证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 家居用品 索菲亚(002572) 报告日期：2025 年 04 月 30 日 Q1 非经拖累业绩，以旧换新执行领先、期待后续发力 ——索菲亚点评 投资要点 ❑ 业绩一览 2024 全年营收 104.94 亿元（同比-10.04%），归母净利润 13.71 亿元（同比 +8.69%），扣非归母净利润 10.93 亿元（同比-3.67%）。 24Q4 营收 28.39 亿（同比-18.08%）、归母净利润 4.49 亿（同比+45.49%），扣非 净利润 2.19 亿（同比-4.12%），24Q4 公司投资收益 2.5 亿元，主要系公司持有的 国联民生证券股票在 24Q4 大幅上涨。 25Q1 营收 20.38 亿（同比-3.46%）、归母净利润 0.12 亿（同比-92.69%），扣非净 利润 1.51 亿（同比-3.23%），25Q1 公司公允价值变动亏损 2 亿元，主要系公司持 有的国联民生证券股票在 25Q1 下跌。 ❑ 期内经营：多品牌、全品类、全渠道战略 1、分品牌看：1）索菲亚品牌 24A 收入 94.48 亿（同比-10.46%），24Q4 单季度 25.58 亿（ ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·商用车 福田汽车（600166） 2025 年一季报点评：Q1 业绩超预期，看好全 年业绩同比高增 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 56,097 | 47,698 | 69,836 | 74,959 | 78,707 | | 同比（%） | 20.78 | (14.97) | 46.41 | 7.34 | 5.00 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 909.48 | 80.54 | 1,665.97 | 2,044.06 | 2,151.54 | | 同比（%） | 1,262.27 | (91.14) | 1,968.42 | 22.70 | 5.26 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.21 | 0.26 | 0.27 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 22.63 | 255.58 | 12.36 | 10.07 | 9.57 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The company's Q1 2025 revenue was 2.00 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 101 million yuan, down 22% year-on-year [7] - The kitchen small appliance industry showed signs of recovery in Q1 2025, but the company still faces pressure due to intensified competition and limited scope for national subsidies [7] - The company has launched innovative products targeting the mid-to-high-end market, including the 40N9U Pro rice cooker and R5P health kettle, aiming to enhance brand and product value [7] - The gross margin remained stable, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.59 percentage points, while the sales expense ratio slightly decreased to 13.1% [7] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 310 million, 377 million, and 407 million yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 23, 19, and 18 [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 8.849 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -7.9% [6] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 310 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 153.5% [6] - The company’s gross margin is expected to stabilize around 25.8% for 2025 [6]

公司报告 | 年报点评报告 宝钢包装（601968） 证券研究报告 优化国内外布局，推动转型发展 公司发布年报及一季报 25Q1 公司营收 20 亿同增 1%，归母净利 0.57 亿同增 3%，扣非后归母净利 0.57 亿同增 9%； 24 年营收 83 亿同增 7%，归母净利 1.7 亿同减 21%，扣非后归母净利 1.7 亿同减 23%。 24 年境内收入 59 亿同增 1%，毛利率 5.6%同减 2.5pct；境外收入 24 亿同 增 26%，毛利率 14%同增 3pct。 24 年毛利率 8%，净利率 2%。 风险提示：项目进度不及预期；行业竞争加剧；下游需求不及预期。 公司坚持"四化"发展方向和"四有"原则，积极推进宝钢包装规划发展 目标与"内外联动"战略任务落实；坚持创新驱动，有效推动产品高端化 多样化；坚持绿色低碳发展，实现国内法人子公司"绿色工厂"全覆盖； 坚持数字化转型，形成行业内最佳数字化底座和实践案例；加快国内产能 调整优化和国际化发展步伐。首次实施股份回购、首次开展中期分红、成 功实施非公开发行 A 股股票，上市公司资本运作取得新的突破。 优化国内外布局，推动转型发展 公司进一步加快国 ...

公司报告 | 季报点评 海尔智家（600690） 证券研究报告 Q1 业绩超预期，盈利能力持续提升 事件：25Q1 公司实现营业收入 791.2 亿元，同比+10.1%；归母净利润 54.9 亿元，同比+15.1%；扣非归母净利润 53.6 亿元，同比+15.6%。同时发布 25 年度核心员工持股计划（草案），A 股参与对象公司董事、高级管理人员、 公司及子公司核心技术（业务）人员共计不超过 2570 人，资金额度为 7.57 亿元；H 股参与对象公司董事及高级管理人员、公司及子公司核心技术（业 务）人员共计不超过 27 人，资金额度为 6300 万元。董事、总裁及公司平 台人员 25-26 年度业绩考核指标为 1）ROE≥17.7%，则将其名下本计划标 的股票权益的 40%归属于持有人；2）16.8%≤ROE＜17.7%，则由管委会决 定归属的比例并报薪酬与考核委员会同意后进行归属；3）ROE＜16.8%， 则其名下本计划标的股票权益的 40%不归属。其他持有人考核指标为管委 会根据业绩表现考核，在 25、26 年度考核结果达标后分别归属 40%、60%。 点评： Q1 营收表现亮眼，新兴市场延续高增。25 ...

