小游戏 ...
深信服(300454):业绩逐步回暖,云计算向AI升级
Guotou Securities· 2025-05-08 07:03
2025 年 05 月 08 日 深信服(300454.SZ) 业绩逐步回暖,云计算向 AI 升级 事件概述 公司近期发布 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报,2024 年公司实现营业 收入 75.20 亿元,同比下降 1.86%,实现归母净利润 1.97 亿元,同 比下降 0.49%。2025 年一季度,公司实现营业收入 12.62 亿元,同比 增长 21.91%,实现归母净利润-2.50 亿元,同比增长 48.93%。公司 业绩有所回暖,云计算业务向 AI 升级,有望带来新的增长点。 云计算业务带动增长,费用管控良好带来业绩弹性 从收入拆分来看,公司 2024 年网络安全业务实现收入 36.29 亿元, 同比下降 6.75%,我们认为主要是受到宏观环境的影响。公司多项产 品依然处于行业前列,且重点培养的 XDR、安全托管服务(MSS)增 长较快,市场份额逐年提升。因此未来若伴随宏观环境的逐渐改善, 公司网安业务仍有弹性。公司 2024 年云计算及 IT 基础设施业务收 入为 33.84 亿元,同比增长 9.51%。根据公司年报披露,2023 年全 年,深信服超融合以 17.5%的市占率,在中国超融合市 ...
光环新网(300383):业绩短期承压,数据中心扩张提速
HTSC· 2025-05-08 06:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 17.36 per share, up from a previous value of RMB 11.12 per share [7][4]. Core Views - The company's revenue and net profit for 2024 are projected to be RMB 7.281 billion and RMB 381 million, respectively, reflecting a slight year-on-year decline of 7.31% and 1.68% [1][6]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenues of RMB 1.832 billion and a net profit of RMB 69 million, showing a year-on-year decrease of 7.41% and 57.82% [1][2]. - The decline in revenue is attributed to the expiration of specific operational assets related to Amazon Cloud and some clients vacating due to strategic adjustments [1][2]. - Despite short-term pressures, the company is accelerating the deployment of new data center projects, which are expected to contribute positively to future earnings [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's data center business achieved revenues of RMB 20.89 billion and RMB 5.21 billion in Q1 2025, with year-on-year declines of 5.96% and 4.01% respectively [2]. - The cloud computing business reported revenues of RMB 51.02 billion and RMB 12.54 billion, down 7.98% and 11.41% year-on-year [2]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 16.55% and 15.14%, with a slight decline primarily due to the impact of Amazon Cloud asset disposals [3]. Project Developments - The company is actively advancing its data center projects, with the first and second phases in Tianjin Baodi set to be delivered in the first half of 2025, and construction of the third phase already underway [2][3]. - New projects in Inner Mongolia are also being pushed forward, indicating a proactive approach to meet the growing demand driven by AI [2][3]. Earnings Forecast - The EBITDA forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to RMB 15.71 billion, RMB 17.08 billion, and RMB 18.31 billion, reflecting a downward revision of 19% and 22% for 2025 and 2026 respectively [4][6]. - The expected revenue for 2025 is RMB 7.735 billion, with a projected growth of 6.24% in 2026 and 12.10% in 2027 [6][22]. - The net profit forecast for 2025 is RMB 416 million, with subsequent increases to RMB 502 million in 2026 and RMB 599 million in 2027 [6][22].