Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company with a target price adjusted to HKD 19.86, reflecting a potential upside of 10.9% based on a 13.0x 2025E PER [3][4]. Core Insights - The company's operations are expected to be impacted in the short term due to factors such as strict medical insurance cost control and weak consumer spending power among end patients, leading to a downward revision of revenue and net profit forecasts for 2024 by 6.5% and 7.5% respectively [1][2]. - The implementation of immediate medical insurance settlement is anticipated to alleviate financial pressure on medical institutions in the long run, but the actual benefits may take time to materialize due to varying local insurance fund conditions [2]. - The revenue forecasts for 2025-2026 have been revised downwards by 5.3% and 5.7%, with net profit forecasts adjusted down by 7.4% and 8.3% respectively, while the projected CAGR for net profit from 2023 to 2026 is estimated at 13.3% [2]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from RMB 3,196 million in 2022 to RMB 6,386 million by 2026, with a CAGR of 18.6% for 2024 and 20.3% for 2025 [3][7]. - Shareholder net profit is expected to increase from RMB 477 million in 2022 to RMB 994 million in 2026, with growth rates of 11.6% for 2024 and 17.9% for 2025 [3][7]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from RMB 0.77 in 2022 to RMB 1.57 in 2026, with a corresponding decrease in the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 21.6 in 2022 to 10.6 in 2026 [3][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 7.7 billion RMB in Q4 2024, slightly exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 1%, with a year-on-year growth of 22%. The adjusted net profit was 450 million RMB, surpassing Bloomberg consensus by 15%, resulting in a profit margin of 6% [7] - For the full year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 26.8 billion RMB, a 19% year-on-year increase, with an adjusted net loss of 22 million RMB compared to a loss of 3.4 billion RMB in 2023. The operating cash flow was 6 billion RMB, significantly improved from 270 million RMB in 2023 [7] - The company continues to see growth in high-engagement users, with a Q4 2024 Monthly Active Users (MAU) of 340 million, a 1% year-on-year increase, and Daily Active Users (DAU) of 103 million, a 3% increase. The average daily usage time per user increased by 4 minutes to 99 minutes [7] - The gaming segment showed strong growth, with Q4 2024 gaming revenue reaching 1.8 billion RMB, a 79% year-on-year increase, driven by the success of the game "Three Kingdoms: Strategizing the World" [7] - Advertising revenue also maintained rapid growth, with Q4 2024 advertising income of 2.4 billion RMB, a 24% year-on-year increase, indicating potential for further growth in this area [7] - The company has launched its self-developed large language model and a commercial AIGC platform, which are expected to enhance community engagement and operational efficiency [7] - The adjusted net profit forecast for 2025 has been slightly raised to 1.786 billion RMB, while the 2026 forecast has been lowered to 2.542 billion RMB, with a new forecast for 2027 set at 3.137 billion RMB [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 22.528 billion RMB - 2024: 26.832 billion RMB - 2025E: 30.213 billion RMB - 2026E: 33.176 billion RMB - 2027E: 35.836 billion RMB - Adjusted net profit forecasts are: - 2023: -3.425 billion RMB - 2024: -0.022 billion RMB - 2025E: 1.786 billion RMB - 2026E: 2.542 billion RMB - 2027E: 3.137 billion RMB [3][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba [3][6]. Core Views - Alibaba's total revenue for Q3 2025 (ending December 2024) reached 280.15 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8%. Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders was 51.33 billion, up 7% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on AI infrastructure and has committed to significant capital expenditures, with plans to invest over 1 trillion RMB in cloud and AI facilities over the next three years [2][3]. - The report forecasts Alibaba's revenue for fiscal years 2025-2027 to be 997.7 billion, 1,084.25 billion, and 1,187.65 billion respectively, with non-GAAP net profits projected at 162.19 billion, 173.92 billion, and 192.62 billion [3][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, revenue by business line was as follows: Taobao/Tmall: 136.1 billion (+5%), International Commerce: 37.8 billion (+32%), Alibaba Cloud: 31.7 billion (+13%), Local Services: 17 billion (+12%), Cainiao: 28.2 billion (-1%), and Digital Entertainment: 5.4 billion (+8%) [1]. - The adjusted EBITA profit margins for each segment were 45%, -13%, 10%, -4%, 1%, and -6% respectively [1]. AI Strategy - Alibaba has launched new AI models, Qwen2.5-VL and Qwen2.5-Max, achieving leading results in benchmark tests. The company aims to establish itself as a key player in AI infrastructure [2][3]. - The company has seen over 290,000 enterprises and developers accessing its Qwen API, indicating strong demand for its AI capabilities [2]. Future Projections - The report estimates Alibaba's reasonable market value to exceed 3 trillion RMB, with target prices set at 169 HKD for the Hong Kong stock and 174 USD for the US stock [3]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for the upcoming years are 8.4, 9.1, and 10.0 RMB for fiscal years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][11].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 48-54 per share based on a projected PE ratio of 40-45X for 2025 [6]. Core Insights - The company is a leading resin lens manufacturer in China, ranking first in production volume and ninth in revenue globally, with products sold in over 80 countries [1][13]. - The company has shown robust revenue and profit growth, with a projected net profit increase of over 30% in 2024, reaching over HKD 430 million [2][25]. - The lens industry in China is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.1% from 2023 to 2027, driven by increasing demand for corrective lenses and the expansion of the domestic market [3][43]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is recognized as a global leader in the resin lens market, with a strong focus on customized services and a diverse product range [1][4]. - The company has established a solid customer base and long-term partnerships across various countries, enhancing its market presence [4][36]. Financial Performance - From 2018 to 2023, the company's revenue grew from HKD 850 million to HKD 1.76 billion, with a CAGR of 16%, while net profit increased from HKD 80 million to HKD 330 million, achieving a CAGR of 33% [2][25]. - The company anticipates a net profit of over HKD 430 million in 2024, primarily due to effective market expansion and a higher proportion of high-value products [2][25]. Industry Analysis - The Chinese lens market is projected to grow steadily, with a retail market size of approximately HKD 378 billion in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.2% [43]. - The demand for lenses is expected to rise due to an increasing population with vision impairments and the growing popularity of specialized lenses such as progressive and sports eyewear [55][60]. Product and Production Capabilities - The company has a comprehensive product system with a focus on high-refractive and customized lenses, being one of the few manufacturers capable of producing 1.74 refractive index lenses [4][31]. - The company operates automated production facilities with a daily capacity of 20,000 pieces, ensuring efficient and precise delivery of customized lenses [4][39]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is entering the XR (Extended Reality) market, collaborating with leading consumer electronics firms to develop smart glasses, which are expected to drive significant growth [5][20]. - The partnership with GoerTek enhances the company's position in the XR industry, leveraging synergies for product development [5][20].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388.HK) is "Buy" (maintained) [1]. Core Views - The report highlights the optimization of the stock market settlement fee structure, which will not change the fee rate but will lower transaction costs for small trades, thereby promoting retail trading activity. The average fee rate is expected to remain unchanged, benefiting market liquidity [4][5]. - The report anticipates a recovery in trading sentiment for Hong Kong stocks, projecting an increase in average daily trading (ADT) volumes from 1,320 billion HKD in 2024 to 2,000 billion HKD in 2025, followed by a slight decline to 1,800 billion HKD in 2026. This is expected to lead to an increase in net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 [4][6]. - The report suggests that the active performance of technology stocks and a revival in Hong Kong IPOs will likely result in improved performance and valuation for the exchange, leading to a "Davis Double" effect [4][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The report provides financial projections indicating that revenue is expected to grow from 20,516 million HKD in 2023 to 28,040 million HKD in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 24.1% in 2025 [7]. - Net profit is projected to increase from 12,986 million HKD in 2024 to 16,484 million HKD in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 26.9% [7]. - The report also includes estimates for earnings per share (EPS), which are expected to rise from 10.2 HKD in 2024 to 13.0 HKD in 2025 [7]. Market Activity - The report notes that the average daily trading volume (ADT) for Hong Kong stocks is expected to increase significantly, with projections of 1,320 billion HKD in 2024 and 2,000 billion HKD in 2025, indicating a strong recovery in market activity [4][6]. - The report highlights that the trading sentiment has improved, with recent data showing a substantial increase in ADT to 3,358 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 232% [5]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides valuation metrics, indicating that the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 34.2 in 2024 to 27.0 in 2025, suggesting potential for valuation improvement [7]. - The report also mentions that the current P/E ratio (TTM) stands at 37.5, which is within the 48th percentile of the past five years, indicating room for further valuation expansion [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The company achieved total revenue of 7.95 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.1%, and a net profit of 1.565 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 113.2% [5] - The gross margin for 2024 reached 33.7%, an increase of 7 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to cost optimization measures and a one-time adjustment in content licensing fees [5] - The company is expected to continue its profit growth trajectory, with projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 1.812 billion, 2.012 billion, and 2.220 billion yuan respectively [5] - The company is expanding its music library and community ecosystem, with over 770,000 independent musicians and approximately 4.4 million uploaded tracks by June 2024 [6] - The average listening time for long audio content per user increased by 35.8% year-on-year in 2024, indicating a growing user engagement with diverse audio content [6] - Membership subscription revenue reached 4.459 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22%, driven by enhanced product offerings and user experience [7] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 8.843 billion, 9.735 billion, and 10.609 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.2%, 10.1%, and 9.0% [5] - The projected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 8.4, 9.3, and 10.2 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 16.1, 14.5, and 13.2 times [5] - The gross margin is expected to improve to 36.3% in 2025 and further to 38.0% in 2026 [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company achieved total revenue of 7.95 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.1%, and a net profit of 1.565 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 113.2% [5] - The gross margin for 2024 reached 33.7%, an increase of 7 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to cost optimization measures and a one-time adjustment in content licensing fees [5] - The company is expected to continue its profit growth trajectory, with projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 1.812 billion, 2.012 billion, and 2.220 billion yuan respectively [5] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue (million yuan): 2023A: 7,867, 2024A: 7,950, 2025E: 8,843, 2026E: 9,735, 2027E: 10,609 [7] - Net Profit (million yuan): 2023A: 734, 2024A: 1,562, 2025E: 1,812, 2026E: 2,012, 2027E: 2,220 [7] - Gross Margin (%): 2023A: 26.7, 2024A: 33.7, 2025E: 36.3, 2026E: 38.0, 2027E: 38.6 [7] - EPS (diluted, yuan): 2023A: 3.4, 2024A: 7.2, 2025E: 8.4, 2026E: 9.3, 2027E: 10.2 [7] - P/E (times): 2023A: 39.8, 2024A: 18.7, 2025E: 16.1, 2026E: 14.5, 2027E: 13.2 [7] Growth Drivers - The company is expanding its music library and community ecosystem, with over 770,000 independent musicians registered and approximately 4.4 million tracks uploaded by June 2024 [6] - The average listening time for long audio content per user increased by 35.8% year-on-year in 2024, indicating a growing user engagement with diverse audio content [6] - Membership subscription revenue reached 4.459 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22%, driven by enhanced product offerings and user experience [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Lenovo Group (00992.HK) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - Lenovo is expected to benefit from an upgrade in the AI PC business model and the upward cycle of CSP capital expenditures, leading to improved profitability in both AI PC and AI server segments [6] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for FY2025-2027 has been revised upwards to $1.602 billion, $1.750 billion, and $2.199 billion, representing year-on-year growth rates of 58.5%, 9.2%, and 25.7% respectively [6] - The latest stock price of HKD 13.60 corresponds to a PE ratio of 16.3, 14.9, and 11.8 for FY2025-2027 [6] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue for FY2025 is projected at $69.033 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 21.4% [9] - Net profit for FY2025 is expected to be $1.602 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 58.5% [9] - The gross margin is forecasted to be 16.0% for FY2025, with a net margin of 2.3% [9] - The diluted EPS for FY2025 is estimated at $0.108, with a PE ratio of 16.3 [9]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating and sets a target price of HKD 64.86 for Beike [4]. Core Views - Beike, as a leading real estate brokerage in China, is expected to benefit from the 2025 policy goal of stabilizing the market, leading to a recovery in transaction volumes and housing prices. The "three wings" business model is rapidly developing and maturing [3][4]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of HKD 60,669 million in 2022, with a projected increase to HKD 126,029 million by 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22% from 2018 to 2023. The adjusted net profit is expected to grow from HKD -1,386 million in 2022 to HKD 8,547 million in 2026 [6][27]. - The adjusted EPS is forecasted to be HKD 2.41, HKD 2.60, and HKD 3.12 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with a reference PE of 23 times for 2025 [4][6]. Business Model and Strategy - Beike is transitioning from a traditional real estate brokerage to a technology-driven integrated housing service platform, having completed approximately 4.4 million property transactions in 2023, with a total transaction value of HKD 31,429 billion [11][27]. - The "one body and three wings" strategy includes core brokerage services and expansion into home decoration, rental services, and other housing-related services, which are becoming significant growth drivers [27][28]. Market Position - Beike holds approximately 25% market share in the existing housing brokerage sector, with significant growth potential as the market shifts towards existing homes. The company maintains a strong bargaining position with commission rates consistently above industry averages [11][27]. - The new housing brokerage business is also performing well, with Beike's quality coverage and de-stocking capabilities allowing it to outperform the market [11][27]. Growth Drivers - The non-brokerage business segments, particularly home decoration and rental services, are increasingly contributing to revenue, with their combined revenue share rising to 36% in the first three quarters of 2024, up from 25% in 2023 [27][28]. - The company has seen a significant rebound in net profit, achieving HKD 59 billion in 2023, a 245% increase in adjusted net profit compared to the previous year, driven by improved transaction volumes and profitability in non-brokerage services [38][41].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating and sets a target price of HKD 64.86 for the company [4]. Core Views - The company is positioned to benefit from the 2025 policy goal of stabilizing the market, which is expected to lead to a recovery in transaction volumes and housing prices. The "three wings" business model is rapidly developing and maturing [4][3]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of HKD 60,669 million in 2022, with a projected increase to HKD 126,029 million by 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22% from 2018 to 2023. The adjusted net profit is expected to grow from HKD 5,883 million in 2023 to HKD 8,547 million in 2026 [6][27]. - The adjusted EPS is forecasted to be HKD 2.41, HKD 2.60, and HKD 3.12 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with a reference PE of 23 times for the target price calculation [4]. Business Model and Strategy - The company is transforming from a traditional real estate agency to a technology-driven integrated residential service platform, leveraging a digital infrastructure that includes the ACN network and property dictionary [11]. - The "one body and three wings" strategy includes core brokerage services and expansion into home decoration, rental services, and development services, which are becoming significant growth drivers [27][11]. Market Position - The company holds approximately 25% market share in the existing housing brokerage business, with significant growth potential as it expands into lower-tier cities [11]. - The company completed around 4.4 million property transactions in 2023, with a total transaction value of HKD 31,429 billion, indicating strong market presence [11]. Revenue Composition - The revenue from non-brokerage businesses has been increasing, contributing 25% in 2023 and projected to rise to 36% in 2024, highlighting the diversification of income sources [28][27]. - The company’s gross margin has improved since 2022, driven by higher profitability from existing housing and home decoration services [32]. Management and Governance - The company has a dual-class share structure, with the core management team holding nearly 50% of the voting rights, ensuring strong governance and strategic direction [22][24].