# CGS 公司深度报告 · 化工行业 复合肥主业经营稳健、优质磷矿产能释放助力业绩高增 芭田股份首次覆盖报告 2025 年 4 月 27 日 核心观点 主要财务指标预测 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 3313.11 | 4941.22 | 5395.38 | 5926.05 | | 增长率% | 2.15 | 49.14 | 9.19 | 9.84 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 409.14 | 1156.97 | 1408.35 | 1645.34 | | 增长率% | 57.67 | 182.78 | 21.73 | 16.83 | | 摊薄 EPS(元) | 0.42 | 1.20 | 1.46 | 1.71 | | PE | 23.50 | 8.31 | 6.83 | 5.84 | 资料来源：iFind，中国银河证券研究院 | 市场数据 | 2025-04-25 | | --- | --- | | 股票代码 | 002170.SZ | | A 股收盘价(元) | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% within the next six months [11]. Core Insights - The company experienced short-term revenue and profit fluctuations due to the IT spending cycle of downstream clients, with a revenue of 6.671 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.59%, and a net profit of 355 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 45.76% [1]. - The revenue from the insurance IT sector decreased to 3.047 billion yuan, down 15.31% year-on-year, while non-insurance IT revenue increased significantly, particularly in non-insurance finance (up 32.43%), government IT (up 20.38%), and healthcare IT (up 37.31%) [1]. - The company is actively implementing its "Insurance+" strategy, generating direct business income of 123 million yuan in 2024, focusing on areas such as insurance product pricing and automated claims processing [2]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 7.271 billion yuan, 8.206 billion yuan, and 9.829 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 388 million yuan, 478 million yuan, and 657 million yuan, reflecting growth rates of 9.36%, 23.17%, and 37.35% [3]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 6.671 billion yuan, with a projected increase to 7.271 billion yuan in 2025, representing a growth rate of 8.98% [4]. - The net profit for 2024 is expected to be 355 million yuan, with a forecasted increase to 388 million yuan in 2025, indicating a recovery from the previous year's decline [4]. - The company's gross margin is projected to decline to 25.80% in 2024, down 5.65 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the shift in revenue mix towards system integration services [1][4]. Market Data - As of April 29, 2025, the company's closing stock price was 18.73 yuan, with a 12-month price range between 15.09 and 29.15 yuan [5]. - The total market capitalization is approximately 15.565 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 5 million shares [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [4]. Core Views - The company experienced significant revenue decline in Q1 2025, with a revenue of 500 million, down 18% year-on-year, and a net profit of 60 million, down 54% year-on-year [1]. - The company maintained a strong dividend payout ratio of 96%, distributing 6.2 yuan per 10 shares to shareholders [1]. - The company is focusing on product innovation and development, leveraging its 30th anniversary to introduce new product lines centered around themes such as "New National Style" and "Health" [3]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.1 billion, a 2% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 250 million, a 10% increase year-on-year [1]. - For the full year 2024, the company recorded revenue of 3 billion, a 1% decrease year-on-year, and a net profit of 540 million, a 5% decrease year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 54%, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 10%, down 8 percentage points year-on-year due to increased sales expenses [2]. Channel Performance Summary - Direct sales revenue in 2024 was 700 million, accounting for 24% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 68% [2]. - Franchise revenue was 800 million, accounting for 28% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 56% [2]. - Online sales revenue was 1.1 billion, accounting for 37% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 50% [2]. - Group purchase revenue was 200 million, accounting for 6% of total revenue, showing a 5 percentage point increase year-on-year [2]. Profit Forecast Adjustments - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected revenues of 3 billion, 3.1 billion, and 3.4 billion respectively [4]. - The net profit for 2025 is projected to be 486 million, with a decrease from previous estimates [8].

2025 年 4 月 30 日 公司研究 费用投入加大致业绩下滑，期待多品牌高质量发展 ——报喜鸟（002154.SZ）2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 买入（维持） 当前价：3.82 元 作者 分析师：姜浩 执业证书编号：S0930522010001 021-52523680 jianghao@ebscn.com 分析师：孙未未 执业证书编号：S0930517080001 021-52523672 sunww@ebscn.com 分析师：朱洁宇 执业证书编号：S0930523070004 021-52523842 zhujieyu@ebscn.com | 市场数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(亿股) | 14.59 | | 总市值(亿元)： | 55.75 | | 一年最低/最高(元)： | 3.12/6.05 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 141.70% | 股价相对走势 -39% -24% -9% 6% 21% 04/24 07/24 10/24 01/25 报喜鸟 沪深300 | 收益表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | % | ...